
Far-right first-round win of Romanian presidential election raises prospect of EU disruption
A far-right
Donald Trump
admirer who opposes military aid to
Ukraine
has decisively won the first round of
Romania
's presidential election rerun, near-final results show, raising the prospect of another disruptive nationalist joining the
EU
leaders' club.
With 99.99 per cent of votes counted on Monday, George Simion (38), who sports Maga caps, pushes a sovereigntist, socially conservative agenda and has called for the 'Melonisation' – referring to
Italy's far-right prime minister
– of Europe, scored 40.96 per cent.
That was almost double the return of second-placed candidate Nicușor Dan, the centrist mayor of Bucharest, and higher than pre-election polls had predicted. The two will face each other in a second-round runoff due on May 18th.
Dan squeaked into the second round with 20.99 per cent, less than a percentage point more than Crin Antonescu, a pro-European former senator backed by the ruling Social Democratic Party (PSD) and the centre-right National Liberal Party (PNL).
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'This is not just an electoral victory, it is a victory of Romanian dignity. It is the victory of those who have not lost hope, of those who still believe in Romania, a free, respected, sovereign country,' Mr Simion said after the result became clear.
'I am here to serve Romanians, not the other way around,' he said in a statement early on Monday, insisting he believed in an EU 'that thrives as a nest for its diverse and sovereign nations – not as a rigid system enforcing one-size-fits-all policies'.
The far-right candidate, whose Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) has grown from an anti-vax movement into the country's second-largest party, finished first in 36 of Romania's 47 electoral districts and secured 61 per cent of the large overseas vote.
Dan, a 55-year-old mathematician who founded the Save Romania Union party (USR) and campaigned as a pro-EU, anti-corruption independent, called the runoff a battle 'to convince Romanians that Romania needs its pro-western direction'.
He said the two weeks leading up to the runoff would be 'difficult against this isolationist candidate ... It will not be a debate between individuals, it will be a debate between a pro-Western direction for Romania and an anti-western direction'.
Experts have said Dan might struggle to beat Simion in the runoff because of tensions between the independent candidate and the country's two big centre-left and centre-right mainstream parties that might deter their voters from switching allegiance.
'Simion has a bigger pool of votes than Dan at the moment,' said Cristian Pîrvulescu, a political scientist. The votes of the fourth-placed finisher, Victor Ponta, a former prime minister, could be critical, potentially making him a kingmaker.
Romania's president has a semi-executive role with considerable powers over foreign policy, national security, defence spending and judicial appointments. They also represent the country on the international stage and can veto important EU votes.
A Simion victory could lead to Romania – which shares a border with Ukraine and is a member of both the EU and Nato – veering away from the mainstream path and becoming another disruptive force within the EU alongside Hungary and Slovakia.
That vote last November was won by Călin Georgescu, a far-right, Moscow-friendly independent, but was annulled by Romania's top court after declassified intelligence documents revealed an alleged Russian influence operation.
Simion promised on Sunday to make Mr Georgescu prime minister, either through a referendum, early elections or forming a new government coalition, if he won. Far-right groups have 35 per cent of parliamentary seats after elections held in December.
Simion denies his policies are far-right but has described his party as 'natural allies' of Trump and promised an alliance of EU countries 'in the spirit of Maga'. He has frequently criticised Russia, but consistently opposed military aid to Ukraine.
To date, Romania has donated a Patriot air defence battery to Kyiv, is training Ukrainian fighter pilots and has enabled the export of 30m tonnes of Ukrainian grain through its Black Sea port of Constanta since Russia's invasion – Guardian.
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The Irish Sun
4 hours ago
- The Irish Sun
Irish presidential election 2025 odds: Who's in the running for the Áras?
