
EXCLUSIVE Confident Kemi says: 'We can beat the SNP in constituencies across the country... anything can happen'
Kemi Badenoch has insisted the Scottish Conservatives could beat the SNP in constituencies up and down the country at the Holyrood election next year.
The UK Tory leader suggested the party would take the fight to the Nationalists at the 2026 parliamentary vote, adding: 'Anything can happen.'
In an interview with The Mail, Ms Badenoch said the Scottish Conservatives - led by her colleague Russell Findlay - could make gains beyond their traditional supporter base in the North East and in the Scottish Borders.
It comes as in a speech to the party's conference at Murrayfield, Edinburgh, on Saturday Mr Findlay laid bare his ambitious plans to oust First Minister John Swinney from his Perthshire North constituency - as well as SNP MSPs in Ayr and Moray.
Last night, Ms Badenoch said the party's position on repealing Labour 's 'family farm tax', the energy profits levy and its strong position on the ' gender debate' offered a clear alternative to voters.
The UK leader - who replaced Rishi Sunak in November - said: 'I think there's very, very clear blue water between us and the SNP between us and Labour...the Conservative Party is very clear on what its offer is.'
Such optimism was palpable in her Friday speech to conference delegates on Friday, during which she said the party needed to bring about the SNP's 'electoral defeat'.
Asked if she truly believed the Scottish Conservatives were able to beat the SNP in the Holyrood election, she said: 'Yes, anything can happen'.
She continued: 'People look at what's happening in a particular moment, and assume it's always going to be like that.
'But we're not going to beat them by joining with them. We're going to beat them by having a better offer.'
Such fighting talk comes despite a Survation poll in May suggesting the Tories are likely to return fewer MSPs than Nigel Farage's Reform party at the Holyrood vote next year.
According to projections from Professor Sir John Curtice the SNP would return 58 seats and the Conservatives fewer than half their current group, returning 13 MSPs compared to its current crop of 30.
Reform, meanwhile, would move into second place as the main opposition party on 21 seats.
A recent litmus test of Tory support, the Hamilton by-election, saw the party slip into fourth place behind Reform - and was viewed by some pundits as evidence that Mr Farage's party posed an existential threat to the Tories' electoral fortunes.
Mr Findlay yesterday dismissed what he labelled as 'pointy head' pollsters, which he said had been proven wrong in the past.
And while Ms Badenoch is keenly aware of the rise in popularity of Reform - even warning in her speech to conference at the end of last week that Mr Farage is a threat to the Union because he does not care about more SNP rule - she insisted that 'everybody is a competitor' ahead of the 2026 Scottish Parliament election.
She said: 'We live in a multi party era; we're going to be fighting for every single vote; we're not singling any party out.'
However, unable to resist being drawn on how she might describe the First Minister John Swinney in three words, the UK Tory leader was characteristically robust.
'Not. An. Option,' she said.
Both Ms Badenoch and Mr Findlay hope a display of humility and contrition to voters over mistakes made in government is key to boosting support for the party.
Asked how she can prove to Scottish voters who appear to have switched to Reform that they need the Scottish Tories, Ms Badenoch said: 'By winning back their trust, and we will do that by being very honest about where we made mistakes.
She said: 'The windfall tax [on oil and gas company profits] was one example.
'I often use immigration as another. We've come up with a whole new set of policies on immigration - which are much tougher - stopping people who have not contributed in our society from getting benefits, which act as a pull factor; not making British citizenship so easy to get, which is another pull factor.
'So we are changing our policy - but we're being very honest, in a way that the other parties simply are not being.'
She added: 'The way we win is by rebuilding trust, winning back that trust, but showing who we are, what we stand for, whose side we're on and having an offer that's actually going to work.'
On Saturday, in his first major conference speech since becoming Scottish Tory leader, Mr Findlay said he was an 'optimist' and that he was 'not prepared to accept doom and gloom'.
Speaking of his party's hopes to win the First Minister's Perthshire North seat, he teased: 'Wouldn't that be some prize? Swinney paying the price for his abysmal record.'
