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The Independent
3 hours ago
- Climate
- The Independent
Here's how climate change is making floods more dangerous across the country
The country has been rocked by severe flooding in recent weeks — and climate change is making it even more dangerous, according to a report. This week, torrential rain slammed New York and New Jersey, leaving two dead. Last week, heavy rain from Tropical Storm Chantal ravaged North Carolina, displacing 60 and killing at least six. The search in Texas for more than 100 missing continues after what officials called a 'once-in-century flood' struck the state, claiming at least 134 lives. The latter two events are considered '1,000-year floods,' meaning there's a 0.1 percent likelihood they will occur in any given year, according to AccuWeather. Climate change is likely the reason that such intense floods are occurring at an exponential rate, NPR first reported. For one, climate change is intensifying rainfall. The heaviest rainstorms in Texas now dump about 20 percent more water than in the 1950s, according to the National Climate Assessment. Similarly, as videos captured New York City's subway gushing with water, Rohit Aggarwala, the city's climate chief, told the New York Times. 'It is now the case that five of the most intense rainstorms in New York City's history have taken place in the last four years,' That's largely because warmer atmospheres allow for more water vapor, leading to an uptick in 'precipitation extremes,' the assessment found. As the atmosphere continues to warm, extreme weather events become even more likely. Warmer atmospheric temperatures could also drive an increase in short-duration extreme rainfall, according to the assessment. In Texas, the Guadalupe River surged from 8 feet to 29 feet in a matter of hours due to the amount of rainfall. Although it's too soon to tell how much of a role climate change played in this month's deadly floods, an initial analysis by ClimaMeter scientists revealed that natural variability could not have alone been responsible for the magnitude of the heavy rainfall that led to the Texas floods. Some states rely on rainfall reports that are 50 years old, NPR reported in 2022. Given the warming atmosphere, those numbers are often quite outdated, affecting cities' abilities to prepare for disasters. Before the 1960s in Harris County, Texas, about 13 inches of rain dropped during extreme storms; that number was at 18 inches in 2018, NPR reported. The difference means one-third of the major roads and highways in Harris County are now vulnerable to flooding, according to the outlet. Asked at a press conference about the delayed alerts in Texas just before floods struck, after it was too late to evacuate for many, Department of Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem blamed 'ancient' technology. 'When President Trump took office… he said he wanted to fix [that], and is currently upgrading the technology,' Noem said. 'And the National Weather Service has indicated that with that and NOAA, that we needed to renew this ancient system that has been left in place with the federal government for many, many years, and that is the reforms that are ongoing.' NOAA has said it is updating its systems to account for climate change. Physical systems are also not prepared for these extreme weather disasters. For example, New York City's sewer system, which is over 100 years old and also handles storm water runoff, can handle about 1.75 inches of rain per hour. 'The pipes were designed for a certain amount of water. A lot more water fell from the sky,' Aggarwala told the Times of the flooding this week. Floods are not only extremely dangerous but they're also costly. Flooding from 1988 through 2021 caused $230 billion in damages — 37 percent of which was attributable to climate change, according to a 2024 National Centers for Environmental Information report.
