logo
Midweek severe weather just a sample of upcoming late-week outbreak

Midweek severe weather just a sample of upcoming late-week outbreak

Yahoo12-03-2025

The same storm that brought soaking rain to Southern California into Tuesday night will race eastward across the Southern states into Thursday, and it will trigger severe weather in Arkansas, Texas and Oklahoma, to name a few states, at midweek, AccuWeather meteorologists say.
The severe weather into Thursday is not part of the storm from Friday to Sunday, as previously warned by the forecasting team. While it will not match the latter storm in scope or intensity, the midweek system will still bring significant impacts to the region.
The main threats from the strongest thunderstorms from late Wednesday to Wednesday night will be large hail and powerful wind gusts.
Some hailstones could reach the size of golf balls and perhaps baseballs--both which can cause severe property damage. Wind gusts in some of the storms will generally range from 55 to 65 mph, with an AccuWeather StormMax™ gust of 80 mph. Winds of this intensity can break tree limbs, cause loose outdoor objects to become dangerous projectiles and trigger sporadic power outages.Have the app? Unlock AccuWeather Alerts™ with Premium+
Because the storm is quick-moving, downpours will be brief, so any flash flooding will most likely be limited to urban areas. Some of the major metro areas at risk for severe thunderstorm activity into Wednesday night include Shreveport, Louisiana; Little Rock, Arkansas; Dallas; and Memphis, Tennessee.
As is the case with any severe thunderstorm, there is the potential for a brief isolated tornado.
As the storm continues to move quickly, parts of the Southeastern states may experience at least some locally heavy and gusty thunderstorms Thursday before the main severe weather event begins Friday.
Want next-level safety, ad-free? Unlock advanced, hyperlocal severe weather alerts when you subscribe to Premium+ on the AccuWeather app. AccuWeather Alerts™ are prompted by our expert meteorologists who monitor and analyze dangerous weather risks 24/7 to keep you and your family safer.

Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

Saharan Dust moves into Florida as National Hurricane Center tracks 3 tropical waves
Saharan Dust moves into Florida as National Hurricane Center tracks 3 tropical waves

Yahoo

time5 hours ago

  • Yahoo

Saharan Dust moves into Florida as National Hurricane Center tracks 3 tropical waves

