
GBU-57A/B myth vs reality: Trump unsure about bunker busters blasting Iran's Fordow nuclear plant; Israel's gamble to drag US into war may fail
Tensions rise as Israel urges the US to use a powerful bomb against Iran's nuclear site. Donald Trump is hesitant, fearing wider conflict. Israel says Iran is enriching uranium for weapons. Fordow, the Iranian nuclear site, is heavily fortified. Israel lacks the means to strike it alone. The US worries about escalating the conflict. The situation threatens regional stability.
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Why Israel cannot act alone
The bunker buster: capabilities and technical limits
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Trump's reluctance and escalation risks
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As the Israel-Iran conflict escalates, US President Donald Trump faces mounting pressure from Israeli leaders to deploy America's most formidable non-nuclear weapon - the 30,000-pound GBU-57A/B Massive Ordnance Penetrator (MOP) - against Iran's Fordow uranium enrichment facility. Yet, Trump's skepticism about the bomb's real-world effectiveness and concerns over regional escalation have left the U.S. response in limbo, highlighting the limits of even the world's most advanced bunker-busting technology.Fordow, Iran's primary uranium enrichment site , is buried deep within a mountain near Qom, approximately 80 meters below ground and encased in layers of reinforced concrete and rock.Israel's arsenal lacks both the specialized munitions and the delivery platforms required to penetrate such formidable defenses. Specifically, Israel does not possess the B-2 Spirit stealth bombers needed to deploy the MOP, nor does it have any indigenous bomb capable of breaching Fordow's fortifications.Israeli intelligence has sounded the alarm, warning that Iran has resumed weapons-grade uranium enrichment and accelerated its 'weapons group' activities. The survival of Fordow, they argue, could allow Iran to develop nuclear warheads within months. This urgency has driven Israeli President Isaac Herzog to publicly urge international action, declaring, 'We must put an end to (Iran's) empire of terror… They need to cease being a rogue state.'The GBU-57A/B MOP is the apex of deep-penetration bomb design. Weighing nearly 14,000 kilograms (30,000 pounds) and measuring 6.2 meters (20.5 feet) in length, the bomb carries a warhead of over 2,400 kilograms (5,342 pounds) of high-performance explosives, encased in a dense steel alloy designed to withstand the stresses of deep impact.The MOP is guided by an advanced GPS/INS navigation system, ensuring precision within meters of its intended target. Its Large Penetrator Smart Fuze (LPSF) allows for depth-triggered detonation, with void-sensing technology to maximize destructive effect inside underground bunkers. The bomb's penetration capacity is formidable: it can breach up to 60 meters of 5,000 PSI reinforced concrete, 40 meters of hard rock, or 8 meters of 10,000 PSI ultra-reinforced concrete.Despite these specifications, the bomb's actual performance against a site like Fordow remains unproven. While the MOP has undergone successful flight and penetration tests in the U.S., it has never been used in combat, and its ability to destroy Fordow's most critical chambers is still theoretical.President Trump's hesitation is rooted in three main concerns.Trump's central question is whether the MOP can actually destroy Iran's most heavily fortified nuclear facility. Pentagon officials assure him of the bomb's capabilities, but the lack of combat data leaves room for doubt.Trump is wary that striking Fordow could entangle the U.S. in a prolonged Middle Eastern war, especially given Iran's threats of massive retaliation and the ongoing missile exchanges between Iran and Israel.'I have been asked about it by everybody but I haven't made a decision,' Trump stated, maintaining a posture of deliberate uncertainty.U.S. officials acknowledge Israel's request for a 'surgical strike' on Fordow but emphasize Trump's red line: 'The end game for us is simple: no nuke… if it's within reason.'The standoff is unfolding amid daily Iranian missile attacks on Israel since June 14, in retaliation for Israeli strikes that killed over 200 Iranians. Israel's initial offensive targeted Iran's air defenses and nuclear infrastructure, exploiting what intelligence officials described as a 'golden opportunity' amid Tehran's weakened proxy networks. The humanitarian toll is mounting, with at least 24 Israelis and over 250 Iranians killed so far.Israel's push for U.S. intervention hinges on convincing Trump that the MOP can decisively eliminate Fordow, a case he remains unconvinced of.As President Herzog put it, destroying Iran's nuclear sites is 'a bigger issue that the world should understand.'With Tehran vowing retaliation for any direct U.S. action, the stakes extend far beyond Fordow, threatening regional stability and global nonproliferation efforts.For now, Trump's hesitation underscores a pivotal truth: even the world's most powerful conventional bomb is useless without unambiguous confidence in its mission and a clear strategy for what comes after.
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First Post
18 minutes ago
- First Post
Did Modi's fact-check force Trump to make U-turn on India-Pakistan ceasefire credit?
