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Public schools lose almost 2000 students as Hunter parents go independent

Public schools lose almost 2000 students as Hunter parents go independent

The Advertiser2 days ago
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KYLIE Wales is not a religious person, but when it came time for her daughter to move schools, she picked a faith-affiliated option.
She's one of many parents making the jump to independent education, as Catholic and public schools across Newcastle, Lake Macquarie and the Hunter face increasing competition and dwindling enrolments.
Ms Wales said her daughter Charlotte, in Year Two, went to a government school for the first few years, but it just wasn't a great fit.
"We had her in public school, and she was part of the COVID-19 era," she said.
"We had noticed that our daughter wasn't progressing like we would have hoped and thought."
A new Association of Independent Schools of NSW (AINSW) report shows a growing shift in parents' preferences from 2019 to 2024.
Public schools lost a combined 1,874 students between 2019 and 2024, down 470 students in Newcastle and Lake Macquarie and 1,377 in the Hunter Valley.
Through friends who had made a similar move, the Wales' decided to check out Fletcher independent school, Bishop Tyrrell Anglican College.
"We were just blown away with the tour around the school, the facilities, and the genuine vibe," she said.
"Our daughter just gelled straight away."
Ms Wales said Bishop Tyrrell Anglican College was able to better communicate what was going on at school and said it was an "absolute shame" public schools were not funded as well as they should be.
Acting Minister for Education and Early Learning Courtney Houssos maintained NSW public schools offer a world-class education, and said the state government has made "record investment" into ensuring children have access to opportunities.
"We are building new and expanded schools in growing regional communities that the former Liberal and National government failed to plan for, and delivering 49 new fee-free public preschools into regional areas where they are needed most," she said.
"We have also invested in significant upgrades to facilities in existing schools like science labs, creative spaces and performance facilities, delivering on Deputy Premier Prue Car's commitment to expand access to High Potential and Gifted education opportunities to every public school."
The state government invested $1.4 billion in rural and regional schools in the 2024-25 Budget.
The 2025-26 Budget includes $2.1 billion over the next four years to deliver new and upgraded schools across regional NSW, including new schools in Medowie and Huntlee.
A NSW Department of Education spokeswoman said the state government is also investing $100 million in upgrades at 33 public high schools, including Muswellbrook High School and Lake Macquarie High School.
"These enhancements will enable the schools to deliver High Potential and Gifted Education programs and opportunities that extend student learning across a range of subjects, as part of the government's broader commitment to expand gifted education across every public school," she said.
"With the NSW government investment to address the teacher shortage crisis, including scrapping the wages cap, delivering a historic pay rise for teachers, reducing excessive administration workload, and making thousands of teachers permanent, schools in regional NSW started the 2025 school year with 47 per cent fewer vacancies than the same time in 2023."
According to the AINSW report, despite having fewer schools than the public sector, independent schools gained more enrolments than any other sector in 25 out of 28 statistical areas.
In Newcastle and Lake Macquarie, independent schools saw a 4.3 per cent average annual growth, and in the Hunter Valley, the growth was 4.5 per cent from 2019 to 2024.
Ms Wales said she felt Bishop Tyrrell Anglican College offered more extracurricular activities and excursions, and said the learning support, pastoral care and communication with parents were a good fit for her family.
"It was a smaller school, and that was something that we wanted access to," she said.
"We have access to a system where you get photos of what's happening at the school, and their timetable," she said.
"For me, it was the ability to reach out to teachers as well, so it felt like it could be a joint learning journey."
In NSW, there are 301 faith-based independent schools, representing 15 different religions and 129 non-faith schools.
AINSW chief executive Margery Evans said the independent sector gives families a diverse choice of schools.
"There are several different faiths represented in the sector, as well as non-faith schools based on a philosophical approach such as Steiner schools or The Nature School," she said.
Independent schools set their own fees, and the median fee charged is less than $6000 each year.
Ms Evans said independent schools try to keep costs down, understanding parents make sacrifices to give their children an education that reflects their values and meets their child's needs.
"Independent schools have more freedom to provide an education that reflects different aspects of Australia's diverse faiths and cultures," she said.
"There is literally an independent school to suit every family."
Enrolments at Catholic schools in Newcastle and Lake Macquarie have dropped by an average of 0.2 per cent per year, while enrolments in independent schools grew at an average of 4.3 per cent.
