
Pollo Tropical: How Authentic Restaurants Brands Boosted Its Revenue
Pollo Tropical is now privately-owned, has 145 locations, based predominantly in Florida, and is ... More mostly company-owned, not franchised. Pictured is its Weston, Fl. location.
When Alex Macedo, the CEO of Authentic Restaurants Brands, which owns P.J. Whelihan, Mambo Seafood and Tavern in the Square among several brands and his team, studied Pollo Tropical, a Caribbean flame-grilled chicken chain, he saw, 'massive untapped growth potential.' So it acquired Pollo Tropical from the Fiesta Restaurant Group (NASDAQ: FRG) in 2023 and took the chain private.
By using its data analysis and operational strategies, it boosted Pollo Tropical's average unit volume by 15% its first-year, post-acquisition. Pollo Tropical is centered in Florida where 127 of its 145 locations are situated with an additional 18 across Puerto Rico and the Bahamas.
Unlike most restaurant chains these days, where franchising dominates and often leads to quick growth, it owns 122 of its outlets with only 23 franchised with 16 of those in Puerto Rico. Indeed 90 of its stores are based in the Miami, Fort Lauderdale, West Palm Beach environs.
Macedo said Pollo Tropical possessed all the attributes that it pursues in an acquisition including 'high-volume and high-margins with strong regional relevance and long-term staying power.'
Although Authentic Restaurant Brands (ARB) is owned by NYC-based private equity company Garnett Station Partners, Macedo explains that ARB are 'restaurant operators, which sets us apart when we acquire new businesses' and don't have a quick buy then sell mentality. He acknowledges, however that 'at some point they will sell.'
Both Macedo and Dirk Montgomery, CEO of Pollo Tropical, are based in Miami, which Montgomery says provides them a 'tactile feel for all the restaurants because we're here.' Visiting outlets unannounced enables Montgomery to see in an 'unfiltered way, whether guests are taken care of, where the manager is focusing and whether his eyes are on the guest.'
Its 2 Strategies To Boost Revenue
To boost revenue, Macedo explained that its two main strategies were to extend its hours and simplify its menu. Since drive-thru purchases constitute 50% of its sales, a strong portion of its revenue stems from dining during peak times. But half the orders were customized, which slowed down the line and often led to customers driving away, unwilling to wait.
In addition, because of Covid most Pollo Tropical outlets reduced their hours and closed at 10:30 p.m. and kept those hours post-Covid but its new ownership extended them until midnight. Macedo said 'the demand later in the evening contributed to boosting revenue to approximately a 3% increase in same-store sales.'
Simplify, Simplify
Its data engineers analyzed the menu and ordering patterns, identified top selling menu items, and simplified its' offerings. The streamlined menu contributed to speeding up the lines, amounting to a 15-second improvement in service times, which Macedo says, 'had a huge impact given how high-volume our locations are.'
Why does that 15-second speed-up make such a difference? Macedo says when most people see 12 cars on line, they drive out quickly, so speeding up the line promotes more business and a superior customer experience.
It also launched a whole new line of chicken sandwiches and a TV campaign promoting its $19.95 family chicken dinner, consisting of 8 pieces of chicken, rice and 2 sides, that would cost $25 to $27 at other chicken chains, Macedo notes. 'It's a huge value driver,' he concludes.
Leave The Culture Alone
Asked what it did to change Pollo Tropical's culture, Macedo replied that it 'wasn't looking to change the culture, as that is what drew us to them in the first place. We bring operational expertise, resources and proven best practices to help teams execute at even a higher level.'
Hence, CEO Montgomery says the menu revolves around two main items: freshly grilled chicken and black beans and rice. The quarter or half grilled chicken is marinated for 24-hours in citrus juices and spices, then flame-grilled and the black beans and rice personify a classic Latino dish.
Montgomery adds that while many chains offer fried chicken dishes, which aren't healthy, its chicken is lightly charred and 'aligns well with today's more health-conscious consumer seeking grilled over fried proteins.'
On Yelp some of Pollo Tropical's clientele in Miami, Fl. echoed Montgomery's sentiments. Stephanie from Miami wrote that it offers a 'semi-healthier version of fast food than getting your usual burger or fried chicken nuggets. Their flavors seem to be on point.' And she noted that she has never waited more than 5 minutes through the drive-thru.
Kevin from Manchester, Ct. described dining at Pollo Tropical in Miami as a 'Cuban Boston Market. They serve up chicken, pork and other meats with Cuban sandwiches and rice and beans. And the price was very cheap, a meal with a quarter chicken cost 11 bucks.'
Despite the growth in revenue, CEO Montgomery says don't expect to see them opening new stores in 2025. 'We plan to be very selective,' he states, 'and open a small number of high-sales volume locations beginning in late 2026 or 2027. That will contribute to consistent revenue growth over the next few years.'
Why such slow growth? Macedo says that first it wanted to improve the guest experience, sales and bottom line, then they'll turn to opening new locations.
Staying within Florida, Macedo adds, helps with supply chain issues, staffing, and being in relative proximity to most outlets.
In fact, Macedo says, 'We're undeveloped in Florida,' suggesting that are many inland and coastal locations, north of Miami haven't been tapped yet. He admits that years down the road they may consider contiguous states beyond Florida's border. But that's long-term.