Since May 10 — when India and Pakistan announced a ceasefire in hostilities — Donald Trump has on 14 different occasions claimed that he helped broker peace between the two nuclear-armed nations. However, in a press interaction on Wednesday, the US president changed his tune, crediting the countries' leaders for showing restraint. The reversal comes a day after PM Narendra Modi fact-checked the American president, saying India 'has never accepted mediation, does not accept it, and will never accept it' read more Trump for the first time in weeks, didn't take the credit for stopping the military conflict between India and Pakistan. File image/Reuters It's not often one witnesses Donald Trump making a U-turn on his statements. But on Wednesday (June 18), the US president shifted his tone and admitted that it was India and Pakistan that decided to end hostilities in May. On Wednesday, Trump speaking to reporters in the Oval Office after hosting a lunch for Pakistan's Army chief General Asim Munir said he was 'so happy that two smart people… decided not to keep going with that war. That could have been a nuclear war. Those are two nuclear powers, big ones, big, big nuclear powers, and they decided that'. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD This is quite a reversal from the past where the US president has taken credit for the de-escalation between India and Pakistan — Trump has boasted at least 14 times that he had brokered the peace. In some instances, he claimed that he had used trade with the US as a tool to get the two countries to hold fire. But how did we get there? Was it PM Modi's fact-check that led to Trump's change in stance or was it Munir's lunch? Trump's change of heart After weeks of loudly boasting of brokering peace between nuclear rivals India and Pakistan , Trump did a 180, crediting the two countries' leaders directly for ending the hostilities. In remarks to the media following his lunch with Pakistan's Army Chief General Asim Munir, Trump praised Prime Minister Narendra Modi and General Munir as 'very smart people', adding that they chose not to turn the conflict into a 'nuclear war'. 'They were both here, but I was with Modi a few weeks ago. He was here actually, but now we speak to him. And I'm so happy that two smart people, plus you know, people on their staff too, but two smart people, two very smart people decided not to keep going with that war. That could have been a nuclear war. Those are two nuclear powers, big ones, big, big nuclear powers, and they decided that,' Trump was quoted as saying. This is the first time in weeks when Trump did not take credit for stopping the military conflict between India and Pakistan. In fact, since May 10 — the day India and Pakistan stopped firing at each other — the US president has claimed at least 14 times that he had brokered the peace. On multiple occasions, Trump has said that he 'helped settle' the tension between the two neighbouring countries and claimed America would do a 'lot of trade' with them if they stopped the conflict. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD Earlier, speaking at the White House's Oval Office during a meeting with South African President Cyril Ramaphosa, Trump had said, 'If you take a look at what we just did with Pakistan and India. We settled that whole, and I think I settled it through trade.' Settled India, Pakistan issue with 'trade', says US President Donald Trump, pointing out that 'we are doing a big deal with India, Pakistan'; points,' Pakistan has great leader, & Modi is my friend' — Sidhant Sibal (@sidhant) May 21, 2025 Prior to this, while on his way back from his Saudi Arabia visit, Trump had said on board Air Force One, 'I didn't like what was happening. And you know, they're two very strongly nuclear countries, with very, very powerful amounts of nuclear, too, serious stuff… STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD 'And I did a good job. (Secretary of State) Marco (Rubio) did a good job, and (Vice President) JD (Vance) did a good job. We sort of were a team. And we, I think, convinced them to let's have peace and let's go and make trade deals. If we can make trade deals, we like that much better than nuclear weapons. And that was a great thing.' He also told a crowd of US military personnel in Qatar, 'I don't wanna say I did but I sure as hell helped settle the problem between Pakistan and India last week, which was getting more and more hostile and all of a sudden you'll start seeing missiles of a different type and we got it settled. I hope I don't walk out of here and two days later find out that it is not settled, but I think it is settled.' While addressing a crowd of U.S. military personnel in Qatar, US President Donald Trump reiterated his mediation efforts between India and Pakistan. He said: "I don't wanna say I did but I sure as hell helped settle the problem between Pakistan and India last week, which was… — Press Trust of India (@PTI_News) May 15, 2025 STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD Modi disputes Trump's version of events Interestingly, Trump's reversal comes hours after he asserted that he 'stopped the war' between India and Pakistan. This claim came despite the fact that Prime Minister Narendra Modi held a telephonic conversation with the US president and told him that India has never accepted mediation, does not accept it, and will never do so in the future. India's Foreign Secretary Vikram Misri revealing details about the phone call, which was held on Tuesday night, said that Modi clarified India's position to Trump. 'PM Modi clearly told President Trump that during this entire incident, at no time, at any level, were there any talks on issues like India-US trade deal or mediation between India and Pakistan through America,' said Misri. 'PM Modi stressed that India has never accepted mediation, does not accept it, and will never accept it.' POTUS @realDonaldTrump called PM @narendramodi. 