Catholic Schools Maitland-Newcastle director Jaqueline Wilkinson said the natural fluctuation is "entirely normal".
"A 0.2 per cent annual shift reflects the natural ebb and flow that occurs across all school sectors over time," she said.
"In contrast, Catholic Schools Maitland-Newcastle has seen consistent growth in regional areas, particularly the Hunter Valley, which aligns with population growth and increasing demand for affordable, high-quality Catholic education."
Despite an overall increase in students identifying as "no religion" across all NSW schools, the Catholic sector has seen a decrease in students identifying with the Catholic faith from 78 per cent in 2011 to 67 per cent in 2021.
In the Hunter Valley, Catholic enrolments have risen by 1,608 students since 2019, an average growth of 3.5 per cent annually.
Ms Wilkinson put the swell down to significant investments in schools like Rosary Park Primary at Branxton, St Bede's Catholic College at Chisholm and others in Maitland and Lochinvar.
"These investments have expanded our capacity and enabled more than 2,000 students to access a Catholic education in the Maitland LGA," she said.
"Enrolment decisions are influenced by a wide range of local and personal factors.
"While some trends may appear in the data, interpreting them in a meaningful way is often speculative."
Mr Wilkinson said many families choose schools that reflect their values and priorities, and Catholic education continues to resonate with those "seeking a strong sense of community and purpose".
in
KYLIE Wales is not a religious person, but when it came time for her daughter to move schools, she picked a faith-affiliated option.
She's one of many parents making the jump to independent education, as Catholic and public schools across Newcastle, Lake Macquarie and the Hunter face increasing competition and dwindling enrolments.
Ms Wales said her daughter Charlotte, in Year Two, went to a government school for the first few years, but it just wasn't a great fit.
"We had her in public school, and she was part of the COVID-19 era," she said.
"We had noticed that our daughter wasn't progressing like we would have hoped and thought."
A new Association of Independent Schools of NSW (AINSW) report shows a growing shift in parents' preferences from 2019 to 2024.
Public schools lost a combined 1,874 students between 2019 and 2024, down 470 students in Newcastle and Lake Macquarie and 1,377 in the Hunter Valley.
Through friends who had made a similar move, the Wales' decided to check out Fletcher independent school, Bishop Tyrrell Anglican College.
"We were just blown away with the tour around the school, the facilities, and the genuine vibe," she said.
"Our daughter just gelled straight away."
Ms Wales said Bishop Tyrrell Anglican College was able to better communicate what was going on at school and said it was an "absolute shame" public schools were not funded as well as they should be.
Acting Minister for Education and Early Learning Courtney Houssos maintained NSW public schools offer a world-class education, and said the state government has made "record investment" into ensuring children have access to opportunities.
"We are building new and expanded schools in growing regional communities that the former Liberal and National government failed to plan for, and delivering 49 new fee-free public preschools into regional areas where they are needed most," she said.
"We have also invested in significant upgrades to facilities in existing schools like science labs, creative spaces and performance facilities, delivering on Deputy Premier Prue Car's commitment to expand access to High Potential and Gifted education opportunities to every public school."
The state government invested $1.4 billion in rural and regional schools in the 2024-25 Budget.
The 2025-26 Budget includes $2.1 billion over the next four years to deliver new and upgraded schools across regional NSW, including new schools in Medowie and Huntlee.
A NSW Department of Education spokeswoman said the state government is also investing $100 million in upgrades at 33 public high schools, including Muswellbrook High School and Lake Macquarie High School.
"These enhancements will enable the schools to deliver High Potential and Gifted Education programs and opportunities that extend student learning across a range of subjects, as part of the government's broader commitment to expand gifted education across every public school," she said.
"With the NSW government investment to address the teacher shortage crisis, including scrapping the wages cap, delivering a historic pay rise for teachers, reducing excessive administration workload, and making thousands of teachers permanent, schools in regional NSW started the 2025 school year with 47 per cent fewer vacancies than the same time in 2023."
According to the AINSW report, despite having fewer schools than the public sector, independent schools gained more enrolments than any other sector in 25 out of 28 statistical areas.
In Newcastle and Lake Macquarie, independent schools saw a 4.3 per cent average annual growth, and in the Hunter Valley, the growth was 4.5 per cent from 2019 to 2024.
Ms Wales said she felt Bishop Tyrrell Anglican College offered more extracurricular activities and excursions, and said the learning support, pastoral care and communication with parents were a good fit for her family.
"It was a smaller school, and that was something that we wanted access to," she said.