Yahoo
8 hours ago
- Climate
- Yahoo
Severe storms to rumble daily in central, eastern US
More storms will be on the prowl in portions of the central and eastern United States into the weekend. While flash flooding will pose the greatest risks to lives and property in the coming days, some of the storms will bring damaging wind gusts that can lead to sporadic power outages, AccuWeather meteorologists warn. Severe thunderstorms will extend from northern Michigan to western Wyoming and northeastern Colorado into Tuesday night. Some pockets of severe weather will extend as far west as portions of southern Idaho and northern Utah. The greatest concentration of storms is anticipated over Nebraska, where the highest risk of damaging hail is likely. On Wednesday, the risk of severe weather will continue over some areas of the Central states from Lake Michigan waters to eastern Nebraska. However, the likelihood of some coverage of severe storms will also extend farther to the south into northern Missouri and northeastern Kansas. Some of the storms in this zone may produce a tornado as well. The storms from Wednesday afternoon to Wednesday evening are forecast to extend into the Chicago metro area. Locally severe thunderstorms will extend west of this zone Wednesday night, with hail and strong wind gusts posing a threat from north-central Kansas and south-central Nebraska to southeastern Wyoming and central Colorado. •Have the app? Unlock AccuWeather Alerts™ with Premium+ The Denver metro area could also be affected by another batch of storms Wednesday night focusing on areas just east of the central Rockies. Some severe thunderstorms are also in store for areas farther to the east during Wednesday afternoon and evening. Storms packing strong wind gusts in addition to flooding downpours will extend from the Ohio Valley to the central Appalachians and part of the Interstate 95 corridor from near Philadelphia to Washington, D.C. Much of the zone from the northern Plains to the Upper Midwest will get a break from severe weather from later Thursday to Friday. The same can't be said farther East. On Thursday, many areas from the Ohio Valley to the central Appalachians will be revisited by severe thunderstorms. It is possible the severe weather risk may extend farther to the east, into the mid-Atlantic zone once again. On Friday, the potential severe weather will tend to focus from the central and southern Appalachians to the I-95 mid-Atlantic. Storms capable of producing locally damaging wind gusts, but with the potential for flash flooding, will extend from Delaware and Maryland to North Carolina Friday. While a southward push of dry air in the Northeast will tend to shut down severe weather in the Northeast during part of the weekend, the atmosphere is likely to reload over portions of the Plains and Midwest. Want next-level safety, ad-free? Unlock advanced, hyperlocal severe weather alerts when you subscribe to Premium+ on the AccuWeather app. AccuWeather Alerts™ are prompted by our expert meteorologists who monitor and analyze dangerous weather risks 24/7 to keep you and your family safer.


USA Today
10 hours ago
- Climate
- USA Today
British Open 2025 weather forecast: What will conditions be like at Royal Portrush?
Cloudy, foggy, damp and cool. That's probably what comes to mind when you think of weather at the British Open, and that's exactly what players and fans are in for at Royal Portrush this week for the latest rendition of golf's oldest major. Let's take a look at the weather forecast for the 2025 Open Championship. *All forecasts courtesy of AccuWeather Thursday weather forecast at Royal Portrush Thursday will be the windiest day of the week, according to forecasters, who are calling for cloudy conditions with winds at 15-25 mph from the southeast. Expect temperatures in the upper 60s and rain showers for most of the day. Friday weather forecast at Royal Portrush Widespread showers in the morning become scattered in the afternoon on Friday, but forecasters expect a much lighter wind of 5-10 mph coming from the southwest with a high temperature around 65 degrees. Saturday weather forecast at Royal Portrush Much of the same Saturday. Cloudy with off-and-on rain, high temperatures in the mid 60s and winds from the southeast at 5-10 mph. Sunday weather forecast at Royal Portrush With the smallest chance of rain all week (40 percent), Sunday might be the most pleasant day. A mix of sun and clouds is expected, but showers could still move in for the closing stretch of the final round. Forecasters are calling for a high temperature in the upper 60s and a northwest wind at 10-15 mph.
