How hot will this summer be in Spain?
Forecasts from Spain's meteorological experts indicate that we are entering yet another record-breaking summer.
Spain's national weather agency Aemet has said that between June 1st and August 31st, the conditions point to the fact that it will be hotter than usual across the whole country.
The Mediterranean coast and the islands stand out as the areas most likely to see above-average temperatures during this time.
Aemet meteorologists indicate that during next three months, 60 percent of temperatures will be above normal in most of the peninsula, and 70 percent of temperatures will be hotter than usual in the Mediterranean area and the archipelagos.
To reach these conclusions, experts at the national meteorology body have created hundreds of mathematical models based on thousands of factors, such as air and ocean temperatures and ambient humidity. From there, a rough outline of what the weather will be like over the coming months is provided, based on trends from each region.
This year, the models have predicted that there is a 60 percent chance that it will be hotter than usual, a 30 percent chance that it will be in line with expectations, and a 10 percent chance that it will be colder than normal.
Currently, Aemet is using the average recorded data between 1991 and 2020 as its reference period. This means that everything points to this summer being warmer compared to the average of the last thirty years. It will also be above the usual values of the 1960s, which is when meteorological records officially began in Spain.
While it will be much warmer than normal, that doesn't necessarily mean that it will break all the records, however, or that it will be more extreme than the summer of 2022, which remains the hottest ever recorded in Spain.
A a whole, 2023 was the second hottest year since records began while 2024 was the third hottest.
It's worth noting though that in 2023, during the months of June, July and August 2023, 552 temperature records were broken across Spain for average, maximum and minimum temperatures, according to a study carried out by weather website eltiempo.es.
And in 2024, heat records for April were broken, which saw summer-like temperatures in spring. This year, we have already seen a record-breaking May as mainland Spain experienced its hottest ever May 30th, with the average temperature surpassing 24C, according to Aemet.
Experts indicate this is all likely due to climate change and global warming where summers are starting earlier than usual and reaching increasingly higher temperatures, causing more extreme heatwaves and lasting longer than normal too.
The World Meteorological Organisation estimates that this trend will continue for at least the next five years, when new temperature records are expected to be broken across the planet.
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Local Spain
3 days ago
- Local Spain
How hot will this summer be in Spain?
Forecasts from Spain's meteorological experts indicate that we are entering yet another record-breaking summer. Spain's national weather agency Aemet has said that between June 1st and August 31st, the conditions point to the fact that it will be hotter than usual across the whole country. The Mediterranean coast and the islands stand out as the areas most likely to see above-average temperatures during this time. Aemet meteorologists indicate that during next three months, 60 percent of temperatures will be above normal in most of the peninsula, and 70 percent of temperatures will be hotter than usual in the Mediterranean area and the archipelagos. To reach these conclusions, experts at the national meteorology body have created hundreds of mathematical models based on thousands of factors, such as air and ocean temperatures and ambient humidity. From there, a rough outline of what the weather will be like over the coming months is provided, based on trends from each region. This year, the models have predicted that there is a 60 percent chance that it will be hotter than usual, a 30 percent chance that it will be in line with expectations, and a 10 percent chance that it will be colder than normal. Currently, Aemet is using the average recorded data between 1991 and 2020 as its reference period. This means that everything points to this summer being warmer compared to the average of the last thirty years. It will also be above the usual values of the 1960s, which is when meteorological records officially began in Spain. While it will be much warmer than normal, that doesn't necessarily mean that it will break all the records, however, or that it will be more extreme than the summer of 2022, which remains the hottest ever recorded in Spain. A a whole, 2023 was the second hottest year since records began while 2024 was the third hottest. It's worth noting though that in 2023, during the months of June, July and August 2023, 552 temperature records were broken across Spain for average, maximum and minimum temperatures, according to a study carried out by weather website And in 2024, heat records for April were broken, which saw summer-like temperatures in spring. This year, we have already seen a record-breaking May as mainland Spain experienced its hottest ever May 30th, with the average temperature surpassing 24C, according to Aemet. Experts indicate this is all likely due to climate change and global warming where summers are starting earlier than usual and reaching increasingly higher temperatures, causing more extreme heatwaves and lasting longer than normal too. The World Meteorological Organisation estimates that this trend will continue for at least the next five years, when new temperature records are expected to be broken across the planet.
