
UAE non-oil sector grows steadily, regional tensions weigh on demand
The seasonally adjusted S&P Global UAE Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) edged up to 53.5 in June from 53.3 in May, signalling continued growth in the sector, but new orders increased at their slowest pace in nearly four years.
The subindex for new orders fell to 54.5 in June from 56.2 in May, and was the lowest reading since September 2021. The slowdown was attributed to tensions between Israel and Iran, which dampened client demand.
David Owen, senior economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence said the impact of the conflict between Israel and Iran was mostly felt on the demand side, with some slowdown in orders.
"However, with firms instead able to turn their attention to addressing the substantial level of outstanding work...the impact on overall business conditions was negligible," Owen said.
Output growth accelerated as firms sought to reduce backlogs.
Supply chain challenges persisted, with delivery times improving at the slowest rate in 14 months, and input costs rose at the slowest pace in nearly two years.
UAE non-oil firms remained relatively subdued in their business outlook, the survey showed, even though the level of business confidence rose to its highest since November.
Dubai's headline PMI dropped to its lowest level in nearly four years in June to 51.8 from 52.9 the previous month, driven by a sharp slowdown in sales growth amid competitive pressures and weaker tourism. Despite this, business activity rose sharply, and workforce numbers increased for the third consecutive month.

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles


The National
31 minutes ago
- The National
Rachel Reeves is carrying the can for UK Labour's male-dominated politics
Even before her tearful appearance at Prime Minister's Questions, it was hard not to feel sympathetic towards Rachel Reeves. She is charged with balancing the books of an economy that is weak, suffering next to no growth. Every policy she comes up with to raise income for the public purse ends up being pilloried and worse, reversed. Only the night before, the chancellor found herself presented with an extra £5 billion ($6.35 billion) hole that requires plugging, after Prime Minister Keir Starmer's wriggling capitulation over welfare reform. It is true that Ms Reeves took the job on those terms, she went in with her eyes wide open. It is also the case that she has been her own worst enemy by proving to be an enthusiastic proponent of her divisive measures. Nevertheless, it is worth remembering that she does not act alone, that the steps she takes are collectively agreed, that she works in tandem with Mr Starmer. At times though, it has felt as if he is encouraging her, pushing her on to the balcony, parading her in front of the crowd, to receive not their applause but their baiting. When it suits them, her ministerial colleagues quietly withdraw, adding to her sense of isolation. She is the figurehead on the prow of the boat, Kate Winslet in Titanic, embracing the threatening icebergs. When they do voice their support their endorsements ring hollow, akin to a vote of confidence for the doomed manager in football. Increasingly, Ms Reeves seems to be carrying the weight of a government blessed with a huge majority but lacking in ideas, unable to drive that other revenue earner in economic growth and simultaneously losing the investment community's confidence. It was not like this in opposition. I met Ms Reeves a few times and found her impressive. She was on top of her brief, intelligent and seemingly capable. Along with Mr Starmer, she engaged in a concerted effort to woo the City and they succeeded. The word came back that financiers who were naturally suspicious of Labour were relaxed. This was a soon-to-be prime minister and chancellor who got it, who were not ground down by leftist dogma and appeared to be on capitalism's side. While they were not promising a re-run of Tony Blair, it was clear they were not exactly Gordon Brown, Ed Miliband or worse, Jeremy Corbyn. They were 'OK', which from the bankers was as good as it gets. Doubts were raised with the dissection of her CV. Here, Ms Reeves does merit the blame. She was not a novice; she knew how qualifications could be exaggerated and what a dangerous game that was. She should have known too that in business someone overselling their antecedents is a serious felony – often they either do not reach first base if it is spotted early or they are out if it is highlighted later. She must have realised as well that citing having been an economist at the Bank of England and then the same again at a major commercial bank was tantamount to someone saying they played for the Manchester United first team. They did or they didn't. That means in a competitive match and not sitting on the bench or simply being in the squad. Rather than admitting the error she dug in. The nickname 'Rachel from accounts' stuck. There was undeniably more than a whiff of sexism and