Too close to call: follow the federal election results in the undecided seats here
Election night ended with at least 16 seats too close to call. Here you can see a list of those which were, as of Wednesday morning, still undecided and our reasons for holding off from making predictions about who will win them.
We're going to leave the electorates on this list even after predictions have been made so if something happens you won't miss it.
In Bean, the Australian Electoral Commission picked the incorrect pairing for the final two-candidate-preferred count (TPC), so we're waiting on a recount with the actual final pairing of Labor v the independent Jessie Price.
In Richmond, it's likely that the Labor candidate, Justine Elliot, will be successful against the Greens, and retain the seat. But, again, the initial pairing the AEC chose was not the one that eventuated on the night, so we're waiting on the TCP recount before making a call to avoid any doubt.
The count in Bradfield between the independent Nicolette Boele and the Liberal Gisele Kapterian is extremely close and will likely require a full count of the absent, provisional, declaration and postal votes before a decision can be made. Queensland
In Longman, the Liberal National party candidate had a narrow lead on Wednesday morning despite a swing against him of 2.9%. Postal votes are now favouring the LNP but most absent and declaration votes have yet to be counted and may swing the seat to Labor.
In Ryan, we have a three-cornered contest and it looks as though the Greens have beaten Labor for second place on the primary vote. If this position holds, the Greens should win the seat against the LNP off Labor preferences. But it's possible that absent, postal and other pre-poll votes could make a difference in the final order, so we'll wait for counting to continue. Victoria
Victoria has a whopping seven seats that are tricky to call for various reasons.
In Calwell, the Labor party leads on the primary vote but we're waiting on more information before the final pairing is clear and a TCP recount can be carried out.
In Menzies, we have a close race between Keith Wolahan, the Liberal incumbent, and Gabriel Ng, the Labor challenger. Labor has a clear lead at the time of writing but there's a decent amount of postal and other non-booth votes still to be counted.
The seat of Melbourne is an interesting one which I wrote about in detail on Tuesday in our live blog. The leader of the Greens, Adam Bandt, has suffered a substantial swing against him. Between the swing against Bandt and an increased vote for Labor, Bandt may lose the seat, or may hold on with a narrow margin.
In Kooyong, the independent Monique Ryan's strong lead on election night has dwindled to the point where the seat count is extremely close. Various election analysts expect her to eventually retain the seat, but we'll want to see the count on most of the pre-poll and other votes before making a call.
Flinders is another seat where the initial pairing for the TCP count was incorrect, so now we're waiting on the results of the recount with the Liberal party's Zoe McKenzie against the independent Ben Smith.
In Monash, we're also waiting on a new TCP count to see which way the preferences fall for the Liberals' Mary Aldred and Labor's Tully Fletcher.
In Bendigo, what was thought to be a contest between Labor and the Liberals has now turned into Labor v Nationals, so we're waiting on the new TCP count. Labor had an extremely narrow lead as of Wednesday morning with 11 of 66 polling places counted for the new TCP figures. Western Australia
Things are looking rocky in Bullwinkel (sorry), with Labor leading by just 50 votes on Wednesday morning. The postal votes have mostly been counted, so this will come down to absent, provision and declaration votes, which may give Labor the edge.
Fremantle is another site of a new TCP count, and as of Wednesday morning, things were looking good for the Labor incumbent, Josh Wilson, who leads over the independent Kate Hulett. The ABC's projection on the new preferences suggests a narrow Labor win.
Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles
Daily Mail
2 hours ago
- Daily Mail
EXCLUSIVE How a 'DOUBLE' pay rise is on its way for millions of Aussie workers next year
Low-paid Australian workers could be getting a huge 'double' pay increase of more than seven per cent in 2026 - with the likes of dry cleaners and restaurant staff to be the key beneficiaries. A major employer group has warned the potential pay spike could threaten the jobs of low-skilled workers, given it would follow the Fair Work Commission awarding a 3.5 per cent pay rise to 2.9million workers beginning on July 1 this year. That latest increase applies to workers on awards and the 200,000 Australians on the minimum wage. But a hidden clause in the industrial umpire's decision proposed scrapping a key employment classification, which could come into effect in July 2026. This would automatically grant a 3.6 per cent pay rise to the very lowest paid, regardless of the following annual wage review decision - because these workers will be moved on to a higher pay grade. This pay rise would also be on top of what the commission decides for an upcoming minimum wage increase in 2026-27. If it matched this year's 3.5 per cent increase, it would mean low paid workers are in line for a double-up pay increase of 7.1 per cent. Employer groups have warned the series of pay rises could lead to job cuts. But Tim Kennedy, the national secretary of the United Workers Union which represents the likes of cleaners and hospitality workers, said the minimum wage rise was about helping the lowest paid to survive. 'When workers can't afford rent, food or petrol, the wage floor is clearly too low,' he told Daily Mail Australia. 'The decision is a lifeline, but we'll continue fighting until wages are genuinely liveable for everyone.' Professor John Buchanan, a labour market researcher at the University of Sydney, told Daily Mail Australia the Fair Work Commission had a 'very timid' approaching to making wage decisions. 'They are very keen to ensure that their decisions are not seen as irresponsible and potentially behind a jacking up or a prolonging of high interest rates,' he said. 'The minimum wage and the awards system is about what kind of civilisation we are. 'Wages policy isn't just about economic efficiency and equations in an econometric model. 'This is the signal we send to ourselves and our society about how we treat the most vulnerable in the labour market and by having a wages structure that ensures those at the lowest reaches can live some semblance of a decent life.' Australia's 200,000 minimum wage workers on the existing C13 classification will be getting $24.95 an hour from July 1, following the latest increase. Their weekly pay is going up by $32.10 to $948, which translates into a $1,669.20 annual increase for those putting in a 38-hour week. Those working full-time on the lowest pay will be getting $49,296 a year from next month. There is a 3.6 per cent gap between the C13 classification, which the Fair Work Commission wants to scrap, and the better paid C12 classification, which those on the minimum wage could be transferred on to in July 2026. Workers on the C12 classification will be getting $25.85 a hour from July 1 this year. That equates to $982.20 a week or $51,074 a year. Minimum wage earners, now on $24.10 an hour or $915.90 a week, would effectively have enjoyed a 7.3 per cent wage increase in four weeks' time had the C13 classification been scrapped immediately. The Australian Industry Group's chief executive Innes Willox said the Fair Work Commission's proposed classification change for those on the minimum wage would threaten jobs. 'This would impose major cost increases on many thousands of employers in the hospitality, restaurants, clubs, horticulture and pastoral industries,' he said. 'There is simply no justification for such a large increase in minimum wage rates for kitchen hands, glassies, farm hands, hotel cleaners and similar low-skilled jobs, on top of the annual wage review increase that would also apply. 'Such a move would threaten the livelihoods of many business owners and the jobs of many workers.' But Prof Buchanan said a big wage rise for the lowest one per cent of workers, on the minimum wage, was hardly unreasonable. 'I've been studying, following wages policy now, professionally, since 1985 and I can't remember a time when any employer group ever has said, "This is a sound wages decision",' he said. 'If we had been listening to them for 40 years, people would be living on poverty wages - they basically cry wolf so many times, they lose all credibility when they make that point.' ACTU secretary Sally McManus said lower-paid Australians deserved to be valued at work. 'We welcome the Fair Work Commission's recognition that the real value of award wages should be restored, particularly for lower-paid Australians,' she said. 'Feeling more valued at work creates the working conditions for more productive businesses and a more resilient economy.' A change in classification would affect workers on awards covering manufacturing, hospitality, restaurants, clubs, horticulture and dry cleaning and laundry. Minimum wage workers received an 8.6 per cent pay increase in July 2023 when the old C14 classification was scrapped and something similar could happen in July 2026. The latest 3.5 per cent increase was well above the 2.4 per cent headline inflation rate and above the overall 3.4 per cent increase in wages for all Australian workers in the year to March.
Reuters
2 hours ago
- Reuters
Australia is 'safe and reliable' critical minerals alternative, minister says
PARIS, June 5 (Reuters) - Australia offers a secure alternative supply for critical minerals vital to industry, its trade minister Don Farrell said on Thursday, in the face of rising concerns about Beijing's dominance of the sector. China's decision in April to suspend exports of a wide range of rare earths and related magnets crucial to sectors ranging from automakers to aerospace and defence was widely seen as Beijing using that dominance for leverage in its trade war with the Trump administration. While China is a top global producer of 30 of the 50 minerals considered critical by the U.S. Geological Survey, Australia has some of the largest critical minerals deposits. "We think we can be a safe and reliable supplier into the supply chain for critical minerals around the world," Farrell told Reuters in an interview. But Australia does not want to just "dig and ship" the minerals and aims to process them as well, although that would require capital from outside such as the European Union, the United States, Japan, South Korea, Singapore and India, he said. The EU and Australia signed a partnership agreement, opens new tab last year to develop critical materials along the supply chain ranging from extraction to refining and processing leftover waste. Farrell said critical minerals could end up in a free trade agreement with the EU that Australia and the bloc are trying to revive after talks broke down in 2023, mainly over agriculture. Australia has sent top trade officials to Brussels this week to nail down the next steps forward as both sides seek access to alternative markets as the Trump administration aggressively builds tariff barriers to its trade partners. "I think there is now impetus on both sides to look at another crack at the agreement," Farrell said in Paris, where he met EU Trade Commissioner Maros Sefcovic on the sidelines of a meeting at the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development. Farrell also met U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer at the OECD and told him Australia wanted the Trump administration to remove its 10% baseline tariffs and 50% tariffs on aluminium and steel. The United States, which has had a free trade agreement with Australia for two decades, ran a $17.9 billion trade surplus with the country last year, according to Greer's office.
