logo
Pacers vs. Thunder Game 7: Four things to watch in one game to decide a champion

Pacers vs. Thunder Game 7: Four things to watch in one game to decide a champion

NBC Sports4 hours ago

OKLAHOMA CITY — Nobody should be talking about market size or ratings now. We have witnessed one of the most entertaining, well-played NBA Finals in recent memory — it needed to go seven games. It's had a little bit of everything.
While this series has been a chess match that will thrill fans of the Xs and Os of the game (Indiana moving the pick-up point back in Game 6 was one big one that threw Oklahoma City off for a night), Game 7s are more about execution than strategic changes. At this point in the series, there are no secrets.
'It's a contest of wills. I think the reason it swung between the two teams is because these are two teams that have leaned on that heavily to get to this point,' Thunder coach Mark Daigneault said. 'It's two teams where the whole is better than the sum of the parts. It's two teams that are highly competitive. Two teams that play together. Two teams that kind of rely on the same stuff for their success that are squaring off against each other.'
Game 7 will be about execution under the brightest lights in basketball. Which team, which players will step up?
We've got four things to watch for in Game 7. Four things will determine who will be on the podium next to Adam Silver after the game.
Thunder's home court advantage
This is not about how home teams are 15-4 in Game 7 of the NBA Finals (the most recent one, in 2016, went to the road team, Cleveland, over Golden State).
The Thunder's home court advantage is much more potent than that — OKC is 10-2 at home in these playoffs. That easily could have been 12-0 save for some last-second heroics (Aaron Gordon's 3-pointer with 3 seconds left for Denver; Tyrese Haliburton's pull-up with 0.3 left in Game 1 of this series).
It's much more than the record: The Thunder have a +20.7 net rating at home, compared to a -6.2 net rating on the road (where they are 5-5). Thunder players openly discuss how they feed off their raucous crowd, and this becomes most noticeable on defense — the Thunder's defensive rating is 12.7 points per 100 possessions better at home this postseason.
'You're ultimately in your complete comfort zone,' Shai Gilgeous-Alexander said of their home court advantage. 'The flow to the day doesn't change. You're in your own bed. You have shootaround at your building. You eat your pregame meal from your chef or your whoever. It's very comfortable, the whole flow to the day, and then the crowd is behind you. They give you energy, whether you're up or down or whatever is going on in the night. It's an advantage.'
The energy the Thunder players get from their deafening crowd is real.
'The crowd. You know, they work in our favor,' Cason Wallace said. 'They're rowdy and they're into the game, and that gives us a boost and an edge.'
The Pacers have been a strong road team this postseason, with a 7-4 record away from the Gainbridge Fieldhouse, and have generally played teams evenly (a minus-0.6 point differential). They have won one game on the road this series, they know what is coming and how to withstand it.
'Crowds give you a little bit more energy, a little bit more burst. We are going to be practically alone tomorrow,' T.J. McConnell said. 'This crowd here in Oklahoma City is amazing. It's going to be very loud. We have to be ready.'
Haliburton's health
Tyrese Haliburton's strained left calf wasn't much of an issue in Game 6. That doesn't mean it should be ignored in Game 7.
There were a couple of moments early in Game 6 when he clearly hesitated to push off on his left leg, but it ultimately didn't matter because his shot was falling and the Thunder's defensive pressure was not cranked up to its usual intensity. Haliburton finished with 14 points, five assists, and played less than 23 minutes in the blowout.
Also of note: The Thunder rarely dragged Haliburton into a pick-and-roll and made him move laterally quickly on defense. Expect more of that in Game 7.
Haliburton says he is ready.
'I'm pretty much in the same standpoint I was before Game 6. A little stiff, a little sore, rather,' Haliburton said. 'Good thing I only had to play like 23 minutes. I've been able to get even more treatment and do more things. Just trying to take care of it the best I can. But I'll be ready to go for Game 7.'
Watch how he is moving early and how much the Thunder test him.
Turnovers, offensive rebounds
Both of these teams are built on winning the possession game: forcing turnovers, not turning the ball over themselves, securing some offensive rebounds, scoring easy buckets in transition, and simply creating more scoring opportunities than their opponent.
Which team has executed that has swung from game to game, but in Game 6 it was clearly Indiana.
'I think last game, we didn't play our brand of basketball and we didn't play our brand of defense and we just let them be comfortable,' Isaiah Hartenstein said of the Thunder. 'So I think it's a mix of things. They do a great job of never changing the way they play. So they get out, they run. And it's our job to just get back to playing our style of defense and going from there.'
Turnovers and bench points will be bellwethers in Game 7, as they have been throughout the series.
Lessons from Game 6, former Game 7s
Game 7s don't happen in a vacuum, and both teams talked about learning from past experiences.
For the Thunder, it was Game 7 against the Nuggets in these playoffs. This Finals series has eerily followed the form of the second-round showdown between Denver and Oklahoma City, from the heartbreaking loss in Game 1 to the blowout loss in Game 6. Against the Nuggets, the Thunder played their best game of the series in Game 7, winning comfortably at home.
'What Game 7 taught me from Denver is the swings — three feels like you're down 10, you know what I mean? One feels like you're down five,' Jalen Williams said. 'That's just like the swing of a game, and what is going on feels much larger. It's about honing in your emotion and understanding the state of the game is big for Game 7.'
The Pacers have a few things to draw on.
'Honestly, for us the last three games have all been Game 7s,' Myles Turner said.
One of those was Game 6 from just a couple of days ago. With their backs against the wall, Indiana played with a genuine desperation that Oklahoma City did not come close to matching.
'Last game, we didn't want them celebrating on our court, so we understood the assignment, we understood we had to come in here and be dogs, and get that job done,' Obi Toppin said. 'And now it's on to game seven. We got, we got to do the same thing we did in game six and get the job done.'
Asked about his favorite Game 7 memory, Aaron Nesmith didn't hesitate to bring up the Pacers' biggest win of a season ago — one that can apply to this year.
'Ours, against the Knicks at Madison Square Garden,' Nesmith said, referencing a Game 7 win on the road the team had last season. 'That was an incredible atmosphere and a moment that I loved playing in.'
This Pacers core has won a Game 7 on the road in an incredibly hostile environment. It has won in this building in the NBA Finals. Don't sleep on their chances to do it again — but this is a much bigger stage and much brighter lights.
What has been a brilliant series hopefully ends with a Game 7 to match.

Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

NFL legend calls LeBron James 'the greatest ever'
NFL legend calls LeBron James 'the greatest ever'

USA Today

time13 minutes ago

  • USA Today

NFL legend calls LeBron James 'the greatest ever'

LeBron James treated sports fans to a special event in New York City on Saturday. At Fanatics Fest, which was held at the Javitz Center, he hosted live versions of "The Shop" and the "Mind the Game" podcast. For "The Shop," he was joined on stage by legendary NFL quarterback Tom Brady. Brady retired following the 2022 season, and he is considered by most to be the greatest player, or at least the greatest QB, in the history of football. Brady appeared to glaze James a bit when he referred to the Los Angeles Lakers superstar as "the greatest ever." 'You're witnessing the greatest ever and I hope you all appreciate that,' Brady said. The debate about where exactly James belongs on the list of the greatest players in NBA history rages on, but his accomplishments speak for themselves. He became the league's all-time leading career scorer two years ago and is now at 42,184 regular-season points and 50,473 points in the regular season and playoffs combined. He has won four NBA championships (although he has lost six times in the NBA Finals), has won four league MVP awards and is one of a handful of players who have at least one scoring title and one assists title. James has a player option for next season. The 40-year-old is expected to play at least one more season in the league, and what he does beyond that is anyone's best guess at this point.

