
Yes, Brett Kavanaugh reads the online discourse about the Supreme Court
Kavanaugh's remarks came as several federal judges spoke out in a videoconference Thursday about death threats they'd received and their belief that heated political rhetoric fueled such threats and potential violence.
Kavanaugh made no mention of threats to judges, although a man has pleaded guilty and is awaiting sentencing for attempting to assassinate the justice at his home in 2022. Kavanaugh touted judicial independence as 'the crown jewel of our constitutional democracy,' but did not paint it as acutely endangered in the way the court's liberal justices have suggested in recent months.
Kavanaugh also defended the Supreme Court's handling of the so-called emergency docket, where the Trump administration has filed more than 20 urgent appeals and has often found success blocking some of the district court rulings Trump has complained about. Critics argue that the Supreme Court issues rulings of massive significance on that docket without detailed opinions and typically without the legal briefing and argument that goes into regular cases.
'Because of the importance of those questions, we have been, I think, doing more and more process to try to get the right answer on those,' Kavanaugh said. 'Lots of new processes that we have undertaken over really the last five or six years to help us make the best decision we can in the short time we have.'
With some lower-court judges expressing irritation at the high court for not explaining its reasoning in emergency orders, Kavanaugh pronounced himself 'a fan' of the court doing so. But he cautioned there are some drawbacks and some disagreement among the justices about the wisdom of more detailed emergency docket rulings.
'I think there are different views among members of the court about when to do it and when not. We're nine independent people,' he said.
Kavanaugh did seek to minimize perceptions of a stark divide at the Supreme Court between liberal and conservative camps. He referred to his colleagues by their first names and insisted relationships among the justices are friendly.

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Trump tariffs live updates: India hit with 50% tariffs as Trump's sweeping trade measures roll out
President Trump on Wednesday signed an executive order imposing an additional 25% tariff on India over its purchases of Russian oil. The new tariff, which will come into effect in 21 days, is set to "stack" on top of an existing country-specific tariff of 25%. In doing so, Trump is set to make good on a threat for higher tariffs on India, as he has accused the country of effectively financing the Russian war in Ukraine. "They're fueling the war machine," he charged in a CNBC interview. India's first 25% levy takes effect Thursday, part of scores of new duties that will see importers paying between 10% to 50% as they bring in goods from nearly 200 countries around the globe. Outside of India, Switzerland is the developed nation whose goods face a whopping increase: up to 39%. You can see the new rates Trump is set to levy in the graphic below: Trump also said this week that he would soon announce tariffs on semiconductor and pharmaceutical imports, as he prepares to add more sectoral duties to his mix of tariffs. He said duties on pharma could eventually balloon as high as 250%. In the past several days, Trump has unleashed a flurry of deals and trade moves leading up to his self-imposed deadline: Trump granted Mexico, the US's largest trading partner, a 90-day reprieve on higher tariffs. Trump hiked tariffs on Canadian imports to 35%, though goods contained in the US-Mexico-Canada agreement are exempt, keeping this hike's impact limited so far. The US agreed to a trade deal with South Korea. The agreement includes a 15% tariff rate on imports from the country, while the US will not be charged a tariff on its exports. Trump imposed 50% tariffs on semi-finished copper products starting Aug. 1. The president signed an order to end the de minimis exemption on low-value imports under $800, thereby applying tariffs from Aug. 29. Trump signed another order to impose a total of 50% tariffs on many goods from Brazil. However, it exempts key US imports like orange juice and aircraft parts that benefit Embraer (ERJ). The US and EU agreed to a trade deal that imposes 15% tariffs on EU goods. The nations are still working on finalizing many terms of the deal. Read more: What Trump's tariffs mean for the economy and your wallet Here are the latest updates as the policy reverberates around the world. Trump hits India with additional 25% tariff over Russia oil buys President Trump has hit India with an additional 25% tariff due to India's purchase of Russian oil. The US president threatened India with higher tariffs earlier this week, which India's Prime Minister Narendra Modi called "unjustified," also calling out the US for its double standard over Russia. In an interview with CNBC on Tuesday, Trump said that India was helping to fuel the war machine. 