logo
Business news live: Oil prices drop sharply as ceasefire announced, FTSE 100 opens higher

Business news live: Oil prices drop sharply as ceasefire announced, FTSE 100 opens higher

Independent5 hours ago

After a recent surge to as much as $80 a barrel, the price of Brent Crude Oil has dropped back sharply on news of a ceasefire between Israel and Iran. Escalating Middle East tensions had seen markets concerned over the prospect of a wider war breaking out and the Strait of Hormuz being closed, which would in turn restrict flow and send oil prices even higher.
Stock markets are also set to react positively to the news, with the FTSE 100 up after opening and US stocks set to follow suit later today. Overnight, Asian stock markets had a similar reaction, the Hang Seng ending more than 2 per cent up, while in Europe the likes of the German DAX and French CAC 40 are both rising on the day.
Elsewhere, we're also expecting further information on the UK government's Industrial Strategy, with business organisations so far reacting in mixed fashion.
FTSE 100 and US stocks set to rise after ceasefire news
The FTSE 100 will rise around 0.5 per cent when it opens shortly, as investors greet the news of a ceasefire warmly.
While US stocks won't open until afternoon as usual, they are also poised for sharp rises.
The S&P 500 is showing a 1 per cent uplift already, with 1.3 per cent for the Nasdaq.
Karl Matchett24 June 2025 07:56
Oil price drops almost 5% after ceasefire news
Upon news of Donald Trump saying Israel and Iran have agreed a ceasefire which is 'now in effect', oil prices have fallen dramatically.
Brent Crude Oil has dropped by 4.9 per cent, back down to below $68, having tipped past $80 only two days ago.
Rising oil prices affect not just fuel costs, but also transport, energy and production costs as well as placing an inflationary factor on economies.
Other than a few weeks prior to this Middle East escalation, this is the lowest price of Brent since mid-2021.
Karl Matchett24 June 2025 07:54
UK Industrial Strategy
We're hoping to hear more over the coming days on the UK's new Industrial Strategy.
Yesterday, comments and reaction ranged from delighted at there actually being one, to dismay at certain sectors being overlooked in it.
The Food and Drink Federation (FDF) are one such example where certain parts of the workforce overlap certain areas...but it wasn't an announcement which specifically talks about which sectors play what role in the planned investment.
'Food and drink manufacturing plays a vital role in ensuring the nation's food security, provides 500,000 high-quality jobs in every UK region, and contributes £37bn to our economy. It's clear that government has ambitions for Advanced Manufacturing, and we look forward to seeing how this will translate to supporting the growth of the UK's largest manufacturing sector – food and drink,' read the FDF's statement.
Karl Matchett24 June 2025 07:20
Tuesday's business and stock markets news - live
Good morning one and all - it's another day and time to take a look at the upcoming news for Tuesday in the world of business and finance.
There isn't much in the way of economic data to look forward to this week - though that was last week's big focus - so it's companies, markets and commodities which will dictate investor sentiment and risk.
Oh, and Donald Trump, the US, Iran, Israel and anybody else getting involved in Middle East tensions.
Karl Matchett24 June 2025 07:00
FTSE 100 and European markets finish down
At the close of play today, the FTSE 100 has closed in the red, 0.17 per cent down.
That's less than some of the European indices, with the DAX 0.3 per cent down and France's CAC 40 stood at -0.65 per cent.
By contrast, US stocks are rising at the start of the day, with the S&P 500 up 0.37 per cent.
Perhaps that positive sentiment will filter through to Europe tomorrow...depending on what happens overnight, of course.
That's it for our rolling business coverage today - we'll be back at 7am on Tuesday to bring you plenty more. See you then.
Karl Matchett23 June 2025 16:40
Gold prices rising again
Lots of focus on oil, but don't forget the key bellweather commodity - gold.
Having dipped somewhat recently after reaching record levels, gold is back on the rise over the past few days and is up 0.47 per cent today.
The price of $3401 is some way of mid-June's $3460-plus level, but it's worth keeping an eye on.
Karl Matchett23 June 2025 16:19
Investment into UK renewables drops
An investigation by EY has found that investment into projects in the green energy and utilities sector in the UK dropped sharply last year.
UK had previously been Europe's leader in that regard, but France overtook the UK following a 57 per cent drop.
While a big surge in 2023 investment partly contributed to that, it will still be seen as a blow as the government tries to push for investment into projects which serve the decarbonisation agenda.
Karl Matchett23 June 2025 16:04
Karl Matchett23 June 2025 15:44
Oil prices latest: Brent start to drop
Earlier, Brent Oil had risen several percent before giving back those gains. Fast forward to this afternoon and Brent's price is at -0.1 per cent for the day, down to just below $77.
Markets just starting perhaps to feel the chances of a full Strait of Hormuz closure might not be the outcome?
Karl Matchett23 June 2025 15:10

Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

Breakingviews - Europe's holstered defence billions are a problem
Breakingviews - Europe's holstered defence billions are a problem

Reuters

timean hour ago

  • Reuters

Breakingviews - Europe's holstered defence billions are a problem

BERLIN, June 24 (Reuters Breakingviews) - The 32 members of NATO will congratulate themselves this week on agreeing to increase their defence budgets from the current 2% to 3.5% of their GDP by 2032. They will add some 1.5% of related spending – such as infrastructure, civil defence or cybersecurity – to come up with the headline 5% demanded by U.S. President Donald Trump as a condition to keep his country engaged in Europe. They may even find a fudge to accommodate Spain's reluctance to spend so much on its defence. The real problem, however, is the wait-and-see attitude European governments have adopted with regard to actual military outlays. Even a solemn and common pledge at NATO's Brussels gathering will not change the reality of the situation of the last two years, which has seen governments either promise money they don't have or are loath to spend. Furthermore, as outlined by a report, opens new tab from the Kiel Institute for the World Economy last week, the abstract debate on spending numbers has obscured the lack of real procurement and large equipment orders. At the current pace it would take several decades for Europe to be fit for war, the authors note. The organisation's defence ministers in 2006 agreed on a commitment to hike their national defence budgets to 2% of GDP, and it took them 19 years, opens new tab to get there. It may not take as much time to meet the new target: Europeans are now facing a serious Russian threat on their Eastern flank and must prepare for the credible scenario of an American withdrawal from their continent. But for now, budgets have only increased incrementally, and big defence contractors are still waiting for orders before they can commit to long-term investments, as Europe looks impervious to the emergency created by a new Russian offensive in Ukraine. The European members of NATO (minus Turkey) spent, opens new tab more than 450 billion euros on their defence in 2024. That was a significant 21% jump over what they allocated in 2023, when their military spending had already increased by 18% over 2022, the year Russia invaded Ukraine. Yet even if all seem to agree that the target of 3.5% is the right one considering the new geopolitical context, governments across the region seem seized by a general fatigue. In the UK and France, the region's two biggest military powers, public debt at more than 100% of GDP is forcing a reality check: if defence is a priority, taxes will have to be raised or other public spending will have to be cut. UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer has so far refused to commit, opens new tab to the 3.5% target, and his Chancellor Rachel Reeves has warned that military spending would be capped at 2.6% of GDP until the end of the current parliament in 2029. French President Emmanuel Macron has accepted the target, opens new tab, but without a timeline. Raising spending to that level would force him to find more than 40 billion euros a year in France's stretched public finances – or to raise taxes in a country already shouldering the OECD's second-highest tax burden, opens new tab. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz is at least preparing a 2026 budget where defence spending could jump from 80 billion euros to 110 billion euros, according to a Deutsche Bank forecast. But that would still only amount to around 2.4% of output – up from 2.1% in 2024. Merz at least looks determined to make the German Bundeswehr the strongest, opens new tab conventional army in Europe. So far no other European Union leader has emulated him in asking the European Commission for an exemption – using the so-called escape clause – from its deficit and debt rules. Yet that is an option open to all after Brussels' ReArm Europe Plan, opens new tab, which also created a 150 billion euro investment fund financed by joint borrowing. Meanwhile defence contractors are still waiting for the real orders that would show governments are serious about defence. Micael Johansson, the CEO of $27 billion Swedish defence group Saab ( opens new tab and head of Europe's defence industry lobby, has warned, opens new tab that companies are now waiting for long-term commitments from governments. Only then will they be able to proceed with the massive investments needed to keep factories ready to ramp up production in a hurry. Governments are the only customers of the defence industry, which does not rely on massive inventories. While public spending is lagging in spite of promises, private capital is warming to a defence industry that was long shunned by major investors, whether investment funds or venture capital players. The military sector was long deemed to fail basic environmental, social and governance criteria. This is changing fast. Public sector entities such as the European Investment Bank have now loosened their rules. Policymakers in Norway are also thinking about easing the investment criteria of the country's $1.8 trillion sovereign wealth fund. And active European defence startups no longer seem to struggle to find funding – as witnessed in recent weeks by Germany's Helsing, opens new tab and Quantum Systems, opens new tab, which raised a combined 760 million euros based on hefty valuations. Some European members of NATO like Hungary and Slovakia are now closer to Russia and may not join others in raising the organisation's spending target. But together these two countries only account for less than 2% of Europe's defence budgets. A larger problem comes from Italy and Spain, who respectively only allocated 1.5% and 1.3% of their GDP last year to their defence budgets, which together amount to 12% of Europe's spending. Rome and Madrid's perception of threat is affected by their distance from the Russian front line, and the two governments seem to find it convenient to free-ride on the others' military buildup. Some pressure may have to be applied and it would be more efficient if it came not only from Trump but from other European capitals. A real pledge by Europe's NATO members to hike defence budgets with a firmer deadline would be the ideal outcome. But no government is obliged to wait for an international deal to beef up its defence and security. For now European governments sound like a soldiers' choir bellowing 'let's march' on an opera stage, opens new tab without going anywhere. They should stop the singing and start the marching. Follow Pierre Briancon on Bluesky, opens new tab and LinkedIn, opens new tab.