Yahoo
12 hours ago
- Climate
- Yahoo
Flash flood dangers far from over as storms reload across US
High humidity levels, summer heat and long days will combine to produce conditions favorable for drenching thunderstorms leading to additional flash flooding in the coming days in the eastern, central and southwestern United States, AccuWeather meteorologists warn. There has been a swarm of flash flooding incidents in several parts of the U.S. in recent weeks. Anytime there is a great amount of moisture in the atmosphere and a front, storm, or jet stream fluctuation occurs, tremendous rainfall can be released. AccuWeather meteorologists have outlined flash flooding trouble spots for the days ahead. Some areas recently hit by flooding may be impacted again, while other regions could face heavy rain for the first time in this pattern. A few spots, like Central Texas, are expected to catch a break. Multiple weather systems will contribute to the ongoing flood risk across different parts of the country into next week. Tropical threat grows in the Southeast as flood risk intensifies A tropical rainstorm will travel across the Florida Peninsula and enter the Gulf into midweek. As this occurs, the tropical rainstorm may evolution into a tropical depression or tropical storm. Regardless, tremendous rainfall will be unleashed where it moves inland and stalls over the Gulf Coast states. Dangerous and destructive flash flooding and rises on area rivers are anticipated as inches of rain pour down from midweek to this weekend, with the apex likely to be in Louisiana and western Mississippi. Flash flooding to return to parts of the Northeast midweek Parts of the Northeast are far from finished with drenching showers and thunderstorms. After much of this area has a lull through Tuesday night, downpours will increase in coverage Wednesday and last through Thursday in some areas. While the heaviest rain may slide south of New England and northern New York, areas farther south could face serious flash flooding in urban and small stream the app? Unlock AccuWeather Alerts™ with Premium+ In the most extreme cases, there will be the potential for 2-4 inches of rain to fall in as many hours or less, just as it did in parts of New Jersey, eastern Pennsylvania and New York City on July 14, which led to the deaths of two people from flash flooding in Plainfield, New Jersey. The major metro areas of New York City, Philadelphia, Washington, D.C., Pittsburgh, Cleveland and Columbus, Ohio, will be at risk from Wednesday to Thursday night. "Looking ahead, a push of much less humid air should turn off the downpour and flash flood machine from Friday to Saturday in the mid-Atlantic," AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Dave Dombek said. "While it will be short-lived, it will be noticeable for many, especially the farther north and east you are in the Northeast." Humidity levels will again surge in the Northeast from Sunday to Monday as a front approaches. With the moisture surge will come a new threat of thunderstorm downpours and localized flash flooding. This time, the threat could extend into much of New England as well. Vermont was hit by flash flooding for the third year in a row on July 10. North-Central U.S. faces back-to-back flash flood threats Another area at risk for flash flooding-due to a similar setup as in the Northeast-will stretch from central Nebraska to part of western Michigan and includes the metro areas of Chicago and Rockford, Illinois; Milwaukee, Green Bay and Madison, Wisconsin; Minneapolis and Rochester, Minnesota; Des Moines and Davenport, Iowa; Lincoln and Omaha, Nebraska; and Sioux Falls, South Dakota. This risk will span Tuesday night to early Thursday. After a lull from later Thursday to Friday, a new risk of torrential downpours will follow for the weekend in a large part of this area and will likely be accompanied by severe thunderstorm activity in some locations. Southwest A wedge of hot, dry air should protect flood-devastated areas of Central Texas for a string of days into this weekend. However, a thunderstorm downpour zone will exist farther to the west, and a tropical rainstorm will approach the central Gulf Coast states. "As a storm in the jet stream moves northward from Mexico, it will result in a surge of thunderstorm activity in Arizona, New Mexico and Colorado and possibly as far to the west as Nevada and southeastern California as the week progresses," AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Dan Merrill said. The setup is part of the North American monsoon, but with a boost from the jet stream storm. Throw in the arid and rugged landscape, the risk of flash flooding of arroyos, and small streams will increase substantially, Merrill explained. The flash flood risk will not be limited to recent burn scar locations. Want next-level safety, ad-free? Unlock advanced, hyperlocal severe weather alerts when you subscribe to Premium+ on the AccuWeather app. AccuWeather Alerts™ are prompted by our expert meteorologists who monitor and analyze dangerous weather risks 24/7 to keep you and your family safer.
Yahoo
17 hours ago
- Climate
- Yahoo
What can Florida expect as Invest 93L crosses state, even if it doesn't become tropical storm?