"We have access to a system where you get photos of what's happening at the school, and their timetable," she said.
"For me, it was the ability to reach out to teachers as well, so it felt like it could be a joint learning journey."
In NSW, there are 301 faith-based independent schools, representing 15 different religions and 129 non-faith schools.
AINSW chief executive Margery Evans said the independent sector gives families a diverse choice of schools.
"There are several different faiths represented in the sector, as well as non-faith schools based on a philosophical approach such as Steiner schools or The Nature School," she said.
Independent schools set their own fees, and the median fee charged is less than $6000 each year.
Ms Evans said independent schools try to keep costs down, understanding parents make sacrifices to give their children an education that reflects their values and meets their child's needs.
"Independent schools have more freedom to provide an education that reflects different aspects of Australia's diverse faiths and cultures," she said.
"There is literally an independent school to suit every family."
Enrolments at Catholic schools in Newcastle and Lake Macquarie have dropped by an average of 0.2 per cent per year, while enrolments in independent schools grew at an average of 4.3 per cent.
Catholic Schools Maitland-Newcastle director Jaqueline Wilkinson said the natural fluctuation is "entirely normal".
"A 0.2 per cent annual shift reflects the natural ebb and flow that occurs across all school sectors over time," she said.
"In contrast, Catholic Schools Maitland-Newcastle has seen consistent growth in regional areas, particularly the Hunter Valley, which aligns with population growth and increasing demand for affordable, high-quality Catholic education."
Despite an overall increase in students identifying as "no religion" across all NSW schools, the Catholic sector has seen a decrease in students identifying with the Catholic faith from 78 per cent in 2011 to 67 per cent in 2021.
In the Hunter Valley, Catholic enrolments have risen by 1,608 students since 2019, an average growth of 3.5 per cent annually.
Ms Wilkinson put the swell down to significant investments in schools like Rosary Park Primary at Branxton, St Bede's Catholic College at Chisholm and others in Maitland and Lochinvar.
"These investments have expanded our capacity and enabled more than 2,000 students to access a Catholic education in the Maitland LGA," she said.
"Enrolment decisions are influenced by a wide range of local and personal factors.
"While some trends may appear in the data, interpreting them in a meaningful way is often speculative."
Mr Wilkinson said many families choose schools that reflect their values and priorities, and Catholic education continues to resonate with those "seeking a strong sense of community and purpose".
in
KYLIE Wales is not a religious person, but when it came time for her daughter to move schools, she picked a faith-affiliated option.
She's one of many parents making the jump to independent education, as Catholic and public schools across Newcastle, Lake Macquarie and the Hunter face increasing competition and dwindling enrolments.
Ms Wales said her daughter Charlotte, in Year Two, went to a government school for the first few years, but it just wasn't a great fit.
"We had her in public school, and she was part of the COVID-19 era," she said.
"We had noticed that our daughter wasn't progressing like we would have hoped and thought."
A new Association of Independent Schools of NSW (AINSW) report shows a growing shift in parents' preferences from 2019 to 2024.
Public schools lost a combined 1,874 students between 2019 and 2024, down 470 students in Newcastle and Lake Macquarie and 1,377 in the Hunter Valley.
Through friends who had made a similar move, the Wales' decided to check out Fletcher independent school, Bishop Tyrrell Anglican College.
"We were just blown away with the tour around the school, the facilities, and the genuine vibe," she said.
"Our daughter just gelled straight away."
Ms Wales said Bishop Tyrrell Anglican College was able to better communicate what was going on at school and said it was an "absolute shame" public schools were not funded as well as they should be.
Acting Minister for Education and Early Learning Courtney Houssos maintained NSW public schools offer a world-class education, and said the state government has made "record investment" into ensuring children have access to opportunities.
"We are building new and expanded schools in growing regional communities that the former Liberal and National government failed to plan for, and delivering 49 new fee-free public preschools into regional areas where they are needed most," she said.
"We have also invested in significant upgrades to facilities in existing schools like science labs, creative spaces and performance facilities, delivering on Deputy Premier Prue Car's commitment to expand access to High Potential and Gifted education opportunities to every public school."
The state government invested $1.4 billion in rural and regional schools in the 2024-25 Budget.
The 2025-26 Budget includes $2.1 billion over the next four years to deliver new and upgraded schools across regional NSW, including new schools in Medowie and Huntlee.
A NSW Department of Education spokeswoman said the state government is also investing $100 million in upgrades at 33 public high schools, including Muswellbrook High School and Lake Macquarie High School.
