Latest fear Shohei Ohtani is triggering for opponents: Blasting first pitches
CLEVELAND — The Cleveland Guardians welcomed the Los Angeles Dodgers for three games at Progressive Field, a midweek clash between two franchises that have achieved success via drastically different means over the past decade. The series offered a contrast between the star-powered juggernaut Dodgers and a Guardians team that has become remarkably good at following less predictable paths to victory.
Los Angeles arrived in northeast Ohio after dropping a series in New York to a fellow financial behemoth in the Mets, but quickly recaptured momentum with a couple of commanding victories over Cleveland on Monday (7-2) and Tuesday (9-5). The Guardians were coming off an impressive series victory over the divisional rival Tigers in Detroit, albeit one that concluded with a complete offensive outage against ace Tarik Skubal on Sunday.
Cleveland's series against L.A. was sequenced much differently, with a quiet first couple of games before exploding late in the series finale for a rousing 7-4 comeback victory to avoid the sweep.
Here are four major takeaways from this week's three-game set:
Ohtani homered in the first two games of the series, becoming the first MLB hitter to reach 20 home runs this season. Seeing Ohtani atop the dinger leaderboard is nothing new, but let's not gloss over his homer heroics too quickly — he has actually leveled up his power stroke relative to recent seasons.
Here's how many homers Ohtani had through his team's first 56 games since his first MVP year in 2021:
2021: 15
2022: 11
2023: 13
2024: 13
2025: 20
After hitting a career-high 54 home runs last year, Ohtani is currently on pace to approach 60 — all while working his way back toward his highly-anticipated return to pitching.
Both of Ohtani's home runs this week came on the first pitch of the at-bat. On Monday, Guardians starter Gavin Williams failed to execute the outside fastball catcher Bo Naylor set up for on the first offering of the game, letting the pitch float into what manager Dave Roberts described as Ohtani's 'nitro zone' and predictably paid the price. Ohtani torched the ball 115.5 mph to right field, clearing the wall in a blink. On Tuesday, after striking out looking against Tanner Bibee in his first at-bat and getting intentionally walked in his second plate appearance, Ohtani jumped on a first-pitch cutter in the fourth inning, sending a soaring fly ball to left that barely cleared the 19-foot wall for a two-run homer to give the Dodgers a 4-0 lead. It wasn't quite the screaming line drive no-doubter he hit Monday, but Ohtani's otherworldly strength enabled just enough distance for the ball to collect his 20th homer of the season.
"He basically mis-hits a fly ball … and it still goes out,' Max Muncy said in marvel afterward. 'He does stuff that no normal human being can do, and it's really fun to watch.'
While Ohtani's six first-pitch homers are tied with Seattle's Cal Raleigh for second-most in MLB behind only Aaron Judge (7), these early hacks are actually a departure from how he has treated first pitches this season. Ohtani has swung at just 28.7% of first pitches, a tick below the league-average mark of 30%. This is also a notable change from how aggressive Ohtani has been in recent years: He swung at 39.1% of first pitches in 2024, tied for 23rd-highest rate among 131 qualified batters and his first-pitch swing percentage has hovered around 40% in every season since 2021 until this year. Let's keep an eye on how this number trends over the course of the season; perhaps his first-pitch-swinging success in Cleveland portends more ambushing in the near future. Pitchers, beware.
Ramírez continues to cruise along as one of the sport's best all-around players, and is firmly on track for another strong finish in the AL MVP balloting, where he has placed in the top-6 six different times during his career. The switch-hitting Ramírez collected six more hits against the Dodgers, moving him into sole possession of seventh place on the franchise's all-time hits list with 1,564.
Three of Ramírez's hits against the Dodgers came against left-handers, a continuation of a spectacular run of excellence from that side for Ramírez dating back to last season when he hit a career-best .348/.385/.695 in 179 plate appearances batting righty. This year, Ramírez is hitting a ridiculous .426 batting right-handed in 54 plate appearances.
'Hosey is one of the best hitters in the world,' Guardians manager Stephen Vogt said about the face of the franchise. 'Righty Hosey is the best hitter in the world. So it's not surprising.'
No franchise has prioritized the acquisition and development of switch-hitters as much as Cleveland in recent years, with Ramírez the most prominent success story among many. The return of Carlos Santana to the organization gives the Guardians two of the most accomplished switch-hitters of this generation, both of whom hail from the Dominican Republic. It's no surprise then that 23-year-old Angel Martínez, another switch-hitting Dominican in the earliest stages of his career, has benefitted greatly from sharing a clubhouse with Ramírez and Santana.
'I feel it's a privilege to be able to see them on a daily basis,' said Martínez through interpreter Agustin Rivero after Wednesday's game in which he hit the go-ahead three-run home run off Dodgers lefty reliever Alex Vesia in the bottom of the eighth inning. It was Martínez's first home run batting right-handed in the big leagues. 'The right side is a little difficult for me because I don't see as many pitches as I would like to, so I always have to keep my swing a little bit simple and not look for power. I just try to put the ball in play, so [it was] very lucky that today we got the result we got.'
