
Walmart Achieves eCommerce Profitability: Is it Just the Start?
A denser delivery network and a more efficient supply chain played central roles in this achievement. More customers are opting and paying for faster delivery, including one and three-hour windows, which has further supported margin improvement.
Walmart is also capitalizing on higher-margin digital services. In the fiscal first quarter, global advertising revenues surged 50%, while membership income rose 14.8%, fueled by the growing adoption of Walmart+ and Sam's Club Plus. These business lines are becoming increasingly central to Walmart's digital profit engine.
Notably, global e-commerce sales rose 22%, led by store-fulfilled pickup and delivery, marketplace momentum and digital advertising. Walmart U.S. eCommerce grew 21%, Sam's Club U.S. saw a 27% increase and International eCommerce rose 20%, with strong digital mix expansion across markets.
WMT Rivals Expand eCommerce Amid Strong Demand
Target Corporation TGT continues to build its eCommerce presence through services like same-day delivery, which jumped 36% in the first quarter of 2025. Its digital sales grew in the mid-single digits, supported by strength in Drive Up and Order Pickup. Target's retail ad business, Roundel, also delivered double-digit growth. Fulfillment and operational costs remain a factor as the company expands its digital capabilities.
Costco Wholesale Corporation COST reported a 14.8% increase in eCommerce comparable sales in the third quarter of fiscal 2025. This growth was largely driven by Costco Logistics, its platform that specializes in large, bulky items such as appliances and furniture. Notably, Costco Logistics deliveries surged 31%, driven by increasing volumes of large and bulky items. As digital sales expand, overall performance will depend on Costco's ability to scale these operations efficiently.
WMT's Price Performance, Valuation and Estimates
Shares of Walmart have gained around 0.6% in the past three months compared with the industry 's growth of 0.4%.
From a valuation standpoint, WMT trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 35.56X, significantly up from the industry's average of 32.67X.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for WMT's fiscal 2026 and 2027 earnings implies year-over-year growth of 3.6% and 11.7%, respectively.
WMT currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
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Globe and Mail
6 hours ago
- Globe and Mail
Should You Buy, Hold or Sell Walmart Stock Before Q2 Earnings?
As Walmart Inc. WMT is slated to report second-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings on Aug. 21 before market open, investors face an important decision on whether they should buy the stock now or hold their current positions. With earnings expectations and market conditions in mind, it is crucial to evaluate key factors influencing Walmart's performance and whether the stock offers an attractive entry point ahead of its earnings report. WMT has established a strong position in global retail by leveraging its diversified business model and omnichannel strategy. Backed by steady traffic growth across stores and digital platforms, as well as expanding high-margin businesses like advertising and membership, Walmart is well-positioned to deliver consistent growth. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal second-quarter revenues is pegged at $175.5 billion, indicating 3.7% growth from the year-ago reported level. Also, the consensus mark for quarterly earnings has moved up a penny in the past seven days to 73 cents per share, indicating 9% growth from the year-ago quarter's reported figure. Image Source: Zacks Investment Research Walmart has a trailing four-quarter average earnings surprise of 5.3%. In the last reported quarter, the company's bottom line surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by a margin of 7%. What the Zacks Model Predicts About WMT's Q2 Earnings As investors prepare for Walmart's fiscal second-quarter announcement, the question looms regarding earnings beat or miss. Our proven model conclusively predicts that an earnings beat is likely for WMT this time. The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the odds of an earnings beat, which is the case here. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank stocks here. Walmart has an Earnings ESP of +1.26% and a Zacks Rank #2 at present. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they are reported with our Earnings ESP Filter. What's Shaping Walmart's Q2 Earnings? WMT continues to strengthen its position as a resilient and growth-oriented retailer, supported by consistent sales momentum across Walmart U.S., Sam's Club, and its international businesses. Comparable sales (comps) trends highlight broad-based demand, particularly in grocery and health & wellness, wherein the company has expanded its market share. With its ability to attract customers across income groups and blend physical stores with digital platforms, Walmart's omnichannel strategy remains a key competitive advantage, driving customer loyalty and traffic growth. The Zacks Consensus Estimate points to a 4% increase in U.S. comps and a 4.9% rise in Sam's Club U.S. comps for the fiscal second quarter. E-commerce is likely to have been a major catalyst in the fiscal second quarter. Walmart is enhancing convenience with faster delivery capabilities, targeting 95% of the U.S. population with three-hour delivery options. Its marketplace expansion, coupled with improvements in last-mile efficiency, continues to build scale and efficiency, reinforcing Walmart's digital edge. These advancements are contributing to stronger profitability and setting the stage for further margin expansion as digital adoption accelerates. High-margin businesses are also playing a greater role in Walmart's outlook. Membership income has grown at a double-digit pace in the fiscal first quarter, with Walmart+ and Sam's Club both benefiting from strong renewal rates and increased penetration of premium tiers. Advertising has become another growth pillar, with Walmart Connect and international platforms such as Flipkart scaling rapidly. These businesses are likely to have diversified the company's revenue streams and provided earnings stability by reducing the reliance on traditional lower-margin retail sales. International markets have added another dimension to Walmart's growth story. Strong performances in China, Flipkart and Walmex in the recent past highlight the company's ability to tap into high-potential regions and diversify geographic risks. Alongside disciplined inventory management and strategic capital returns, Walmart's healthy balance sheet enables it to invest in