Heavy rainfall with a risk for flash floods are predicted across portions of Florida as Invest 93L moves across the state July 15-16, according to the National Weather Service. As is moves into the Gulf, the National Hurricane Center said it has the potential of strengthening into a tropical depression. ➤ Weather alerts via text: Sign up to get updates about current storms and weather events by location ➤ Track all active storms Most spaghetti models on July 15 show the system moving north after it enters the Gulf, with AccuWeather forecasters predicting a possible landfall July 17 Louisiana. The next named storm of the season will be Dexter. Satellite and radar data indicate the shower and thunderstorm activity associated with the system of low pressure located just offshore of the east coast of Florida remains disorganized, according to the 8 a.m. advisory from the National Hurricane Center. This system is forecast to move westward across the Florida Peninsula July 15 and then reach the northeastern Gulf by Wednesday, July 16. Environmental conditions appear generally favorable for additional development, and a tropical depression could form while the system moves across the northeastern and north-central of development, heavy rainfall could produce localized flash flooding over portions of Florida through mid-week. Heavy rainfall could also cause flash flooding for portions of the north-central Gulf Coast during the middle to latter portions of this week. Formation chance through 48 hours: medium, 40 percent Formation chance through 7 days: medium, 40 percent Special note about spaghetti models: Illustrations include an array of forecast tools and models, and not all are created equal. The hurricane center uses only the top four or five highest performing models to help make its forecasts. National Weather Service offices around Florida warned on X it was still too early to determine specifics about the track, strength or impacts from Invest 93L and advised residents to monitor forecasts for the latest updates. "Regardless of any further development, associated thunderstorm activity and plentiful tropical moisture will bring the threat of isolated to scattered flash flooding to Florida, with a slight risk in place for the central Peninsula Tuesday," the National Weather Service said. "Increasing thunderstorm chances will shift westward with the low along the central Gulf Coast Wednesday (July 16) with additional isolated instances of flash flooding possible." Pensacola, western Panhandle: Heavy rain could lead to flooding concerns by mid to late week with a high risk of rip currents expected by Thursday. Local impacts will depend on whether this system stays near the coast or out over the Gulf. Tallahassee, central Panhandle: Rain chances ramp up Wednesday and Thursday regardless of development Jacksonville, North/Northeast Florida: Regardless of development, heavy rainfall could produce localized flash flooding over portions of Florida and the north-central Gulf coast through the middle to latter portion of this week. Daytona Beach to Stuart, East/Central Florida: Low pressure off of the Florida East Coast will move onshore later this morning/early afternoon and track west across the peninsula. Precipitation along the coast this morning will spread inland with heavy rain. Widespread rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches through Wednesday expected, with locally higher amounts of 4-plus inches in spots that receive heavy rainfall multiple days in a row. West Palm Beach to Naples, South/Southwest Florida: Scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop across the region again today as the tropical disturbance begins to cross the Florida Peninsula. An isolated severe storm or two will be possible. An isolated severe storm is possible, along with strong wind gusts. Fort Myers to Sarasota, West/Southwest Florida: More showers and thunderstorms are expected across the region today, but mainly during this afternoon and evening. Locally heavy rainfall with flooding in urban, low lying, and poor drainage areas possible, along with gusty winds up to 50 mph Tuesday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1 p.m. Sunny, with a high near 95. Heat index values as high as 109. North wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon. Wednesday: Showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 7 a.m. High near 91. Heat index values as high as 105. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southeast in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. Thursday: Showers and thunderstorms. High near 87. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90% Friday: Showers and thunderstorms. High near 87. South wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Follow National Weather Service Mobile on X, formerly known as Twitter A heat advisory is in effect from 11 a.m. until 8 p.m. July 15. Heat index values around 108 are expected across portions the the Big Bend and Florida Panhandle. Tuesday: Showers and thunderstorms. High near 96. Heat index values as high as 109. Calm wind becoming northeast around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Wednesday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 2 p.m., then showers and thunderstorms between 2 p.m. and 5 p.m., then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 5 p.m. High near 88. East wind 5 to 15 mph becoming south southeast in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Thursday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 2 p.m., then showers and thunderstorms between 2 p.m. and 5 p.m., then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 5pm. High near 90. South wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90% Friday: Showers and thunderstorms. High near 91. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Follow the National Weather Service Tallahassee on X, formerly known as Twitter Tuesday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly between 4 p.m. and 5 p.m. Partly sunny, with a high near 89. Heat index values as high as 101. Breezy, with a northeast wind 8 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Wednesday: A slight chance of showers before 11 a.m., then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11 a.m. and 2 p.m., then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2 p.m. High near 91. Heat index values as high as 103. South wind 10 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms Thursday: A slight chance of showers, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 11 a.m. Sunny, with a high near 92. South wind 6 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Friday: Showers and thunderstorms likely after 2 p.m. Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Follow the National Weather Service Jacksonville on X, formerly known as Twitter Tuesday: Showers and thunderstorms likely before noon, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm between noon and 4 p.m., then showers and thunderstorms likely after 4 p.m. High near 85. North northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southeast in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible. Wednesday: A chance of showers before 11 a.m., then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11 a.m. and 2 p.m., then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2 p.m. High near 88. South southeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Thursday: A chance of showers before 11 a.m., then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11 a.m. and 2 p.m., then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2 p.m. High near 88. Southeast wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Friday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 2 p.m. Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. East southeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Follow the National Weather Service Melbourne on X, formerly known as Twitter Tuesday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after noon. High near 87. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south southeast in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. Wednesday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 89. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Thursday: Showers likely, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 11 a.m. High near 89. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Friday: A slight chance of thunderstorms, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 8am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 89. East southeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Follow the National Weather Service Melbourne on X, formerly known as Twitter Tuesday: Showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 5 p.m. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. High near 88. South southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. Wednesday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2 p.m. High near 90. Southeast wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Thursday: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8 a.m., then showers and possibly a thunderstorm between 8 a.m. and 2 p.m., then showers and thunderstorms likely after 2 p.m. High near 90. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Friday: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. East southeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Follow the National Weather Service Melbourne on X, formerly known as Twitter Tuesday: Showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 5 p.m., then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 5 p.m. High near 83. South wind 8 to 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Wednesday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8 a.m., then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 8 a.m. and 11 a.m., then showers and thunderstorms likely after 11 a.m. Mostly sunny, with a high near 85. Breezy, with a southeast wind around 17 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. Thursday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 2 p.m. Partly sunny, with a high near 85. Breezy, with a southeast wind around 16 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Friday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 86. East wind around 14 mph. Follow the National Weather Service Miami on X, formerly known as Twitter Tuesday: Showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 5 p.m. High near 85. South wind 7 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible. Wednesday: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny, with a high near 85. Southeast wind around 14 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Thursday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 2 p.m. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 86. Southeast wind around 14 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Friday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 8 a.m. Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. East wind around 14 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Follow the National Weather Service Miami on X, formerly known as Twitter Tuesday: Showers and thunderstorms. High near 87. Light southwest wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Wednesday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 2 p.m., then showers and thunderstorms likely after 2 p.m. High near 88. South wind 9 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. Thursday: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8 a.m., then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 8 a.m. and 11 a.m., then showers and thunderstorms likely after 11 a.m. Partly sunny, with a high near 91. Southeast wind 9 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Friday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 2 p.m. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. East wind 8 to 10 mph becoming south in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Follow the National Weather Service Miami on X, formerly known as Twitter Tuesday: Showers and thunderstorms. High near 87. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 8 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. Wednesday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 2 p.m., then showers and thunderstorms after 2 p.m. High near 88. South wind 8 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. Thursday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2 p.m. High near 91. Southeast wind 7 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Friday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms between 8 a.m. and 2 p.m., then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2 p.m. Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. East southeast wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Follow the National Weather Service Tampa Bay on X, formerly known as Twitter Tuesday: Showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2 p.m. High near 87. Heat index values as high as 98. East wind 5 to 9 mph becoming west southwest in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Wednesday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly before 2 p.m., then showers and thunderstorms after 2 p.m. High near 87. Breezy, with a south wind 13 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible. Thursday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2 p.m. High near 89. South wind around 14 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Friday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms between 8 a.m. and 2 p.m., then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2 p.m. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. East southeast wind 8 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Follow the National Weather Service Tampa Bay on X, formerly known as Twitter Tuesday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after noon. High near 87. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming south southeast in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible Wednesday: A chance of showers before 11 a.m., then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11 a.m. and 2 p.m., then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2 p.m. High near 91. South southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Thursday: A chance of showers before 11 a.m., then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11 a.m. and 2 p.m., then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2 p.m. High near 91. South southeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Friday: A slight chance of thunderstorms, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 8 a.m. Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. Southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Follow the National Weather Service Melbourne on X, formerly known as Twitter We will continue to update our weather coverage as conditions warrant. Download your local site's app to ensure you're always connected to the news. And look for our special subscription offers here. This article originally appeared on Sarasota Herald-Tribune: Florida weather forecast, radar. Invest 93L impacts rain, flooding