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The Herald Scotland
an hour ago
- The Herald Scotland
FM funding row as £90m for Scots jobs given to firm going to England
It came against a background of the Scottish Government being criticised for the levels of support for bus manufacturing. According to Scottish Government records, ADL received £58m of public 'subsidy' for green vehicles since 2020 under two schemes aimed at transitioning Scotland to green buses - despite the company having embarked on a 2020 plan to axe a third of its Scottish workforce. And some £30m of jobs grants for research and development over 10 years has come from the Scottish Government's economic development agency Scottish Enterprise. Some £11.2m of those jobs grants from Scottish Enterprise came in 2023, three years after concerns were raised over ADL embarking on major job cuts in 2020. By the time the 2020 jobs cut was in place ADL had already received over £8m in 'job securing' taxpayer funding which was promoted as supporting building a new greener business in Scotland. It has led to calls for action to be taken to claw grant money back. READ MORE by Martin Williams: A Scottish Enterprise source said: "The company is aware of Scottish Enterprise's right to potentially reclaim funding where the terms and conditions of a grant contract are not upheld." The relationship between Alexander Dennis and the SNP can be traced back to 2013 when then First Minister Alex Salmond and then deputy first minister Nicola Sturgeon used its Falkirk base to launch the economic case for Scottish independence. In 2016, millions in taxpayer's cash was given to Alexander Dennis which at the time was closely linked with major SNP donor and Scottish tycoon Sir Brian Souter, despite having recorded an £18.5m profit the previous year. Video: The First Minister and Deputy First Minister set out the economic case for Scottish independence in 2013 at the Alexander Dennis's Falkirk plant The First Minister said last week that the SNP minority government would do "everything it can" to support the workers saying he was "deeply concerned" that the firm planned to move its full operation to a site in Scarborough, North Yorkshire, putting 400 jobs at factories in Falkirk and Larbert at risk. ADL, which said the move would lower costs and "increase efficiency" said that current UK policy "does not allow for the incentivisation or reward of local content, job retention and creation, nor does it encourage any domestic economic benefit". It has emerged that the First Minister had been pushing for support for the company for nearly a year after a row blew up over levels of support. An official note of a meeting between Mr Swinney and representatives of Alexander Dennis as recently as August of last year revealed that there were plans for earlier restructuring with the prospect of redundancies. The note said that Mr Swinney had "reflected on the importance of ADL to Scotland, assuring NFI [ADL's parent company] of the Scottish Government's support for ADL". According to the record, seen by The Herald, at the meeting Paul Soubry, president and chief executive of NFI told Mr Swinney that they were "at a crossroads for investment decision-making given a lack of assured demand and sought clarity on the Scottish Government's prioritisation of support for domestic bus manufacturing". The First Minister "noted the potential for further capital support should be explored". Alba Party leader Kenny MacAskill said the job losses were "unacceptable" and added: "If public money was paid out and they go then the funds must be returned. It was for supporting the jobs and community. "It's absurd to be losing this skilled work and leading technology in the place which should be the epicentre and hub. Its industrial vandalism and indicative of a lack of an industrial strategy." A row between ministers and ADL emerged over levels of support and had it roots in Scottish Government schemes launched from 2020 to accelerate the use and manufacture of zero and low emission buses in Scotland and 'help drive a green recovery out of the Covid pandemic" which have been worth a total of £155.8m to date. Frustrations emerged after May, 2023 when Alexander Dennis hosted the second phase of the Scottish Government's Zero Emissions Bus Challenge Fund (ScotZEB) which was to have funding worth £58m. It also showcased its Enviro100EV concept, a lightweight single-deck zero-emission bus with new in-house battery powertrain confirmed that grant backing accelerated its development. The fund was established to "disrupt the bus and coach market" and allow operators the chance to make the move to zero-emission vehicles. Then First Minister Nicola Sturgeon visited ADL's Falkirk plant in a trip which coincided with Scottish Enterprise providing a £7.3m million research and development grant (Image: ADL) And a Scottish Government memo to the deputy first minister Kate Forbes a year later states that Alexander Dennis had initially accepted that the Scottish Government's direct investment in ScotZEB would "underpin and grown the 500+ green Scottish jobs it supports". But it revealed that a subsequent series of letters were received from ADL and NFI raising concerns about the outcome of ScotZEB and wider Scottish Government support of bus manufacturing. "The company claims that the ScotZEB outcome will have a catastrophic impact on the business." It said the letters compare the Scottish Government's approach to funding programmes, subsidy control and Fair Work First "unfavourably with policies of other governments to protect their domestic manufacturing base". But the memo said that ADL had received orders for 363 zero-emission buses from ScotZEB more than any other manufacturer benefitting from the schemes. A separate briefing states that Alexander Dennis was awarded only 17% or 44 buses from second phase of the programme. According to Scottish Government records ADL received £58m of public 'subsidy' for green vehicles under the four phases of the low and zero emission bus schemes A significant grant through the ScotZeb 2 programme was awarded to Zenobe, and its consortium of bus and coach operators to support the transition of bus fleets to electric. ADL, which incurred total losses over