Saharan Dust over portions of Florida is keeping skies hazy. It's also helping inhibit the development of any tropical systems. The Atlantic is likely to remain quiet through the end of June, despite some early hints at tropical formation, according to AccuWeather. ➤ Track all active storms ➤ Weather alerts via text: Sign up to get updates about current storms and weather events by location Reduced air quality and rain chances are in the forecast today, June 13, as a plume of Saharan Dust remains above South Florida, according to the National Weather Service Miami. Dust, along with wind shear, help suppress tropical development but also brings hazy skies and colorful sunrises and sunsets. The first named storm in the Atlantic basin will be Andrea. Here's the latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center as of 2 a.m. Friday, June 13: The National Hurricane Center is monitoring three tropical waves in the Atlantic: Tropical wave 1: An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 32W from 15N southward, and moving westward around 11 mph. Tropical wave 2: A tropical North Atlantic tropical wave is over the eastern Caribbean Islands at 61.5W from 18N southward, and moving westward at 11 to 17 mph. Tropical wave 3: A southwestern Caribbean tropical wave is near 80W from SW of Jamaica southward across western Panama, and moving westward at around 11 to 17 mph. "The average first named storm in the Atlantic is June 20, but development over the central and eastern basin looks unfavorable through June at this time," said AccuWeather lead hurricane forecaster Alex DaSilva. "We still expect the Central American gyre to form later this month, and its formation could spur tropical development in waters in the western Caribbean or southwestern Gulf." Now is the time to prepare for a hurricane, before a storm is approaching. Saharan dust is expected to help keep the tropics quiet into the week of June 16, according to AccuWeather. Frequent pockets of dust are moving across the Atlantic from Africa, where they'll affect Florida as they move into the Gulf. A plume of Saharan Dust is expected to arrive in South Florida starting Friday, June 13, according to the National Weather Service Miami. The arrival of the dust should decrease rain chances starting Friday. The National Hurricane Center is tracking two disturbances in the eastern Pacific, including one expected to become the next named storm later today, June 13. is located west of southwestern Mexico. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph, with higher gusts. Strengthening is expected and the system is forecast to become a tropical storm later today and continue strengthening Saturday as it moves parallel to the coast of southwestern Mexico. Impacts to land are expected to be 2-4 inches of rain, with localized amounts of 6 inches across the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoacán, and Colima through the weekend. The next named storm to form in the eastern Pacific, which has its own list of storms separate from the Atlantic basin, will be Dalila. Also in the eastern Pacific, an area of low pressure is expected to develop late this weekend or early next week near the coast of Central America. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some gradual development. Historically, tropical cyclones form close to the U.S. in June, with the most common locations being the northwestern Caribbean and the eastern Gulf, according to Dr. Ryan Truchelut, chief meteorologist with WeatherTiger. Truchelut is a Florida meteorologist who works with the USA TODAY Network. "None of the reputable forecast models are showing a realistic chance of anything tropical forming on the Atlantic side of Central America through mid-month." ➤ WeatherTiger: False alarms, beneficial rain and a dusty start to Florida storm season The exception is the GFS model, which is predicting a Caribbean tropical storm will spin up in 10 to 12 days, then move generally northward, Truchelut said. "The GFS has a persistent and well-known bias for incorrectly predicting development in the Caribbean at this specific time of year," Truchelut said. "All told, while something could eventually spin up in two or three weeks, the GFS' frequent false alarms should be disregarded." A "ghost hurricane" is a term used to describe a tropical storm or hurricane that appears in a forecast model but which doesn't happen in reality, according to CNN. Pensacola, western Panhandle: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 79. Tallahassee, central Panhandle: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 1 p.m. It'll be mostly sunny, with a high near 90. Heat index values as high as 100. Jacksonville, North/Northeast Florida: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 3 p.m. Partly sunny, with a high near 91. Heat index values as high as 100. Daytona Beach to Stuart, East/Central Florida: Best chances for showers and storms today are across the interior west of I-95. Highs reaching the upper 80s to low 90s, with peak heat indices 100 to 103. West Palm Beach to Naples, South/Southwest Florida: Reduced air quality and rain chances are in the forecast today as a plume of Saharan Dust remains above South Florida Fort Myers to Sarasota, West/Southwest Florida: There's a chance for showers today, with a high near 88 and heat index as high as 102. The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Ninety-seven percent of tropical cyclone activity occurs during this time period, NOAA said. The Atlantic basin includes the northern Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of America, as the Gulf of Mexico is now known in the U.S. per an order from President Trump. NOAA and the National Hurricane Center are now using Gulf of America on its maps and in its advisories. The peak of the season is Sept. 10, with the most activity happening between mid-August and mid-October, according to the Hurricane Center. Systems currently being monitored by the National Hurricane Center include: Tropical cyclone is the generic term used by the National Weather Service, NOAA and the National Hurricane Center for any tropical system, even if it's in the tropical Atlantic basin. To be more precise, a tropical cyclone is a "rotating, organized system of clouds and thunderstorms that originates over tropical or subtropical waters and has closed, low-level circulation," NOAA said. Once maximum sustained winds reach 74 mph, what it is called is determined by where it originated: : for storms in the North Atlantic, central North Pacific, and eastern North Pacific. : for storms in the Northwest Pacific. : for storms in the South Pacific and Indian Ocean. We will update our tropical weather coverage daily. Download your local site's app to ensure you're always connected to the news. And look for our special subscription offers here. This article originally appeared on Treasure Coast Newspapers: Hurricane season in Florida quiet so far. Saharan Dust is helping

Map Shows Where Tropical Storm Dalila Might Form Within 48 hours
Map Shows Where Tropical Storm Dalila Might Form Within 48 hours

