
Could robotics and timber tackle Britain's housing challenges?
With the British government committed to building 300,000 new homes a year, some housebuilders say that the combination of technology and green materials could help them to overcome challenges from skills shortages to environmental targets.
England lags many similar economies in terms of the share of housing accounted for by timber-framed homes. Britain as a whole, meanwhile, is among the slowest adopters of robotics, especially in construction, according to the National Robotarium research institute at Heriot-Watt University.
"We're seeing more major housebuilders and small and medium-sized builders embracing timber as a way to ... overcome the skills and carbon challenge," said Alex Goodfellow, CEO of Donaldson Timber Systems (DTS).
His business makes timber-frame structures for homes and commercial buildings, including walls, floors and roofs, then sends them to housebuilders for assembly.
Its automated production makes for less labour-intensive housebuilding and provides a faster, cheaper and more sustainable alternative to bricks, stone or concrete blocks, the company says.
A study by construction surveyors and consultancy Rider Levett Bucknall showed that building with timber is 2.8 per cent cheaper than with masonry.
FASTER CONSTRUCTION
The DTS factory in Witney, near Oxford in southeast England, makes timber panelling for about 100 homes a week with designs entered digitally using artificial intelligence, reducing the need for paper drawings.
DTS says its robotics and lasers enable it to produce pre-assembled sections builders can put together quickly on site. The technology reduces the time needed to build a home by about 10 weeks compared with traditional materials, Goodfellow says.
Yet barriers remain to any significant increase in timber homes in England.
Amit Patel at the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors said the material is not commonly used in England because of difficulties in securing warranties for timber buildings owing to durability concerns.
Barratt Homes tried to revive timber usage in the 1980s, but sales were undermined by potential rot and fire vulnerabilities.
Andrew Orriss of the Structural Timber Association says that such concerns have been addressed by current building regulation and the STA's fire safety guide.
He says that the off-site timber construction sector could help to deliver about a third of the government's target of 300,000 new homes per year - a level not achieved in England since the 1970s.
Official government figures show that almost 200,000 new homes were built in England in 2023/24 and the Structural Timber Association said that approximately 40,500 of those were timber-frame homes.
Builders including Vistry and Taylor Wimpey have opened or plan to open their own timber-frame manufacturing factory while Bellway plans to use timber in a third of its housing projects by 2030.
Reduced environmental impact is another benefit touted by companies.
GREENER AND LEANER?
Simon Park, head of sustainability at Bellway, said timber absorbs and stores more carbon than it emits and that Bellway's analysis shows breeze blocks - made from concrete and known as cinder blocks in the U.S. - are the biggest carbon emitters among common building materials.
Countering that, however, is the origin of the raw materials. About 80 per cent of timber used in the UK is imported, mainly from European countries, while roughly 20 per cent of its brick supply is imported.
Concerns also remain over mortgage availability for timber homes, which is likely to improve if the government signals a move towards timber construction, said Riz Malik, mortgage broker at independent financial adviser R3 Wealth.
An ageing workforce, meanwhile, highlights the need for more robotics. About a fifth of construction workers in the UK are over 50, according to the Home Builders Federation, with 25 per cent of those set to retire in the coming decade.
The government pledged 40 million pounds ($54 million) in June for robotics adoption hubs across various sectors, but Maurice van Sante, senior economist for construction at bank ING, says Britain's construction industry is far behind other countries in robotics use.
ING estimates that there were 1.5 robots for every 10,000 construction workers in Europe in 2023, against 0.6 in the U.S. and 0.5 in the UK.
As well as filling labour shortages directly, robotics opens up other employment opportunities, says DTS manufacturing director Frank O'Reilly, adding that the company has attracted more interest from tech-savvy younger workers since the factory's introduction of automation and robotics.
"It (the technology) encourages young people to consider this as a career," he said.