three years of £44.9m between 2021 and 2023, made its own bid to the programme but was unsuccessful. While ADL was a supplier to the successful consortium it was not a formal part of it. The note said that ADL had "praised support from Scottish Enterprise" it added that the First Minister had "assured the company of the support available for its continuing investment in Scotland". By September, 2024 a further call between the First Minister and NFI and ADL showed that Mr Swinney advised and asked that Scottish Enterprise "exhaust all options to support the business". And a note of the meeting cleared by Mr Swinney stated that he requested that "all options are exhausted before any final decision is taken by ADL". By then, Alexander Dennis had already benefited from a raft of taxpayer-funded grants and support from the Scottish Government. In the same year of the ScotZeb2 launch, Scottish Enterprise sanctioned a £13.2m grant on top of £49.7m ADL investment into the development of zero emissions technology for the creation of new battery-electric and hydrogen fuel powertrains - the systems designed to propel vehicles forward. Some £11.2m was drawn down. Alexander Dennis president and managing director Paul Davies (2nd from left) and then transport minister Kevin Stewart (centre) with Alexander Dennis apprentices as the bus company launched ScotZEB2 (Image: ADL) At that point Alexander Dennis said it was repurposing its Larbert plant to make it a "manufacturing centre of excellence' for the production of zero-emission buses. The plant had successfully piloted hydrogen-electric and said it was expanding to battery-electric full production from August 2023. Three years earlier Scottish Enterprise sanctioned a further £10m grant on top of £29m Alexander Dennis investment into the development of zero and ultra-low emission buses in Scotland. In September, 2016, £7.3m of public money was given by Scottish Enterprise to accelerate Alexander Dennis's expansion of its low-carbon vehicle programme. It was at the time the largest research and development grant in the quango's history and came despite the manufacturer recording an £18.5m profit the previous year. One of the company's chief shareholders at the time was Stagecoach tycoon Sir Brian Souter - a major financial supporter of the Scottish National Party. Alex Salmond and Nicola Sturgeon launched their 2013 economic case for Scottish independence at Alexander Dennis coach builders in Falkirk. (Image: NQ) That was before NFI took over the Scottish firm for £320m in May, 2019 and announced it wanted to hit a sales trajectory of £1 billion for the coach and bus maker, including expansion in Scotland. Both ADL chief executive Colin Robertson and Michael Stewart, chief financial officer, stayed on to continue the work done in Falkirk and Larbert. Scottish Enterprise said the £7.3m taxpayer boost would "help increase their innovation, research and development and global reach". It helped Alexander Dennis set up a £30m development and product market programme to allow the launch of the eco-friendly Enviro400XLB, its highest capacity bus for the UK market, in conjunction with Lothian Buses. Scottish Enterprise lauded the launch of the green bus manufactured in Falkirk saying it was "securing jobs and adding value to the Scottish economy directly and via the extensive local supply chain". "This accelerated our growth much faster," said Mr Robertson at the time. Then First Minister Nicola Sturgeon described Alexander Dennis as a "true Scottish success story". She added: "ADL's continued commitment to invest in Scotland is testament to the skilled workforce here in Falkirk." Mr Robertson handed over the first bus to Lothian managing director Richard Hall on November 8, 2018 in a ceremony at the manufacturer's Falkirk plant that was attended by transport secretary Michael Matheson, and representatives of Scottish Enterprise and Transport Scotland. One worker told the Herald that the cuts were a "bolt from the blue", described the jobs threat as "horrendous" but said he would now be seeking employment elsewhere because the future looked "bleak". "I haven't slept since being informed my job was at risk and while I think everything should be done to keep it open, I just wonder whether it will be the case because the fear will be that even with further support, the move to England will just rear its head in the future," he said. "I won't be hanging around to find out because I'm not sure more support would be coming under the circumstances or will even be sufficient. I will take my redundancy cash and get out if I can." ADL was established in 2004 when a consortium of Scottish entrepreneurs led by Mr Souter and including Dame Ann Gloag (Souter's sister), Sir Angus Grossart and Sir David Murray acquired the business from Trans Bus International's administrators. A Scottish Enterprise spokesman said: 'Scottish Enterprise has had a strong strategic partnership with Alexander Dennis Limited for more than 10 years, during which time we have supported technology development, skills and cultural transformation at the company. We have recently been working closely with Alexander Dennis Limited to explore a range of possible options. We remain fully committed to continuing to work with the company during the consultation period to try and find a positive solution, despite the challenging circumstances. 'This is a deeply concerning time for the workforce and along with our public sector partners we will continue discussions on how best to support them at this difficult time.' Deputy first minister Kate Forbes said: 'The absolute focus right now is on supporting Alexander Dennis Ltd its workforce, as well as the families and communities they support. We also recognise the significance of the company within the local economy and across the wider supply chain. 'The Scottish Government has committed to exploring all viable options throughout the consultation period to allow the firm to retain their hard-working employees and manufacturing and production facilities at Falkirk and Larbert. 'We will continue to work in close collaboration with the company, trade unions, Scottish Enterprise, Transport Scotland and the UK Government.' Alexander Dennis was approached for comment.


