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Why HMSI is in wait-and-watch mode on EVs before scaling up

Why HMSI is in wait-and-watch mode on EVs before scaling up

Time of India24-05-2025

Gujarat: As India's electric two-wheeler market heats up,
Honda Motorcycle & Scooter India
(HMSI) is opting for a wait-and-watch strategy, as it sees 2025 as a pivotal year to gauge whether the market will grow or stagnate. This cautious approach is despite its recently announced plans to set up a dedicated EV manufacturing plant within the premises of its existing third facility in Karnataka by 2028.
A late entrant to the EV market, the Japanese automaker launched its first two models– the Activa e with swappable battery and QC1 with fixed battery– this year. Although the entry has been slow, the company's leadership team remains committed to a steady pace with the ultimate goal of winning the race.
Speaking to reporters in Japanese with English interpretation, Tsutsumu Otani, Managing Director, President & CEO of HMSI, acknowledged that startups pioneered the EV market in India, while legacy companies like TVS Motor and Bajaj Auto are now driving volume growth. However, he noted that despite increasing sales for these OEMs, the overall market has not grown to a significant level. This is because the EV customers are primarily drawn by incentives and the cost advantage over gasoline vehicles. However, if they stop perceiving these benefits, the market may begin to shift, Otani added.
For the year ended March 2025, EV penetration in India's domestic two-wheeler market stood at 6 per cent, with sales rising to 11.49 lakh units from 9.48 lakh units the previous year. Bengaluru-based Ola Electric led the segment, while TVS and Bajaj fiercely competed for the second and third positions, surpassing Ather Energy and Hero MotoCorp.
Battery replacement cost
Otani also drew parallels between the lifecycle of ICE and battery-powered vehicles. While ICE motorcycles typically last 10 to 15 years, EV batteries start to degrade after about five years. At that point, customers must either replace the battery or the entire vehicle, much like upgrading a smartphone. If consumers are willing to accept the cost of battery replacement, the EV market could continue to grow, Otani explained.
Though, he reiterated, it is still difficult to predict how the overall market will evolve.
He said HMSI is beginning its EV journey at a crucial time and is keen to monitor how incentive trends develop. As the EV market in India enters its fourth year, early adopters will start experiencing battery degradation, marking a key moment when customer perceptions of long-term EV ownership will begin to form.
It is worth noting that the automaker's cautious approach also led to its phased expansion strategy for EVs. Currently, the Activa e is available only in Bengaluru and is yet to gain significant traction. The next planned launches, guided by the availability of battery swapping stations, are targeted for Delhi and Mumbai. The EV models are being sold through existing Red Wing dealerships.
Honda, which sells scooters with swappable battery technology in Japan and Indonesia, has partnered with OMC Power to support battery swapping infrastructure in Indian cities.
Globally, Honda plans to develop both swappable and fixed battery models, launching at least one new model each year starting in 2026. However, the company has not disclosed how many of these will be introduced in the Indian market.
Striving for domestic market leadership
In India, the company's EV journey contrasts with its long-standing goal to lead the domestic two-wheeler market. Having held the No. 2 position for years, the automaker aims to surpass Hero MotoCorp this fiscal year.
To support this ambition, the two-wheeler maker has announced an investment of ₹920 crore to build a fourth production line at its Vithalapur plant in Ahmedabad district, Gujarat. Scheduled to be operational by 2027, the new line will produce 125cc motorcycles and add an annual capacity of 6.5 lakh units, increasing the plant's total capacity to 26.1 lakh units.
'We are aiming for No.1 market share in India by creating a production environment that meets the needs of the world's largest market of 20 million units,' the company said in its official statement.
The increased capacity will also support the company's goal of making India its export hub.
HMSI, which began production in India in 2001, currently operates four manufacturing plants across the country, including facilities in Manesar (Haryana), Tapukara (Rajasthan), Narasipura (Karnataka), and Vithalapur (Gujarat).

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