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May rally on rate-cut bets. If inflation remains sticky, yields could rise, hurting long-term Treasuries. 3 SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF BIL 5% Capital preservation and liquidity amid uncertainty of tariffs & data in next month. Very low volatility, stable yield. Opportunity cost if equities rally strongly. 4 Inc. AMZN 6% High-scoring megacap e-commerce and cloud. Could rebound if consumer spending remains decent and AWS demand persists. Scale, brand and diversified revenue streams. Potential shift to safer large-cap tech if conditions worsen. Supply-chain disruptions from tariffs, consumer slowdown. 5 Monolithic Power Systems Inc. MPWR 5% High-scoring semiconductor with AI & China angle. Potential bounce from oversold chip sector. Unique margin profile, rumored rare buy opportunity. Renewed U.S.-China tension, cyclical chip downturn. 6 American Tower Corp. AMT 5% REIT with strong telecom/data-center growth. Pullback could offer upside if yields stabilize. 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Potential bounce if mortgage rates dip or Fed signals pivot in early May. Housing supply tight. Fed-pivot hopes can spark a near-term rally. If inflation doesn't cool or economy slows significantly, builders could tank. 11 Visa Inc. V 4% Leading payment network with secular digital-payment tailwinds. Adds noncyclical growth. High ROE, stable transaction fees, less capital risk vs. banks. Prolonged consumer-spending slowdown or cross-border travel disruptions. 12 iShares TIPS Bond ETF TIP 6% Hedge vs. stubborn inflation, diversifier from nominal Treasurys. If inflation remains higher, TIPS can outperform plain Treasuries. If inflation prints keep dropping, TIPS could lag nominal bonds in total return. 13 SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF XHB 4% Additional housing-related beta, includes home-improvement retailers, furnishing and building product firms. Diversified approach to housing ecosystem, can rally with lower rates. Sensitive to consumer confidence and Fed surprises. 14 Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF SCHD 8% Dividend-focused ETF with quality tilt. Adds stability and yield in uncertain macro environment. Defensive factor, historically outperforms in sideways markets. Could lag high-beta rally if markets surge on big growth/tech rebound. 15 Digital Realty Trust Inc. DLR 5% Data-center REIT, short-term correction could rebound if yields ease. Tech demand for data centers remains robust. Sector tailwinds from cloud and AI. 3%+ dividend, stable REIT structure. REIT interest-rate risk; slowdown in enterprise spending on data infrastructure. Total 90% GPT's 15 picks amounted to a 90% weighting. But the model showed that its weightings equaled 100%, a 10% flaw. Lopez-Lira asked GPT why the sum was 90%, and it responded that it intentionally left a 10% cash buffer due to uncertain market conditions. It's unclear whether the answer was truthful or intended to cover for its mistake. 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Consumer-spending slowdown hits e-commerce. 15 S&P Global Inc. SPGI 4% Critical data/ratings provider in volatile markets; 27% margins. 'Essential utility' for institutional investors. High valuation (P/E 41.1) risks multiple compression. Total 99% DeepSeek's weightings fell short, amounting to 99%. When Lopez-Lira pointed that out, the AI responded with two possible reasons for the discrepancy. The first was that it could have been based on a rounding issue. The second was that it may have decided to keep a 1% cash allocation. The model could not confirm which option was the accurate reason for the decision. Like any investment strategy, there's risk involved, and past performance isn't guaranteed to continue, Lopez-Lira said. As long as the portfolios buy stocks or stick to long-only positions, he expects them to match the S&P 500's performance, or perhaps over- or underperform by a small margin. Though it's important to note that rotating stocks on a monthly basis outside a tax-advantaged account could lead to tax liabilities for short-term capital gains, which are taxed at a higher rate than assets held for over a year. While Lopez-Lira said his findings suggest AI can mimic the services professional portfolio managers provide, some analysts disagree. Michael Robbins, author of Quantitative Asset Management, noted that, while each model's investing strategy may look like it works, there's no way to know for certain. For example, in the new AI era, there hasn't been a massive stock-market crash or an event like the 2008 financial crisis to determine how an AI-led investment account would respond. You're perhaps thinking that humans are shaped by their own memories and experiences, too. But Robbins said that people live through those experiences. It means a person has navigated an event without foresight, perhaps even with a bit of intuition. Meanwhile, the machines are pretrained. That said, he would equate AI's skills to that of an investment manager who recently entered the workforce and is working from textbook knowledge. Additionally, he noted that while both humans and machines make mistakes, AI can hallucinate, causing it to make more extreme, and unacceptable, errors. It's also important to note that the three AI investment accounts on Autopilot only rebalance monthly, so they aren't able to react to any sudden changes. Finally, Lopez-Lira remains in the loop, overseeing the choices and making sure the appropriate information is considered. For that, he receives a small percentage of revenue from the subscriptions that have opted into the account. Lopez-Lira began managing ChatGPT's portfolio in September 2023. The returns, which are based on the aggregate results of client portfolios, are 43.5% from September 2023 to May 30, 2025, according to Autopilot. The S&P 500 had a total return of 34.7% over the same period, according to Dow Jones Market Data. In comparison, Grok's portfolio returned 2.3% since its inception on Feb. 11 of this year through May 30, according to Autopilot. The S&P 500 had a total return that was down 2.2% over the same period, according to Dow Jones Market Data. DeepSeek was down 0.25% since its inception on Feb. 3 through May 30, according to Autopilot. The S&P 500 had a negative total return of 0.93% for the same period, according to Dow Jones Market Data. 'I'm not wildly wealthy, but I've done well': I'm 79 and have $3 million in assets. Should I set up 529 plans for my grandkids? How do I make sure my son-in-law doesn't get his hands on my daughter's inheritance? Circle's stock is having another big day. What the blockbuster IPO has meant for other cryptocurrency plays. 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