2025 Tour Championship odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions
The FedExCup Playoffs field was trimmed from 50 to 30 players at the BMW Championship, which Scottie Scheffler won. Unlike in years past, the Tour Championship will not have starting strokes for players based on their position in the FedExCup standings. Therefore, the winner of this week's tournament will also be the FedExCup champion.
Scheffler is the heavy favorite at +165, followed by Rory McIlroy (+800), Tommy Fleetwood (+1200) and Ludvig Aberg (+1400). It's a loaded field with only 30 players, heightening the level of competition in Atlanta.
East Lake (par 71, 7,490 yards) underwent a major restoration project after the 2023 Tour Championship, completely changing the layout and look of the course. Holes were changed significantly, grass types were swapped out in the fairways and greens, making it feel like a vastly different track.
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 9:33 a.m. ET.
McIlroy won here in 2022 and has finished no worse than 16th in his career at this event. East Lake is a long course and McIlroy is one of the longest hitters on tour, giving him an edge over most players in the field. And with there being no starting strokes anymore, he won't be chasing down Scheffler.
Hovland is a former winner here, taking home the title in 2023. He also finished fifth in 2021, 12th last year and 15th in 2022, showing good form at East Lake. His game seems to be rounding into form after finishing seventh last week at the BMW, making him a real contender at the Tour Championship this week.
Burns tied for fourth at the BMW Championship last week, 5 shots off the pace set by Scheffler. That performance got him back on track after some subpar performances, but he's another player who tends to succeed at East Lake. He finished 12th last year, eighth in 2023 and 18th in 2021, with his worst finish being 24th in 2022.
Hall is making some noise leading into the Ryder Cup selection deadline and though he hasn't garnered much interest from the European team, that could change with a win this week. He's finished 28th or better in 11 straight starts this season, including a solo sixth last week.
Bradley isn't turning his full attention to the Ryder Cup just yet, putting his focus on this week's Tour Championship where he finished ninth last year after the course's redesign. He's a great driver of the ball and keeps it in the fairway, making him a perfect fit for East Lake where hitting fairways is critical.
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Im is a perennial contender at East Lake, finishing between second and 24th in each of the last 5 years. He may not be in the best form but he's played well enough lately to earn his spot in the Tour Championship.
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New York Post
40 minutes ago
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Gambling content 21+. The New York Post may receive an affiliate commission if you sign up through our links. Read our editorial standards for more information. The 2025 PGA Tour season concludes this weekend at East Lake in Atlanta, Ga., and, if we're being honest, they should just crown Scottie Scheffler the FedEx Cup Champion and save us all the trouble. Scheffler erased a four-stroke deficit Sunday to win the BMW Championship, giving the World No. 1 his fifth win and 15th top-10 finish in 18 starts this season. Those results are historic, but he'll only be crowned as this season's champion if he can win this week's Tour Championship. In previous formats, Scheffler would start the Tour Championship at 10-under par, but the powers that be have decided to do away with starting strokes and put all 30 players on even par for the 2025 iteration. Not only does that level the playing field, but it also makes this tournament a lot more fun for bettors, who, like casual fans, were pretty tired of the old format. 3 Scottie Scheffler after winning the BMW Championship. AP Even without the head start, Scheffler is a whopping +150 favorite at DraftKings, well ahead of Rory McIlroy (+850), Tommy Fleetwood (14/1), Ludvig Aberg (18/1) and Russell Henley (20/1). Despite his Tiger-esque odds, you can feel pretty confident that Scheffler will be the most popular bet behind the window this week – and don't let me stand in your way if that's your speed – but we'll pick out a few long shots who look like they're primed to make some noise in the curtain-closer. 