Iran strike intensifies Trump counterparty risk
Iran strike intensifies Trump counterparty risk

Reuters

timean hour ago

  • Reuters

Iran strike intensifies Trump counterparty risk

WASHINGTON, June 23 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Donald Trump's negotiating style precedes him. The American president routinely stiffs counterparties, but also typically caves when the stakes get too high. By dropping bombs on Iran's nuclear sites and directly dragging the United States into another Middle East conflict, he has upended this conventional wisdom. It leaves trade partners facing an upcoming deal deadline with a tricky wrinkle to consider. In recent months, the Trump administration had settled into a pattern of bellicose threats followed by pullback. Paused tariffs and partial agreements with China and Britain to lower their levy rates epitomize the idea. The president also offered a familiar mix of bluster and pliability when he opened talks with Tehran in April over its nuclear program while simultaneously threatening the Islamic Republic with 'great danger.' The diplomacy was partly a ruse, the New York Times reported, opens new tab on Monday, to conceal U.S. plans to back Israel's military campaign. Trump's willingness to greenlight a dangerous operation, ostensibly aimed at hindering Iran's ability to build deadly weapons, sends a somewhat new message. The White House is more willing to enter messy situations than perhaps was previously expected. Beijing opportunistically cast doubt on U.S. credibility. China's accusations are familiar, but amid Trump's retreat from foreign aid, international institutions and mutual defense pacts, the latest critique carries more weight. Leaders in Europe, Canada and Mexico have made similar points: the United States is no longer a dependable ally, and any pacts with the erstwhile hegemon warrant extreme caution. Those same nations, along with Japan, Vietnam and other major trading partners, will have to rethink the calculus on striking agreements that govern the import and export of some $5 trillion in goods. Preserving temporary calm may hold greater appeal now than tempting Trump to follow through on threats of higher tariffs or even weightier steps. He has dangled the idea of withdrawing from NATO and disregarding security arrangements in the Pacific. There's no sign that Trump's July 8 target date for trade deals will be extended, but the UK, opens new tab may have shown the way forward with its vague blueprint. Delay any consequences as long as possible without ceding ground to the man across the table you don't trust. Follow Gabriel Rubin on Bluesky, opens new tab and LinkedIn, opens new tab.

Bank rate-setter in ‘uncomfortable place' amid worries over stubborn inflation
Bank rate-setter in ‘uncomfortable place' amid worries over stubborn inflation

South Wales Argus

timean hour ago

  • South Wales Argus

Bank rate-setter in ‘uncomfortable place' amid worries over stubborn inflation

In a speech at the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (Niesr), Bank Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) member Ms Greene said that stubborn inflation of around 3.5% for the rest of the year could keep fuelling wage rises and price hikes in the UK. She said food prices have 'surprised consistently to the upside', adding that the Israel-Iran conflict could also push up inflation by putting pressure on oil prices. 'I worry about the near-term profile for inflation this year, which in my view now resembles more of a 'plateau' than a 'hump',' she said. Ms Greene said underlying activity in the economy was also 'weak' and raised concerns that the consumer spending would remain under pressure as many borrowers roll off fixed rates onto deals with higher rates, while the jobs market was cooling. She said: 'I continue to think the risks remain two-sided but skewed to the downside on growth and to the upside on inflation. 'This is an uncomfortable place to be for a central banker.' Ms Greene was one of a majority of MPC members who voted last week to keep rates on hold at 4.25%. In a split vote, six members opted to hold and three preferred to cut. Ms Greene echoed comments at the time of the decision, saying in her speech that given wider uncertainty and escalating Middle East conflict, 'a careful and gradual approach to removing monetary policy restrictiveness continues to be warranted'. The Bank was seen at the time of last week's decision to be leaving the door open to a cut in August, when it will have its next set of quarterly forecasts to hand. Ms Greene said: 'On the global front, there are a number of key events playing out between now and our next meeting, including the deadline for the pause on so-called 'reciprocal tariffs' from the US, the potential passage of a budget in the US and the unfolding of events in the Middle East. 'It's unlikely that the uncertainty from these events – and subsequent developments – will be resolved any time soon.'

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store