Warren Buffett has set alarm bells ringing on Wall Street
Citigroup's profits jumped by 25 per cent, beating analysts' expectations. The KBW Nasdaq Bank Index is close to an all-time high.
But not everyone is convinced that the good times are going to last.
Warren Buffett, the so-called Sage of Omaha, has been shedding his US bank holdings. At the start of the year, Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway sold about $US3.2 billion ($4.9 billion) of shares in American banks and financial companies.
Buffett sold about a $US1 billion stake in Citigroup, ditched shares worth more than $US2 billion in Bank of America and dropped some of its holdings in Capital One.
Loading
'Berkshire has clearly been reducing its exposure to US bank stocks,' Larry Cunningham, director of the John L. Weinberg Center for Corporate Governance at the University of Delaware, says.
'That activity signals a cautious or even bearish outlook on banking.'
Moves of this size are not unusual for Berkshire Hathaway. But Buffett, arguably the most successful investor of all time, has a reputation for being preternaturally gifted at foreseeing market trends.
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles


Perth Now
2 hours ago
- Perth Now
Wall St gains amid focus on trade talks, tech earnings
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq have touched fresh record peaks as investors hoped for trade breakthroughs and geared up for a week of tech earnings that could set the tone for Wall Street. In early trading on Monday, the S&P 500 gained 18.34 points, or 0.29 per cent, to 6,315.13 and the Nasdaq Composite gained 110.40 points, or 0.53 per cent, to 21,006.05 while the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 38.06 points, or 0.09 per cent, to 44,380.25 - just 1.57 per cent shy of its all-time high. Investors were hoping for some progress in trade talks after US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick expressed confidence over striking a trade deal with the European Union. US President Donald Trump has threatened to slap 30 per cent tariffs on imports from Mexico and the EU, keeping markets on edge. The president has also sent letters to other trading partners, including Canada, Japan and Brazil, setting blanket tariff rates ranging from 20 per cent to 50 per cent. Despite Trump's persistent attacks and the August 1 tariff deadline, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq reached new heights recently as investors believed that the economic fallout from tariffs might not be as dire as once feared. All eyes are on marquee names such as Alphabet and Tesla, whose results this week will kick off the "Magnificent Seven" earnings parade, and could set the tone for Wall Street. Shares of Tesla and Alphabet were up 1.7 per cent and 0.5 per cent respectively. "There's still a ton of trade uncertainty, and so I think the focus on earnings has given investors some things to be excited about," said Ross Mayfield, investment strategy analyst at Baird. "There's a lot of optimism around those big tech earnings and AI demand that should continue to help indexes." On Monday, Verizon gained 2.2 per cent after boosting its annual profit forecast. The stock also drove the communications sector, which emerged as the top gainer among other sectors. Meanwhile, shares of Domino's Pizza rose 2.0 per cent after the world's largest pizza chain surpassed analysts' expectations for second-quarter US same-store sales. The week is light on the economic data front, with only notable indicators being weekly jobless claims figures and the July business activity report expected on Thursday. Investors will closely analyse Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell's remarks on Tuesday for any clues on the US central bank's next move, especially after last week's mixed inflation signals. Traders have largely ruled out a July rate cut and are now pegging the odds at about 60 per cent for a September reduction, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool. Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by a 2.22-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and by a 2.33-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq. The S&P 500 posted seven new 52-week highs and four new lows while the Nasdaq Composite recorded 41 new highs and 20 new lows.