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Tellingly, the very people meant to bring the new capital to life, Jakarta's civil servants, were reluctant to relocate. A survey in 2019 showed that 94 per cent of public workers said that they would rather resign or apply for early retirement than move to the new city. Indonesia passed a law in 2022 which serves as a basis for the construction of a new capital as well as a guideline on how the new capital should be managed and designed. The law, however, stipulates that when the move will commence is to be detailed further in a presidential decree, which hasn't been signed by the president, despite expectations that it would be done shortly after Prabowo was sworn into office last October. 'Prabowo realised that the project is quite controversial and public support for the project is not all that great,' Siti Zuhro, a political expert at the Indonesian Research and Innovation Agency (BRIN), told CNA. 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'The current government clearly wants to prioritise its own programmes ... which also require a massive amount of funds at the expense of legacy programmes from the previous administration,' said Adi Prayitno, a political expert from Jakarta's Syarif Hidayatullah State Islamic University. IMPACT ON INVESTORS The hefty price tags of these programmes meant there was less for the Nusantara project. While Jokowi poured 89 trillion rupiah (US$5.5 billion) into Nusantara's development between 2022 and 2024, Prabowo has pledged only 48.8 trillion rupiah between 2025 and 2029. Government funding for the megaproject was put on hold between January and April this year as Prabowo introduced a series of austerity measures to free up billions of dollars needed for his flagship programmes and policies. Senior officials close to Prabowo had to reaffirm in recent weeks the government's commitment to relocate the capital by around 2029, after the National Democratic Party (NasDem) urged it to clarify its policy direction. NasDem, one of only two political parties outside of Prabowo's big-tent coalition, had called on the president to either speed up the issuance of the relocation decree, or suspend the project entirely. Meanwhile, a coalition member, the National Awakening Party, called for the project not to be 'left idle for too long', while the Democratic Party – also part of the coalition – said development could be accelerated by having some ministries begin to operate there. During a parliamentary hearing on Jul 30, Basuki Hadimuljono, head of the Nusantara Capital Authority, said his office has completed 'phase one' of Nusantara construction and will soon be moving to 'phase two'. Phase one of the project includes building a presidential palace, offices for 15 ministries and 47 apartment towers for thousands of civil servants. It also includes basic infrastructure like fresh water supply, a sanitation system and electricity supply. Basuki said for the second phase, his office will start working on offices for the parliamentary and judiciary branches of the government along with 97 apartment towers and a solar farm. This phase is expected to be completed in 2029. In total, there are five phases planned stretching all the way to 2045, Indonesia's 100th year celebration. State Secretary Minister Prasetyo Hadi said on Aug 4 that Prabowo is still committed to 'building Nusantara as fast as possible' after he announced this year's Independence Day celebration would be in Jakarta. Prabowo, he said, is waiting for the completion of buildings for all branches of the government before signing a decree formalising the capital's move. 'Based on our estimate, over the next three years all the facilities needed to run the functions of a government, be they executive, legislative and judiciary, will be completed. These are the facilities which we feel must be available before the president signs a decree on moving the capital,' the minister said. But the lack of investors remains an obstacle, observers said. The government wanted private investors to foot most of the US$35 billion cost to build Nusantara from the ground up. But as of April, only 42 companies, mostly Indonesia-based, agreed to put money in Nusantara and build schools, hospitals and other facilities worth a total of US$3.8 billion. There are investors who have pledged to contribute to the project but have not signed any formal agreement, let alone begin construction. Among them is Prabowo's brother Hashim Djojohadikusumo, who promised to build a US$330 million water treatment and distribution network. Hashim made the pledge in 2022 but there is no sign yet that the project is moving forward. On Aug 2, Hashim announced that his company, Arsari Group, would be supplying water to the nearby city of Balikpapan instead but told reporters he is still ready to extend his water network to Nusantara if needed. 'Investors would want a guarantee that the capital move will indeed happen. That (guarantee) can come in the form of a decree formalising the capital move or the government putting in more money to show just how serious they are,' said Djayadi Hanan, executive director of think-tank Indonesian Survey Institute (LSI). 'But none of this is happening right now.' Any significant change in plans for Nusantara will hurt investor confidence, he said. 'Investors will be more careful about putting money in Indonesia because backing away from a project of this magnitude sends a message that Indonesia is not a place where policies are consistent and commitments are honoured,' Djayadi said. A positive signal, military experts recently told CNA, is Indonesia's deployment of the recently-purchased KHAN short-range ballistic missile system in East Kalimantan, near the future capital. Although Indonesia has not confirmed the deployment is related to the capital move, military experts said the location would make it ideal for defending one of Indonesia's most important shipping routes and the future seat of government from a range of threat scenarios including potential long-range precision missile strikes. NEW CAPITAL OR 'GHOST TOWN'? Delaying the relocation to Nusantara will have political implications for Prabowo in terms of his relationship with Jokowi and his proximity to Indonesia's political elites, experts said. Unless all of the parties in his coalition agree to move their headquarters from Jakarta to the new capital, moving to Nusantara would keep Prabowo away from the de facto political centre of Indonesia, they noted. Prabowo cannot afford to stay too far from his circle of political elites if he wants to run for re-election in 2029, but delaying the move would mean displeasing his political patron Jokowi, who still has legions of loyal supporters, they said. 'Prabowo rose to power because of Jokowi's support, which led many of Jokowi's fans to vote for Prabowo. If Prabowo can show that he can be as popular as Jokowi through his populist programmes, he might go against Jokowi's wishes and not move the capital,' Hendri Satrio, a political expert from Jakarta's Paramadina University, told CNA. 'Prabowo has also appointed Jokowi's loyalists to strategic positions. So I think Prabowo's popularity in the eyes of Jokowi supporters will be maintained.' It is too early to say how Jokowi will react if Prabowo backtracks on his promise to continue the legacy project, Hendri said. One option is to have his son, current Vice President Gibran Rakabuming Raka, break away from Prabowo and contest the 2029 presidential election on his own. 'But of course (Jokowi) will make a political calculation of his own and see what the chances of Gibran defeating Prabowo in the election are - unless, of course, Prabowo decides to run with a different running mate,' Hendri said. Despite promises from Prabowo's camp to sign a decree once a parliamentary complex and court houses are completed, experts are still unsure if he will move the capital eventually. 'Prabowo could still argue that the new capital is not ready and more needs to be done,' said Adi of Syarif Hidayatullah State Islamic University. 'He has the final say and the criteria are completely subjective.' The future of Nusantara depends on what happens politically in the next three to four years, Hendri said. 'Will it truly become Indonesia's new capital or a ghost town? Only time will tell.'