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Bank of Mexico Cuts Economic Growth Forecasts

Bank of Mexico Cuts Economic Growth Forecasts

MEXICO CITY–The Bank of Mexico lowered its economic growth estimates for this year and next, citing uncertainty about the impact of U.S. import tariffs and weakness in domestic consumption and investment.
In its quarterly report, the central bank said it expects Mexico's gross domestic product to grow 0.1% this year, down from it's previous estimate of 0.6%. The forecast ranges from a contraction of 0.5% to an expansion of 0.7%. For 2026, the bank cut its growth forecast to 0.9% from 1.8% previously.

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Leaders of Canada and Mexico lash out at Trump steel tariff hike
Leaders of Canada and Mexico lash out at Trump steel tariff hike

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Leaders of Canada and Mexico lash out at Trump steel tariff hike

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'This isn't about an eye for an eye, but rather about protecting our industry and our jobs,' she added, without specifying what steps her government might tariff hike had been unveiled last Friday, when Trump held a rally with steelworkers outside Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. That region of the US is a part of the Rust Belt, an area that has been heavily affected by the decline in US manufacturing. Trump pledged to use tariffs and other measures to bring jobs and investments back to the area. Previously, in March, Trump set tariffs on steel and aluminium at 25 percent. But he threatened to lift that rate to 50 percent specifically for Canadian imports of the metals, a plan he later appeared to walk back. Those threats, however, roiled relations between the US and its northern neighbour in particular. Canada is the top supplier of steel to the US, followed by Brazil and then Mexico. South Korea and China also top the list. Canada is also responsible for about 40 percent of aluminium imports to the US, followed by the UAE, Russia and Mexico. Carney's government has pledged to pursue retaliatory measures so long as Trump's tariffs remain in place. On Wednesday, one of Canada's largest labour unions, Unifor, called on Carney to take immediate action against the latest tariff hike, including by limiting the country's exports of critical metals to the US. 'Unifor is urging the federal government to act without delay to defend Canada's manufacturing sector and counter the escalating trade assault,' the union said in a statement. Premier Doug Ford — who leads the top manufacturing province in Canada, Ontario — also called for Canada to respond in kind and 'slap another 25 percent' on US steel imports. 'It's tariff for tariff, dollar for dollar. We need to tariff the steel coming into Canada an additional 25 percent, totalling 50 percent,' Ford told reporters. 'Everything's on the table right now.' 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Expect Trump's Tariffs to Hike the Price of Home Appliances. Experts Share Tips for Saving Now
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Key takeaways Tariffs imposed by the Trump administration, particularly on steel, aluminum, and goods from Mexico, Canada, and China, are expected to drive up prices for home appliances. Appliances with imported components and those assembled outside of the US are especially vulnerable to price hikes due to tariffs. Smart appliances containing semiconductor chips may face even higher price increases if additional tariffs are placed on semiconductors. Experts advise purchasing necessary appliances sooner rather than later due to potential future price increases and suggest looking for sales or building a savings fund to offset costs. Over the last few months, you've probably heard more about tariffs than you ever have before. Tariffs have been a big focus of President Donald Trump's second term and many companies have announced price hikes to offset tariff costs. 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Materials like steel and aluminum are often imported and vulnerable to tariffs, as are pumps, motors and hoses, so appliances that include those parts could see notable price increases, according to Travis Tokar, a professor of supply chain management at Texas Christian University. How tariffs impact home appliance prices could also vary depending on the type of appliance, the size and where it's manufactured. Larger appliances will be hit the hardest, but right now it's hard to predict precisely how much, said Babak Hafezi, CEO of HafeziCapital International Consulting & Investing and an adjunct professor at American University. The tariffs that most threaten home appliances include the 50% tariff on all steel and aluminum imports, the 25% tariff on imported goods from Mexico and Canada, and the 30% tariff on imports from China. Higher tariffs on Mexico, Canada and China have been temporarily halted, but this could change in the coming months. "A lot of this will depend on the agreement with Mexico since many large appliances are assembled in Mexico," explained Patti Jordan, associate professor of professional practice at the Neely School of Business. "Product[s] manufactured primarily in China, such as vacuum cleaners, air purifiers and small appliances, will most definitely be impacted." The Trump administration has also wavered on its tariff policy, making it difficult for the industry to predict what's next. "It's the off-and-on tariff strategy that is leading to the supply chain instability more so than the tariffs – at least so far," Buffington added. Could smart home appliances see even higher price hikes? There's been talk of separate semiconductor tariffs from the Trump administration that could impact the prices of anything with a smart chip in it, including laptops and smart home tech. If initiated, an additional tariff on semiconductors could raise the cost of smart appliances even more. "Smart appliances will absolutely feel the squeeze if semiconductor tariffs are implemented," Warrick said. "These products -- think smart fridges, ovens, robotic vacuums -- depend on imported chips and modules. The more 'smart' tech built into an appliance, the more exposed it becomes." Shawn DuBravac, CEO and