Yankees vs. Red Sox prediction: MLB picks, best bet for Saturday

New York Post

9 hours ago

Gambling content 21+. The New York Post may receive an affiliate commission if you sign up through our links. Read our editorial standards for more information.
Garrett Crochet looks like he is the next great pitcher in the major leagues, and he gets his first taste of the Red Sox-Yankees rivalry on Saturday night.
In a primetime affair on Fox, the Red Sox opened as favorites to win the game, with the Yankees sitting as slight underdogs with Ryan Yarbrough on the hill.
Crochet has been utterly dominant for the Red Sox in one of their few bright spots during a disappointing season.
Crochet is among the Cy Young favorites in the American League, coming in with a 1.98 ERA and a 5-4 record with 101 strikeouts in just 82 innings pitched.
He's been superb for a disappointing Red Sox team that has a team total ERA of four (11th worst in baseball).
Whether Crochet can actually help the Red Sox snag a win on Saturday will likely depend on how deep he can pitch into Saturday night.
New York Yankees pitcher Ryan Yarbrough has been strong since being called on in the rotation.
AP
Fangraphs projects that the Red Sox have been a bit unlucky to be sitting at 30-34 through 64 games this year, but they also aren't expecting a big change for the last 98 games, as they project Boston to go 49-49 the rest of the way.
A 79-83 record is not what manager Alex Cora was expecting coming into this season after they landed difference-making pitcher Crochet along with Walker Buehler and third baseman Alex Bregman.
Up to this point, they are scoring 4.73 runs per game, the sixth-best mark in all of baseball, but are also allowing 4.53 per game, which is the eighth worst.
They should win just about every start that Crochet plays in, but they are just 7-6 in his starts this season.
Learn all you need to know about MLB Betting
Given Crochet's and Yarbrough's (2.82 ERA) strong starts to the season, I'll take the total going under this Saturday.
PICK: Under 8 (-110)
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. During the football season he's showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons. While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022.