snobbishness about her treatment. It was reminiscent of how Margaret Thatcher was dismissed as a 'grocer's daughter'. No disparaging label like that would be attached to a male, not to a son. Likewise, a man who leads is hailed as strong and courageous; a woman who does the same is portrayed as cold and unfeeling, again words that would never be applied to criticise the former. Another female UK politician who endured similar, also from Labour, was Barbara Castle. There must be a reason why the party of the working-class, of the workers, has never had a woman leader. Only male workers count; women are meant to be at home, where they are supposed to be warm and soft, at all times. From the international side, Angela Merkel was portrayed along the same lines. Merkel was the 'Iron Chancellor'. It did not help that Ms Reeves was naturally wary, that she was frequently required to be on the defensive. That could make her come across as brittle and wooden, she stayed glued to a script, robotic, not risking a diversion and a possible run on the markets. She had to get the cash from somewhere. She was damned if she did and damned if she didn't. Ms Reeves could cut benefits and antagonise support on the left; she could increase taxes from the better off and lose support from the right. What made it worse is that the right is bound up with business, so if she hit non-doms, she was not just cracking down on wealthy foreigners who enjoyed tax breaks but hitting inward investment. Again, though, Ms Reeves and her boss should have seen the predictable outcome. That they did not, or if they did and didn't care, only added to the perception of unworldliness, of an administration that is disconnected and adrift. Targeting employers' National Insurance probably felt like another smart ruse but analysis of the likely consequences from an increase would determine that merely supposing they could afford it did not wash. Employers were bound to look twice at the numbers they hired and pass on the rise to customers. The farmers fell into the identical category. Subjecting them to inheritance tax would result in tractors blocking Westminster and stories of upright, honest men (always men) toiling on the land. Nothing cuts through in Britain like drawing on the past and nothing is more representative of that past than the countryside, than proximity to nature and working the soil. Ms Reeves has dug herself a hole and to an extent has jumped right in. There will be plenty of others, however, on seeing her plight who will give thanks it's not them. Look at it another way: if not Ms Reeves, then who? There may be one or two candidates but none leap out. Certainly, given the state of the country, the condition of the global economy, the prime minister and the frustration of the party, it could be a career-ender whoever was to succeed her. Chancellor under Labour is always tough, this is even tougher. A replacement won't provoke a spring in the step, certainly no one will exactly leap at the offer and that should tell you ultimately, it's not all Rachel Reeves' fault.


Arabian Post
42 minutes ago
- Arabian Post
UAE Non‑Oil Sector Expands Despite Demand Pressure
Economic indicators confirm that the UAE's non‑oil private sector maintained growth in June, as the S&P Global Purchasing Managers' Index rose to 53.5 from 53.3 in May. A reading above 50 denotes expansion, illustrating continued momentum despite mounting headwinds from regional instability. Amid rising output, firms are focused on easing backlogs even as new orders decelerate to their slowest pace in nearly four years. The PMI sub‑index for new orders dropped to 54.5 in June from 56.2 in May, marking its lowest level since September 2021. Analysts attributed this decline to the conflict between Israel and Iran, which suppressed client demand as businesses opted to defer or scale back commitments. David Owen, senior economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence, noted that 'the impact of the conflict…was mostly felt on the demand side, with some slowdown in orders.' Despite this, he emphasised that overall business conditions remained largely stable as companies pivoted to process existing work rather than chasing fresh contracts. Output growth accelerated as firms prioritised fulfilment of pending orders, with many reporting elevated production levels aimed at reducing inventories. Delivery times continued to improve, although the pace of improvement was the slowest in fourteen months, and input cost inflation decelerated to its lowest rate in nearly two years—suggesting that cost pressures had begun to ease. Staffing levels also increased once more, with firms hiring to handle the elevated workload and underpin continued expansion. ADVERTISEMENT Confidence levels in the sector climbed to their highest since the previous November, signalling optimism that if geopolitical tensions subside, demand could rebound strongly. Nevertheless, Dubai's non‑oil PMI stood at 51.8—its softest performance in nearly four years—slipping from 52.9 