Yankees vs. Phillies Prediction, Odds, Picks

Fox Sports

6 days ago

Data Skrive
Cody Bellinger and Kyle Schwarber will be among the stars on display when the New York Yankees face the Philadelphia Phillies on Friday at 7:05 p.m. ET, at Yankee Stadium. Bookmakers list the Yankees as -158 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Phillies +134 moneyline odds to win. New York is the run-line favorite (-1.5). A 9.5-run over/under has been set for this matchup.
Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Phillies game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
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Check out the best moments between the New York Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays. Yankees vs. Phillies Game Information & Odds When: Friday, July 25, 2025 at 7:05 p.m. ET
Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
How to watch on TV: Apple TV+ Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds Yankees -158 +134 9.5 -124 +102 -1.5 +128 -154 Yankees vs. Phillies Prediction Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Phillies 4
Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Yankees 54%, Phillies 46% Yankees vs. Phillies Betting Insights This season, the Yankees have been favored 88 times and won 50, or 56.8%, of those games.
New York has a record of 32-18, a 64% win rate, when favored by -158 or more by bookmakers this season.
The Yankees have a 61.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The Phillies have won in seven, or 33.3%, of the 21 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
Philadelphia has a mark of 2-3 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +134 or worse on the moneyline.
The Phillies have an implied victory probability of 42.7% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup. The Yankees have a 2-4 record across the six games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Yankees combined with their opponents to go over the run total five times.
The Yankees are 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games. Stat Avg/Total Record 5-5 Runs Per Game 4.9 HR 18 ERA 4.19 K/9 6.9 Aaron Judge has racked up a team-best batting average of .345, and paces the Yankees in home runs (37) and runs batted in (84).
Of all hitters in the majors, Judge is second in homers and second in RBI.
Bellinger is hitting .285 with 20 doubles, three triples, 18 home runs and 29 walks.
Bellinger is 32nd in homers and 36th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
Bellinger has two straight games with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .318 with two doubles, two home runs and three RBIs.
Paul Goldschmidt is batting .288 with 23 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 29 walks.
Trent Grisham is hitting .255 with nine doubles, a triple, 17 home runs and 44 walks.
Grisham takes a five-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .316 with two doubles, a home run, three walks and five RBIs. Over the past 10 games, oddsmakers have not installed the Phillies as underdogs once.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Phillies and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times.
The Phillies have a record of 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games. Stat Avg/Total Record 5-5 Runs Per Game 5.1 HR 17 ERA 3.76 K/9 10.2 Schwarber has put up a team-high 34 home runs and has driven in 78 runs.
Schwarber's home run total puts him fifth in MLB, and he ranks seventh in RBI.
Trea Turner has a club-high .290 batting average.
Turner is 113th overall in homers and 103rd in RBI this year.
Bryce Harper is batting .271 with 22 doubles, 14 home runs and 45 walks.
Nick Castellanos has 22 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 22 walks while batting .269.
Check out the best moments between the Boston Red Sox and the Philadelphia Phillies.
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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