Daily Mail
3 hours ago
- Daily Mail
EXCLUSIVE Brittany Higgins breaks her silence on the 'brutalising' aftermath of her devastating rape allegations - and the hidden victims who suffered
Brittany Higgins has opened up about the years of trauma unleashed by her legal battle over her rape allegations against Bruce Lehrmann, and the impact on her loved ones. She slammed the legal system that 'brutally' focused on the alleged victim over the accused - and demanded Prime Minister Anthony Albanese overhauls the process. 'There wouldn't have been a need for a #MeToo movement [in Australia] if our criminal justice system was actually working the way it was intended for victims,' she said on Thursday 'It's hard on you as the person going through that process 'It's also hard on your loved ones. Trauma is real and the people around you will also absorb a lot of what you're going through.' Ms Higgins revealed she had been asked to give advice to someone launching a legal case, but had warned them of what lay ahead. 'In the court, the focus shifts quickly and brutally not to the actions of the accused, but to the behavior, the history and the credibility of the complainant,' she added. 'Her sexual past, her alcohol abuse, her social media posts, her supposed motives: she becomes the one on trial. 'Why is it that our justice system demands perfection from traumatized but accepts silence from the accused?' Ms Higgins was addressing a crowd of 300 people about ending gendered violence at Conversations That Matter 2025 Geelong's GHMBA Stadium in Victoria. She called on the Albanese government, which proudly announced its caucus was 56 per cent women, to take more tangible action on the issue. '(Violence against women) was the preeminent election issue in 2022 and we're at a point where it was barely a blip on the radar,' Ms Higgins said. Citing the 12-month Australian Law Reform Commission inquiry responding to sexual violence, she criticised the $21.4 million government package to fund victim support. '(This) boils down to more reviews and more trials, both of which are necessary. (But) That's not a lot of action,' she told the audience, who had paid $130-a-head to attend. Alongside her advocacy Ms Higgins announced on Wednesday that she has re-entered the workforce, joining the same company where her husband is employed. Ms Higgins is now the director of public affairs at the public relations agency Third Hemisphere. Reflecting on how she has processed the legal battle now that she is a mother, Ms Higgins opened up about how she has a newfound respect for her own mum. The former political staffer shared how she sees her mother as a 'hero' for supporting her. 'My son had surgery not too long after he was born and my heart broke into a million pieces at seeing him in pain,' she told event MC and former ABC journalist Mary Gearin. 'So I extend so much more empathy to my own mother, who had to experience all this stuff (the legal battle) as a parent, not being able to do anything.' Her son Freddie, born in March, was in attendance, quietly sitting in the arms of her husband David Sharaz among the charity officials, experts and advocates. The proud mother has been a staunch advocate for ending violence against women, attending Brisbane's march to prevent the issue in early May. She said connecting with mental health support systems is important for survivors of violence to 'make it through to the outside of these processes'. It comes four years after she was awarded $2.4million from the federal government after claiming she was 'diagnosed as medically unfit for any form of employment'. Ms Higgins made a compensation claim for damages in March 2022 after alleging she was raped in parliament by former colleague Bruce Lehrmann. He has always denied the claims but was found to have raped Ms Higgins on the balance of probabilities by Justice Michael Lee in April last year - a decision Lehrmann is currently appealing. The former Liberal staffer made a compensation claim for damages in March 2022 after the alleged rape. After settling the suit against the federal government for $2.4million, Ms Higgins fled to France after purchasing a three-bedroom chateau in 2023 in Lunas, a tiny village 100km east of Bordeaux. Higgins said she held onto about $1.9million after fees and taxes. The property has since been listed for sale, with the proceeds to cover costs of a defamation suit brought against her by former boss, Liberal Senator Linda Reynolds. Higgins and Sharaz now reportedly plan to live in Melbourne's east after marrying last year on the Gold Coast.
