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JPMorgan uses new feature to limit Zelle payments originating from social media

JPMorgan uses new feature to limit Zelle payments originating from social media

CNBC05-05-2025

CNBC's Leslie Picker breaks down the latest details on JPMorgan's new restrictions to Zelle payments.

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The global economy faces many headwinds, but the aviation industry is expected to defy them
The global economy faces many headwinds, but the aviation industry is expected to defy them

CNBC

time2 hours ago

  • CNBC

The global economy faces many headwinds, but the aviation industry is expected to defy them

The global economy may be facing an uncertain 2025 in light of trade tensions and geopolitical conflicts, but there's a bright spot that investors can take solace in: aviation. The profitability of the aviation industry is expected to improve in 2025, despite global gross domestic product growth being forecast to drop to 2.5% in 2025 from 3.3% in 2024, according to the International Air Transport Association. In a report released on Monday, the IATA said revenue, operating profits and net profits of the industry are expected to increase from 2024, although some of those were lower than projections made in December. For example, net profits for the industry are projected at $36 billion for 2025, up from the $32.4 billion earned in 2024, but slightly lower than the December projection of $36.6 billion. The aviation industry's net profit margin is also forecast to rise to 3.7% in 2025, from 3.4% the previous year. Total revenues are projected to hit a record high of $979 billion, 1.3% higher than the previous year, but down from the $1 trillion in its last forecast. The IATA attributed the better results mainly to two factors: lower jet fuel costs and greater efficiency. It expects passenger load factors will reach an all-time high in 2025 with a full-year average of 84%, "as fleet expansion and modernization remains challenging amid supply chain failures in the aerospace sector." PLF shows how efficiently an airline is filling its seats. Jet fuel costs are expected to average $86 per barrel in 2025, down from $99 in 2024, the IATA noted, saying it will translate into a total fuel bill of $236 billion, $25 billion lower than the $261 billion incurred in 2024. "Recent financial data show minimal fuel hedging activity over the past year, indicating that airlines will generally benefit from the reduced fuel cost. It is not expected that fuel will be impacted by trade tensions," IATA said. Airline CEOs told CNBC that airlines are holding up despite the uncertainty. Air India CEO Campbell Wilson told CNBC's Monica Pitrelli at the World Air Transport Summit over the weekend that 2025 has been "a year of surprises" for the airline, "whether it's politics, tariffs, geopolitics, [or] closer to home, some conflict issues."India and Pakistan recently closed their airspace to each other's aircraft after military strikes carried out by both sides in May. Pakistan planes are banned from Indian airspace till June 23, and Indian planes are barred from Pakistan till June 24. "Uncertainty is not helpful for business, but the underlying fundamentals of this market ... and the upside we see ahead of Air India is driving us forward, because we think there's massive opportunity to be realized," Wilson added. He said India is the third-largest air travel market in the world, and estimated that it's growing at an annual growth rate of 8% to 10%. "So if Indians start traveling... at the intensity of China, it's going to absolutely explode in volume internationally," he said. Adrian Neuhauser, president and CEO of Colombian flag carrier Avianca, said in an interview Sunday "When the world sneezes in any way ... Airlines just get sick very quickly."However, he said, Avianca's passenger load factors are still holding up and revenue has improved. "So the concern is there, but as of today, we're still seeing the numbers be there." North America is expected to generate the highest absolute profit among all regions in 2025, and the Asia-Pacific region is set to see the largest demand growth in 2025, with revenue per passenger kilometer projected to grow 9% year on year, the IATA said. Revenue passenger kilometers, or RPK, is a measure of the volume of passengers carried by an airline. The metric is used to assess airline performance and passenger demand. The IATA said that "if an airline sees a consistent increase in RPKs on a particular route over several months, this might prompt the carrier to increase flight frequency or deploy larger aircraft to meet growing demand — potentially boosting revenue and market share." It attributed strong passenger demand in the Asia-Pacific to the relaxation of visa requirements in several Asian countries, especially China, Vietnam, Malaysia and IATA did note, however, that the economic landscape poses some challenges, with the GDP forecast for the region, particularly China, having been lowered.

India lures foreign investors back with big ticket block trades
India lures foreign investors back with big ticket block trades

Yahoo

time2 hours ago

  • Yahoo

India lures foreign investors back with big ticket block trades

By Scott Murdoch and Ankur Banerjee SYDNEY/SINGAPORE (Reuters) -Foreign investors are starting to head back into Indian stocks after a major exodus, attracted by $5.5 billion worth of big ticket block trades in May and lifting hopes of a revival in the nation's equities market. The block trades were well bought by overseas investors, according to bankers. They marked the highest monthly total in almost a year and a huge jump from only $220 million in April. "We actually saw interest coming in from a fairly diverse set of investors who were missing in action in the last six months," said Abhinav Bharti, head of JPMorgan's India equity capital market business. "They had gone out of India, said India is just too expensive, we don't want to buy anything right now. I think we could start seeing them coming back." Block trades often precede a recovery in IPOs and May's robust offerings come amid a strong performance for Indian stocks. The Nifty 50 index has climbed risen 6% since early April when U.S. President Donald Trump announced his sweeping tariffs which were then paused for 90 days, with India emerging as an investor safe haven due to better-than-feared duties. Foreigners have since bought about $3 billion worth of Indian stocks in April and May combined, data shows. That comes after they pulled nearly $29 billion out of Indian stocks between October and March which followed record highs for the country's benchmark indices in September. Gary Tan, a portfolio manager at Allspring Global Investments in Singapore, said the recent inflows into India reflect a resurgence of interest in emerging market equities. "We've selectively added to India on pullbacks but remain underweight," said Tan, citing high valuation in some sectors. Banking, telecommunications and diversified conglomerates were his most favoured sectors, he added. The $5.5 billion in block trades in May, according to LSEG data, included the sale of a British American Tobacco $1.51 billion stake in ITC, according to a term sheet seen by Reuters showed. IndiGo co-founder Rakesh Gangwal also offloaded a 5.7% stake in the low-cost carrier through a block deal worth about $1.36 billion, while Singtel sold $1.5 billion of Bharti Airtel shares. Both the ITC and IndiGo trades were increased in size after strong demand from investors, bankers said. It was the busiest May on record for block trades in the country, the data showed. "We're seeing high-quality global long-only accounts coming in with conviction," said Sunil Khaitan, a managing director at Goldman Sachs in India. "Some are still waiting for levels to normalize, but 90% to 95% of the foreign liquidity coming back into the market is from deeply embedded India investors, those who understand the market and have been waiting for the right window to reengage." Citigroup's head of India ECM Arvind Vashistha said the country's better economic performance, tax cuts and interest rate reductions had helped sentiment towards India's equity markets improve. "The economy is in good shape, valuations have become more reasonable, which is encouraging healthy market activity. Investors are telling us that these are the companies we find interesting and if there's a supplier, we'd love to buy it," he said.

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