
Trump tariffs hit India's garment makers as US buyers say move production
To calm U.S. customers' nerves, Pearl Global has offered to shift production to its 17 factories in Bangladesh, Indonesia, Vietnam and Guatemala to bypass the steep U.S. levies on Indian imports.
"All the customers are already calling me. They want us to ... shift from India to the other countries," Managing Director Pallab Banerjee told Reuters in an interview.
Trump's initial tariff proposals in April - which were lower for India than for the rival Asian garment hubs of Bangladesh, Vietnam and China - had been seen as an opportunity for India to rapidly expand in the $16 billion apparel exports market.
But the tables have turned as relations between New Delhi and Washington have soured, with India now facing a 50% tariff, versus 20% for Bangladesh and Vietnam, and 30% for China.
Pearl gets roughly half of its business from the United States. Some clients offered to continue taking products from India if it could share the tariff burden, but that is not viable, Banerjee said, without naming the customers.
'IN THE DOLDRUMS'
The 50% U.S. tariff - comprising 25% that kicked in on Thursday and another 25% due to come into force on August 28 as a penalty for buying Russian oil - has stunned U.S. garment buyers and their Indian suppliers, who say they are considering taking their manufacturing operations beyond Indian shores, even to less-established garment hubs like Ethiopia and Nepal.
Some exporters also say they have been asked by U.S. clients to put orders on hold.
New Delhi has called Trump tariffs "extremely unfortunate".
India's garment sector was already grappling with a labour crunch and limited production capacity. But the prospect of exporters shifting production outside India would also be a blow to Prime Minister Narendra Modi's "Make in India" policy drive.
While Pearl can use its foreign factories to meet U.S. orders, exporters that rely on domestic factories are set to be hit much harder.
RichaCo Exports has shipped $111 million of garments to the U.S. this year, with clients such as J. Crew Group, customs data shows. All were made in its more than two dozen factories across India. Around 95% of its annual Indian revenues come from the United States, said general manager Dinesh Raheja.
"We're exploring setting up a manufacturing base in (Nepal's capital) Kathmandu," he said. "The industry is in the doldrums."
ORDERS ON HOLD
Earlier this week, India's biggest jeweller and watchmaker Titan told Reuters it was looking at shifting some manufacturing to the Middle East to maintain low-tariff access to U.S. markets.
Amit Agarwal, finance chief of top Indian garment maker Raymond, said he was pinning hopes on the company's one factory in Ethiopia - which faces just a 10% U.S. tariff and could possibly add more production lines within three months to cater to U.S. clients.
The tariff threat comes as India was emerging as a big alternative for U.S. garment buyers like Walmart, as Bangladesh faces a political crisis, and companies look to diversify supply chains beyond China.
Indian garment hub Tiruppur in the south, considered the country's knitwear capital and which accounts for nearly one-third of apparel exports, was bullish about the future earlier this year when Reuters visited and talked to exporters.
Panic has now descended on the hub.
Some factories in Tiruppur have been asked by customers to hold orders, while some plan to ship as many goods as possible before the full 50% tariff kicks in, said Naveen Micheal John, executive director at Cotton Blossom India.
"An importer, which had placed orders for underwear, has come back saying that if you haven't purchased yarns ... keep it on hold for now," he said.
Some garments in Tiruppur cost U.S. clients as little as $1, while a women's or men's T-shirt can vary from about $3.5-$5, which could soon face 50% tariffs, said N. Thirukkumaran, general secretary of the Tiruppur Exporters Association.