THE IRISH Presidential election is less than six months away, and the leading players in the race to take over from Michael D. Higgins are becoming a little clearer. Ireland will go to the polls on Tuesday, November 11th, to determine who will be the next occupant of the Áras an Uachtaráin, with Higgins stepping down after completing the maximum two terms. Popular politician Mairead McGuinness has appeared as the frontrunner in the race, but with candidates still to be declared, the likes of Frances Black, Bertie Ahern, and several other prominent figures could shake things up. Of course, the race is likely to receive extra attention this year, with former UFC star Conor McGregor looking to use it to gain some political traction of his own. Who is the most likely to end up in the Áras when all is said and done? Join us in this Irish Presidential election odds and betting guide to find out how the bookies think things are shaping up. Irish presidential election 2025 odds Mairead McGuinness - Frances Black - Sean Kelly - Heather Humphreys - Bertie Ahern - Catherine Connolly - Conor McGregor - Odds are subject to change. Where to bet on the Irish presidential election The current political landscape in Ireland Like most major European countries, Ireland finds itself at a political crossroads right now. The 2024 election saw Like the 2020 election, though, the 2024 one showed that there is a serious appetite for change in the country. Sinn Fein, led by Mary Lou McDonald, finished second again, replicating their 2020 result. Of course, the coalition between the two leading parties all but ensures Sinn Fein will not get anywhere near power. However, this is largely seen as papering over the cracks, with this coalition essentially ignoring the will of many voters in the country. From a Presidential perspective, though, things tend to be a little calmer. Michael D. Higgins has been President since 2011 and has been a popular figure in the country. His popularity was emphasised during the 2018 election, where he cruised to a comfortable 55.8% win in the first round of voting. READ MORE SUN STORIES Who are the contenders for the 2025 Irish presidential election? Let's take a more detailed look at the Mairead McGuinness Mairead McGuinness is the clear frontrunner to succeed Michael Higgins in this year's Irish Presidential election. The Fine Gael politician is one of the most experienced and respected senior officials in Ireland. She has held various positions representing Fine Gael and Ireland in Europe, including being the European Commissioner for Financial Stability, Financial Services, and the Capital Markets Union from 2020 to 2024. Now that she has stepped down from that role, she appears to be the perfect candidate to take over at the Áras. She is currently priced at 3/4 with LeoVegas. ➡️ Frances Black Those looking for a strongly left-leaning choice in this year's Irish election will be glad to see She won a seat in the Seanad as an independent candidate in 2016 and has been outspoken on several important human rights issues. Given the current divide that exists across Europe, some may see her as too divisive a figure, but she is certainly one to watch as the election gets closer. She is available at 6/1 with NetBet. ➡️ Sean Kelly Fine Gael MEP Sean Kelly has said he will decide by the summer whether or not he is going to run for the presidency, but all signs currently point towards him doing so. The former GAA President knows he will be up against it, with Fine Gael never winning the race to the Aras an Uachtaráin. With opinion polls for party leader Simon Harris not looking too strong, it is difficult to imagine he will break that. The bookies, however, do give him an outside chance, with 888 Sport pricing Sean Kelly at 9/1 to be the next Irish President. ➡️ Heather Humphreys Heather Humphreys has, for the time being, She stepped down from politics during last year's general election, saying that 'politicians are human too' and taking some time away from the public eye. The general consensus among the bookies is that she will make a comeback at some point this year, with NetBet pricing her at 9/1. ➡️ Bertie Ahern Former Taoiseach Bertie Ahern is another name that has been gaining traction in discussions surrounding this year's presidential election. Ahern returned to politics after an over a decade's hiatus in 2023, sparking speculation that he might be considering a run for Áras. While he has certainly had his ups and downs over the years, he has been one of Ireland's most prominent, best-known, and popular politicians since the 1980s, and could be seen as a bit of a unifying figure in potentially tough times ahead. 888 Sport currently has Bertie Ahern priced at 10/1 to become the next Irish President. ➡️ Catherine Connolly Catherine Connolly, the current TD for Galway West, is another name that has been doing the rounds in the discussion for the next Irish President. Connolly is a well-respected name in Irish politics, having served as an Independent TD for Galway West since 2016. Before entering parliament, she served as Mayor of Galway between 2004 and 2005 and has also previously chaired the Irish Language Committee. She may be seen as a softer, left-leaning candidate compared to Frances Black and could certainly appeal to some moderates. She is available at 10/1 with NetBet. ➡️ Conor McGregor While he is extremely unlikely to even come close to the Áras, Conor McGregor's high-profile claims that he is going to run for President will no doubt dominate the headlines leading up to this year's election. The former UFC star is a divisive figure who will look to ride a wave of populism into power. His strong anti-immigration, pro-Irish stance will be popular with some members of the public, but ultimately, his involvement here is nothing more than a sideshow. ➡️ How might the odds shift between now and November? While there is still time for plenty of twists and turns in the lead-up to the Irish Presidential election in November, these races tend to be a lot less chaotic than some of their European counterparts, or even the Irish general election. Public interest in Presidential elections does not tend to be as rife as it is for general elections. However, the involvement of Conor McGregor, whether he manages to secure a candidacy or not, will no doubt shine a bit more of a spotlight on this year's race. Like any election, there is always the chance that some sort of scandal will shake things up, and there are still debates to go before the event. As such, I recommend monitoring the odds throughout the entire election cycle and be prepared to pounce on big odds shifts, but don't expect the wild ride you might get in other elections. How do Irish presidential elections work? The Irish Presidential election system uses a thorough voting process to ensure the best candidate is elected to the role. To run for presidency, candidates must be nominated by either 20 members of the Oireachtas (parliament) or by at least four local authorities. Once the candidates have been confirmed, nationwide voting occurs using the Single Transferable Vote system. The public votes using a ranking system, selecting their candidates in order of preference. To win the election, a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote. If