"These enhancements will enable the schools to deliver High Potential and Gifted Education programs and opportunities that extend student learning across a range of subjects, as part of the government's broader commitment to expand gifted education across every public school," she said.
"With the NSW government investment to address the teacher shortage crisis, including scrapping the wages cap, delivering a historic pay rise for teachers, reducing excessive administration workload, and making thousands of teachers permanent, schools in regional NSW started the 2025 school year with 47 per cent fewer vacancies than the same time in 2023."
According to the AINSW report, despite having fewer schools than the public sector, independent schools gained more enrolments than any other sector in 25 out of 28 statistical areas.
In Newcastle and Lake Macquarie, independent schools saw a 4.3 per cent average annual growth, and in the Hunter Valley, the growth was 4.5 per cent from 2019 to 2024.
Ms Wales said she felt Bishop Tyrrell Anglican College offered more extracurricular activities and excursions, and said the learning support, pastoral care and communication with parents were a good fit for her family.
"It was a smaller school, and that was something that we wanted access to," she said.
"We have access to a system where you get photos of what's happening at the school, and their timetable," she said.
"For me, it was the ability to reach out to teachers as well, so it felt like it could be a joint learning journey."
In NSW, there are 301 faith-based independent schools, representing 15 different religions and 129 non-faith schools.
AINSW chief executive Margery Evans said the independent sector gives families a diverse choice of schools.
"There are several different faiths represented in the sector, as well as non-faith schools based on a philosophical approach such as Steiner schools or The Nature School," she said.
Independent schools set their own fees, and the median fee charged is less than $6000 each year.
Ms Evans said independent schools try to keep costs down, understanding parents make sacrifices to give their children an education that reflects their values and meets their child's needs.
"Independent schools have more freedom to provide an education that reflects different aspects of Australia's diverse faiths and cultures," she said.
"There is literally an independent school to suit every family."
Enrolments at Catholic schools in Newcastle and Lake Macquarie have dropped by an average of 0.2 per cent per year, while enrolments in independent schools grew at an average of 4.3 per cent.
Catholic Schools Maitland-Newcastle director Jaqueline Wilkinson said the natural fluctuation is "entirely normal".
"A 0.2 per cent annual shift reflects the natural ebb and flow that occurs across all school sectors over time," she said.
"In contrast, Catholic Schools Maitland-Newcastle has seen consistent growth in regional areas, particularly the Hunter Valley, which aligns with population growth and increasing demand for affordable, high-quality Catholic education."
Despite an overall increase in students identifying as "no religion" across all NSW schools, the Catholic sector has seen a decrease in students identifying with the Catholic faith from 78 per cent in 2011 to 67 per cent in 2021.
In the Hunter Valley, Catholic enrolments have risen by 1,608 students since 2019, an average growth of 3.5 per cent annually.
Ms Wilkinson put the swell down to significant investments in schools like Rosary Park Primary at Branxton, St Bede's Catholic College at Chisholm and others in Maitland and Lochinvar.
"These investments have expanded our capacity and enabled more than 2,000 students to access a Catholic education in the Maitland LGA," she said.
"Enrolment decisions are influenced by a wide range of local and personal factors.
"While some trends may appear in the data, interpreting them in a meaningful way is often speculative."
Mr Wilkinson said many families choose schools that reflect their values and priorities, and Catholic education continues to resonate with those "seeking a strong sense of community and purpose".
in
KYLIE Wales is not a religious person, but when it came time for her daughter to move schools, she picked a faith-affiliated option.
She's one of many parents making the jump to independent education, as Catholic and public schools across Newcastle, Lake Macquarie and the Hunter face increasing competition and dwindling enrolments.
Ms Wales said her daughter Charlotte, in Year Two, went to a government school for the first few years, but it just wasn't a great fit.
"We had her in public school, and she was part of the COVID-19 era," she said.
"We had noticed that our daughter wasn't progressing like we would have hoped and thought."
A new Association of Independent Schools of NSW (AINSW) report shows a growing shift in parents' preferences from 2019 to 2024.
Public schools lost a combined 1,874 students between 2019 and 2024, down 470 students in Newcastle and Lake Macquarie and 1,377 in the Hunter Valley.
Through friends who had made a similar move, the Wales' decided to check out Fletcher independent school, Bishop Tyrrell Anglican College.
"We were just blown away with the tour around the school, the facilities, and the genuine vibe," she said.
"Our daughter just gelled straight away."
Ms Wales said Bishop Tyrrell Anglican College was able to better communicate what was going on at school and said it was an "absolute shame" public schools were not funded as well as they should be.