(Writing by Aditya Kalra. Editing by Mark Potter)

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles


Zawya
14 minutes ago
- Zawya
South Africa's central bank sees only modest impact from US tariffs
PRETORIA - South Africa's central bank believes U.S. tariffs will only have a modest impact on the country's economic growth while leaving its inflation levels broadly unchanged, its governor said on Friday. U.S. imports from South Africa are now subject to a 30% duty - the highest rate in Sub-Saharan Africa - after Pretoria failed to agree a trade deal with Washington in time for U.S. President Donald Trump's deadline. President Cyril Ramaphosa spoke to Trump on Wednesday to try to speed up trade talks, after industry associations and the central bank governor previously warned the tariffs could cause tens of thousands of job losses. But at the central bank's Annual General Meeting on Friday, Governor Lesetja Kganyago downplayed the economic fallout. "Our preliminary assessment is that tariffs and the other uncertainties in the global economy are causing modest damage to growth while leaving inflation broadly unchanged," he told the bank's shareholders. "The U.S. is a large trading partner for South Africa, but it is not as important as Europe, China or the Southern African Development Community," Kganyago added. The U.S. accounted for roughly 7% of South African exports in June, smaller than China's 12% and Germany's 8%, data from the South African Revenue Service showed. The central bank's latest forecasts factored in a higher tariff rate but that only moved its growth forecast for this year down by around 0.1 percentage points. "This is a setback, but not catastrophic," Kganyago said, explaining that the relatively low growth of about 1% expected in 2025 was part of a broader stagnation trend in place for roughly a decade. Echoing Kganyago's assessment, South African financial markets have performed well this week even as the tariffs came into effect. ETM Analytics said in a research note that investors were confident that South African businesses would be able to find ways to mitigate the impact of the tariffs and pivot to new markets.


Zawya
44 minutes ago
- Zawya
Wall St Week Ahead: Inflation data to test stocks as some investors brace for rally to pause
NEW YORK: A fresh look at inflation trends will test the U.S. stock market's rally in the coming week, with some investors saying equities are primed for a potential pullback after rocketing to records. The benchmark S&P 500 was last up more than 7% on the year and within about 1% of its all-time closing high set in late July, as stocks largely rebounded from declines following a weak employment report earlier this month. Strategists at firms including Deutsche Bank and Morgan Stanley have recently said the market could be poised for some level of pullback after a largely unabated climb over the past four months, which has pushed valuations to historically expensive levels as a seasonally treacherous period for stocks begins. The monthly U.S. consumer price index report, due on Tuesday, could cause volatility. Data showing higher-than-expected inflation could undermine the growing expectation for impending interest rate cuts. "I do think the market is set up for a bit of a pullback," said Dominic Pappalardo, chief multi-asset strategist at Morningstar Wealth. "There's a lot of concern bubbling underneath." The S&P 500 has soared well over 20% since its low for the year in April, as investor fears about a tariff-induced recession calmed after President Donald Trump's "Liberation Day" announcement earlier that month had set off extreme asset volatility. The index is trading at 22.4 times its earnings estimates for the next year, well above its long-term average P/E ratio of 15.8 after recently reaching its highest valuation in over four years, according to LSEG Datastream. Investors are also wary of risks posed by the calendar. Over the past 35 years, August and September have ranked as the worst-performing months for the S&P 500, according to the Stock Trader's Almanac. The index has declined an average of 0.6% in August and 0.8% in September -- the only months of negative average performance for the index during that time period. "The combination of a softer payroll number with concerns of tariff-related inflation could be the recipe for ... a correction, especially in the seasonally weak third quarter," Morgan Stanley equity strategist Michael Wilson said in a note this week. Still, Wilson said his 12-month outlook was bullish, adding "we're buyers of pullbacks." The CPI for July is expected to have climbed 2.8% on an annual basis, according to a Reuters poll of economists. Investors will be watching to see if Trump's tariffs on imports are translating into higher prices after the June CPI report suggested levies were impacting the prices of some goods. Market bets on Fed rate cuts rose following the recent weak jobs data as investors expect the central bank will ease monetary policy to help shore up the labor market. Fed funds futures indicate an over 90% chance the Fed will cut at its next meeting in September, with at least two cuts priced in for this year, LSEG data showed. That narrative could be at risk if CPI rises more than expected, making the Fed more hesitant to cut rates, investors said. "If the CPI suggests that the market got a little ahead of itself, that can create volatility," said Angelo Kourkafas, senior investment strategist at Edward Jones. "But if it's not worse than feared ... that can further reinforce that we are now in an inflection point for the Fed." The prospect of higher tariffs and the economic fallout from those levies already instituted by the Trump administration has been a persistent theme clouding markets, but stocks have managed to rise to records despite the uncertainty. Higher tariffs on imports from dozens of countries took effect on Thursday, raising the average U.S. import duty to its highest in a century, while the president also this week announced plans for levies on semiconductor chips and pharmaceutical imports. China could face a potential tariff increase on Tuesday unless Trump approves an extension of a prior truce. The impact of higher tariffs on the economy could take a while to show up, and "the market has kind of ignored the potential negative impact of this friction to the economy," said Matt Rowe, senior portfolio manager at Man Group. "The market has gotten comfortable with tariffs being kind of a non-event, which I don't think is correct," Rowe said. (Reporting by Lewis Krauskopf; Editing by Sandra Maler)


