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Yahoo
10 hours ago
- Yahoo
Tropical Storm Erin forms, expected to become major hurricane by weekend. See Florida impact
Tropical Storm Erin has formed in the eastern Atlantic. Erin is expected to strengthen as it makes its way west across the Atlantic. Current forecasts predict it'll become a major hurricane, with sustained winds of 115 mph, within the next five days. The National Hurricane Center issued its first advisory on the system — one of three in the Atlantic — at 11 a.m. Monday, Aug. 11. ➤ Track all active storms ➤ Weather alerts via text: Sign up to get updates about current storms and weather events by location The fifth-named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season, Erin formed earlier than the historical average of Aug. 22. Highlights on what Tropical Storm Erin is doing now Special note on the NHC cone: The forecast track shows the most likely path of the center of the storm. It does not illustrate the full width of the storm or its impacts, and the center of the storm is likely to travel outside the cone up to 33% of the time. Location: 280 miles west-northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands; 2,305 miles east of the northern Leeward Islands Maximum sustained winds: 45 mph Movement: west at 20 mph Pressure: 1,004 mb Next advisory: 8 p.m. CVT; 5 p.m. ET Tropical Storm Erin: What you need to know At 11 a.m. ET Monday, Aug. 11, the center of Tropical Storm Erin was located near latitude 17.4 North, longitude 28.0 West. Erin is moving toward the west near 20 mph, and this motion is expected to continue for the next several days. Earlier satellite wind data indicated that maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph, with higher gusts. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles from the center. Gradual strengthening is forecast over the next several days. Spaghetti models for Tropical Storm Erin Special note about spaghetti models: Illustrations include an array of forecast tools and models, and not all are created equal. The hurricane center uses only the top four or five highest performing models to help make its forecasts. ➤ Track Tropical Storm Erin Is there a hurricane coming toward Florida? Expected impacts from Tropical Storm Erin No tropical storm watches or warnings have been issued for Florida or the United States, and it's too early to tell whether it will impact the U.S. Erin is expected to strengthen into a hurricane by Aug. 13 and become a major hurricane by Aug. 16 as it moves west across the Atlantic. Many models predict it'll curve toward the north before reaching Florida. Even if it does avoid a landfall in Florida, expect a "significant increase in seas, surf and rip currents along the East coast beaches next weekend into the following week," according to AccuWeather. How strong is Tropical Storm Erin and where is it going? The intensity forecast in the short-term is a little tricky, the National Hurricane Center said. "The earlier scatterometer data indicate the system has a small circulation which could be prone to rapid intensity changes, either up or down." Wind shear could limit Erin to slow intensification in the short-term. After that, though, warm sea-surface temperatures could mean Erin becomes a major hurricane within the next 120 hours. A major hurricane is one that is a Category 3 or higher, with at least 111 mph sustained winds. Key messages from the National Hurricane Center: What you need to know about Tropical Storm Erin Tropical Storm Erin formed in the eastern Atlantic Aug. 11, ahead of the historical average for the fifth-named storm of the season. Erin is expected to strengthen as it moves quickly across the Atlantic. Erin could become a hurricane Aug. 13 or early Aug. 14. Current predictions call for Erin to become a major hurricane by Saturday morning, Aug. 16, with maximum sustained winds of 115 mph. Current forecast: Where is Tropical Storm Erin and how strong could it get? As of 11 a.m.: 45 mph 12 hours: 50 mph 24 hours: 60 mph 36 hours: 65 mph 48 hours: 70 mph 60 hours: 80 mph 72 hours: 90 mph 96 hours: 105 mph 120 hours: 115 mph What impact could Tropical Storm Erin have and what areas could be affected? It's still early to tell yet what impacts Tropical Storm Erin could have. Officials warn residents should be prepared and closely monitor the storm that's expected to become a major hurricane later this week. ➤ Excessive rainfall forecast Interactive map: What tropical storms, hurricanes have impacted your area in the past? Stay informed. Get weather alerts via text What's next? We will update our tropical weather coverage daily. Download your local site's app to ensure you're always connected to the news. And look for our special subscription offers here. This story has been updated to include new information. This article originally appeared on Naples Daily News: Tropical Storm Erin forms. Expected to become major hurricane. Tracker
Yahoo
10 hours ago
- Yahoo
The Atlantic may get its first hurricane of the season - and it has the US in its sights