As Martínez continues to develop as a versatile piece within Cleveland's position player group, he's eager to keep learning from two of the best possible mentors that he gets to call teammates.
'Not only seeing how they play the game, but also how they prepare, how they go about their routines and most importantly that they allow me to be close to them and ask them questions,' Martínez said. 'At the same time, they motivate me. They help me when they see things during the game. That has helped me a lot, especially hitting from both sides.'
It feels strange to call the outstanding campaign currently in progress for the Dodgers backstop a 'breakout' considering what he has already accomplished in his career, but Smith's offensive production through the first two months should not go overlooked. For years, Smith's performance at the plate has impressed particularly in relation to his position, as it's rare for catchers to hit at an above-average level on a yearly basis due to the grueling physical demands of playing behind the plate in the big leagues. But right now, Smith's bat doesn't just stand out relative to his positional peers — he's been one of the best hitters in the league, full stop.
With a home run and two walks Monday plus two more hits Wednesday, Smith's wRC+ soared to a career-best 177, which ranks sixth in MLB and not far behind his MVP teammates Ohtani and Freddie Freeman.
'He's swinging the bat great,' Roberts said. 'He's all around playing good baseball. He controls the hitting zone. He's sound mechanically, and he's strong and fresh ... When he's not going well, the bat is a little slower and isn't able to pull the ball in the air. I think right now, he's hitting to all fields. And I just think he's physically in a good place.'
'Will is an incredible hitter,' Freeman added. 'He's been doing that for the last few years — it's been back-to-back All-Star [appearances]. Now it's more of, 'how can we keep him fresh?' Being a catcher in this game is hard, it really is. And it takes a toll on you later on in the season.'
It's not an accident that the Dodgers are stressing the importance of finding ways to keep Smith at his best over the course of 162 games and beyond. A frustrating theme in recent years has been Smith's production peaking in the early months but waning dramatically down the stretch and into October. In 2023, Smith had a .957 OPS through the end of May but a .729 OPS the rest of the way. Last season, Smith was terrific in April (.946 OPS) but faded again as the season progressed, with Smith notably struggling in October (.568 OPS) amid the team's World Series run.
The challenge this year is to avoid a similar trajectory. Early returns have been encouraging, but there's a lot of baseball ahead.
'He's hitting balls in the zone considerably better than he did in the second half of last year,' Roberts said. 'I know he's healthy. I think we're doing a good job of managing his workload.'
The recent decision to promote top prospect Dalton Rushing and release longtime catching cog Austin Barnes should help in the Smith conservation efforts. Rushing provides a much more potent offensive option than Barnes at the position 1-2 times a week while also getting vital reps as a defender that can help him develop into a more reliable regular option in the years ahead. Most teams can't afford to take a bat of Smith's caliber out of the lineup so frequently, but the Dodgers have plenty of other firepower to turn to on Smith's off days. That was on display in Tuesday's victory, as L.A. scored nine runs on 13 hits with Rushing in the lineup instead of Smith.
'Hopefully we can keep him a little bit more fresh because this is who Will Smith is,' Freeman said. 'He's a great hitter and obviously a great catcher. So if we can keep him fresh, we can keep this going all season.'
With left-hander Clayton Kershaw on the mound, lefty-swinging Guardians outfielder Nolan Jones wasn't expecting to get into the game until the later innings Wednesday. Jones, who has struggled immensely in his return to the organization that drafted him after being re-acquired from the Rockies in March, had received just 18 plate appearances against southpaws this season. With that lack of production in mind, Jones did not anticipate being called upon until a possible pinch-hit situation against a right-hander later in the game. But when All-Star left fielder Steven Kwan exited after three innings due to right wrist inflammation (Vogt said postgame the injury is not considered serious), Jones was pressed into action — and responded remarkably well.
Having entered Wednesday without a single hit against a lefty all season, Jones collected a hit against Kershaw in the fifth inning and then later added another knock against a formidable lefty in reliever Tanner Scott, a game-tying, two-run single to left field to sustain Cleveland's exciting five-run eighth inning to seize the lead.
'It kind of turned out to be a blessing in disguise for me today that I was not in the lineup and got thrown in there because I was prepared, but not as prepared as I would've been had my name been in the lineup,' Jones said, suggesting that the sudden nature of his entrance into the game simplified his approach into just competing rather than overloading on information and preparation. 'I felt like it just slowed things down for me a little bit.'
It's unlikely Jones' success Wednesday is going to immediately translate to more opportunities against lefties. But for a Guardians offense starving for more production from the non-Ramírez and Kwan hitters, Jones finding his footing and re-accessing the talent that made him one of baseball's best rookies in 2023 would be a massive development for Cleveland in its efforts to keep up in the AL Central race.
'I think the hardest thing is to believe you belong in the big leagues,' Jones said. 'And I've been really good in the big leagues, and so I'm able to put my trust in that and continue working. And these coaches have done a really great job of giving me the confidence that they believe in me and working with me through the really, really tough start that I've had. And I think that goes a long way.'