Zawya
2 hours ago
- Zawya
Exploring solutions to South Africa's costly electricity tariffs for businesses
While the US tariffs have been dominating the headlines since they came into effect, there's one other tariff plaguing South Africans: electricity. Just months after Eskom-direct consumers experienced an increase of 12.74%, municipal power users in South Africa were slammed with a rate hike of 11.32% last month. Following protests and public outcry over the hikes, Electricity Minister Dr Kgosientsho Ramokgopa acknowledged that the increases were expensive and would result in "energy poverty." Although he has since called for a formal review of the rates, electricity costs are still projected to remain high, especially for corporate and industrial consumers, even though this may provide some relief, particularly for lower-income people. While annual increases are nothing new, the impact on large commercial and industrial (C&I) users is mounting, and this year's price hikes come with a new sting in the tail: additional charges like the Eskom Generation Fee and Legacy Charge that will hit heavy users the hardest. Brandon Horn, head of commercial at SolarAfrica, says for large energy consumers, this means one thing: rising operating costs and growing uncertainty about what the next few years might look like. 'However, the good news is that there are proven ways to rein in costs and gain clarity – not just for this year, but for the long haul.' Electricity hikes and your business For C&I companies consuming anywhere between 864,000 to 892,800 kWh per month (equivalent to a demand of 1,200–2,000 kW per hour), the new tariffs translate into significant monthly increases. Municipal clients are bracing for an 11.32% bump, while Eskom Megaflex customers are seeing higher increases paired with two new charges: a Generation Fee, based on notified maximum demand (NMD) (now levied per kVA); and a Legacy Charge, applied in c/kWh, penalising high-energy usage patterns. And while it's not yet clear how municipalities will incorporate these new charges, businesses can expect them to show up – either as line items or baked into broader tariff structures. Uncertainty These shifts come at a time when businesses are already struggling to plan effectively, says Horn. 'Despite Nersa's regulatory oversight, power price forecasting has become increasingly opaque, leaving companies unsure of what their electricity spend will look like next year, let alone in five years.' The recent ministerial intervention highlights just how serious the affordability crisis has become, but it's unlikely to reverse the broader trend of rising electricity costs. Add to this the knock-on effects of loadshedding, global inflation, rising compliance costs, an unstable macroeconomic environment and changing consumer behaviour, and it's easy to see why long-term planning is more challenging than ever. In energy-intensive sectors such as manufacturing, mining and production, this can erode margins and reduce demand, especially when cost increases must be passed on to customers. Energy stacking Fortunately, there are several ways to offset these increases and take back control, says Horn. 'The current tariff hikes shouldn't be viewed in isolation. Instead, businesses need to look at their full energy profile and ask: Where is the pressure coming from? Is it peak demand? Grid reliance? Carbon compliance? Growth-related expansion? "Once you know your pain points, you can layer the right solution.' This is where energy stacking comes into play. 'It helps businesses absorb tariff changes while maintaining control and cost predictability. By combining different technologies, such as solar for self-generation and battery storage for reliability, for example, companies can reduce grid reliance and optimise energy use,' he adds. To build a cost-effective energy stack, he suggests that businesses combine on-site solar PV to cut grid reliance and avoid charges like the Legacy Fee, with battery storage systems that optimise energy use during peak times. Wheeling and energy trading For those unable to install on-site generation, wheeling and energy trading offer flexible, affordable off-site solutions. These can all be packaged through a power purchase agreement (PPA) or virtual power purchase agreement (VPPA), enabling up to 50% savings versus Eskom, with no upfront capex and clear tariff escalation for long-term predictability. 'With new tariff structures prioritising fixed over variable costs, you can't rely on a single solution anymore. 'A diversified model not only protects against tariff volatility, but also helps businesses comply with international environmental regulations and position themselves as sustainable suppliers – something demanded by many global trade partners.' While the minister's review may provide some short-term relief, any adjustment may yet fall short of restoring affordability, with the global macroeconomic landscape remaining volatile. 'Businesses that act now – by reviewing their energy profiles and adopting layered solutions – will be better positioned to stay competitive,' says Horn.