Acting Minister for Education and Early Learning Courtney Houssos maintained NSW public schools offer a world-class education, and said the state government has made "record investment" into ensuring children have access to opportunities.
"We are building new and expanded schools in growing regional communities that the former Liberal and National government failed to plan for, and delivering 49 new fee-free public preschools into regional areas where they are needed most," she said.
"We have also invested in significant upgrades to facilities in existing schools like science labs, creative spaces and performance facilities, delivering on Deputy Premier Prue Car's commitment to expand access to High Potential and Gifted education opportunities to every public school."
The state government invested $1.4 billion in rural and regional schools in the 2024-25 Budget.
The 2025-26 Budget includes $2.1 billion over the next four years to deliver new and upgraded schools across regional NSW, including new schools in Medowie and Huntlee.
A NSW Department of Education spokeswoman said the state government is also investing $100 million in upgrades at 33 public high schools, including Muswellbrook High School and Lake Macquarie High School.
"These enhancements will enable the schools to deliver High Potential and Gifted Education programs and opportunities that extend student learning across a range of subjects, as part of the government's broader commitment to expand gifted education across every public school," she said.
"With the NSW government investment to address the teacher shortage crisis, including scrapping the wages cap, delivering a historic pay rise for teachers, reducing excessive administration workload, and making thousands of teachers permanent, schools in regional NSW started the 2025 school year with 47 per cent fewer vacancies than the same time in 2023."
According to the AINSW report, despite having fewer schools than the public sector, independent schools gained more enrolments than any other sector in 25 out of 28 statistical areas.
In Newcastle and Lake Macquarie, independent schools saw a 4.3 per cent average annual growth, and in the Hunter Valley, the growth was 4.5 per cent from 2019 to 2024.
Ms Wales said she felt Bishop Tyrrell Anglican College offered more extracurricular activities and excursions, and said the learning support, pastoral care and communication with parents were a good fit for her family.
"It was a smaller school, and that was something that we wanted access to," she said.
"We have access to a system where you get photos of what's happening at the school, and their timetable," she said.
"For me, it was the ability to reach out to teachers as well, so it felt like it could be a joint learning journey."
In NSW, there are 301 faith-based independent schools, representing 15 different religions and 129 non-faith schools.
AINSW chief executive Margery Evans said the independent sector gives families a diverse choice of schools.
"There are several different faiths represented in the sector, as well as non-faith schools based on a philosophical approach such as Steiner schools or The Nature School," she said.
Independent schools set their own fees, and the median fee charged is less than $6000 each year.
Ms Evans said independent schools try to keep costs down, understanding parents make sacrifices to give their children an education that reflects their values and meets their child's needs.
"Independent schools have more freedom to provide an education that reflects different aspects of Australia's diverse faiths and cultures," she said.
"There is literally an independent school to suit every family."
Enrolments at Catholic schools in Newcastle and Lake Macquarie have dropped by an average of 0.2 per cent per year, while enrolments in independent schools grew at an average of 4.3 per cent.
Catholic Schools Maitland-Newcastle director Jaqueline Wilkinson said the natural fluctuation is "entirely normal".
"A 0.2 per cent annual shift reflects the natural ebb and flow that occurs across all school sectors over time," she said.
"In contrast, Catholic Schools Maitland-Newcastle has seen consistent growth in regional areas, particularly the Hunter Valley, which aligns with population growth and increasing demand for affordable, high-quality Catholic education."
Despite an overall increase in students identifying as "no religion" across all NSW schools, the Catholic sector has seen a decrease in students identifying with the Catholic faith from 78 per cent in 2011 to 67 per cent in 2021.
In the Hunter Valley, Catholic enrolments have risen by 1,608 students since 2019, an average growth of 3.5 per cent annually.
Ms Wilkinson put the swell down to significant investments in schools like Rosary Park Primary at Branxton, St Bede's Catholic College at Chisholm and others in Maitland and Lochinvar.
"These investments have expanded our capacity and enabled more than 2,000 students to access a Catholic education in the Maitland LGA," she said.
"Enrolment decisions are influenced by a wide range of local and personal factors.
"While some trends may appear in the data, interpreting them in a meaningful way is often speculative."
Mr Wilkinson said many families choose schools that reflect their values and priorities, and Catholic education continues to resonate with those "seeking a strong sense of community and purpose".
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  • The Australian