Scotsman
an hour ago
- Scotsman
Should Holyrood have a second chamber like the House of Lords?
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Scotsman
an hour ago
- Scotsman
Scottish politics isn't necessarily as bitter and divided as it seems
Sign up to our daily newsletter – Regular news stories and round-ups from around Scotland direct to your inbox Sign up Thank you for signing up! Did you know with a Digital Subscription to The Scotsman, you can get unlimited access to the website including our premium content, as well as benefiting from fewer ads, loyalty rewards and much more. Learn More Sorry, there seem to be some issues. Please try again later. Submitting... I have a confession to make. It's not something I'm proud of, because who would be, but it is something you should know. I am English. I understand it's a shock, especially if you've somehow missed our video content, award-winning podcast and my appearances on whichever broadcaster will have me. Advertisement Hide Ad Advertisement Hide Ad A saltire flag and Union Jack flutter in the wind. Picture: JeffIt means, nearly five years ago, I came to Scottish politics with things to learn. I was an experienced journalist in Westminster, but had not lived the Scottish experience. I merely adopted Scotland, I wasn't born in it. Moulded in it. As such, aside from my extensive reading as a dedicated student of the game, my expectations were it would not be like any other patch. The views on both sides of the independence debate were too entrenched, the vitriol felt was too strong, the wounds were too deep. Now, as I walk off into what I hope is a sunset, I can tell you I was wrong. Advertisement Hide Ad Advertisement Hide Ad Scottish politics isn't nearly as bitter and divided as it can seem at times, especially online. Working in Westminster, I see the loudest and most vocal critics of each side having a beer together in Parliament. I listen to SNP MPs talking about trips they've been on with Tories, and the funny experiences they won't share publicly 'til they leave Parliament. Following issues that go beyond the debate of the day, I witness Labour working with the SNP, and hear of rivals having a regular snooker game. Alexander Brown has been here since Boris Johnson was Prime Minister | Getty Images More importantly, they're just nice. It's nowhere near as tribal as you think. I've routinely been called a Sturgeonista (despite my accent) or a Tory stooge online and, while I'm grateful for balance, it's also not representative of what politics is. Advertisement Hide Ad Advertisement Hide Ad These people don't hate each other. They aren't arguing with each other in comment sections. Sometimes the outrage is simply manufactured, playing to the gallery encouraging people to lose their minds, shortly before going for tea in the Parliament canteen. I'd add that given how biased everyone feels the media is, we sure do spend a lot of our time speaking to all the different parties. In short, Scottish politics, despite the myth of Scottish exceptionalism, is not that dissimilar to politics in the rest of the UK. Sure, there's an independence debate, but the main issues facing the country are the NHS, education, the green transition, access to rural services. Other than the ferries' farce, it's basically the same. Now you can argue that independence could fix those, but it's still the same problems as down here. That's not an argument for unionism, just a reminder that what happens in Westminster really does matter. To paraphrase one of the few successful, albeit accidental separatists, we're all in this together. Advertisement Hide Ad Advertisement Hide Ad My other main takeaway is that despite these shared values, successive UK administrations have still been a bit scared of Scotland. No prime minister has done a sit-down. Ministers avoid doing huddles in case they're caught out. You deserve better and it's appalling this has not changed since I started. This is all a long-winded way of saying I'm leaving The Scotsman, but my love of Scotland is going nowhere.