3 Harry Hall has been one of the most consistent players on the PGA Tour in 2025. AP 2025 Tour Championship picks Harry Hall (55/1, bet365) If you're a regular reader of our Wednesday golf picks, you probably saw this one coming. We've been on Harry Hall the past two weeks, hoping to cash in on the Englishman's terrific, yet unheralded, form. It hasn't worked out just yet, but Hall was right around it once again at the BMW Championship, finishing sixth for his fifth top-10 finish on the season. The 28-year-old has been remarkably consistent to close out 2025, posting 11 straight top-30 finishes with eight top-20s in that span. According to Justin Ray of the Twenty-First Group, Hall ranks first in strokes gained: putting, third in scoring average and fourth in birdie-or-better rate since May 1. He's doing everything but winning right now. Get the lowdown on the Best USA Sports Betting Sites and Apps Shane Lowry (70/1, FanDuel) It wasn't too long ago that Shane Lowry was in terrific form with nine top-20s, four top-10s and a pair of runner-ups in his first 14 starts in 2025. A terrible showing at the US Open seemed to cause the Irishman to come unglued, however, and he's now without a top-20 finish in his last five tournaments. That said, Lowry finished T23 at the BMW Championship and showed signs of life Sunday. Known to do his best work on the biggest stages, Lowry's talent means he's always worth a look at this kind of price. 3 Sungjae Im teeing off at the BMW Championship. Getty Images Sungjae Im (90/1, Caesars) Like Hall, Sungjae Im has been a regular feature in this column to no avail, yet. Like Lowry, this is a buy-low opportunity on a player with the talent to disrupt this field. It may be a surprise that Im even qualified for this event, but his T17 at the St. Jude two weeks ago was enough to vault him into East Lake in what has otherwise been a down year. The South Korean has missed four cuts and posted just two top-30 finishes in his last 10 starts, but he has popped at different times this year. He came out of the gates strong with two top-five results in his first three starts, and he was T5 at Augusta in April. Im also has some strong history at East Lake with a runner-up in 2022 and a sixth-place finish last year. Why Trust New York Post Betting Michael Leboff is a long-suffering Islanders fan, but a long-profiting sports bettor with 10 years of experience in the gambling industry. He loves using game theory to help punters win bracket pools, find long shots, and learn how to beat the market in mainstream and niche sports.
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Tour Championship 2025: Picks, Bets and Predictions as Scheffler Eyes FedEx Cup History
Based on facts, either observed and verified firsthand by the reporter, or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources. Newsweek AI is in beta. Translations may contain inaccuracies—please refer to the original content. The final playoff of the FedEx Cup is about to rise as the Tour Championship tees off at East Lake Golf Club on Thursday. All 30 players start at even par this year to decide who finishes the season on top. And no doubt, all eyes are on Scottie Scheffler. The world No. 1 arrives in Atlanta fresh off a dramatic BMW Championship win, where he snagged a four-shot win and chipped in from 82 feet on the 17th hole to seal his fifth title of the season. Now, Scheffler is chasing to win the FedEx Cup again, a record no one has touched since the FedEx Cup began in 2007. OWINGS MILLS, MARYLAND - AUGUST 16: Rory McIlroy of Northern Ireland reacts to a missed putt on the first green during the third round of the BMW Championship 2025 at Caves Valley Golf Club on... 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Additionally, his all-around game and mental toughness make him nearly untouchable. If the putter stays warm, no one can stop him from making history on Sunday. JJ Spaun (+450): Spaun is having a breakout season that's rewriting his career narrative. With five top-five finishes in 2025, including a dramatic win at the US Open at Oakmont, he was the second USA player to grab the automatic qualification seat for the Ryder Cup this year. Statistically, Spaun ranks top 6 in SG: approach and top 46 in birdie average, generating nearly four birdies per round. Tommy Fleetwood (-110): Fleetwood enters East Lake riding a wave of near-misses, finishing T3 at the FedEx St. Jude Championship and T4 at the BMW Championship. Despite going winless in 163 PGA Tour starts, he's arguably the most accomplished player in the field without a Tour title. Collin Morikawa (+3000): Morikawa had a better 72-hole score than Scheffler last year but lost due to starting strokes. This year, with all players starting at even par, Morikawa enters East Lake as one of the most intriguing sleeper picks in the field. If we look at his past performances at East Lake, Morikawa has proved his strong position by being runner-up last year, securing a top-six six in 2023, and a top-10 finish in 2020. Viktor Hovland (+2000): A former winner at East Lake, Hovland has finished inside the top 15 in each of the last four Tour Championships, including a win back in 2023. His approach game is on point. The pro has gained more than three strokes on the field in approach play across his last five starts. Despite battling swing inconsistencies and experimenting with multiple coaches this season, Hovland has found a "Band-Aid fix" that's helped him regain control of his start lines and tempo. He's posted a top-three finish at the U.S. Open and remains one of the most dangerous ball-strikers in the field. 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