President at Avrio Institute, a business technology research firm, added that lower-priced home appliances that use semiconductor technology might face even bigger price increase percentages, since these items have lower margins and are less able to absorb price increases. Experts also noted that it would be difficult for the government to know when a product has a semiconductor chip and price it appropriately. "Managing this would seem to be impossible," said Jack Buffington, associate professor in supply chain management at the University of Denver. "How would customs be able to determine which products have chips, where they are from, and would there be a tariff by chip or just one tax for any product with one chip?" Since managing semiconductor tariff pricing would be complicated, it's possible that home appliances, particularly those fully manufactured outside of the US, might avoid separate semiconductor tariffs altogether, and instead be taxed at their product category rate for the exporting country. "A product that is manufactured outside of the US and imported as a finished product would likely only face the tariff associated with the product category and would in turn avoid any semiconductor tariff," DuBravac said. However, home appliances that are manufactured in the US would likely face semiconductor tariffs if the component is imported. Tariffs aren't the only reason we'll see appliance price hikes Experts expect home appliance prices to rise, but tariffs aren't the only culprit. Companies are also looking at other costs when deciding whether to hike prices. "There are many factors that impact the price of a product besides a new tariff," Jordan said. "Transportation costs, labor costs and material costs. Appliance manufacturers have to weigh in on the impact of each of these in order to determine the pricing of their product going forward." Which home appliances will see the biggest price hikes from tariffs? It's difficult to predict which way the Trump administration will take its tariff strategy. Based on what's currently implemented and future proposals, experts say the below home appliances could see price hikes: Appliances with smart technology, like smart refrigerators or smart washers and dryers could see further increases if additional semiconductor tariffs are imposed. Here's how high prices could rise for each type of home appliance. OK, appliance prices will likely rise. Should I buy now or wait? Currently, the higher tariff pause for China is set to expire on Aug. 12. Most air purifiers would be exempt from the 25% tariffs on Mexico, but this agreement is also set to expire in July. Steel tariffs rose from 25% to 50% on June 4. That makes it tricky to decide if you should purchase a new appliance now or wait to see how President Trump's tariff war pans out. "It is somewhat a roll of the dice right now," said Jordan. "Right now, much of the inventory came into the US before the tariffs hit, so now might be the right time to buy if it is in stock." DuBravac agrees. "My advice is: if you know you'll need it soon, buy now. Prices are more likely to rise than fall in the near term as tariff policy uncertainty looms and importers adjust inventory strategies. Waiting could mean paying more later." That doesn't mean you should panic-buy a new appliance, though. Experts suggest turning to sales like Prime Day and Black Friday to help offset any cost increases. If you know you're going to need a new appliance this year, work toward building a sinking fund -- a short-term savings plan -- and contribute money toward your fund each paycheck. If you need to finance a purchase, factor in how much interest charges could add to your purchase. Interest rates are still high, so if you put the purchase on a credit card and can't pay it off in full in one to two months, you might end up paying more than what a tariff would cost you. Will buying appliances second-hand help you save money? The second-hand shopping market has reignited in the wake of Trump's tariffs, and it could be a good way to compromise and fit an appliance purchase into your budget this year. Experts don't expect the second-hand market to see price hikes directly from tariffs, but note that it's possible if the demand for second-hand products increases. "The second-hand market is a viable way to save -- at least in the short term," said Warrick, "As new appliance prices rise, more consumers will start considering used options, which could push up demand and eventually prices in that space too. But for now, it's a smart way to avoid tariff-driven sticker shock, especially for larger or smarter appliances." Shopping secondhand or repairing broken appliances won't always save you money, either. Purchasing an older model or fixing certain appliances could cost you more than the machine is worth, said Buffington. "For example, washing machines are around $400 - $1,000 so fixing an appliance or buying something that's 5 years old may not make sense if the lifespan is 10 years." Is buying US-assembled appliances a viable option? President Trump says one of the goals of his tariff policies is to encourage companies to ramp up manufacturing in the US. However, it's not as simple as flipping a switch. Shifting manufacturing from overseas to the US would take time -- and it has its own set of costs that could impact prices. "Clearly, the hope is that all these changes will lead to more 'Made in the USA' products, but in reality we don't have prepared industries to step in and begin producing these goods," said Josh Fischer, VP of product strategy at Cin7, an inventory management software developer. "It'll take years before we benefit from these changes, if at all." While you can find appliances that are assembled in the US, it doesn't mean all of their parts were manufactured here. Many have components that are imported from other countries, which could hike up the price tag regardless of where it's assembled. "What's happening in appliances is a microcosm of the larger supply chain story," Warrick said. "Tariffs don't just affect finished goods; they affect parts, sub-assemblies, and even packaging. So even if a product is 'Made in America,' if it contains foreign components, it's still vulnerable."

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