Yankees vs. Red Sox odds, picks: MLB predictions, best bets Sunday
Gambling content 21+. The New York Post may receive an affiliate commission if you sign up through our links. Read our editorial standards for more information.
The Yankees will turn to their ace to get them a win at Fenway Park on Sunday afternoon.
Max Fried, who is currently the second-favorite to win the AL Cy Young Award behind Tarik Skubal, will get the ball, looking for his first win against the Red Sox as a member of the Yankees.
Fried has been sensational in his first season with the Bronx Bombers. The former Brave is 9-1 with a 1.84 ERA, 0.93 WHIP and a .198 batting average against.
The 31-year-old can rack up the strikeouts, but his success has been built on his pinpoint control.
Fried boasts one of the best walk rates in all of baseball, and his ability to induce ground balls makes him a master at wriggling off the hook.
Fried's underlying numbers suggest he should come back to earth, but there's nothing alarming in his predictive stats.
He's been as advertised and should give the Yanks a terrific chance to win Sunday against Brayan Bello and the Sox.
Brayan Bello has struggled with his control so far this season.
AP
Bello, too, is a master at inducing ground balls, but the rest of his statistical profile is ugly. His expected batting average against is .293, and his xERA is 5.25.
Bello's issues stem from a lack of control – he's walked 11 percent of the batters he's faced – without the ability to get strikeouts. That's a brutal combination against any offense, let alone the Yankees'.
Learn all you need to know about MLB Betting
The Yankees are the league's most patient offense, and they lead the Majors in home runs, so they will punish you for giving them extra outs.
Sometimes it's best to keep things simple, and in this case, that means a play on the Yankees to cover the run line, while also considering some alternate lines for the full game, or even in the first five innings.
The play: Yankees -1.5
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Michael Leboff is a long-suffering Islanders fan, but a long-profiting sports bettor with 10 years of experience in the gambling industry. He loves using game theory to help punters win bracket pools, find long shots, and learn how to beat the market in mainstream and niche sports.
Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles
Washington Post
an hour ago
- Washington Post
Brayan Bello, Rafael Devers lead Red Sox over Yankees 2-0 for 3-game sweep
BOSTON — Brayan Bello struck out eight over seven innings, Rafael Devers homered and Boston Red Sox beat the New York Yankees 2-0 on Sunday for a three-game sweep that extended their winning streak to five. Trevor Story added an RBI single for the Red Sox, who have won five straight over the Yankees since losing their first meeting this year. Boston's winning streak matched its season high.
CBS News
an hour ago
- CBS News
Brayan Bello, Rafael Devers lead Red Sox over Yankees 2-0 for 3-game sweep
By KEN POWTAK Associated Press Brayan Bello struck out eight over seven innings, Rafael Devers homered, and the Boston Red Sox beat the New York Yankees 2-0 on Sunday for a three-game sweep that extended their winning streak to five. Trevor Story added an RBI single for the Red Sox, who have won five straight over the Yankees since losing their first meeting this year. Boston's winning streak matched its season high. AL East-leading New York went 0 for 5 with runners in scoring position and was swept in a series for the first time this year, getting shut out for the third time. The Yankees' four runs matched their fewest in a three-game series at Fenway Park, from June 20-22, 1916, and from Sept. 28-30, 1922. Yankees slugger Aaron Judge went 1 for 12 in the series with a solo homer and nine strikeouts, dropping his major league-leading average to .378. He has struck out three or more times in three straight games for the third time in his big league career. Bello (3-1) gave up three hits, walked three and tossed a career-high 114 pitches. Garrett Whitlock escaped an eighth-inning jam and got the five outs for his first save. Devers homered just over the top edge of the Green Monster, making it 2-0 in the fifth against Max Fried (9-2). Devers has 31 homers against the Yankees since 2017, the most of any batter in that span. Story's single came after Romy Gonzalez tripled and did a face-plant on his head-first slide into third. Fried, who entered 7-0 with an 0.83 ERA in eight starts after a Yankees' loss, struck out nine over seven innings, allowing two runs and six hits. Key moment With runners on first and second and one out in the eighth, Judge bounced into a 5-4-3 DP against Whitlock. Key stat Boston's starters have gone at least six innings in six straight starts. Up next Yankees: RHP Clarke Schmidt (3-3, 3.60 ERA) is slated to start Monday's opener of a four-game series at home against the Los Angeles Angels and RHP José Soriano (4-5, 3.86). Red Sox: Open a nine-game West Coast trip Monday in Seattle when RHP Lucas Giolito (2-1, 5.45) starts against RHP Logan Gilbert (1-1, 2.37), who will be activated from the 15-day IL.
Yahoo
an hour ago
- Yahoo
Former Yankees Starter Could Be Perfect for Cubs
Former Yankees Starter Could Be Perfect for Cubs originally appeared on Athlon Sports. Jed Hoyer's hunt for a starting pitcher to replace Justin Steele has been at the forefront of Cubs' trade rumors. Many names have been tossed about, but there is one that hasn't received as much attention. Advertisement It's been a long time since Luis Severino was thought of as an elite arm. In 2017 and 2018, Severino pitched to ERAs of 2.98 and 3.39 respectively, becoming an ace for the New York Yankees. Unfortunately, injuries kept him off the field for most of the next four years. In 2023, Severino couldn't quite find his form, throwing to a 6.65 ERA in 89.1 innings before the Yankees finally reached the end of their patience. Just last season, Severino rebounded to an extent, finishing the season with a 3.91 ERA as a member of the Mets. Over the offseason, the A's decided to take a chance on him, signing him to a 3-year $67 million contract (player option of $22 million for 2027). Pitching to a 4.47 ERA this year, the 31-year-old righty doesn't seem to be the pitcher he once was, but looks can be deceiving. At home in his Sacramento minor-league park, Severino owns a miserable 7.10 ERA with an opponent batting average of .291, surrendering six home runs in 52 innings. On the road, these numbers drop to a 0.93 ERA, .194 opponent batting average and no home runs in 38.2 innings. Advertisement Perhaps, if Severino isn't stuck in a minor-league stadium, there is a chance he might thrive elsewhere. For the A's, who are definitely a seller, Severino could easily be a trade chip. And given his price tag when combined with an ERA in the mid-4.00s, it shouldn't take a hefty package to land him. For the Cubs, Severino could be an exceptional buy-low, change of scenery candidate. But regardless if he could tap into his ace potential at Wrigley, he would at least be a solid back-of-the-rotation anchor, giving the Cubs some upside over their other backend options. Either way, his presence with the Cubs would be an improvement. David Banks-Imagn Images This story was originally reported by Athlon Sports on Jun 15, 2025, where it first appeared.