'They're fueling the war machine. And if they're going to do that, then I'm not going to be happy,' Trump said. In the early days of trade negotiations, relations between the US and India appeared more friendly, with both sides saying they would reach a deal within days. However, over recent months ,things seem to have turned sour as neither side can agree on some of the finer details within the deal, which concern dairy and agricultural products. As a result, a trade war seems to have developed between the two sides, and now with this additional 25% tariff gift from Trump to Modi, the two seem further away from reaching an agreement than ever before. Modi's rival blasts 'bully' Trump as public opinion hardens Rahul Gandhi, Narendra Modi's most recognizable political rival, has come out to call President Trump a "bully" for his negotiation tactics. Bloomberg reports: Read more here. Trump order lowering tariffs on EU autos still days away: source European automakers will have to hold on a little while longer before President Trump lowers auto tariffs as EU-US negotiations continue. Reuters reports: Read more here. Alcohol groups say tariffs put $2B in sales and 25,000 jobs at risk In a letter to President Trump, a group comprising of 57 alcohol industry firms have said that Trump's tariffs of 15% on EU goods could reduce the value of alcohol sales by almost $2B and put 25,000 jobs at risk. Reuters reports: Read more here. Carney says he'll look at opportunities to remove tariffs on US Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney said that he will look to assess ways in which he can remove some counter-tariffs against the US. Carney's statement seems at odds with his earlier commitments to fight back against President Trump's trade war. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. Trump says Japan to import Ford's huge F-150 pickup trucks President Trump said that Japan has agreed to accept imports of Ford's F-150 pick up trucks. This latest news is seen as a sign that the two sides may not be on the same page when it comes to their understanding of the trade agreement reached last month. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. US investments under trade deal will be determined by benefits for Tokyo: Japan Reuters reports: Read more here. Honda Q1 operating profit halves on tariffs Shares in Honda Motor (HMC) rose 2% premarket on Wednesday after the automaker reported a 50% drop in first-quarter operating profit. A stronger yen and the impact of President Trump's tariffs took their toll, but the company raised its full-year forecast. Reuters reports: Read more here. China draws red lines on US chip tracking with Nvidia meeting China is pushing back against the US over chips despite their overall trade truce. Last week, Beijing summoned Nvidia (NVDA) staff over security concerns with H20 chips, signaling opposition to the US plans to track advanced semiconductors. Analysts view China's latest move as a warning that it will not allow the US to dominate the chip sector. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. Trump says he's readying more tariffs on Russian energy buyers Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. Canada to help lumber industry cope with US tariffs: Carney Prime Minister Mark Carney has announced that Canada will provide funds to help the lumber industry prepare for tariffs. Reuters reports: Read more here. Starbucks under pressure again as Brazilian tariffs hike coffee costs Starbucks (SBUX) may soon hike prices on its pumpkin spice lattes and bottled Frappuccinos as it faces cost pressure from the 50% tariff on Brazilian coffee imports, which takes effect on Aug. 6. Yahoo Finance's Francisco Velasquez reports: Read more here. EU continues to press for tariff exemption on wine, spirits as part of US deal The EU is pushing for its wine and spirit exports to be exempt from US tariffs, while both sides work towards refining the deal they agreed last month. The WSJ reports: Read more here. Countries push for last-minute deals as Thursday tariff deadline looms Global importers are bracing for President Trump's next tariff deadline on Thursday morning, when the president's tiered approach to tariffs is expected to take effect. Yet some of the details around trade agreements remain fuzzy. Yahoo Finance's Ben Werschkul reports: Read more here. Trump's copper tariffs apply to $15B of products so far President Trump's copper (HG=F) tariffs are due to hit imports valued at more than $15B in 2024, highlighting the potential inflationary impact on American manufacturers. Trump's unveiling of 50% import duties rattled the global copper market last week, because the US president provided a surprise exemption to key forms of wiring metal. But it still leaves significant trade volumes subject to tariffs. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. Trump threatens EU with increased tariffs if it doesn't meet investment pledge President Trump threatened to hike tariffs on the European Union back to 35% if the bloc fails to live up to a pledge to invest some $600 billion in the US. "A couple of countries came [and said], 'How come the EU is paying less than us?' And I said well, because they gave me $600 billion," Trump said during a CNBC interview. "And that's a gift, that's not like, you know, a loan," he said, claiming that the terms allow the US to direct where the EU invests. Trump says pharma duties could go to 250% President Trump said he would announce tariffs on semiconductor and pharmaceutical imports "within the next week or so." "We'll be putting a initially small tariff on pharmaceuticals, but in one year — one and a half years, maximum — it's going to go to 150%. And then it's going to go to 250%, because we want pharmaceuticals made in our country," Trump said during a CNBC interview. He said semiconductor and chip tariffs would be in a "different category." US tariff on EU goods set at flat 15% The EU said on Tuesday that European Union goods entering the US face a flat 15% tariff, including cars and car parts. The rate includes the Most Favoured Nation (MFN) tariff and won't exceed 15% even if the US raises tariffs on items like semiconductors and medicines. The EU said it still expects turbulence in its trade dealings with the US. Reuters reports: Read more here. India hits back at Trump's tariff threat India has called out President Trump after he threatened to "substantially raise" tariffs on Indian exports over its Russian oil purchases, slamming the move as unjustified. New Delhi said it would take all necessary steps to protect its economic interests. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. Nvidia partner Hon Hai's July sales growth weakened by tariffs Nvidia's (NVDA) main server assembly partner Hon Hai Precision ( reported a sales slowdown for July due to US tariffs. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. President Trump has hit India with an additional 25% tariff due to India's purchase of Russian oil. The US president threatened India with higher tariffs earlier this week, which India's Prime Minister Narendra Modi called "unjustified," also calling out the US for its double standard over Russia. In an interview with CNBC on Tuesday, Trump said that India was helping to fuel the war machine. 'They're fueling the war machine. And if they're going to do that, then I'm not going to be happy,' Trump said. In the early days of trade negotiations, relations between the US and India appeared more friendly, with both sides saying they would reach a deal within days. However, over recent months ,things seem to have turned sour as neither side can agree on some of the finer details within the deal, which concern dairy and agricultural products. As a result, a trade war seems to have developed between the two sides, and now with this additional 25% tariff gift from Trump to Modi, the two seem further away from reaching an agreement than ever before. Modi's rival blasts 'bully' Trump as public opinion hardens Rahul Gandhi, Narendra Modi's most recognizable political rival, has come out to call President Trump a "bully" for his negotiation tactics. Bloomberg reports: Read more here. Rahul Gandhi, Narendra Modi's most recognizable political rival, has come out to call President Trump a "bully" for his negotiation tactics. Bloomberg reports: Read more here. Trump order lowering tariffs on EU autos still days away: source European automakers will have to hold on a little while longer before President Trump lowers auto tariffs as EU-US negotiations continue. Reuters reports: Read more here. European automakers will have to hold on a little while longer before President Trump lowers auto tariffs as EU-US negotiations continue. Reuters reports: Read more here. Alcohol groups say tariffs put $2B in sales and 25,000 jobs at risk In a letter to President Trump, a group comprising of 57 alcohol industry firms have said that Trump's tariffs of 15% on EU goods could reduce the value of alcohol sales by almost $2B and put 25,000 jobs at risk. Reuters reports: Read more here. In a letter to President Trump, a group comprising of 57 alcohol industry firms have said that Trump's tariffs of 15% on EU goods could reduce the value of alcohol sales by almost $2B and put 25,000 jobs at risk. Reuters reports: Read more here. Carney says he'll look at opportunities to remove tariffs on US Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney said that he will look to assess ways in which he can remove some counter-tariffs against the US. Carney's statement seems at odds with his earlier commitments to fight back against President Trump's trade war. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney said that he will look to assess ways in which he can remove some counter-tariffs against the US. Carney's statement seems at odds with his earlier commitments to fight back against President Trump's trade war. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. Trump says Japan to import Ford's huge F-150 pickup trucks President Trump said that Japan has agreed to accept imports of Ford's F-150 pick up trucks. This latest news is seen as a sign that the two sides may not be on the same page when it comes to their understanding of the trade agreement reached last month. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. President Trump said that Japan has agreed to accept imports of Ford's F-150 pick up trucks. This latest news is seen as a sign that the two sides may not be on the same page when it comes to their understanding of the trade agreement reached last month. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. US investments under trade deal will be determined by benefits for Tokyo: Japan Reuters reports: Read more here. Reuters reports: Read more here. Honda Q1 operating profit halves on tariffs Shares in Honda Motor (HMC) rose 2% premarket on Wednesday after the automaker reported a 50% drop in first-quarter operating profit. A stronger yen and the impact of President Trump's tariffs took their toll, but the company raised its full-year forecast. Reuters reports: Read more here. Shares in Honda Motor (HMC) rose 2% premarket on Wednesday after the automaker reported a 50% drop in first-quarter operating profit. A stronger yen and the impact of President Trump's tariffs took their toll, but the company raised its full-year forecast. Reuters reports: Read more here. China draws red lines on US chip tracking with Nvidia meeting China is pushing back against the US over chips despite their overall trade truce. Last week, Beijing summoned Nvidia (NVDA) staff over security concerns with H20 chips, signaling opposition to the US plans to track advanced semiconductors. Analysts view China's latest move as a warning that it will not allow the US to dominate the chip sector. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. China is pushing back against the US over chips despite their overall trade truce. Last week, Beijing summoned Nvidia (NVDA) staff over security concerns with H20 chips, signaling opposition to the US plans to track advanced semiconductors. Analysts view China's latest move as a warning that it will not allow the US to dominate the chip sector. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. Trump says he's readying more tariffs on Russian energy buyers Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. Canada to help lumber industry cope with US tariffs: Carney Prime Minister Mark Carney has announced that Canada will provide funds to help the lumber industry prepare for tariffs. Reuters reports: Read more here. Prime Minister Mark Carney has announced that Canada will provide funds to help the lumber industry prepare for tariffs. Reuters reports: Read more here. Starbucks under pressure again as Brazilian tariffs hike coffee costs Starbucks (SBUX) may soon hike prices on its pumpkin spice lattes and bottled Frappuccinos as it faces cost pressure from the 50% tariff on Brazilian coffee imports, which takes effect on Aug. 6. Yahoo Finance's Francisco Velasquez reports: Read more here. Starbucks (SBUX) may soon hike prices on its pumpkin spice lattes and bottled Frappuccinos as it faces cost pressure from the 50% tariff on Brazilian coffee imports, which takes effect on Aug. 6. Yahoo Finance's Francisco Velasquez reports: Read more here. EU continues to press for tariff exemption on wine, spirits as part of US deal The EU is pushing for its wine and spirit exports to be exempt from US tariffs, while both sides work towards refining the deal they agreed last month. The WSJ reports: Read more here. The EU is pushing for its wine and spirit exports to be exempt from US tariffs, while both sides work towards refining the deal they agreed last month. The WSJ reports: Read more here. Countries push for last-minute deals as Thursday tariff deadline looms Global importers are bracing for President Trump's next tariff deadline on Thursday morning, when the president's tiered approach to tariffs is expected to take effect. Yet some of the details around trade agreements remain fuzzy. Yahoo Finance's Ben Werschkul reports: Read more here. Global importers are bracing for President Trump's next tariff deadline on Thursday morning, when the president's tiered approach to tariffs is expected to take effect. Yet some of the details around trade agreements remain fuzzy. Yahoo Finance's Ben Werschkul reports: Read more here. Trump's copper tariffs apply to $15B of products so far President Trump's copper (HG=F) tariffs are due to hit imports valued at more than $15B in 2024, highlighting the potential inflationary impact on American manufacturers. Trump's unveiling of 50% import duties rattled the global copper market last week, because the US president provided a surprise exemption to key forms of wiring metal. But it still leaves significant trade volumes subject to tariffs. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. President Trump's copper (HG=F) tariffs are due to hit imports valued at more than $15B in 2024, highlighting the potential inflationary impact on American manufacturers. Trump's unveiling of 50% import duties rattled the global copper market last week, because the US president provided a surprise exemption to key forms of wiring metal. But it still leaves significant trade volumes subject to tariffs. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. Trump threatens EU with increased tariffs if it doesn't meet investment pledge President Trump threatened to hike tariffs on the European Union back to 35% if the bloc fails to live up to a pledge to invest some $600 billion in the US. "A couple of countries came [and said], 'How come the EU is paying less than us?' And I said well, because they gave me $600 billion," Trump said during a CNBC interview. "And that's a gift, that's not like, you know, a loan," he said, claiming that the terms allow the US to direct where the EU invests. President Trump threatened to hike tariffs on the European Union back to 35% if the bloc fails to live up to a pledge to invest some $600 billion in the US. "A couple of countries came [and said], 'How come the EU is paying less than us?' And I said well, because they gave me $600 billion," Trump said during a CNBC interview. "And that's a gift, that's not like, you know, a loan," he said, claiming that the terms allow the US to direct where the EU invests. Trump says pharma duties could go to 250% President Trump said he would announce tariffs on semiconductor and pharmaceutical imports "within the next week or so." "We'll be putting a initially small tariff on pharmaceuticals, but in one year — one and a half years, maximum — it's going to go to 150%. And then it's going to go to 250%, because we want pharmaceuticals made in our country," Trump said during a CNBC interview. He said semiconductor and chip tariffs would be in a "different category." President Trump said he would announce tariffs on semiconductor and pharmaceutical imports "within the next week or so." "We'll be putting a initially small tariff on pharmaceuticals, but in one year — one and a half years, maximum — it's going to go to 150%. And then it's going to go to 250%, because we want pharmaceuticals made in our country," Trump said during a CNBC interview. He said semiconductor and chip tariffs would be in a "different category." US tariff on EU goods set at flat 15% The EU said on Tuesday that European Union goods entering the US face a flat 15% tariff, including cars and car parts. The rate includes the Most Favoured Nation (MFN) tariff and won't exceed 15% even if the US raises tariffs on items like semiconductors and medicines. The EU said it still expects turbulence in its trade dealings with the US. Reuters reports: Read more here. The EU said on Tuesday that European Union goods entering the US face a flat 15% tariff, including cars and car parts. The rate includes the Most Favoured Nation (MFN) tariff and won't exceed 15% even if the US raises tariffs on items like semiconductors and medicines. The EU said it still expects turbulence in its trade dealings with the US. Reuters reports: Read more here. India hits back at Trump's tariff threat India has called out President Trump after he threatened to "substantially raise" tariffs on Indian exports over its Russian oil purchases, slamming the move as unjustified. New Delhi said it would take all necessary steps to protect its economic interests. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. India has called out President Trump after he threatened to "substantially raise" tariffs on Indian exports over its Russian oil purchases, slamming the move as unjustified. New Delhi said it would take all necessary steps to protect its economic interests. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. Nvidia partner Hon Hai's July sales growth weakened by tariffs Nvidia's (NVDA) main server assembly partner Hon Hai Precision ( reported a sales slowdown for July due to US tariffs. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. Nvidia's (NVDA) main server assembly partner Hon Hai Precision ( reported a sales slowdown for July due to US tariffs. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
