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Keir Starmer climbs down on welfare cuts

Keir Starmer climbs down on welfare cuts

Spectator4 hours ago

At last, Keir Starmer has bowed to the inevitable. Having first adopted a posture of defiance, then conciliation, the Prime Minister has tonight admitted capitulation on the great welfare revolt. The Guardian reports that the ringleaders of the 126 rebels who signed a wrecking amendment to the Welfare Bill are now claiming 'massive concessions.' It follows a tense afternoon of talks between Starmer and his MPs.
It means another big U-turn for Starmer – and another hole in the Treasury's finances
The rebels say that they have been promised significant changes to planned cuts. These include moderating the Bill to make it easier for people with multiple impairments to claim disability benefits. Starmer also offered to protect Personal Independent Payments (PIP) for all existing claimants forever. This was to ensure there would be no detriment from the reforms for existing claimants – a key concern of the welfare rebels. But new claimants will be affected, as ministers desperately try to stop ever-spiralling disability and sickness welfare spending climb to £100 billion by 2030.
It means another big U-turn for Starmer – and another hole in the Treasury's finances. Early estimates suggest that the Welfare Bill climb down could cost £2 billion: money which Rachel Reeves will now have to find elsewhere. Coming so soon after the winter fuel reversal, the whole debacle will raise further questions about the political judgment of those in Numbers 10 and 11 Downing Street. A U-turn looked inevitable from the moment that the initial list of 108 names on the amendment was published on Monday night. So why did Starmer persist with the plans for a further three days and completely overshadow his big Nato 5 per cent commitment?
No government has been defeated on the Second Reading of its own legislation since 1986. Tonight's climbdown means that Starmer looks to have avoided that fate next Tuesday. But the damage from such a public humiliation is obvious. Rebellion is a habit; the concessions show that it can be a fruitful one too. As for the Treasury, now forced to plug the gap in its finances, the lesson by now ought to be obvious: Labour MPs will not wear major welfare cuts unless they are handled with the upmost care.

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Why is Morgan McSweeney now a lightning rod for Labour rebels?
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Why is Morgan McSweeney now a lightning rod for Labour rebels?

Morgan McSweeney's allies are fiercely loyal. This week the prime minister's chief of staff has been the subject of a series of vitriolic attacks from Labour MPs who are blaming him for the debacle surrounding the government's welfare reforms. Ministers have accused him of presiding over a 'bunker mentality' in No 10 and some rebels have called for him to be removed from office as part of a 'regime change'. The time has come, they argue, for the 'overexcitable boys' to move on. In the wake of the attacks, one government adviser shared a post on social media suggesting that removing McSweeney could spell the end of Sir Keir Starmer's premiership. The post said: 'After losing him it will be nothing but legislating on MP pet projects, the civil service running the country … while Starmer is left running around chasing media stories until the [parliamentary Labour Party (PLP)] panics after the 2028 local elections and replaces him.' McSweeney's influence cannot be overstated. 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Government makes concessions to Labour rebels over welfare reforms
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'Keir Starmer underestimated opposition to DWP disability benefit cuts'
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timean hour ago

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'Keir Starmer underestimated opposition to DWP disability benefit cuts'

Just under a year ago, Keir Starmer strode into Downing Street with cheers ringing his ears, having won a landslide victory. But tonight he found that having a massive majority isn't always enough. Downing Street underestimated how strongly backbenchers opposed these cuts, despite the clear warning signs. For months I'd been hearing how unhappy MPs were, concerns echoed by Labour's trade union backers, party members and Mirror readers. Most Labour MPs accept the welfare bill is too high, and agree that people need help to get back into work. But the PM and his ministers failed to convince them that cutting Personal Independence Payments - an in-work benefit - was the way to achieve this. The Government blew a lot of political capital on its disastrous decision to cut the winter fuel allowance. And the recent U-turn gave Labour MPs hope that they could persuade the PM into another rethink. The decision will be some relief for hundreds of thousands of disabled people left terrified about what cuts to these lifeline benefits would mean. But making these concessions is a major blow to Mr Starmer's authority - particularly so early on in premiership. One of the PM's biggest problems is the disconnect between what the Government is doing - and what the voters thought they were getting. Plenty of Labour MPs feel that they didn't sign up to take disability benefits from vulnerable people. And they've been left to face angry constituents who think this wasn't what they voted for. Another problem has been Mr Starmer has been forced to dedicate so much attention to foreign affairs. Follow our Mirror Politics account on Bluesky here. And follow our Mirror Politics team here - Lizzy Buchan, Mikey Smith, Kevin Maguire, Sophie Huskisson, Dave Burke and Ashley Cowburn. Be first to get the biggest bombshells and breaking news by joining our Politics WhatsApp group here. We also treat our community members to special offers, promotions, and adverts from us and our partners. If you want to leave our community, you can check out any time you like. If you're curious, you can read our Privacy Notice. Or sign up here to the Mirror's Politics newsletter for all the best exclusives and opinions straight to your inbox. And listen to our exciting new political podcast The Division Bell, hosted by the Mirror and the Express every Thursday. A senior figure in No10 expressed frustration to me that he had to go to both the G7 summit in Canada and the NATO gathering in the Netherlands in quick succession, when they needed him in London. After arriving back on Wednesday night, Mr Starmer spent much of today locked in talks with backbenchers to avert a damaging Commons defeat next week. Time will tell if the offer made to rebels is enough. Mr Starmer has been dealt a difficult hand, with Donald Trump causing chaos and tensions spiralling in the Middle East. But he must bear responsibility for problems at home - and pointing to the dire Tory legacy won't cut it any more.

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