West Australian
8 hours ago
- West Australian
ASX rollercoaster: After a major market melt-up, a reckoning looms
The Australian share market has been on something of a tear over the past few months, up 11 per cent since the depths of Donald Trump's Kamikaze tariff attack, cresting at an all-time high Friday. It's an impressive run given the economy is barely limping along, interest rates are only ever so slightly on the way down and the global economy is on tenterhooks. Such lofty heights amid persistent uncertainty suggest this bull run has more to do with FOMO than fundamentals and vis ulnerable to any hint of bad news. How else to explain a drop of as much as 2.9 per cent for our largest bank, CBA, 3.4 per cent nearly and 2.75 for ANZ and NAB? The sell-off has been sheeted home to the Japanese election, where the ruling Liberal Democratic Party lost its majority in the upper house of parliament. It's the first time there hasn't been a governing majority since 1955. Market watchers suggest it could derail Japan's economic trajectory, given its high debt levels. That issue seems a long way from Australian banks, which derive the majority of their revenues from domestic lending. Aussie banks were up 30 per cent for the financial year ended, driven by the 46 per cent gain for Commbank. Australia's largest bank has been seen as something of a safe haven in times of uncertainty, popular with domestic and international investors alike for its strong balance sheet and stable earnings. But the company is not shooting the lights out in terms of growth, meaning investors are pushing up company valuations without worrying if it is being met by associated profits. 'CBA is the extreme version of that. On Friday, it was at record levels, and this is despite several years of falling earnings and significant uncertainty around what may happen internationally with tariffs,' said AMP chief economist Shane Oliver. It might be that the FOMO trade is going elsewhere. While banks were sold, miners were gold, with Rio Tinto up 1.5 per cent, Fortescue 1.35 per cent and South 32 up 4.33 per cent. There may also be a bet building on China. Stronger oil and metals prices in recent weeks have stirred speculation Beijing could unleash new stimulus. The iron ore price hit a four-month high thanks to a Chinese plan to build a hydroelectric dam in Tibet. But the base metal has been on the upward slope for four weeks, not due to further stimulus talks however, but a forced consolidation of the sector. In a market that is on the hunt for good news, investors seem to be ready to bid on any opportunities. 'Maybe the market's stepping that out,' Dr Oliver said, though he cautioned that recent Chinese GDP data didn't support that optimism. 'There was nothing in there suggesting China's going to jump in with a big stimulus. I'm less optimistic than the market on that one.' A higher iron ore price will certainly be welcome for miners, but a lot of the market is still relying on a bump from the Reserve Bank cutting interest rates. While that will be positive for corporates, the market seems very confident. Across the ASX200 the price earnings ratio - a metric that shows how much investors are willing to pay for each dollar of a company's profit - is 23 times and well above the long term average of around 17. It is also heading higher, raising questions about whether investors are shovelling money into stocks beyond the bargain hunting in the wake of Trump's Liberation Day tariff announcement. 'Share markets aren't cheap anymore,' Dr Oliver said. 'Maybe they were back in April… but they're not cheap anymore. Valuation measures certainly suggest the market is somewhat expensive.' A similar story is playing out in the US, where the markets have hit new records. That is significantly driven by the dominant tech firms but also in the hope that two key events occur: The US Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, and Trump backs down on tariffs. US markets edged higher on suggestions by one Fed member that rates should be cut, even though Fed chair Powell has indicated no change until the tariff impact can be calculated. The other big hope is the TACO trade. Investors are banking on Trump Always Chickening Out, presuming he will cave in the face of economic fallout. It's a risky strategy, given the still very punitive tariff levies spelled out in recent letters. But the key indicator of market risk, the VIX measure of market volatility, is not much higher than before Trump came to office at 16.41. In April, when tariffs were announced, it spiked above 52. 'That's another indication of the extreme optimism around the TACO trade,' Dr Oliver said. That sets up the current earnings season as a key test of investor confidence. Companies will need to show profit growth that justifies their expanded multiples or risk sharp repricing. While investment firms are banking on those earnings staying benign, early signs suggest company insiders are already wary. According to data from just 10 per cent of corporate officers are buying their own company's stock. That is well below the 10-year average in the high 20s and far off the peaks above 40 per cent recorded in recent years. It leaves investors with quite the dilemma. Sit the current enthusiasm out and miss out on the steady melt up or bank on a combination of factors all working in unison: a tariff climbdown, a Fed rate cut, a Chinese stimulus, and no other destabilising factors. It's heady stuff, and at these levels, markets can easily run out of oxygen.

Sky News AU
8 hours ago
- Sky News AU
Demolition of businesses begins at popular Bali surf spot Bingin Beach, voiding bookings of Australian travellers
The demolition of businesses along a Bali beach has sparked devastation among locals and caused travel nightmares for Australians. More than 40 businesses along the popular surf spot Bingin Beach, in the Pecatu Village in the south of Bali by Indonesian authorities began being demolished on Monday morning. These include villas, homestays, restaurants and other tourist facilities. The government-mandated demolitions began after negotiations between business owners and the Badung Regency Government failed. The demolitions had been ordered as a result of an investigation by Bali's civil police unit, which found more than 40 buildings in the area had been violating spatial planning laws and building regulations. Australian travellers who planned to stay at the destination have reportedly had their bookings voided according to Head of the Badung PP Police, I Gusti Agung Ketut Suryanegara, said police had received a warrant "for the demolition of the violating building at Bingin Beach", the Bali Sun reported. Several businesses had been issued demolition notices in the last two months, giving them time to make adjustments to adhere with building regulations. Regent of Badung Adi Arnawa said despite widespread public outcry, the government actions would still go ahead. 'Our community in Pecatu is very aware that they carry out activities on the land. So I hope no one comes to say this and that, pretending to be a saviour, to be a hero. People are aware when building on land that does not belong to them, so it is natural for them to leave the land,' Regent Arnawa stated. Bingin Beach has been a top spot for surfers for decades including Aussies, while American surfing champion Kelly Slater has voiced his displeasure about the future of the hotspot. 'Awful to hear and see that the beachfront at Bingin in Bali has been bought up and all the local (eateries) and other businesses will be demolished to make room for some kind of beach club and not sure what else?' he said. 'Bali has been completely mishandled and ruined by foreign interests in recent years. 'I hope something can be done to retain the culture and beauty of what attracted everyone there in the first place.' A local business owner also voiced their concerns over the developments. "In the past, this place was only a place for fishermen's activities. When tourists start to come, we slowly expand. Building at Bingin Beach is certainly not an easy thing. In addition to extra effort, the cost is not small," he said. 'If we are considered wrong because we occupy the country's land, then where is the country when everything has been running for over 30 years? Why is it done? Why is it that only the public is required to obey the rules? Why is the government itself negligent? We hope the government will provide a solution.'