A tropical storm churning in the Atlantic may become not only the first hurricane of the North American 2025 season, but also the first to bring severe tropical storm conditions to the continental U.S. this year. Tropical Storm Erin is gaining power in the eastern Atlantic, according to AccuWeather meteorologists. The storm began as a small cluster of rain storms off the western African coast, but has now intensified and could be designated as a hurricane as soon as Wednesday, according to CNN. While the first hurricane of the season, on average, shows up by August 11, major hurricanes don't typically start forming until at least the first of September. But forecasters believe Erin could be an unseasonably early major storm. That is thanks, in part, to a lack of barriers to its intensification. "Several factors are working in its favor, including lack of dust, warm water and a lack of disruptive breezes," AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Chad Merrill said. Hurricane season in the U.S. typically lasts from June 1 to November 30. Forecasters believe the storm will move west over the Atlantic for the next week and will then begin a slight northwest curve from Thursday to Friday. That course adjustment should prevent the main body of the storm from hitting the northeast Caribbean. AccuWeather warned that residents of Bermuda and the Bahamas should keep informed about the storm's progression and direction. In some scenarios forecasted, Erin will turns north and away from the U.S. But if the storm becomes powerful, the tropical storm conditions at its periphery could stretch for 100 miles or more, meaning even a northward turn might bring severe storms, high winds, and damaging surf and rain to the coastal U.S. In that scenario, the east coast of the U.S. from North Carolina to New England would likely bear the brunt of the storm. "Any development could bring impacts for a large swath from the Caribbean to the United States East Coast," AccuWeather warned in a social media post. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration announced that it would release advisories on Tropical Storm Erin sometime on Monday. If storm does spin up into a hurricane, it will become the first hurricane in a season that the NOAA predicts will be more active than usual. The NOAA believes between 13 and 19 named storms will whip up, and of those that approximately six to 10 will become full fledged hurricanes — with wind speeds of 74 miles per hour or greater. The NOAA believes three to five hurricanes will become major Category 3, 4, or 5 storms, which have 111 mph wind speeds or greater. The federal agency said it had 70 percent confidence in its forecast. 'This outlook is a call to action: be prepared. Take proactive steps now to make a plan and gather supplies to ensure you're ready before a storm threatens," NOAA's National Weather Service Director Ken Graham said in a statement.
Yahoo
2 days ago
- Yahoo
Thousands evacuate as wildfire rapidly spreads in Southern California
A rapidly growing wildfire in Southern California has prompted thousands of residents to be evacuated and it continues to grow as heat and dry conditions fuel the rapid spread. The Canyon Fire ignited early Thursday afternoon and by Friday it had expanded to about 4,850 acres, according to The New York Times. According to CNN, Thursday was the hottest day of the year for much of the area with temperatures reaching 100 degrees and higher. Dry winds have also contributed to the rapid spread of the fire. Because of the fire, over 2,700 people have been asked to evacuate and 14,000 more have received evacuation warnings, according to BBC. Most of the evacuations have taken place in Los Angeles County but there have also been evacuation orders in Ventura County. As of Friday, the fire has been partially contained and 25% of the perimeter is under control. On Thursday the fire destroyed at least two structures. The fire is burning just south of Lake Piru, a reservoir near the Los Padres National Forest about 40 miles northwest of Los Angeles, per BBC. The Gifford Fire nears 'megafire' status The Canyon Fire is not the only major fire currently burning in California and a massive fire is currently blazing through the central part of the state. The Gifford fire is the state's largest wildfire of the year and as of Thursday evening had burned over 99,000 acres. The fire will reach 'megafire' status if it grows to 100,000 acres, per The Weather Channel. This blaze grew out of at least four smaller fires last week along State Route 166 and is burning in San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara counties. As of Thursday evening it was 15% contained, according to The New York Times. There have also been evacuation orders from the Gifford Fire and over 800 structures remain threatened by the blaze. According to The Weather Channel, there are over 2,200 personnel working to fight the fire. According to NBC Los Angeles, there have been over 4,400 wildfires reported in California this year burning a total of 221,100 acres.