Yahoo
6 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Trump's Asia tariffs takes a massive hit on Bitcoin miners
Trump's Asia tariffs takes a massive hit on Bitcoin miners originally appeared on TheStreet. As per the latest report by The Block, President Donald Trump's latest order on global tariffs seems to be becoming a pain in the neck for the Bitcoin mining community in the U.S. As the 90-day tariff pause deadline neared, Trump announced a slew of new global tariff rates on July 31. Among the worst-hit are the key centers of mining rig manufacturing in Southeast Asia. For those unfamiliar, crypto mining is the process of using high-tech hardware to validate and secure transactions on a blockchain network. Ethan Vera, the COO of a Bitcoin mining technology and services company, Luxor Technology, shared a document with The Block as per which the latest directive imposes 21.6% tariffs, including a 19% "reciprocal tariff," on imports of application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs) from Indonesia, Malaysia, and Thailand beginning Aug. are chips that are designed to execute a specific task extremely efficiently such as crypto mining, as opposed to general-purpose processors like central processing units (CPUs) or graphics processing units (GPUs). As per the report, U.S. tariffs on imports from China, a major hub of mining rig manufacturing, stand at a staggering 57.6%, which includes a 10% baseline reciprocal tariff and an additional country‑specific tariff of 20%. Anyway, the tariff pause deadline between the two countries is set to expire on Aug. 12, and there has been no breakthrough so far. While still lower than earlier rates, the current tariffs are significantly higher than the 2.6% tariffs on ASICs imported from the Southeast Asian countries before Trump's second term. However, Chinese machines even earlier used to face an additional 25% ad valorem said, "At 21.6% tariffs, the U.S. is now one of the least competitive jurisdictions to bring machines in, and miners are looking at Canada and other markets to expand too." Opportunity for domestic manufacturers However, the new trade conditions could also lead to a rise in the prices of U.S.-based used ASIC machines in the face of high tariffs on imported rigs, he explained. Though Luxor is excited about the production of mining rigs in the U.S., it warned fully onshoring the manufacturing could take years because most of the raw materials are still imported from Asia. The mining company expected the Trump administration to exempt the mining equipment from tariff hikes in order to encourage the domestic crypto industry. Trump's Asia tariffs takes a massive hit on Bitcoin miners first appeared on TheStreet on Aug 6, 2025 This story was originally reported by TheStreet on Aug 6, 2025, where it first appeared.
Yahoo
6 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Is the US headed toward a recession? Experts weigh in
A weak jobs report in recent days raised alarm among some analysts that the U.S. economy may be slipping toward a recession. Hiring slowed sharply over the summer, federal government data showed. The jobs report came days after fresh gross domestic product data indicated average annualized growth of 1.2% over the first half of 2025, well below 2.8% growth last year. Analysts who spoke to ABC News said the economy could dip into a downturn but the outlook remains uncertain. They differed sharply on the likelihood of a recession, ranging from dire warnings to skepticism about whether the recent data suggests significant cause for concern. "It's too early to see whether this is a trend," Harry Holzer, a professor of economics at Georgetown University and a fellow at the Brookings Institution, told ABC News. "The likelihood of a recession went up because of these job numbers, but it could be a one-time adjustment or a bump down that avoids negative growth." The economy added an average of about 35,000 jobs over three months ending in July, which marks a major slowdown from roughly 128,000 jobs added monthly over the prior three months, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics data on Friday showed. Employers are hiring at their slowest pace since 2020. Hours after the release of the report on Friday, President Donald Trump fired BLS Commissioner Erika McEntarfer, an appointee of former President Joe Biden who was confirmed by a bipartisan vote in the Senate in 2024. In a social media post, Trump volleyed sharp criticism and baseless accusations at