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles


New York Times
an hour ago
- New York Times
Presenting the Guardians' All-Quarter Century Team, the best in Cleveland since 2000
Editor's note: The Athletic is marking 2025 by naming an MLB All-Quarter Century Team, selected by Jayson Stark. We invited readers to take our survey and make their picks for the best players at each position since 2000, with the results announced in an upcoming story. Some of our beat writers are picking All-Quarter Century Teams for the teams they cover. Check this page to find all of our All-Quarter Century Team coverage. Advertisement CLEVELAND — An exercise like this tends to spark debate, but in sifting through the names and numbers of Cleveland's finest over the past quarter-century, one thing became apparent: This one's pretty straightforward. There was a brief internal debate over a couple of spots, but for the most part, the answers were obvious. The choices highlight the different eras of Cleveland baseball since 2000, from the twilight of the powerhouse '90s teams to the up-and-down Eric Wedge tenure to the lean years under Manny Acta and the Terry Francona days. There are Hall of Famers, elite talents with unparalleled peaks and future Hall of Famers on this roster. There's also Casey Blake. Without further ado … Stats: .297/.369/.463, 103 home runs, 18.2 fWAR from 2002-09 Martinez cried when Cleveland traded him to Boston in 2009. He can take solace, 16 years later, in the fact that he spent enough time with the franchise — and supplied ample oomph in the middle of Eric Wedge's lineups — to land the starting catching spot on the All-Quarter-Century Team. He was a three-time All-Star with the Indians, a switch-hitting catcher with a smooth swing that usually produced a .300 average, 20-some homers and 30-some doubles. Stats: .288/.418/.602, 141 home runs, 17.6 fWAR from 2000-02, 2011 There's an argument to be made for Carlos Santana, if you prefer longevity over peak, since this exercise limits Thome to his final three seasons in Cleveland (well, and that five-week stretch at the end of the 2011 season, when his back was being held together with toothpicks and Elmer's glue). Consider those three seasons for Thome, though, and try to argue against him occupying this space. 2000: .269/.398/.531 slash line, 37 homers, 33 doubles, 118 walks (132 OPS+) 2001: .291/.416/.624 slash line, 49 homers, 26 doubles, 111 walks (170 OPS+) 2002: .304/.445/.677 slash line, 52 homers, 19 doubles, 122 walks (197 OPS+) Advertisement That 2002 season, his last before he left for Philadelphia, is one of the best offensive showings in team history. Yeah, every hitter put up gaudy statistics in those years. But the OPS+ indicates Thome was still head and shoulders above most of his peers. Santana's best OPS+ in a full season is 136. Thome's 52 homers are a single-season record for a Cleveland hitter. That year, he led the AL in walks, slugging and OPS. Stats: .261/.333/.417, 123 homers, 20.5 fWAR from 2011-19 Asdrubal Cabrera has a case to start here, too. Their numbers are nearly identical (Cabrera's slash line was .270/.331/.410), and both were twice All-Stars, but we'll give the nod to the guy who spent far more time at second base. José Ramírez is riding a 21-game hitting streak, and it's the first 20-gamer by a Cleveland player in a decade, since … Jerry Sands. Just kidding. Kipnis went bonkers at the plate in the first half of the 2015 season, with 51 hits in May and a 20-game streak in June. Stats: .285/.346/.488, 138 homers, 30.6 fWAR from 2015-20 Lindor ranks second, behind his former partner on the left side of the infield, in fWAR among position players since 2000. In Cleveland, Lindor was a four-time All-Star, a two-time Gold Glove Award winner and a shortstop who always seemed destined for the spotlight of a big market. Stats: .280/.353/.505, 264 homers, 53.5 fWAR from 2013-25 By the end of next season, he might have twice the fWAR total of any other position player on this list. By the end of his career, he could be the franchise leader in home runs, RBIs, doubles, hits, runs and airborne helmets. You know, just as everyone predicted when he broke into the big leagues as a pinch-running specialist and then struggled at the plate for two seasons. Advertisement Stats: .295/.351/.430, 87 homers, 20.0 fWAR from 2009-18 The final piece in the return for CC Sabathia, Brantley sprouted into a hitting savant who could roll out of bed and bat .300. If he wasn't sidelined with a shoulder injury in 2016, would Cleveland have topped the Cubs in the World Series? Brantley was a three-time All-Star and finished third in the AL MVP balloting in 2014, when he posted a .327/.385/.506 slash line with 20 homers, 45 doubles and 200 hits, the only 200-hit season by a Cleveland batter since 1997. Stats: .269/.357/.473, 139 homers, 30.3 fWAR from 2004-11 Oh, what could have been. From 2005-08, Sizemore was a five-tool center fielder who hit homers, piled up doubles, drew walks, swiped bases and played award-winning defense. He was a treat to watch. And then injuries derailed his career. That peak is enough to earn him a starting spot in this lineup, but when Sizemore's name is mentioned, it's hard to resist wondering what sort of numbers he might have produced had he stayed healthy. Stats: .292/.383/.469, 83 homers, 20.4 fWAR from 2006-12 There's not a ton of competition here. Manny Ramirez left after the 2000 season. Juan Gonzalez starred for only one year in right. On the fWAR leaderboard for Cleveland right fielders this century, Casey Blake and Lonnie Chisenhall follow Choo. Then, Ramirez and Gonzalez for their lone seasons. Next on the list? Franklin Gutierrez. Stats: .278/.382/.509, 200 homers, 22.3 fWAR from 2002-12 Hafner hit in the center of