no candidate achieves this during a round, then the lowest-scoring candidate is removed. Their votes are then distributed to their voters' second choices. This process then continues until a candidate secures more than 50% of the overall vote and is confirmed as the winner. Keeping on top of the Irish presidential race If you want to keep up with all of the twists and turns in this year's Irish Presidential race, be sure to check back in with us at The Sun regularly. We are committed to providing the most in-depth election coverage around, keeping our readers up to speed with the latest polls, debates, odds, and more. About the author James Anderson James Anderson is a Betting & Gaming Writer at The Sun. He is an expert in sports betting and online casinos, and joined the company in November 2020 to work closely with leading bookmakers and online gaming companies to curate content in all areas of sports betting. He previously worked as a Digital Sports Reporter and Head of Live Blogs/Events at the Daily Express and Daily Star, covering football, cricket, snooker, F1 and horse racing. Responsible gambling A responsible gambler is someone who: Establishes time and monetary limits before playing Only gambles with money they can afford to lose Never chase their losses Doesn't gamble if they're upset, angry, or depressed Problem gambling – Gamble Aware – Help with gambling addiction If you have a problem with gambling, or you know someone who does, help is out there. Extern Problem Gambling is the leading provider of information, treatment, advice, and support for anyone affected by gambling harms across Ireland. Most read in Betting


Irish Independent
12 hours ago
- Irish Independent
Ireland to take soundings over EU joining UK-led sanctions against far-right Israeli ministers
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Irish Examiner
14 hours ago
- Irish Examiner
Irish Examiner view: Intolerance fuelled unrest in Ballymena
In recent days, there has been sustained rioting in Ballymena, in the North. Readers have no doubt seen for themselves on television and social media plentiful footage of disorder and chaos from the town in Antrim. There was a time when such violence was very familiar, and at this time of year in particular. The North's marching season often involved confrontation between different groups, and the imagery of police in riot gear and youths throwing petrol bombs was a regular feature of the evening news. This violence is different, however. It began as a peaceful protest after an alleged sexual assault in the area, an incident which resulted in two teenage boys being charged at Coleraine Magistrates' Court on Monday morning. The two boys had a Romanian interpreter in court and there is an undeniable racial component to the subsequent violent demonstrations, with the PSNI Assistant Chief Constable Ryan Henderson describing those scenes as 'racist thuggery targeted at ethnic minorities and police officers'. The disorder has led to dozens of police officers being injured and has spread elsewhere in the North, including Larne. A leisure centre in the latter town was set alight after it was suggested that families driven out of Ballymena would be accommodated there. The apparent breakdown of law and order in one small town in the North is shocking in and of itself, with the scale of violence so great that police forces in Scotland have promised to send officers to help. The weaponisation of an alleged crime to facilitate racially-motivated rioting is a significant development, and a worrying one. There will be plenty of observers south of the border happy to point out that decades of institutional bigotry in the North may have prepared fertile ground for various forms of intolerance. Whatever substance there may be to that view, it would be naive to imagine a similar situation arising here might not be subject to the same kind of manipulation. Air India crash News of a major air disaster is always chilling, and that was certainly the case yesterday when we learned of the crash of Air India Flight AI171. The London-bound aircraft, carrying 242 people, crashed shortly after take-off in Ahmedabad, western India, and was scheduled to fly to Gatwick. At the time of writing, the final death toll had not been established. The plane came down in a residential area and is understood to have crashed directly into an accommodation block which houses medical staff. The cause of the crash has not been determined yet. Investigators will be keen to examine the black box flight recorders from the aircraft, a Boeing 787-8 Dreamliner. It was unsurprising that that company's stock price fell sharply once news of the crash spread. Though reports suggest it is the first crash involving an aircraft of that type, the entire 787 fleet was reportedly grounded in 2013 after fires related to batteries in its electrical power system. This news will have a particular resonance in Ireland, and Cork in particular, as it is almost exactly 40 years to the day since Air India Flight 182 — a passenger flight on the Montreal-Mumbai route — crashed off our south-west coast. On June 23, 1985, Flight 182, a Boeing 747-237B, broke up when a bomb planted by Canadian Sikh terrorists exploded in its cargo area. There was a major recovery operation undertaken at the time to retrieve the bodies, one of the largest missions of its kind in Irish history, while hundreds of relatives of those lost in the crash travelled to Ireland in the aftermath. A memorial at Ahakista in West Cork, built at the nearest point on land to where Air India Flight 182 disintegrated, was unveiled on the first anniversary of the bombing in June 23, 1986. Some 30 years after that unveiling, the Canadian ambassador to Ireland, Kevin Vickers, said: 'Canada will be forever indebted to the people of Cork and of the community here on the Sheep's Head for all the support and kindness [they] have shown the relatives and their families.' Many of those people who remember 1985 will be thinking of Flight AI171 today. School phone pouches The phone pouch scheme for schools remains a lightning rod for controversy. We learned this week that a tender for the central provision of the pouches was published in January but the Department of Education last week stated that the competition would be cancelled without a winner, though 12 tenders were received. The department will issue guidance on developing school policy on phone use and on how to apply for funding for the pouches, even though schools are not obliged to apply for the funding. This means a delay in implementing policy, increased bureaucracy, and higher costs — all for the sake of an unnecessary initiative being introduced as a top-down measure, when school phone storage is a classic example of a local issue requiring local solutions. This ongoing fiasco is reminiscent of the cliched scenario in which a sensible six-year-old child points out the obvious and glaring flaws in a plan to adults who are invested in approving that plan. The Department of Education is not the only State body in need of that kind of advice but it would do well even now to listen to this mythical six-year-old and abandon this measure. Read More Irish Examiner view: Free speech does not equal a right to intimidate