🎥 Listen to Foreign Secretary Vikram Misri's statement on the telephone conversation. — Randhir Jaiswal (@MEAIndia) June 18, 2025 STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD Furthermore, Misri in his remarks said that PM Modi also reiterated the statement, 'Goli ka jawab gole se' to the US president. The official added that US president also invited Modi to stop over in the US. However, due to prior engagements, PM Modi had to decline the offer. Lunch with Pakistan's Munir Some observers also note that Trump's change in stance coincides with his lunch with Munir and believe that meeting with the Pakistani general may also have had something to do with Trump's change in stance. When asked the purpose of meeting with Munir, Trump said, 'Reason I had him here was I wanted to thank him for not going into the war and ending it.' The US president further added that he was honoured to meet Munir and the two had discussed Iran, which he said Pakistan knew better than most. 'They (Pakistani leadership) know Iran very well, better than most. They're not happy about anything. It's not that they're bad with Israel. They know them both actually, but they probably, maybe, they know Iran better, but they see what's going on and he agreed with me,' he told reporters. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD The White House also confirmed that the meeting was held in recognition of Munir's remarks lauding Trump's role in halting a potential escalation between the two nuclear-armed neighbours. Reasons for Trump doubling down on India-Pak claims But why is it that Trump until Wednesday continued to boast of his role in brokering peace between India and Pakistan? Most Trump analysts believe that it's part of a larger pattern with John Bolton, Trump's former national security advisor, telling ANI, 'It's nothing personal to India. This is Donald Trump, who takes credit for everything. 'It's typical of Trump because he would jump in before everyone else could take credit. It may be irritating, probably is irritating to many people, but it's nothing against India, it's just Trump being Trump.' It's also an attempt by the US president to reassert his image of a peacemaker. While campaigning for the US presidential elections in 2024, Trump had vowed to immediately stop the Ukraine and Russia war once he won. However, that promise remains unfulfilled. Furthermore, the Israel-Hamas war still rages on and he hasn't been able to stop it. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD Some also note that Trump's claims were his way of expressing his displeasure with India. As the Economic Times wrote that Trump may have view India's rebuttals as a personal affront rather than a routine diplomatic clarification. This may have bruised his ego, propelling him to restate the claim ever more publicly and forcefully. With inputs from agencies


New Indian Express
19 minutes ago
- New Indian Express
'Saw missiles, heard bombs, Tehran in ruins': Indian students recall Iran-Israel conflict horror
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Mint
20 minutes ago
- Mint
Israel-Iran Conflict: 'Ensuring smooth journey home,' CM Omar after evacuated students flag ‘poor' condition of buses
Israel-Iran Conflict: A group of students evacuated under Operation Sindhu from war-torn Iran raised issues about the buses provided by the Jammu and Kashmir government for their onward journey to Kashmir from Delhi. Chief Minister Omar Abdullah responded by saying that the issue has been looked into and that he has directed the officials to ensure that proper deluxe buses are arranged for the students. 'The buses that have been provided are in such bad condition that even animals will not travel in them. We can't go in such buses, and our safety could have been compromised. We are here (in Delhi) and for that we are thankful to the central government as they have evacuated us smoothly, we faced no problem till here, but we are having a problem here now,' a student was heard telling news agency ANI. The about 800 km road distance from Delhi to Kashmir via Jammu typically takes 18 to 22 hours, depending on traffic, weather, and road conditions. The first flight carrying about 110 students, who were evacuated to Armenia from war-torn Iran, landed in Delhi in the early hours on June 19. Of these 94 students are from Jammu and Kashmir These students in Tehran were moved out of the city, 110 of them crossing the border into Armenia, through arrangements made by the Indian Embassy on June 17 under 'Operation Sindhu' amid escalating conflict between Israel and Iran. From Delhi these students from Jammu and Kashmir would be transported to Jammu and Kashmir in Jammu and Kashmir State Tourism Corporation (JKSRTC) buses. But the students said that the condition of the buses was bad "The buses that have been provided are in such bad condition that even animals will not travel in them. We can't go in such buses, and our safety could have been compromised. We are here (in Delhi) and for that we are thankful to the central government as they have evacuated us smoothly, we faced no problem till here, but we are having a problem here now," another student told news agency ANI. The Chief Minister has taken note of the request of the students evacuated from Iran regarding the quality of buses arranged to transport them from Delhi to J&K, the CM office informed in a post on X. The CM office said the government is making transport arrangements to ensure their smooth journey home, which will be in place within the next few hours. 'The Resident Commissioner has been tasked with coordinating with the JKRTC to ensure proper deluxe buses are arranged,' it said. The evacuated students travelled from northern Iran by road to the Armenian capital, Yerevan, under the supervision of Indian missions in Iran and Armenia. After reaching the Armenian capital, the students soon departed Yerevan on a special flight at 2:45 pm on June 18. They arrived in New Delhi in the early hours of June 19 as part of the initial stages of Operation Sindhu, the MEA said. The deadly conflict between Iran and Israel entered its sixth day on June 18, with both sides widening their attacks. Israeli strikes on Iran have so far killed at least 639 people and wounded 1,329 others, a human rights group was quoted as saying by the news agency AP. The buses that have been provided are in such bad condition that even animals will not travel in them.