Cleveland's lineups for a long time, but let's zero in on his peak, because, frankly, he doesn't receive enough attention. MLB's OPS leaders, 2004-06: 1. Barry Bonds: 1.213 2. Albert Pujols: 1.070 3. Travis Hafner: 1.030 Advertisement So, that's maybe the most prolific hitter of all time, then the most prolific hitter of a generation and then unquestionably the most prolific hitter to be nicknamed Pronk. That three-year run did the heavy lifting for Hafner's career, as shoulder issues sent him spiraling, but what a glorious reign that was. 2004: .311/.410/.583, 28 homers, 41 doubles 2005: .305/.408/.595, 33 homers, 42 doubles 2006: .308/.439/.659, 42 homers, 31 doubles Santana, Cabrera and Gomes are locks, because of their longevity and production and because, on this make-believe roster, they actually fit specific roles. That leaves one spot for a host of candidates. We'll tab Blake, who was better than you think (.266/.337/.451 slash line, with defensive versatility), but Steven Kwan could very well be the answer in a couple of years … or weeks. Imagine that pestering bat off the bench. (Oh, and his Gold Glove defense.) Jhonny Peralta, Coco Crisp, Ellis Burks and Edwin Encarnacion received consideration, too. Stats: 3.16 ERA in 1,341 2/3 innings, 34.6 fWAR from 2011-19 The ace of this staff is the only guy in team history with two Cy Young Awards. In terms of overall franchise lore, he might be the only pitcher in Bob Feller's stratosphere. If Game 7 of the 2016 World Series unfolded differently, there would probably already be a statue of Kluber looking out at traffic on E. 9th Street with the same unflinching, stoic gaze he offered every time he took the mound (or spoke with reporters). During his five-year peak from 2014-18, he and Max Scherzer were in their own league, in terms of workload and effectiveness. Stats: 3.83 ERA in 1,528 2/3 innings, 30.2 fWAR from 2001-08 Sabathia is entering the Baseball Hall of Fame this summer as a New York Yankee, but the first chapter of his big-league career should be studied, not skimmed. He won the AL Cy Young Award in 2007, was a three-time All-Star and, for seven and a half years, he was a workhorse who rarely missed a start. He has stressed how much he regrets pitching poorly during the 2007 postseason. Advertisement Stats: 4.01 ERA in 1,117 innings, 19.0 fWAR from 2002-09 Lee had his moments outside of the 2008 season — he finished fourth in the AL Cy Young Award voting in 2005 — but that award-winning 2008 campaign was a masterpiece. He walked more than two hitters in only three of 31 starts. He allowed more than two earned runs in only nine of 31 starts. He went at least six innings in all but four starts (and lasted at least five in every one). He never finished a start with a season ERA higher than 2.58. Stats: 3.22 ERA in 843 innings, 21.5 fWAR from 2018-24 And, finally, it's the fourth Cy Young Award winner of the century, and the fifth winner coached by Carl Willis. There's still time for Bieber to pad his Cleveland résumé, one that shines even though he's missed significant chunks of three of the past four seasons because of injuries. Bieber is the only All-Star Game MVP on this team. Stats: 3.91 ERA in 1,346 innings, 25.3 fWAR from 2009-20, 2024 Only Sabathia made more starts or piled up more innings than Carrasco, who emerged — after a few years of inconsistency and injuries — as the centerpiece of the Lee trade. From 2014-18, he was a steady Robin to Kluber's Batman. Stats: 1.82 ERA in 312 innings, 9.0 fWAR from 2021-25 There are a few options here, but we have to go with the guy who became the club's all-time saves leader at the age of 26. Clase had a 1.36 ERA in 2022, and that's his third-best ERA in his four full seasons in Cleveland. He has led the American League in saves each of the past three years and even with some early-season struggles in 2025, he still boasts a sub-2.00 ERA in his career. Miller was only in Cleveland for two and a half years, but it only took two and a half months for him to leave a lasting impact on the organization. His performance in the 2016 postseason was the stuff of legend, a 6-foot-7, slider-slinging android sent from Planet Whiff to destroy every hitter in his path. And he'd be the first to tell you that his dominance that October was made possible because of Allen's ability to cover the ninth (and sometimes the eighth). Betancourt and Rafael Perez formed a dynamic late-inning tandem for Eric Wedge. Wickman and Chris Perez often made the ninth inning a recovering smoker's nightmare, but they do rank third and fifth, respectively, on the team's all-time saves list. Speaking of stress-inducing relievers, Bryan Shaw totaled six seasons with an ERA between 2.59 and 3.52. Honorable mention to David Riske, Vinnie Pestano, Brad Hand, Paul Shuey and, eventually, I'm sure, Cade Smith. (Top photo of Jim Thome: Getty Images)


New York Times
an hour ago
- New York Times
Retaking the 5th: Dodgers, Yankees recount the inning that swung the World Series
