logo
China Slaps 125% Tariff on US Imports; Treasury Sell Off Deepens

China Slaps 125% Tariff on US Imports; Treasury Sell Off Deepens

Bloomberg11-04-2025

The dollar extends its slide lower as treasuries sell off amid further escalation in the US-China trade war. China says it will ignore further US trade war escalation after it raises its tariff on US imports to 125%. Mark Haefele of UBS sees the ongoing uncertainty putting a bid on gold. Cayla Seder of State Street points to software and healthcare as haven equities. 'Bloomberg Brief' delivers the market news, data and analysis you need to set your agenda. (Source: Bloomberg)

Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

Fed on Hold Leaves Wall Street Asking What It Will Take to Cut Interest Rates
Fed on Hold Leaves Wall Street Asking What It Will Take to Cut Interest Rates

Yahoo

time17 minutes ago

  • Yahoo

Fed on Hold Leaves Wall Street Asking What It Will Take to Cut Interest Rates

(Bloomberg) -- With Federal Reserve officials signaling an extended hold on interest rates, investors and economists will look to Chair Jerome Powell this week for clues on what might eventually prompt the central bank to make a move, and when. Shuttered NY College Has Alumni Fighting Over Its Future As Part of a $45 Billion Push, ICE Prepares for a Vast Expansion of Detention Space Do World's Fairs Still Matter? NYC Renters Brace for Price Hikes After Broker-Fee Ban As American Architects Gather in Boston, Retrofits Are All the Rage A fourth straight meeting without a cut could provoke another tirade from President Donald Trump. But policymakers have been clear: Before they can make a move they need the White House to resolve the big question marks around tariffs, immigration and taxes. Israel's attacks on Iranian nuclear sites have also introduced another element of uncertainty for the global economy. At the same time, the generally healthy, if slowly cooling, US economy has few expecting a rate move any time soon. Investors are betting the central bank won't lower borrowing costs until September at the earliest, according to pricing in futures contracts. 'The safest path to take in that situation, when there is no urgency to cut rates right now, is to just sit on your hands,' said Seema Shah, chief global strategist at Principal Asset Management. Policymakers gather June 17-18. They'll release a statement at 2:00 PM Washington time, and Powell is scheduled to take questions from reporters 30 minutes later. Difficult Choices The president's tariffs are widely expected to raise prices and slow growth, risks that officials flagged in their last post-meeting statement. That could eventually force the Fed to make a difficult choice as the economy pulls them in opposite directions. 'I don't think at this point there's anything to be alarmed about,' said David Hoag, fixed income portfolio manager at Capital Group. 'But the longer we have uncertainty — for the consumer, for companies in terms of planning — the more concerned I'll get about the fundamentals of the economy deteriorating.' So far, however, the economy isn't flashing warning signs that would prompt the Fed to intervene. The unemployment rate has held steady for three months even as job growth has slowed, in part because a sharp decline in immigration is also lowering the supply of workers. The longer the jobless rate remains stable, the longer the Fed can hold rates as a defense against potentially higher inflation. Yet price data has also provided little to worry about. Underlying inflation rose by less than expected in May for the fourth straight month. Treasuries rose last week on the news, bolstered by wagers on more than one rate cut this year. The yield on two-year notes, most sensitive to the Fed's policy, declined by more than seven basis points on the week to 3.96%. Still, officials are likely to wait for additional months of data to understand how much of the tariffs are being passed on to consumers. Israel's airstrikes on Iran will raise additional questions. Fed officials traditionally look through energy price moves, but an oil price shock could affect inflation expectations. Fresh Projections Fresh economic forecasts and rate projections this week could provide helpful guidance to how officials are thinking. They'll be the first since Trump's 'Liberation Day' announcement of sweeping tariffs on April 2. As analysts ponder the results, the range of possibilities is unusually large. If officials predict that unemployment will rise this year meaningfully above the 4.4% they forecast in March, that would suggest policymakers may cut rates before the fourth quarter, said Shah. Some Fed officials, including Governor Christopher Waller, have already signaled an openness to cutting because they believe policymakers can view the expected impact of tariffs on consumer prices as temporary — as long as inflation expectations remain anchored. That aligns with market-based measures suggesting traders also believe the tariff price bump will be short-lived. But should officials raise their expectations for inflation, that could reduce the number of cuts they project this year to one, from the two seen in March, said Matthew Luzzetti, chief US economist for Deutsche Bank. Strategists at Barclays warned of just such a 'hawkish' surprise in a note to clients. Officials might also consider the substantial uncertainty over the final state of Trump's policies and simply leave their projections unchanged. 'I'd be surprised if the dots move much,' said Zachary Griffiths head of investment-grade and macroeconomic strategy at CreditSights. 'It's been a roller-coaster ride' since the Fed last released projections in March. 'On net, I think we're probably in a somewhat similar situation,' he said. Late Support Some economists say the timing of the Fed's next moves will eventually come down to how long it takes for Trump's policies to show up in the economic data — and how strongly that raises concerns about a downturn. In a Bloomberg survey of economists conducted June 6-11, 42% of respondents predicted the Fed will hold rates steady until there's more concrete weakness in the economy. Julia Coronado, founder of the research firm MacroPolicy Perspectives and a former Fed economist, said she expects rate cuts beginning in October or December in response to the more notable labor-market slowdown she estimates will materialize by then. --With assistance from Amara Omeokwe. American Mid: Hampton Inn's Good-Enough Formula for World Domination The Spying Scandal Rocking the World of HR Software New Grads Join Worst Entry-Level Job Market in Years As Companies Abandon Climate Pledges, Is There a Silver Lining? US Tariffs Threaten to Derail Vietnam's Historic Industrial Boom ©2025 Bloomberg L.P.

Taiwan places export controls on Huawei and SMIC
Taiwan places export controls on Huawei and SMIC

Yahoo

time24 minutes ago

  • Yahoo

Taiwan places export controls on Huawei and SMIC

Chinese companies Huawei and SMIC may have a difficult time accessing resources needed to build AI chips, due to Taiwanese export controls. Bloomberg reports that Taiwan's International Trade Administration placed the two companies and their subsidiaries on an updated list of entities designated as strategic high-tech commodities. That means Taiwanese businesses will need government approval before they can ship anything to either company. As a result, Huawei and SMIC will lose access to Taiwan's plant construction technologies, materials, and equipment, potentially setting back China's efforts to develop new AI semiconductors, Bloomberg says. 'On June 10, we added some 601 entities from Russia, Pakistan, Iran, Myanmar and mainland China including Huawei and SMIC to the entity list to combat arms proliferation and address other national security concerns,' the trade administration said in a statement.

Taiwan places export controls on Huawei and SMIC
Taiwan places export controls on Huawei and SMIC

TechCrunch

timean hour ago

  • TechCrunch

Taiwan places export controls on Huawei and SMIC

In Brief Chinese companies Huawei and SMIC may have a difficult time accessing resources needed to build AI chips, due to Taiwanese export controls. Bloomberg reports that Taiwan's International Trade Administration placed the two companies and their subsidiaries on an updated list of entities designated as strategic high-tech commodities. That means Taiwanese businesses will need government approval before they can ship anything to either company. As a result, Huawei and SMIC will lose access to Taiwan's plant construction technologies, materials, and equipment, potentially setting back China's efforts to develop new AI semiconductors, Bloomberg says. 'On June 10, we added some 601 entities from Russia, Pakistan, Iran, Myanmar and mainland China including Huawei and SMIC to the entity list to combat arms proliferation and address other national security concerns,' the trade administration said in a statement.

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into the world of global news and events? Download our app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store