NBA Finals Game 7 Odds, Best Bets, Prediction: Thunder Heavy Home Favorites
NBA Finals Game 7 Odds, Best Bets, Prediction: Thunder Heavy Home Favorites

Newsweek

timean hour ago

  • Newsweek

NBA Finals Game 7 Odds, Best Bets, Prediction: Thunder Heavy Home Favorites

Despite being blown out in Game 6, the Thunder are the heavy betting favorites in Game 7 vs. the Pacers on Sunday night. Despite being blown out in Game 6, the Thunder are the heavy betting favorites in Game 7 vs. the Pacers on Sunday night. Based on facts, either observed and verified firsthand by the reporter, or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources. Newsweek AI is in beta. Translations may contain inaccuracies—please refer to the original content. The Thunder entered the NBA Finals vs. the Pacers as one of the biggest betting favorites in Finals history, but now need to win Game 7 at home on Sunday night to avoid a historic upset. Tonight's contest marks the first NBA Finals Game 7 since 2016, when Cleveland finished off its memorable comeback win over the Warriors in a series it had trailed 3-1. Given how up-and-down these Finals have been for OKC and Indiana -- both from quarter-to-quarter and game-to-game -- the (likely) most-watched matchup of the 2024-25 season might also be the toughest one to predict and/or bet on. NBA Finals Game 7 Betting Odds: Spread, ML DK FD bet365 IND spread +7.5 (-112) +7.5 (-112) +7.5 (-115) OKC spread -7.5 (-108) -7.5 (-108) -7.5 (-105) IND ML +225 +240 +235 OKC ML -278 -295 -290 Total 214.5 (o-110; u-110) 214.5 (o-112; u-108) 215 (o-110; u-110) The Pacers showed in Game 1 that these teams were more evenly matched than oddsmakers thought, but Indiana has nevertheless been the underdog in every game of this series. With that in mind, we shouldn't necessarily be surprised that the Thunder are favored by 7.5 points in Game 7. This is also a good time to mention both Game 7 of OKC vs. Denver in the Western Conference Semifinals and Game 5 of OKC-Minnesota in the Western Conference Finals. The Thunder won those games 125-93 and 124-94, respectively. For context, below are the closing betting lines for the three previous games in these Finals that took place in OKC: Game 1: OKC -9.5 (Final: IND 111, OKC 110) Game 2: OKC -10.5 (Final: OKC 123, IND 107) Game 5: OKC -8.5 (Final: OKC 120, IND 109) How to Watch NBA Finals Game 7: Pacers vs. Thunder Tipoff: 8 p.m. ET Channel: ABC NBA Finals MVP Odds Entering Game 7 This series was widely expected to be a cakewalk for OKC, and on a related note, there was little disagreement on who would win Finals MVP. Regular-season MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's Finals MVP odds were almost as short as OKC's odds to win the title. But although he's averaged over 30.5 points per game, oddsmakers are still giving three players besides SGA a real chance to Finals MVP: Indiana's Pascal Siakam, OKC's Jalen Williams and Tyrese Haliburton. As you can see below, SGA is still the clear favorite, but a bad Game 7 by Gilgeous-Alexander and/or a huge night by Siakam, Williams or Haliburton could be enough for one of the latter to win MVP. FD DK Shai Gilgeous-Alexander -240 -205 Pascal Siakam +300 +370 Jalen Williams +1200 +1100 Tyrese Haliburton +1600 +1100 NBA Finals Game 7 Analysis, Key Questions This year's Finals have delivered one shocking result after another, which means no outcome should be ruled out in Game 7. The Thunder have played well enough at times this during series that a comfortable home win to clinch the title is a possibility. At this point, though, betting on anyone to pull away from the Pacers in a must-win Game 7 just seems like a great way to lose money. Who Wins The Turnover Battle -- OKC or Indiana? Sunday's game will likely be decided by the turnover battle and -- on a related note -- whether OKC can be efficient in the halfcourt. The Thunder recorded assists on less than half of their made field goals in Games 1, 3, 4 and 6, with losses in all of those besides Game 4 (SGA memorably took over that game down the stretch to bail out OKC). OKC has consistently won the turnover battle throughout the regular season and playoffs. The Pacers, however, were dominant on that front in Game 6, scoring 19 points on 21 Thunder turnovers while committing just 11 TOs. The Thunder have also coughed up at least 14 turnovers in four of the last five games in this series. That raises real concerns about whether SGA and Co. can make the right plays against Indiana's defensive pressure in Game 7. Ironically, many expected this exact issue -- pressure defense forcing turnovers and leading to easy offense the other way -- to play a huge role in these Finals. But the consensus was that it was OKC who was going to be disrupting the Indiana offense (not the other way around). Will Indiana's O-Rebounding, Bench Come Through Once Again? Indiana's Games 1, 3 and 6 victories came thanks to its domiance of two other areas of this matchup that the Thunder were expected to control: bench points and offensive rebounding. The Pacers have grabbed more than 20 percent of their missed shots three times in the Finals, including in their wins in Games 1 and 6. Indiana has also gotten more bench scoring than OKC in every contest besides Game 2. Overall, the Pacers' bench has outscored the Thunder's by 64, and Indy's reserves have accounted for at least 34 points in all six games. While the Pacers' T.J. McConnell, Bennedict Mathurin and Obi Toppin have all averaged at least 10 points per game off the bench in the Finals, the only Thunder reserve who is averaging at least 10 points in the Finals is Alex Caruso. OKC has gotten huge series from both SGA and Jalen Williams, but can it win Game 7 without Chet Holmgren, Lu Dort, Cason Wallace, or someone else stepping up to provide complementary scoring? Pacers vs. Thunder NBA Finals Game 7 Best Bets If it's not clear at this point, I have far more questions than answers about how Game 7 will play out tonight. While their ceiling remains untouchable, the Thunder have failed to fire on all cylinders in this series for good reason: the Pacers just don't let their opponents get comfortable on either side of the ball. I'm not quite willing to pick Indiana to win Game 7 on the road, but I do like the Pacers to keep this close, especially early. I also expect both offenses to struggle, which leads me to the Pacers on the first-half spread and the Under as my two favorite NBA Finals Game 7 best bets. If I have to choose who will take home the Larry O'Brien Trophy, I'll reluctantly pick the Thunder at home, but I recommend staying away from this game's spread. Pacers 1H +5 (-110 at DraftKings) -- 1 unit Under 215 (-110 at bet365) -- 0.5 units Newsweek may earn an affiliate commission if you sign up through the links in this article. See the sportsbook operator's terms and conditions for important details. Sports betting operators have no influence over newsroom coverage.