A popular car decal around Los Angeles offers its own version of sticker shock. It still sells for a mere $7.49 on Etsy and depicts a graphic from the Fox broadcast that sets the stage: Yankees 5, Dodgers 0, fifth inning, bases loaded, two outs. That's the moment from Game 5 of last year's World Series when everything went right for the Los Angeles Dodgers. And so wretchedly, hauntingly wrong for the New York Yankees. Advertisement Freddie Freeman has seen the '5-0' stickers on cars around Southern California, and they put a smile on his face every time. 'It's just like when the Falcons lost (the) 28-3 (lead),' the Dodgers first baseman said, referring to how Atlanta squandered a late lead as the New England Patriots roared back to win Super Bowl 51. Freeman's heroics throughout the series earned him World Series MVP honors. As memorable as anything was the comeback from down 5-0. 'It seems like that number has lived on forever,' he continued. 'I don't care what lives on. We won. That's all that matters, you know?' For Aaron Judge and the Yankees, it's more of a sticking point. The Dodgers broke through against Gerrit Cole to tie the score in the fifth inning, overcame another deficit and captured the World Series trophy behind a 7-6 victory. 'A lot of things didn't go our way in that inning,' Judge said. 'You get over it,' Yankees shortstop Anthony Volpe said, 'and you don't get over it.' The memories remain fresh, as The Athletic discovered by speaking with several current and former players and coaches from both sides. As the Yankees head to Dodger Stadium for a World Series rematch on Friday, here are their thoughts – in their own words – on a wild night at Yankee Stadium: Freeman's walk-off grand slam in Game 1 of the World Series had been the defining play of the Dodgers' 3-0 start in the series, but the Yankees' big bats, including Judge, the eventual AL MVP, had shown signs of life in a Game 4 win. That continued in the first inning of Game 5 as Judge's two-run home run got the Yankees going against Dodgers starter Jack Flaherty. More than anything, Cole looked like vintage Cole. The 2023 AL Cy Young winner did not allow a hit through four innings as New York jumped out to that 5-0 lead. Kiké Hernández led off the inning with a single off a sinker, the first sign of life from a stagnant Dodgers offense. Kiké Hernández, Dodgers second baseman: To be honest with you, it was pretty dead that game for us in the dugout, our energy. We kind of figured we weren't in a great spot at the time. Advertisement Max Muncy, Dodgers third baseman: Cole, we can just say it bluntly. He was dominant. He was Gerrit Cole. He was the guy that you pay to be that guy. He wasn't making any mistakes. … When we finally got that first hit in the fifth inning, it was kind of like, 'All right, he's not going to no-hit us tonight. That's good.' Tommy Edman, who had been acquired at the trade deadline and emerged as National League Championship Series MVP, went down 0-2 to Cole and swung at a changeup that stayed belt high and was off the plate. Edman lined a fly ball to center field, right at Judge. Tommy Edman, Dodgers shortstop: I was kind of just trying to put it in play. It wasn't a bad swing, but it was just kind of right at Judge. It was one of those where you're like, 'Oh, dang, that's an out right there.' Muncy: I remember every scouting report for every team in the postseason right now like it was yesterday. … On most of the Yankees, it was: They play deeper than anyone else in baseball. So don't give up too early on the low line drive because it might drop in. Judge, after the game: I just didn't make the play. Edman: I kind of heard the crowd start to gasp. Like, what just happened? I looked up and I saw that he had dropped it. Just kind of shocked right there. Freeman: Aaron hadn't made an error all year. Hernández was breaking toward first base but pivoted and sprinted, sliding into second base just before Judge's throw came into the infield. Hernández: I definitely didn't think I was going to be safe at second. It felt like the longest 70-foot run of my life. Will Smith grounded a 2-2 slider that Volpe tracked to his right to retrieve. As he did, Yankees third baseman Jazz Chisholm moved to cover third base. As Volpe went to throw to third, Hernández altered his path slightly to block the throwing lane, something the Dodgers have taught for years. You can bend your run within the rules and make the throw a little harder, just like Manny Machado did against the Dodgers in Game 3 of the NLDS to spark a six-run inning. In this case, the ball trickled away from Chisholm. Dino Ebel, Dodgers third-base coach: When he veered out, I think Volpe was kind of like, 'Uh-oh.' Now he has to make a good throw. Jazz was kind of late getting to the base in front of it. It's huge. Freeman: In spring training, we have our meetings every morning with (major-league field coordinator) Bob Geren. A lot of them are fun meetings, but then there are also meetings where we go over baseball plays that we do, and how we preach and how we go about it, and how we play the game of baseball. Advertisement Muncy: We preach it all year long, and it starts with literally the day we show up in spring. Freeman: It was just like (Manny) Machado's play in the NLDS. If you can just try to create things that maybe it throws a wrinkle in there. Hernández: We probably talk about it more at first (going to second). That's kind of an unorthodox play, but for me, I've had to grind my way and earn my way. I think that's something that I pride myself on. I always say that I'm a better player than the back of my baseball card says, and that's one of the things that I bring to the table when I'm on the field. Volpe: Watching it back, you see a million things and how it was so simple. But in the moment, it's just instincts and making the play, and I didn't make the play. Freeman: (That's) when things really picked up in our dugout. We weren't excited that they missed it. It was more of, Kiké making a great play. He forced it. That's why we're here in that situation. That's why we're in the World Series, because of plays like that throughout the course of the year. With the bases now loaded and no one out, Cole started to rear back. He touched 99 mph as he blew a fastball past Gavin Lux for a strikeout. He got Shohei Ohtani to wave through another fastball, which set up a curveball for a second consecutive strikeout. Cole was one out away from getting out of the inning when Mookie Betts cued a rolling grounder toward first baseman Anthony Rizzo for the second time