
Oman at the center of key first Iran-US meeting
by Naharnet Newsdesk 11 April 2025, 17:36
Once again, some of the highest stakes in Middle East geopolitics will be discussed in this quiet coastal city without skyscrapers.
Here in Muscat, the capital of Oman nestled against the sheer stone heights of the Hajar Mountains, Iran and the United States will meet for talks over Tehran's rapidly advancing nuclear program for the time time since President Donald Trump began his second term.
No agreement is immediately likely, but the stakes of the negotiations couldn't be higher for these two nations closing in on half a century of enmity. Trump repeatedly has threatened to unleash airstrikes targeting Iran's nuclear program if a deal isn't reached. Iranian officials increasingly warn that they could pursue a nuclear weapon with their stockpile of uranium enriched to near weapons-grade levels.
And at the center is Oman, one of the world's last sultanates on the eastern edge of the Arabian Peninsula. Its unique history, people and proximity to Iran have made it indispensable for the West as it has held discussion after discussion for Iran. But these latest talks — suddenly announced by Trump in the Oval Office just days earlier — have put Oman firmly into a spotlight it otherwise seeks to avoid.
"The Omanis have a lot of experience when it comes to playing this back-channel role," said Giorgio Cafiero, the CEO and founder of the Washington-based risk analysis firm Gulf State Analytics. "I think that right now in this day and age of Trump 2.0, the stakes are really high and it's important for us to understand the value of Oman being a diplomatic bridge."
'Omanibalancing' in an unsettled Mideast
Oman, home to 5.2 million people across an arid country just larger than Italy, stands out among the Gulf Arab states. Its oil and gas wealth is marginal by comparison, and its citizens outnumber its population of foreign workers. Omanis can be found working normal jobs from taxi cabs to offices. And its people are Ibadi Muslims, a more liberal offshoot of Islam predating the Sunni-Shiite split.
They occupy a strategic location along the Strait of Hormuz, the narrow mouth of the Persian Gulf through which a fifth of all oil passes.
And Oman is a former empire whose seafaring rule once stretched all the way down to the island of Zanzibar off Africa. That history extends into how it deals with the wider world, said Marc J. O'Reilly, a history professor at Heidelberg University in Ohio.
It is a path O'Reilly referred to as "Omanibalacing" over 25 years ago — and one that still works today for the sultanate after the 2020 death of its longtime ruler Sultan Qaboos bin Said and the installation of Sultan Haitham bin Tariq.
Oman is "the master of quiet diplomacy," O'Reilly said. "I think they are proud of that, the Omanis, they know that's their reputation."
That has been tested in recent years, however. Oman maintains diplomatic ties to Yemen's Houthi rebels, now being bombed in an intense airstrike campaign by the Trump administration. Oman's ties to Iran, cemented when Shah Mohammad Reza Pahlavi sent troops in the 1970s to help put down the Dhofar Rebellion in the country, have been maintained since the 1979 Islamic Revolution.
America has relied on Oman for years to negotiate with Iran, including secret talks under President Barack Obama that led to the 2015 nuclear deal Iran had with world powers.
"Certainly, I think they are, I think on the whole, very easy to deal with in a region where that is not the norm," O'Reilly said.
The challenge ahead
This round of talks is unlike those that came before. The first challenge Oman faces is just how public they are. Muscat typically relies on discretion in how they handle diplomatic relations, a holdover from an earlier age of Gulf Arab rule.
Their neighbors today in comparison go relatively public with their diplomacy — like Qatar's role in negotiations with Afghanistan's Taliban, Saudi Arabia hosting the Russia-U.S. talks and the United Arab Emirates just mediating a Russia-U.S. prisoner swap. So far, Oman's state-run media, which dominates the sultanate, has remained silent about Saturday's talks.
"Oman typically prefers not making too many headlines," Cafiero said. "Oman prefers diplomacy that's not at the forefront of the news but is still effective."
Then there's the expectations of the two sides. Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi maintains the negotiations will begin as indirect talks, likely with Omani Foreign Minister Badr bin Hamad al-Busaidi passing messages between Tehran and U.S. Mideast envoy Steve Witkoff. Trump has maintained the talks will be direct. While not a major roadblock, it signals the challenge the negotiations face — particularly after years of indirect talks during the Biden administration went nowhere.
And while the U.S. side can offer sanctions relief for Iran's beleaguered economy, it remains unclear just how much Iran will be willing to concede. Under the 2015 nuclear deal, Iran could only maintain a small stockpile of uranium enriched to 3.67%. Today, Tehran's stockpile could allow it to build multiple nuclear weapons if it so chooses and it has some material enriched up to 60%, a short, technical step away from weapons-grade levels. Judging from negotiations since Trump unilaterally withdrew America from the deal in 2018, Iran will likely ask to keep enriching uranium up to at least 20%.
One thing it won't do is give up its program entirely. That makes the proposal of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of a so-called Libyan solution — "you go in, blow up the facilities, dismantle all the equipment, under American supervision, American execution" — unworkable.
Iranians including Ayatollah Ali Khamenei have held up what ultimately happened to the late Libyan dictator Moammar Gadhafi, who was killed with his own gun by rebels in the country's 2011 Arab Spring uprising, as a warning about what can happen when you trust the United States.
Already, a top adviser for Khamenei, Ali Shamkhani, has warned what could happen if the U.S. continues to threaten Tehran, including Iran expelling inspectors from the International Atomic Energy Agency and ending cooperation with the U.N. watchdog.
"The transfer of enriched material to a secure location could also be considered," he added, opening the door again to Iran having secret, undeclared nuclear sites as it did when the crisis over its program began over 20 years ago.
But Majid Takht-e Ravanch, a deputy Iranian foreign minister, offered a more positive note Friday.
"If the American side refrains from raising unrelated issues and demands — and abandons threats and intimidation — there is a good opportunity to reach an agreement," Takht-e Ravanch said, according to the state-run IRNA news agency.
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles


Nahar Net
32 minutes ago
- Nahar Net
US envoy to Syria Barrack to visit Lebanon, report says
by Naharnet Newsdesk 7 hours U.S. ambassador to Turkey and special envoy to Syria Tom Barrack will soon visit Beirut to meet with Lebanese officials, local media reports said. U.S. Deputy Special Envoy for the Middle East Morgan Ortagus is reportedly leaving her position and her replacement has not yet been announced. In her first visit to war-hit Lebanon in February, Ortagus voiced from the presidential palace in Baabda pro-Israel statements. "We are grateful to our ally Israel for defeating Hezbollah," Ortagus said, adding that the United States has set a "red line" that Hezbollah should not be a member of Lebanon's next government. U.S. journalist Laura Loomer said in a post on X that Ortagus "will be cordially reassigned to another role in the Trump administration." "She wanted to be the Special Envoy to Syria, but the position was instead given to Tom Barrack," Loomer added.


Nahar Net
32 minutes ago
- Nahar Net
Wall Street is flat as trade talks between China and US enter 2nd day
by Naharnet Newsdesk 10 June 2025, 16:06 Early trading on Wall Street is thin with all eyes on China-U.S. trade talks in London that could have a huge impact on the global economy. Futures for the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq each inched up 0.1% before the bell Tuesday, while futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average were essentially flat. A second day of talks was planned after U.S. and Chinese officials met in London on Monday for negotiations over various issues. The hope is that they can eventually reach a deal to reduce painfully high tariffs. Most of the tariff hikes imposed since U.S. President Donald Trump escalated his trade war are paused to allow trade in everything from tiny tech gadgets to enormous machinery to continue. The S&P 500 has rallied after dropping roughly 20% from its record two months ago when Trump shocked financial markets with wide-ranging tariff threats during what he called "Liberation Day." Still, confusion over the potential ramifications of Trump's sweeping tariff threats have caused a host of companies to lower or altogether pull their financial guidance. That trend continued Tuesday with Designer Brands, the owner of DSW retail shoe outlets. CEO Doug Howe blamed the company's slow start to the year on an "unpredictable macro environment and deteriorating consumer sentiment." Designer Brands shares fell nearly 7.5% before the bell Tuesday after the company — which also owns the Keds and Hush Puppies brands — posted a much wider loss than analysts were expecting. Tesla rose early Tuesday, a day after it recovered a decent chunk of its sharp, recent drop. The electric vehicle company tumbled last week as Elon Musk's relationship with Trump imploded, but shares were up 2.3% in premarket after climbing 4.6% Monday. McDonalds dipped 1.4% after its stock was downgraded by Morgan Stanley, which cited "structural pressures" on the fast food sector, most notably cash-strapped lower income consumers. In Europe at midday, Germany's DAX lost 0.3%, Britain's FTSE 100 gained 0.5% and the CAC 40 in Paris was unchanged. In Asian trading, Tokyo's Nikkei 225 gained 0.3% to 38,211.51, yielding most of its earlier gains, while the Kospi in South Korea rose 0.6% to 2,871.85. Hong Kong's Hang Seng reversed an early advance, slipping 0.1% to 24,162.87. The Shanghai Composite index dropped 0.4% to 3,384.82. There was no fresh news on the U.S.-China trade talks, but investors appeared to grow more nervous as the day wore on. "Chinese stocks did what they often do when geopolitics starts tightening the noose — they flinched. What began as a calm morning session flipped into a jittery sell-off as traders returned from lunch with a different mood," Stephen Innes of SPI Asset Management said in a commentary. In Taiwan, the Taiex surged 2.1%. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 advanced 0.8% to 8,587.20. India's Sensex was nearly unchanged. U.S. benchmark crude oil picked up 37 cents to $65.66 per barrel. Brent crude, the international standard, was up 36 cents at $67.40. The dollar fell to 144.53 Japanese yen from 144.61 yen. The euro ticked up to $1.1430 from $1.1421. In the bond market, the yield on the 10-year Treasury eased to 4.45% from 4.48% late Monday.


Nahar Net
32 minutes ago
- Nahar Net
Salam: We've removed arms from over 500 depots in South
by Naharnet Newsdesk 9 hours Prime Minister Nawaf Salam announced Tuesday that 'the time has come to build the state,' describing it as his government's 'top mission.' 'The pillars of my government's vision are regaining sovereignty and guaranteeing security and stability across Lebanon,' Salam said at a reconstruction conference. 'We are working on regaining control over all of Lebanon's entry and exit points, especially the Rafik Hariri International Airport in Beirut, and we will work on opening the Qlayaat airport,' Salam added. 'We have removed arms from more than 500 depots in the South, boosted security at Beirut's airport, and we will work with the diplomatic channels so that Israel halts its attacks on Lebanon and withdraws from the five points,' the prime minister went on to say. He also said that his government is working with the international community to 'secure a safe return by the Syrian refugees' to their country, and that it will devise a 'fair law for achieving justice for bank depositors.'