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Gulf low moving west Tuesday night with potential for development

Gulf low moving west Tuesday night with potential for development

Yahoo6 days ago
NEW ORLEANS (WGNO) — The National Hurricane Center continues to have a 40% chance of tropical development as a low moves west across northern Florida. It will be key to watch tonight and Wednesday morning see exactly where this moves off the coast. How far offshore that it goes will be a big factor on how much this can develop, if any.
Most of the heavy rain with this system is on the west and southwest side of the center. It actually looks like that trend will continue as it moves west, and we will likely start to see some rain with this system by late in the day Wednesday.
At the moment it looks like a depression or possibly a tropical storm that moves west into our area by Thursday. Heavy rain will likely be the main impact.
Locally heavy rain amounts could create flooding issues. While most of the area would be more likely to see 3-6″ of rain, some spots could reach 10 inches depending on where the center goes and any banding that sets up. A flood watch is in effect from Wednesday evening through Friday.
There is a lower end chance of significant tropical development. However if this system remains far enough to the south, we could see intensification. Be aware of the threat of a stronger system over the area later in the week. However the rain would likely still be the main issue.Latest Posts
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National Hurricane Center watching another potential storm off Southeast coast
National Hurricane Center watching another potential storm off Southeast coast

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National Hurricane Center watching another potential storm off Southeast coast

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Bryan Norcross: Atlantic tropical disturbance Invest 94L showing some signs of life
Bryan Norcross: Atlantic tropical disturbance Invest 94L showing some signs of life

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time14 hours ago

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Yahoo is using AI to generate takeaways from this article. This means the info may not always match what's in the article. Reporting mistakes helps us improve the experience. Yahoo is using AI to generate takeaways from this article. This means the info may not always match what's in the article. Reporting mistakes helps us improve the experience. Yahoo is using AI to generate takeaways from this article. This means the info may not always match what's in the article. Reporting mistakes helps us improve the experience. Generate Key Takeaways Updated at 9 a.m. ET Monday, July 21, 2025 The disturbance we've been following in the tropical Atlantic has perked up a little. The National Hurricane Center has tagged it Invest 94L. They still have its odds of developing into at least a tropical depression in the low category, but they've increased them slightly. The atmospheric conditions immediately ahead are reasonably conducive to tropical development. They would be very conducive if there wasn't so much dry air nearby. Saharan dust blankets the ocean just north of and around the disturbance. The system's best chance of developing is tonight. By late tomorrow, as the disturbance is approaching the Caribbean, the upper-level winds will increase, and no further development is expected. Most likely, the system will move across the islands as a gusty moisture surge late tomorrow or Wednesday. In the meantime, however, it could organize enough to be designated a tropical depression, with a very slight chance that it briefly becomes Tropical Storm Dexter. Invest 94L is the first in a series of robust disturbances moving off Africa. Saharan dust plumes are still thick, but gaps are allowing some thunderstorms to develop within the clusters of moisture. On average, Saharan dust begins to wane late in July, although its schedule varies year to year. Some long-range computer forecasts indicate that the next systems in the wave train moving across the Atlantic will be a little more robust than we have seen. This is expected, of course, with August right around the corner. Just like the week before last, a front is going to die out across North Florida in a few days. A low-pressure area is forecast to develop along the old front and track west across the northern Gulf. There is no sign of tropical development at this point, but we'll keep an eye on it. In any case, it will bring another round of heavy rain to the Gulf Coast and the Florida Peninsula. On average, this part of July is slow in the tropics, so nothing unusual is going on. The traditional start of the busy part of the hurricane season is Aug. 20. There's no reason to think that this season isn't going to ramp up on schedule. Original article source: Bryan Norcross: Atlantic tropical disturbance Invest 94L showing some signs of life

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