on the night. Rizzo looked up to flip it to Cole. Cole stood near the mound, pointing for Rizzo to take it. No one wound up covering first base. Dodgers right fielder Mookie Betts: I was just running just to run, really. I thought it was just a routine out. Hernández: (I was) screaming at him to run hard because I saw that nobody was at first. Advertisement Dodgers manager Dave Roberts: I think that the emotions, the frustration, got to Gerrit. Ebel: Maybe, and nobody knows, maybe the first two errors might have rattled him. Freeman: As a first baseman that is, you charge that, it can pop and spin off your (glove), so many different things. What makes the Dodgers' fifth inning in Game 5 all the more unbelievable: the ball where no one covered first base was nearly identical to the ground ball Mookie Betts had already hit in his first at-bat of the night. That time, Anthony Rizzo took it himself. — Fabian Ardaya (@FabianArdaya) October 31, 2024 Anthony Rizzo, Yankees first baseman, after Game 5: Those balls off righties, those tappers are the hardest balls for us. Especially with what had transpired throughout the inning. I kind of was going for it, and then it kicked one way, so I had to make sure to catch it first and looked up to flip. Cole: I didn't sit there and watch it back over and over again, but I've seen the play a few times. I checked the tape right after it happened. … I (wish I) would have gotten over there better. Roberts: I think, just as important, is Mookie giving a hard 90. That was his fastest sprint speed all year, on a squibber. That shows how much he cared. Betts reached on an infield single, and the Dodgers got their first run across to ensure they didn't emerge from the inning empty-handed. It was the encapsulation of something that had popped up in the organization's scouting report leading into the series – that there were free 90 feet to be had, and the Dodgers had to be opportunistic. Dodgers designated hitter Shohei Ohtani, on Apple TV's World Series documentary: We were aware of those small mistakes since the regular season. So we were told to focus on taking the extra bases. Advertisement Freeman: It's not just pinpointing the Yankees. We're all humans. We're all going to make mistakes during the course of a game. But yeah, there was the defense part of it that was: Make sure you're looking for it to take advantage of it. Hernández: They had their, you could call them flaws, I guess. But that's kind of what we preached all year long regardless of who the opponent was. Ebel: The scouts did their part by saying, 'Here, listen. Their defense right now is not playing to the best of their ability. Keep playing Dodger baseball. Put pressure. Make them make plays.' That's all that was said in those meetings. Then all of a sudden, they make three errors in a game and it cost them. Judge: You give a team like the Dodgers three extra outs, they're going to capitalize on it. Travis Chapman, Yankees infield coach: I want the ball in (Volpe's) hands. I want the ball in Judgey's hands. I want the ball in Gerrit's hands. The reality is, we didn't make that play in that moment. Just getting one run was a win for the Dodgers. So was getting Freeman up to the plate. The eventual World Series MVP slugged four home runs in the series and fended off a devastating attack from Cole to keep the inning going. First, Freeman fouled off a 98 mph sinker before taking a changeup just off the plate. When Cole tried going upstairs with a 99 mph fastball, Freeman fouled it off. Cole tried another changeup, and Freeman rolled it foul just up the first-base line. Cole's next pitch was in on Freeman's hands at 99 mph. Freeman muscled it to center field for a two-run single. Freeman: He hadn't thrown that hard all year. Hernández: Gerrit was just pumping fuel and emotion that inning. He was emptying the tank. Clarke Schmidt, Yankees starter: Very impressive with how many pitches he threw and how long and deep he went, even with that long inning, executing at an incredibly high rate. Advertisement Aaron Bates, Dodgers hitting coach: Freddie, when he's right, it doesn't surprise me. He can spoil pitches. He can spoil, spoil, spoil, and if you make a mistake, he's going to get you. Freeman: When I fouled off the changeup down and away, that's when I felt like, OK, that was the pitch that he was going to strike me out with. I was able to foul it off. Then he threw 99 on the black on the inside. You could throw me that last week, and I don't hit that. My swing wasn't in a good spot last week. But my swing was in a great spot during that, so I was able to get to the 99. Muncy: It was like, all right, when's it going to happen? Because you know Freddie was going to get the hit. It was just, when is it going to happen? That was the confidence that we had with Freddie in the batter's box. Teoscar Hernández saw the Dodgers' sixth two-strike count of the inning against Cole and appeared to get out in front of a cutter. But Hernández stayed through the pitch enough to backspin the ball over Judge's head and to the warning track, off the wall to tie the score at 5-5. Even after the Yankees retook the lead an inning later, it wouldn't last. Teoscar Hernández, on Apple's documentary: You know when you have a feeling that everything is going to go your way? We had that in that game. Chris Taylor, then-Dodgers outfielder, on Betts' 'On Base' podcast: I mean, everybody saw it, right? To me – and we're all kind of thinking it – they kind of s– down their leg. They were pressing. Will Smith, Dodgers catcher, after Game 5: We were down 5-0. So what? We know we can put pressure on them. They'll crack. We'll win it. Dodgers hitting coach Robert Van Scoyoc, after Game 5: They just left the door open, and we jumped through it. Cole: A culmination of