in May. Competitive pressures, weak tourist numbers, and subdued sales growth were cited as drivers of this slowdown. Still, business activity remained in growth territory, supported by increased workforce numbers and a proactive approach to handling operational capacity. The broader Gulf region reflected mixed fortunes. Gulf bourses, buoyed by eased tensions following a ceasefire, recorded gains, with Dubai stocks reaching a 17‑year high. However, investors remained wary of potential exposure to geopolitical volatility. Oil prices held steady, providing further support to markets, though analysts cautioned that any resurgence in regional unrest could quickly reverse gains. The June PMI results underscore the resilience of the UAE's economic diversification strategy. Active measures to reduce dependency on oil-driven growth—including investments in tourism, services, manufacturing, and logistics—appear to be paying dividends. Domestic demand has emerged as a stabilising force, offsetting weaker external demand. Public and private sector initiatives, such as new infrastructure projects and retail incentives, also signal support for sustained non‑oil growth. Key risks remain. The lingering effects of regional tensions continue to temper investor sentiment and delay client spending decisions. Supply chain fragility could resurface if external disruptions intensify, while sectoral imbalances—particularly in tourism‑dependent areas like Dubai—could weigh on localised performance. Analysts predict that if geopolitical calm endures, new order intake should recover, reinforcing the upward trajectory of activity. The combination of strong backlog clearance, easing cost pressures, and rising confidence creates a conducive environment for growth. A careful watch on demand indicators in the coming months will show whether the current momentum can be sustained once external uncertainties further dissipate.


Gulf Business
42 minutes ago
- Gulf Business
DeFi Technologies enters MENA market with Dubai launch
Image: Getty Images The expansion also includes the launch of a new trading desk at the Dubai Multi Commodities Centre (DMCC) under its subsidiary Valour and Valour Digital Securities Limited, a leading issuer of regulated exchange-traded products (ETPs). This move aims to support the growing institutional appetite for digital assets in the UAE and broader Gulf region. 'As the first Nasdaq-listed digital asset manager of its kind, DeFi Technologies offers equity investors diversified exposure to the broader decentralised economy through its integrated and scalable business model,' the company stated. Valour currently offers access to over 65 digital assets via ETPs and plans to increase this number to 100 by the end of 2025. This strategic expansion into Dubai follows rising interest in spot Bitcoin and Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs) across global and regional markets. The UAE, in particular, has become a hotspot for institutional crypto investment. UAE sovereign wealth fund Mubadala recently expanded its position in BlackRock's spot Bitcoin ETF, underlining a regional trend of allocating capital to regulated digital asset products. Related news: ' We believe the demand for digital asset ETPs will increase not only globally but in the GCC and Middle East,' said Andrew Forson, president of DeFi Technologies and chief growth officer of Valour. 'Investors whether sovereign wealth funds, institutional investors, family offices and even retail investors are interested in crypto but require familiar and efficient vehicles to get exposure.' He added, 'Wrapping digital assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum in regulated financial instruments such as ETPs will increase the number of crypto investors and offer countries such as the UAE, Qatar, Oman, and Saudi Arabia access to international foreign investment. Local and international [investors] get exposure to these assets through trusted providers like the Abu Dhabi Stock Exchange, Dubai Financial Markets, and others.' DeFi Technologies' vision DeFi Technologies' regional expansion builds on its earlier moves in Turkey, where it partnered with Misyon Bank and Misyon Kripto to roll out ETPs, addressing a market where more than 50% of investors already hold digital assets. In 2024, the company's subsidiary Valour also partnered with GulfCap Investment Bank (GCIB) to prepare for a proposed cross-listing of its ETPs on the Nairobi Securities Exchange (NSE) in Kenya. This initiative is aimed at enabling East African investors to gain exposure to digital assets through instruments denominated in Kenyan Shillings. In Europe, Valour's ETPs are currently available on Xetra, Spotlight, and Euronext, with over 65 fully hedged products offering exposure to a wide range of innovative cryptocurrencies. With $176.3 billion now under management across global crypto ETPs, and rising interest from institutional investors, DeFi Technologies is positioning itself as a major player in the regulated Web3 investment landscape.