Grim monsoon forecast: Below-normal rainfall in northeast this month likely to trouble farmers
uwahati: There is an ominous sign for farmers in most parts of the northeast as deficit rainfall was recorded in the first month of the monsoon in June in four out of seven NE states.
The IMD has predicted below-normal rainfall in July for the northeastern region.
According to the probabilistic forecast of the rainfall during July, issued by the IMD on Monday, while most parts of the country are likely to experience normal to above-normal rainfall, most parts of the northeast are likely to receive below-normal rainfall.
Prof Rajib Lochan Deka of the agricultural meteorology department of Assam Agricultural University said, "Mid-June to mid-July is very crucial for transplanting rice seedlings.
If the rainfall-deficient situation continues in July, rice production in most parts of Assam and the northeast is likely to be impacted negatively."
In Assam, he said that rainfall during the first month of the monsoon 2025 (June) was deficient. "It was largely deficient in Dibrugarh, Golaghat, Baksa, Barpeta, Bongaigaon, Bajali, and Goalpara, where the departure from normal rainfall varied from 62% to 72%," Deka added.
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Despite rain wreaking havoc in most parts of the northeast, Assam, Meghalaya, Arunachal Pradesh, and Manipur recorded deficient rainfall between June 1 and July 1. Meghalaya recorded the highest 47% departure below normal, followed by a 40% departure in Arunachal Pradesh, a 34% departure in Assam, and a 20% departure in Manipur.
Only Tripura, Mizoram, and Nagaland recorded rainfall in the normal range, with a minus 14% departure in Tripura, a 10% positive departure in Mizoram, and a minus 6% departure in Nagaland.
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