some mistakes and capitalization of those mistakes from the other team. It didn't take us out of the game, though. You make mistakes. You've got to give yourself a chance to respond to it. We responded well. We held in there. We retook the lead and we just couldn't finish it off. Advertisement Schmidt: 'What just happened?' That type of feeling. Looking around. Very quiet. Very frustrated. Everything you'd expect that it was like, it probably was like. Judge: All I really think about is, we lost. It's what it comes down to. We can break it down from Game 1 all the way through. But when it comes down to it, we didn't get the job done. The Dodgers' World Series run offered many iconic moments. Freeman's walk-off grand slam was so momentous that the MVP recalled being asked to sign a fan's calf during this past offseason – the fan said he was going to get it tattooed onto him. Just as highly regarded as the grand slam, however, is the inning. From memes to video clips, and yes, even bumper stickers. Roberts: Even my moment stealing the base (in Game 4 of the 2004 American League Championship Series for the eventual champion Boston Red Sox), I was a reserve player. I had a moment. We had a lot of great players, but people look toward moments that turned the tide. That was the moment in last year's World Series that really turned the tide in Game 5. Betts: I think it just gives fans and what not ammo to talk about something. Schmidt: It's pretty sickening. Hernández: Of course, people are going to make a big deal out of it. Funny bumper stickers and things like that going on. … When you're on the wrong end of things and that kind of thing happens, then it definitely hurts and you remember it more than when you're on the good side of things. Muncy: I get a chuckle out of (seeing the sticker), because it reminds me of us winning the World Series and to me that's the most important thing. However fans want to remember that, that's up to them. If the bumper sticker on the back of your car is the way to do it, then all the more power to you. When I see it, it just brings a smile to my face. For me, it's not about what happened on the other side. For me, it's about us finding a way to win that game. (Top photo of Mookie Betts and Gerrit Cole: Al Bello / Getty Images)


New York Times
2 hours ago
- New York Times
Battle of the $100 million rotations: How the Dodgers' and Yankees' starters stack up
This weekend's series between the Los Angeles Dodgers and New York Yankees will feature two of the three most expensive rotations in baseball — not two of the best, but maybe two of the most interesting. After huge investments from both teams, there's been a reversal of fortunes this year between the Dodgers and Yankees, at least when it comes to starting rotations. As the season started, the Dodgers were supposed to have the best rotation in baseball, with the Yankees about average, as this projections-fueled depth chart from the end of March shows. Now, whatever stat you use, the Yankees are a back-end top-10 rotation, and the Dodgers are scuffling below average. Advertisement How much longer that continues depends on some expensive injured Dodgers arms, to some extent. But a deeper analysis of how these rotations were built might give us a better insight into how this happened, and how they might fare going forward. These rotations have a lot in common, and the small differences might mean the world. The obvious similarity between the two is that these are high-dollar rotations. This is an approximation using the data available on RosterResource's payroll pages, and they include money allocated to pitchers who aren't pitching, so they aren't exact numbers. But the Dodgers and Yankees spend, and their rotations are largely built on top-end free agents and backed by cheap internally developed options. Both teams have had great, expensive pitchers on the injured list for most of the season. The Yankees have gotten zero innings from Gerrit Cole, and the Dodgers have gotten a combined 27 innings from Blake Snell and Tyler Glasnow. That's around $100 million of salary if they lost all three for the full season — a difference here is the Yankees won't get Cole back this year, and the Dodgers are still hopeful they will get their duo back and erase some of the ground standing between these two rotations. At least Glasnow is throwing again. How much these teams lean into injury risk when they spend on their top pitchers is debatable. There are ways to model injury risk, and Jeff Zimmerman has done so using velocity, playing time, overall injuries and arm injuries, and Cole (25th percentile), Glasnow (12th percentile), and Snell (45th percentile) were all iffy bets for full seasons going into this season — but that's unfair to the Yankees, who signed Cole a long time ago, when his injury risk was a lot lower. But Carlos Rodón (12th percentile) and Max Fried (43rd percentile) were more recent signings, and not necessarily the pictures of health throughout their careers, as they've both had major arm injuries before signing their big deals. Seems like both of these teams are willing to take on some injury risk in their free agents, perhaps because they believe in their ability to develop internal options to replace those veterans when something breaks. That has been a large part of the story in New York this year, where Clarke Schmidt and Will Warren have given this team an all-important 88 innings of competent pitching. Surprisingly, their 4.30 ERA, built on excellent strikeout numbers (28 percent, 23 percent is average), is an almost exact match for the Dodgers' group of up-and-down starters, who have a 4.29 ERA on the season, albeit with a league-average strikeout rate. Advertisement It's still worth giving the Yankees kudos for developing