Newsweek

time18 hours ago

  • Newsweek

Map Shows Where Tropical Storm Dalila Might Form Within 48 hours

Based on facts, either observed and verified firsthand by the reporter, or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources. Newsweek AI is in beta. Translations may contain inaccuracies—please refer to the original content. The fourth named storm of the Eastern Pacific hurricane season has a high chance of forming within the next 48 hours. A forecast map from the National Hurricane Center (NHC) anticipates the storm will form south of Southern Mexico. Newsweek reached out to the NHC by email for comment. Why It Matters The Eastern Pacific hurricane season began on May 15 and has seen a very active start. Tropical Storm Alvin kicked off the season in late May, followed by Hurricane Barbara and Tropical Storm Cosme. All three storms formed before the average first date of June 10 for a named storm in this region. Now, the fourth named storm, which will be called Dalila, is expected to form in the next two days. A map from the National Hurricane Center shows where Tropical Storm Dalila could form within 48 hours, depicted in red. A map from the National Hurricane Center shows where Tropical Storm Dalila could form within 48 hours, depicted in red. National Hurricane Center What to Know The NHC has been monitoring the disturbance that could become Dalila for several days. "Showers and thunderstorms are gradually becoming better organized in association with a broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of southern Mexico," a tropical weather outlook from the NHC said about the disturbance. "Environmental conditions appear conducive for continued development of this system, and a tropical depression is expected to form in the next day or so while it moves generally west-northwestward. Interests along the coasts of southern and southwestern Mexico should closely monitor the progress of this system." The storm has a 90 percent chance of forming within 48 hours. There also is a 90 percent chance it will form within the next seven days. Forecasts about the storm's anticipated path have not yet been published but will likely be issued once it forms. AccuWeather meteorologists are anticipating 14 to 18 tropical storms and seven to 10 hurricanes for the Eastern Pacific this season. An average season produces 15 tropical storms and four hurricanes, according to AccuWeather. Meanwhile, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is forecasting a below-normal hurricane season for the Eastern Pacific, with 12 to 18 named storms. Of those, five to 10 will likely become hurricanes, and two to five could develop into major hurricanes. What People Are Saying AccuWeather senior meteorologist Tom Kines previously told Newsweek: "There's no doubt three named storms so early is highly unusual. The first hurricane doesn't usually occur until last week of June." AccuWeather Meteorologist and Digital Producer Jesse Ferrell said in a report about the early start to the season: "The basin has seen plenty of storms form early, with 44 storms, including 19 hurricanes, forming in May in the historical record." What Happens Next Once Dalila forms, regular updates will be issued. In addition to the storm that could become Dalila, the NHC also is monitoring a disturbance offshore of Central America that has a near 0 percent chance of forming within 48 hours and a 20 percent chance of forming in the next seven days.

Severe storms to focus on Plains states through Father's Day weekend
Severe storms to focus on Plains states through Father's Day weekend

Yahoo

time19 hours ago

  • Yahoo

Severe storms to focus on Plains states through Father's Day weekend

The greatest risk of severe weather through the Father's Day weekend will be over the Great Plains, near the edge of moist air to the east and dry air to the west, AccuWeather meteorologists warn. People with travel or outdoor plans through the weekend are encouraged to stay up-to-date with the weather. As thunderstorms grow, conditions can quickly change during the late afternoon and evening hours. As a general rule, "if thunder roars move indoors." •Have the app? Unlock AccuWeather Alerts™ with Premium+ Much of the thunderstorm activity may be widely separated over the vast open places of the Plains. However, some storms may gather to form large groups where more severe weather can occur and move along over considerable distances. Into Thursday night, severe weather associated with a jet stream storm will focus a bit east of the Plains from the mid-Mississippi Valley to the upper Texas coast. These storms can be especially drenching as they will be in the thick of moist air from the Gulf. Farther west, thunderstorms will extend along a 1,200-mile-long zone from West Texas and central and eastern New Mexico to central and eastern South Dakota. Some of the strongest storms in this zone can bring large hail and wind gusts ranging from 60-80 mph. On Friday, the threat of severe thunderstorms will extend across the central and northern High Plains. From Friday afternoon to Friday evening, a greater concentration of severe weather is anticipated from the Nebraska Panhandle to central Montana. Once again, large hail and powerful wind gusts will be the greatest risks to lives and property. Yet another round of severe thunderstorms is forecast for the same general area of the High Plains on Saturday. Even though Saturday's severe thunderstorms during the late-day and nighttime hours will be widely separated, the risk will extend for nearly 1,000 miles from the Oklahoma Panhandle to northern Montana. The Saturday evening storms will bring the risk of a few tornadoes, as well as the same potential for large hail and powerful wind gusts. On Father's Day, the severe weather threat will expand farther to the east across the northern and central Plains. On Sunday, the storms will advance eastward as a solid line, broken line segments or perhaps a large cluster. The storms on Father's Day will carry the full spectrum of severe weather ranging from powerful wind gusts to hail, flash flooding and perhaps a few tornadoes. Want next-level safety, ad-free? Unlock advanced, hyperlocal severe weather alerts when you subscribe to Premium+ on the AccuWeather app. AccuWeather Alerts™ are prompted by our expert meteorologists who monitor and analyze dangerous weather risks 24/7 to keep you and your family safer.

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into the world of global news and events? Download our app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store