Charles Barkley on Thunder's NBA Finals Game 4 win: 'I think this series is a wrap'
Charles Barkley on Thunder's NBA Finals Game 4 win: 'I think this series is a wrap'

Yahoo

time2 hours ago

  • Yahoo

Charles Barkley on Thunder's NBA Finals Game 4 win: 'I think this series is a wrap'

The Oklahoma City Thunder defeated the Indiana Pacers 111-104 in Game 4 of the NBA Finals on Friday night at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, evening the series at 2-2. Similar to Game 3, Indiana dominated in the first half. Advertisement The Pacers took an 87-80 lead into the last 12 minutes where OKC bounced back from the deficit, outscoring Indiana 31-17 in the final frame. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led OKC with 35 points, 15 of which came in the fourth quarter. Jalen Williams chipped in with 27 points and seven rebounds while going a perfect 11-for-11 from the free throw line. Meanwhile, Chet Holmgren added 14 points and 15 rebounds for the the Thunder. Alex Caruso came off the bench and was OKC's third-leading scorer with 20 points, while Pascal Siakam led Indiana with 20 points. Here are some social media reactions to OKC's win: Advertisement 5 TAKEAWAYS: Thunder wills its way to Game 4 win vs Pacers, evens NBA Finals NBA legend Charles Barkley: 'I think this series is a wrap.' More: NBA Finals Game 4 box score, stats: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Thunder tie series vs Pacers Shai Gilgeous-Alexander keeps Thunder season alive with historic outing Alex Caruso shines for second 20-point NBA Finals game Jordan Davis covers high school sports for The Oklahoman. Have a story idea for Jordan? He can be reached at jdavis@ or on X/Twitter at @jdavis34_ . Sign up for The Varsity Club newsletter to access more high school coverage. Support Jordan's work and that of other Oklahoman journalists by purchasing a digital subscription today at This article originally appeared on Oklahoman: Charles Barkley on NBA Finals Game 4: 'I think this series is a wrap'

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store