these two young starters internally and maybe giving more of an incomplete to the Dodgers on the same front. If Landon Knack and Ben Casparius emerge from these next couple of weeks as dependable rotation arms, they would be a better match for what has been happening in New York. Might happen, but Casparius' command and Knack's meh fastball are impediments. That said, these teams have something in common with the way they like to work with pitchers. First, they were among the first teams to develop sweepers, the sideways slider that is still an important part of the pitching landscape. The Yankees have the most sideways movement on their sweepers in baseball, with the Dodgers landing second. Warren and Fried are in the top 10 among starters in sweep, and the fact that the lefty is there is notable, because it's among the many things the Yankees tweaked with their new ace. Remarkably, a pitcher with such a distinguished track record came to the Bronx, and they still managed to: • Add 2 inches of sweep to the sweeper • Double the usage of the sweeper • Add over 3 inches of sink to the sinker • Add velo and drop to his vaunted curveball • Add drop to the changeup With Rodón, they were able to do much of the same: develop a sinker, improve the changeup and bump his usage of both. And even though Ryan Yarbrough doesn't throw hard, they've managed to give him 4 inches more drop on the changeup, 2 inches more ride on the four-seamer and an inch more cut on the cutter. I think the #Yankees made a subtle orientation tweak to Ryan Yarbrough's changeup… 2024: 2.4" vertical break, 16" arm-side2025: -2.2" vertical break, 18" arm-side Swinging-strike rate up from 13% to 20% vs RHH. Doubled early count cutter usage vs RHH too. Pitch Lab cookin' — Lance Brozdowski (@LanceBroz) May 27, 2025 Over in L.A., Glasnow has added a sinker, and Yoshinobu Yamamoto has upped his sinker usage and improved his cutter while there. They've had success in the past, tweaking arsenals with players like Jack Flaherty, Andrew Heaney and Tyler Anderson. Dodgers starters have leveraged the splitter more (second in baseball), but the Yankees use the sinker about 50 percent more often than the Dodgers — there are some differences, but they each push the needle forward. Advertisement These league powerhouses are good at harnessing the power of the seams for movement, as evidenced by their pitch usage and major-league coaching. What does the next wave look like for each team, considering they are both already relying on in-house options, and any further injury would force them to reach deeper into their bags? The Yankees may have taken a bit of a lead in pitch development overall, as seen by this possible advantage in the big leagues as well as what's happening in the minors. An aggressive investment in starting pitching in the draft has led to a bevy of well-regarded pitching prospects like Ben Hess (No. 3 Yankees prospect, according to The Athletic's Keith Law), Cam Schlittler (No. 8) and Bryce Cunningham (No. 10), and Schlittler is even at Double-A, perhaps close to ready in case of need. They use the same approach — using seam effects to expand arsenals — which has shown success in the major leagues. Cam Schlittler (@Yankees No. 10 prospect) collected six strikeouts in his eighth start of the season. Schlittler's 58 strikeouts on the season are tied for the most of any Yankees minor league pitcher. — Somerset Patriots (@SOMPatriots) May 27, 2025 The Dodgers, on the other hand, seem to focus on velocity over most else. They were first in fastball velocity from Single A to Triple A, and also first in slider velocity in that same sample, according to Lance Brozdowski, player development analyst for Marquee Sports Network. They were also worst in fastball zone rate, suggesting fastball command isn't an emphasis for them. ''Hit it far and we'll put it on the fairway,' was the metaphor I heard regarding the Dodgers,' Brozdowski said, and maybe Casparius is an example. After getting poor command grades from scouts, he slowly ramped up his fastball and slider velocity through his minor-league career and is now sporting a 30 percent strikeout rate in his young career — paired with some of the best walk rates he's shown. Their rotation has the 27th-best location numbers, so maybe the approach has hurt them, but they've got veterans in that rotation as well. This weekend will show off some of the Yankees' vaunted pitching coaching. Fried's new sinker, Warren's huge sweeper and Yarbrough's changeup will speak volumes to their ability to identify possible improvements and develop pitching. The Dodgers will return serve with internal success stories based mostly on changeups and splitters in Tony Gonsolin, Knack and Yamamoto. Give the Yankees a slight arm advantage in this weekend's series as things stand today. Time may soften some of the perceived advantages we see in the differences between these two organizations. Should Casparius and Knack (or one of their other young starters) pitch well in the next few weeks, they'll point to the advantages in the Dodger's development philosophy, and should one of the currently healthy Yankees free agents get hurt, they'll point to the inherent risk in signing any free-agent starter. The injured Dodgers could get back up and make good on projections that still have Los Angeles second in baseball going forward. These two rotations could still end up near each other in 2025's final reckoning. A closer finish would be appropriate. Because of their philosophies in building through free agency, improving pitch mixes for veterans and youngsters alike and building injury replacements internally by leveraging things like seam effects and slider velocity, they have a lot in common. (Photo of Yoshinobu Yamamoto: Ronald Martinez / Getty Images)