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KSE-100 surges over 6,500 points amid ceasefire reports

KSE-100 surges over 6,500 points amid ceasefire reports

Buying spree returned to the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) as investors rejoiced after US President Donald Trump said Iran and Israel had agreed to a ceasefire, with the benchmark KSE-100 Index gaining over 6,500 points, just seconds after market halt ended, during the intra-day trading on Tuesday.
At 12:35pm, the benchmark index was hovering at 122,723.80 level, an increase of 6,556.33 points or 5.64%.
Earlier, following a 5% gain, trading activity at PSX halted for 1 hour, the market opened at 12:31pm.
'All TRE Certificate Holders are hereby informed that due to a 5% increase in the KSE-30 index from the previous trading day's close of the index, a Market Halt has been triggered as per PSX Regulations and all equity and equity-based markets have been suspended accordingly,' read the notice.
Across-the-board buying was observed in key sectors including automobile assemblers, commercial banks, oil and gas exploration companies, OMCs, power generation and refinery. Index-heavy stocks including HUBCO, ARL, SSGC, PSO, MARI, OGDC, PPL, POL, UBL and HBL traded in the green.
'The ceasefire announcement and a 3-4% drop in international oil prices are driving the buying rally at the bourse,' Sana Tawfik, Head of Research at Arif Habib Limited (AHL), told Business Recorder.
'The market believes the geopolitical situation will now come under control,' she added.
Waqas Ghani, Head of Research at JS Global, echoed similar sentiments.
'Market participants responded positively to Trump's ceasefire announcement aimed at easing Middle East tensions and a decrease in global oil prices.
Widespread buying activity was witnessed across all sectors, driving a strong rally,' he said.
Intense selling pressure gripped the PSX on Monday amid escalating geopolitical tensions following a US attack on Iran, with the benchmark KSE-100 settling with a loss of nearly 3,900 points.
At close, the KSE-100 Index settled at 116,167.47 level, a decrease of 3,855.77 points or 3.21%.
Internationally, global shares rallied and the dollar extended declines on Tuesday after US President Donald Trump said Iran and Israel had agreed to a ceasefire, sending oil prices into a deep dive as concerns over supply disruptions ebbed.
While an Iranian official earlier confirmed that Tehran had agreed to a ceasefire, the country's foreign minister said there would be no cessation of hostilities unless Israel stopped its attacks.
Oil prices fell over 3%, having already slid 9% on Monday when Iran made a token retaliation against a US base, which came to nothing and signalled it was done for now.
With the immediate threat to the vital Strait of Hormuz shipping lane seemingly over, U.S. crude futures fell another 3.4% to $66.15 per barrel, the lowest since June 11.
Risk assets rallied, with S&P 500 futures up 0.6% and Nasdaq futures 0.9% higher.
EUROSTOXX 50 futures jumped 1.3% and FTSE futures rose 0.4%.
The MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan jumped 1.8% while Japan's Nikkei rallied 1.4%.
This is an intra-day update

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KSE-100 settles with over 6,000 points gain amid ceasefire reports
KSE-100 settles with over 6,000 points gain amid ceasefire reports

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KSE-100 settles with over 6,000 points gain amid ceasefire reports

Buying spree returned to the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) as investors rejoiced after US President Donald Trump said Iran and Israel had agreed to a ceasefire, with the benchmark KSE-100 Index settling with a gain of over 6,000 points. Bullish momentum persisted throughout the trading session, pushing the KSE-100 Index to an intra-day high of 122,725.21. At close, the benchmark index settled at 122,246.63 level, an increase of 6079.16 points or 5.23%. 'This marks the second-highest single-day increase on a closing basis in terms of points,' said Arif Habib Limited (AHL), in a post. Earlier, following a 5% gain, trading activity at PSX halted for 1 hour, and the market opened at 12:31pm. 'All TRE Certificate Holders are hereby informed that due to a 5% increase in the KSE-30 index from the previous trading day's close of the index, a Market Halt has been triggered as per PSX Regulations,' read the notice. Across-the-board buying was observed in key sectors including automobile assemblers, commercial banks, oil and gas exploration companies, OMCs, power generation and refinery. Index-heavy stocks including HUBCO, ARL, SSGC, PSO, MARI, OGDC, PPL, POL, UBL and HBL traded in the green. 'The ceasefire announcement and a 3-4% drop in international oil prices are driving the buying rally at the bourse,' Sana Tawfik, Head of Research at AHL, told Business Recorder. 'The market believes the geopolitical situation will now come under control,' she added. Pakistan is aiming to secure $3.3 billion in the form of two foreign loans - one a syndicated loan and the other a refinancing of commercial loans from Chinese banks within the next few days. 'This will take FX reserves held by the SBP above the USD 14bn mark in FY25,' AHL said in its post-market commentary. Meanwhile, Waqas Ghani, Head of Research at JS Global, echoed similar sentiments. 'Market participants responded positively to Trump's ceasefire announcement aimed at easing Middle East tensions and a decrease in global oil prices. Widespread buying activity was witnessed across all sectors, driving a strong rally,' he said. Intense selling pressure gripped the PSX on Monday amid escalating geopolitical tensions following a US attack on Iran, with the benchmark KSE-100 settling with a loss of nearly 3,900 points. At close, the KSE-100 Index settled at 116,167.47 level, a decrease of 3,855.77 points or 3.21%. Internationally, global shares rallied and the dollar extended declines on Tuesday after US President Donald Trump said Iran and Israel had agreed to a ceasefire, sending oil prices into a deep dive as concerns over supply disruptions ebbed. While an Iranian official earlier confirmed that Tehran had agreed to a ceasefire, the country's foreign minister said there would be no cessation of hostilities unless Israel stopped its attacks. Oil prices fell over 3%, having already slid 9% on Monday when Iran made a token retaliation against a US base, which came to nothing and signalled it was done for now. With the immediate threat to the vital Strait of Hormuz shipping lane seemingly over, U.S. crude futures fell another 3.4% to $66.15 per barrel, the lowest since June 11. Risk assets rallied, with S&P 500 futures up 0.6% and Nasdaq futures 0.9% higher. EUROSTOXX 50 futures jumped 1.3% and FTSE futures rose 0.4%. The MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan jumped 1.8% while Japan's Nikkei rallied 1.4%. This is an intra-day update