US axes mRNA vaccine contracts, casting safety doubts

President Donald Trump's administration on Tuesday announced it would terminate 22 federal contracts for mRNA-based vaccines, questioning the safety of a technology credited with helping end the Covid pandemic and saving millions of lives. The announcement, made by Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr., marks his latest effort to weave vaccine skepticism into the core of US government policy. "We reviewed the science, listened to the experts, and acted," Kennedy said in a statement. The health department's Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority (BARDA) is "terminating 22 mRNA vaccine development investments because the data show these vaccines fail to protect effectively against upper respiratory infections like COVID and flu," he added. "We're shifting that funding toward safer, broader vaccine platforms that remain effective even as viruses mutate." The changes affect Moderna's mRNA bird flu vaccine -- a move the company itself disclosed in May -- as well as numerous other programs, including "rejection or cancellation of multiple pre-award solicitations" from pharmaceutical giants Pfizer and Sanofi. In total, the affected projects are worth "nearly $500 million," the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) said. Certain late-stage projects were excluded from the move "to preserve prior taxpayer investment." "Let me be absolutely clear: HHS supports safe, effective vaccines for every American who wants them," Secretary Kennedy said. "That's why we're moving beyond the limitations of mRNA and investing in better solutions." Since taking office, Kennedy, who spent two decades sowing misinformation around immunization, has overseen a major overhaul of US health policy -- firing, for example, a panel of vaccine experts that advise the government and replacing them with his own appointees. In its first meeting, the new panel promptly voted to ban a longstanding vaccine preservative targeted by the anti-vaccine movement, despite its strong safety record. He has also ordered a sweeping new study on the long-debunked link between vaccines and autism. Unlike traditional vaccines, which often use weakened or inactivated forms of the target virus or bacteria, mRNA shots deliver genetic instructions into the host's cells, prompting them to produce a harmless decoy of the pathogen and train the immune system to fight the real thing. Though in development for decades, mRNA vaccines were propelled from lab benches to widespread use through President Trump's Operation Warp Speed -- a public-private partnership led by BARDA that poured billions into companies to accelerate development. The technology's pioneers, Katalin Kariko and Drew Weissman, were awarded the 2023 Nobel Prize in Medicine for their work contributing "to the unprecedented rate of vaccine development during one of the greatest threats to human health in modern times." ia/jgc

Melbourne's top universities bottom of the class as financial strife deepens
Melbourne's top universities bottom of the class as financial strife deepens

The Age

time6 hours ago

  • The Age

Melbourne's top universities bottom of the class as financial strife deepens

The University of Melbourne, RMIT and Swinburne University are among the higher education institutions facing deepening financial strife under the Albanese's government's 'command and control' approach to the sector. Respected financial consultants KordaMentha warn in a new report that 30 of the nation's 37 public universities have combined debts of more than $10 billion – up by 44 per cent in just six years – and that the reforms Labor enacted last year, the most sweeping changes to the sector in three decades, would make it more difficult for them to pay what they owe. The University of Melbourne had a financial surplus last year of nearly $273 million on revenue of more than $3.7 billion, but researchers placed the prestigious institution at the bottom of its rating of 30 universities for short-term financial health, comparing current assets and liabilities. Two other local institutions, RMIT and Swinburne, came second-last and fourth-last on the same 'current ratio' in the report, published on Thursday morning. Loading The authors say universities – which are facing costs rising at 8 per cent annually, nearly four times the current rate of inflation – need to 'urgently' take a hard look at costs and debt levels to ensure their long-term financial sustainability. The KordaMentha research team, led by former La Trobe vice chancellor John Dewar, identified Labor's reforms of 2023 and 2024 as the most profound changes to the tertiary sector since the early 1990s, as the federal government capped international student numbers and created the Australian Tertiary Education Commission (ATEC). The commission's commitment to 'managed growth' for the sector amounted to a 'command and control' approach, according to Dewar's team, which was likely to increase the financial squeeze on universities which had still not recovered from the shock of the COVID pandemic. ''Managed growth' will see a degree of central control over the size and shape of university provision not seen for many years,' the report's authors wrote.

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