McEntarfer, claiming without evidence that the data had been "manipulated." The jobs report featured revisions of previous months' data, which is a routine practice. McEntarfer did not immediately reply to ABC News' request for comment. "It has been the honor of my life to serve as Commissioner of BLS alongside the many dedicated civil servants tasked with measuring a vast and dynamic economy," McEntarfer said in a social media post after her dismissal. "It is vital and important work and I thank them for their service to this nation." William Beach, a former commissioner of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, who was appointed by Trump, condemned the firing of McEntarfer. "The totally groundless firing of Dr. Erika McEntarfer, my successor as Commissioner of Labor Statistics at BLS, sets a dangerous precedent and undermines the statistical mission of the Bureau,' Beach posted on X. Trump, meanwhile, touted his economic performance in a social media post: "The Economy is BOOMING under 'TRUMP' despite a Fed that also plays games, this time with Interest Rates." Some analysts disagreed. The hiring cooldown hit a wide swath of industries, including manufacturing and the federal government. The overall unemployment rate of 4.2% continued to hover near a historically low level, but unemployment rose among Black workers, which can foretell job losses among other groups. "The risks are increasingly high that we're going into recession," Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics, told ABC News. "We're not there yet – and maybe this thing gets turned around. But that's increasingly becoming hard to do with each passing week." Zandi largely faulted the rollout of Trump's tariffs for the apparent cooldown. In recent months, Trump has imposed a slew of far-reaching levies on dozens of countries and some specific products, such as steel, aluminum and cars. Tariffs place a tax burden on importers, raising their costs and risking elevated prices for consumers, Zandi said. "Tariffs weigh on economic growth," Zandi added. The Trump administration has touted tariffs as part of a wider set of "America First economic policies," which have "sparked trillions of dollars in new investment in U.S. manufacturing, technology, and infrastructure," according to the White House's website. The economy would likely need to slow further to be considered a recession. Many observers define a recession through the shorthand metric of two consecutive quarters of decline in a nation's inflation-adjusted gross domestic product. The National Bureau of Economic Research, or NBER, a research organization seen as an authority on measuring economic performance, uses a more complicated definition that takes into account several indicators that must convey "a significant decline in economic activity spread across the economy, lasting more than a few months," the group says. While acknowledging the tepid numbers, other analysts said warnings about a recession are premature. The economy has largely averted the type of widespread job losses that often accompany a recession. Consumer spending, which accounts for about two-thirds of economic activity, ticked higher over three months ending in June. Corporate earnings have remained robust. The jobs report sent stocks tumbling but markets have since recovered. "It seems to me people are anchoring on the jobs report and using it to telegraph a recession. I'm not sure it does that," Mark Blyth, a professor of political economy at Brown University, told ABC News. "Nobody knows and everybody is doing wish fulfillment," Blyth added. "If you don't like the administration's policies, you're willing it to be a recession and if you like them, you're saying, 'no.'" MORE: What $4 trillion in debt from Trump's spending measure could mean for future generations To be sure, recession forecasts are hardly bulletproof. A surge of inflation in 2021 -- and an interest-rate hike soon afterward -- unleashed a flood of recession warnings, but no downturn came to pass. More recently, Wall Street banks predicted a possible recession after Trump's "Liberation Day" tariff announcement, before pulling back their assessments after Trump dialed back the levies. "Recessions tend to be unforecastable," Claudia Sahm, chief economist at New Century Advisors and a former Fed official, told ABC News. "Often there's an event that causes people to lose confidence, change behavior and start a downward spiral. Those events are very hard to predict." Still, Sahm added, the available data indicates a weakened economy. "A slow-growing economy is not a good economy," Sahm said. "We want to avoid a recession but avoiding a recession is a low bar. We want an economy that's better than that." 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