What impact can closing Strait of Hormuz have on international trade?
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What impact can closing Strait of Hormuz have on international trade?

Strait of Hormuz also dubbed as energy corridor as millions of barrels of oil move from one part to another from here. PHOTO: REUTERS Iran's threat to close the Strait of Hormuz has raised alarms across global markets given concerns over potential disruptions to one of the world's most critical energy corridors amid escalating conflict with the United States and Israel. The warning follows US airstrikes on Iranian nuclear sites over the weekend. On Sunday, Iran's parliament voted in favour of shutting down the waterway — a move seen as possible retaliation. Any final decision, however, rests with the Supreme National Security Council and Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. The Strait of Hormuz, a narrow 31-mile-wide channel between Iran and Oman, is responsible for the transit of nearly 20 million barrels of oil daily — about a fifth of global supply. It also carries a significant portion of global liquefied natural gas (LNG), primarily from Qatar. While no formal closure has occurred, analysts say even verbal threats have unsettled energy markets. Deutsche Bank estimates oil prices could spike to $120 a barrel in the event of a disruption, up from the current $75. 'Noam Raydan, energy analyst at the Washington Institute, says a full closure is unlikely due to the economic blowback Iran itself would suffer, particularly with China, its main oil customer,' she said. Instead, Raydan believes Iran may opt for limited maritime attacks to destabilise the region without fully blocking the strait. The Strait has long been a flashpoint. In 2019, multiple vessels — flagged from Saudi Arabia, Norway and Panama — were damaged in attacks that the US blamed on Iran. Tehran had denied responsibility. During the 1980s Tanker War, Iranian forces also targeted shipping lanes, prompting US naval protection for flagged ships. Iran previously threatened closure in 2011 in response to sanctions over its nuclear programme but never acted. Under international maritime law, blocking the strait would constitute a breach and potentially an act of war. Global Reaction US Secretary of State Marco Rubio warned Iran against acting on its threat. 'It's economic suicide if they do it,' he told Fox News, adding that any closure would warrant a strong response. China, a major stakeholder in Gulf oil routes, also voiced concern. 'Keeping the region safe and stable serves the common interests of the international community,' said Chinese foreign ministry spokesperson Guo Jiakun. He called for dialogue and restraint. United Kingdom's Foreign Minister David Lammy echoed the sentiment, urging Iran not to escalate tensions. 'It would be a mistake to blockade the Strait of Hormuz,' he told BBC. European Union foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas also described any closure as 'extremely dangerous'. Broader economic risks John Konrad, maritime expert and founder of gCaptain, warned that closures or disruptions would ripple through shipping, raising the cost of transporting energy and goods globally. This could hinder fertiliser supply chains, potentially sparking food shortages and inflation. The Middle East's strategic location — between Europe and Asia — further amplifies the threat. Countries like Iraq rely on the strait for nearly all oil exports. While some Gulf states have alternate routes, the scale of reliance on Hormuz makes it a vulnerable chokepoint.

PIA resumes flight operations to Gulf countries following Iran-Israel ceasefire
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Pakistan International Airlines (PIA) has resumed its scheduled flight operations to several Gulf destinations following reports of a ceasefire reached between Iran and Israel. 'PIA flight operations to Gulf/KSA countries are resumed as of 12:30 PST/07:30 UTC,' the national carrier said in a post on social media platform X on Tuesday. The development comes after US President Donald Trump said Iran and Israel had agreed to a ceasefire, sending oil prices into a deep dive as concerns over supply disruptions ebbed. 'THE CEASEFIRE IS NOW IN EFFECT. PLEASE DO NOT VIOLATE IT!' Trump wrote on his Truth Social platform. On Monday, the national flag carrier suspended its flight operations to Gulf countries, including Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait, and UAE as a precautionary step taken in light of military escalations in the Middle East, which have raised concerns over the safety of civilian air traffic. 'The security and well-being of our passengers remain our foremost priority,' said a spokesperson for PIA back then. 'We are closely monitoring the situation and will restore operations as soon as the security landscape allows.' The move disrupted travel plans for hundreds of passengers. The decision followed a wave of regional instability triggered by the Iran-Israel confrontation, which has seen missile exchanges, airspace restrictions, and retaliatory threats across the Gulf. Aviation authorities across the region have heightened alerts, prompting several international carriers to reroute or suspend services. Earlier, a special PIA aircraft was dispatched from Peshawar to Ashgabat on Tuesday evening to retrieve the stranded citizens. These individuals had been unable to travel due to the temporary closure of Iranian airspace and a lack of commercial connectivity.

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