Local Spain
28-05-2025
- Local Spain
Spain warns next days could be hottest for late May since 1950
A "mass of very warm air from north Africa" will bring heat usually seen in July, said AEMET spokesman Rubén del Campo. Maximum temperatures in some areas will reach "more than 10 degrees above normal for the time of year, especially in parts of the north, east and south", he added. The southern Andalusia region will swelter under peak temperatures of around 40 degrees Celsius (104 degrees Fahrenheit) and a new all-time heat record for May "cannot be ruled out", said Del Campo. AEMET wrote on X that "the days from May 29th to June 1st could be the hottest for those specific dates since 1950 at least." Scientists say climate change driven by human activity is increasing the length, frequency and intensity of extreme weather events such as heatwaves. The last three years have been the hottest on record in Spain, which is emerging from a years-long drought.
Local Spain
12-05-2025
- Local Spain
Why is it so rainy in Spain this year?
Those living in Spain will have noticed that the past year has been very rainy, not to mention lots of storms and the devastating floods in Valencia in October. Valencia may have been one of the most widely reported floods in Spain over the last year, but there were also floods in Málaga, Madrid, Murcia and other places in Andalusia. And the wet weather has continued into 2025 as well. Rubén del Campo, spokesperson for Spain's Aemet national weather agency, reported how the first four months of the 2025 - between January and April - were the eighth wettest on record since 1961, and the fifth wettest so far this century. March stood out as a particularly wet month, with lots of storms meaning almost uninterrupted rain across much of the country for several weeks. It was actually the third rainiest March in the last 60 years. "During that month, there were places where it rained three or even five times more than usual," Del Campo explained. April also had plenty of rain and May is also proving to be a wet month as well. To those who are new to the country- no, this isn't what Spain is usually like. In fact, in recent years we've become more accustomed to early heatwaves than incessant downpours. So what's going on? According to meteorological experts from weather website El there are some explanations as to why there's been so much rain. This year there has been an increase in the presence of anticyclonic blocks in northern Europe. 'These prevent the normal passage of low-pressure areas north of the continent, which have been diverted southward, toward the Iberian Peninsula and the western Mediterranean'. Jet streams which guide storms have also become more unpredictable, meandering along different paths than usual, they add. Some weather experts also believe it could be down La Niña - the meteorological phenomenon originating in the waters of the equatorial Pacific. This itself can cause more rainfall during the autumn and winter seasons. Many people have attributed the rain to the fact that they feel this year has been much colder than normal. According to the experts though, it just seems colder because the last few years have been abnormally warm a lot earlier, and the fact that there's been so much rain. In fact, the first four months of 2025 were the eighth warmest since 1961. "Perhaps the problem is that we've had such extreme years that anything other than temperatures reaching 30C in January seems abnormal," Aemet's Rubén del Campo argued. So what's to come for the remainder of May? When will this wet weather come to an end in Spain? According to AEMET, this week we will continue to experience unstable atmospheric conditions, "fuelled by the presence of cold air in the upper layers of the atmosphere". This could indicate storms in much of the peninsula, but more likely in the northwest and central parts of the country. For the early part of the summer, meteorologists are predicting above-normal temperatures in Spain between May and July, particularly in the northern and eastern parts of the country, where there is a 50 to 70 percent chance that these months will be warmer than usual. As for whether the rain will continue into the second half of May and the summer, it's too early to say for certain but it looks like conditions will become more stable. As a final note, it's worth remembering that all this rain is coming off the back of several years of severe drought, particularly in southern Spain and Catalonia. Much of Spain was in a long-term drought since the end of 2022 and the northeastern region experienced one of the worst situations in over 200 years. In fact, in places like Barcelona, water restrictions have only just been lifted and the fountains switched back on this month. So, while some places definitely didn't need so much rainfall, others certainly did.