growth while rewarding shareholders. On its last reported quarter's earnings call, Walmart expected year-over-year sales growth of 3.5% to 4.5% at constant currency in the fiscal second quarter, supported by ongoing momentum in grocery, membership and e-commerce. However, currency headwinds are likely to have reduced reported sales growth by 120 basis points. While tariff-related cost pressures may create variability in quarterly results, Walmart's scale, sourcing flexibility, and diversified profit streams provide it with the tools to manage through this environment effectively. Walmart's Valuation Picture From a valuation standpoint, Walmart stock is currently trading at a premium compared with the Zacks Retail - Supermarkets industry. With a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 36.56, Walmart stands above the industry average of 33.34, suggesting that the stock may be relatively expensive at current levels. When compared with other retail giants, including The Kroger Co. KR, Target Corporation TGT and Ross Stores, Inc. ROST, the company's valuation looks even more stretched. Kroger trades at a forward P/E of 14.11, Target at 13.51 and Ross Stores at 22.66 — all significantly lower than Walmart's valuation multiple. Currently, Walmart has a Value Score of B. WMT's Price Performance Over the past three months, Walmart's stock has gained 5% compared with the industry's growth of 4.2%. In the same period, the Retail-Wholesale sector and the S&P 500 have risen 7.8% and 10.9%, respectively. The company underperformed some key peers, including Target, which has gained 13.3%. Kroger's stock has rallied 2.6%, while Ross Stores has declined 3.1% over the same period. Should WMT Be in Your Portfolio Pre-Q2 Earnings? Walmart's stock is strengthened by its broad retail reach, seamless integration of physical and digital channels, and expanding profit streams from areas such as marketplace services, advertising, and memberships. The company's ability to capture share in essential categories while investing in faster delivery and international growth provides durable competitive advantages. 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Globe and Mail
6 hours ago
- Globe and Mail
Walmart (WMT) Shares Near All-Time High Ahead of Earnings
Walmart headlines what is undoubtedly a critical week for retail earnings. The largest retailer in the world based on corporate revenues, Walmart is set to report its fiscal second-quarter earnings results on Thursday before the opening bell. Wall Street remains bullish on the company's bottom line. Analysts are expecting Walmart to deliver quarterly earnings of 73 cents per share, marking an 8.96% jump relative to the same quarter in the prior year. Leading into the announcement, analysts' estimates have increased 1.39% in the past 7 days. Walmart has either met or exceeded estimates in twelve consecutive quarters. The leading retailer delivered a trailing four-quarter average earnings surprise of 5.27%. Our proprietary Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) indicator sits at +1.26% for the upcoming announcement; this means that our proven model conclusively predicts another earnings beat for Walmart. The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), #2 (Buy) or #3 (Hold) increases the odds of an earnings beat. Walmart stock remains a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) at the moment. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q2 revenues is pegged at $175.51 billion, which would mark a 3.65% improvement versus the year-ago period. Walmart hasn't missed on the top line since 2020. Walmart shares are slightly outperforming the market this year, currently up around 13%. However, the stock has been lagging off the April lows. With Wall Street maintaining a bullish outlook, a positive earnings surprise could drive the stock higher. Walmart Set to Deliver Steady Revenue Growth in Q2 The Bentonville-based retailer is expected to show solid growth despite tariff-related headwinds. Management anticipates net sales to rise between 3.5% and 4.5%, building on momentum from its core U.S. business and expanding global operations. In terms of same-store sales, the expectation for U.S. comps (ex-fuel) is 4.17%, which will compare to a 4.8% gain in the preceding quarter and a 4.3% gain in the year-earlier period. We expect Walmart to continue to post impressive comparable sales growth, supported by its ongoing expansion initiatives and strong e-commerce performance. Walmart benefits from the inherent strength of its highly diversified business model. Its value pricing strategy has boosted market share in the grocery business and is likely to have resulted in higher shopping frequency and stronger unit volumes in the second quarter. Walmart's core business is thriving in regard to grocery and essential home items, which make up roughly 60% of its sales. Along the same lines, Walmart's e-commerce platform – driven by store-fulfilled pickup, rapid delivery, and robust advertising growth – is likely to remain a vital driver of the company's sales momentum. In the first quarter, Walmart's Global e-commerce sales rose 22% as the digital mix increased across all segments, while U.S. e-commerce sales rose 21%. The retailer emphasized that its omni-channel strategy continues to gain relevance in today's dynamic retail environment. Membership fee income is also climbing across the company. In the first quarter, Walmart's membership fee income rose 14.8%, driven by double-digit growth in Walmart+ subscriptions and strong renewals at Sam's Club amid a rapid international expansion. We expect the strong membership fee growth resumed in the second quarter, boosting sales and reinforcing Walmart's membership-driven strategy. Tariff Woes to Remain in Focus Despite a strong start to the year, Walmart WMT expects potential hurdles in the coming quarters. The company withheld its fiscal second-quarter earnings outlook, citing uncertainty related to tariffs and a highly fluid economic environment. These tariff costs are expected to push prices higher in the near-term. However, Walmart noted earlier in the year that roughly two-thirds of U.S. sales were from domestically-sourced products, which provides the company with a degree of insulation relative to competitors. We anticipate that second-quarter results likely benefited from pulled-forward demand, particularly in specific categories like electronics. Still, Walmart faces mounting headwinds that could impact its near-term financial performance. The company acknowledged that it is not fully immune to the short-term effects of ongoing tariffs. While Walmart believes it is well-positioned to manage these challenges better than its peers, elevated tariffs remain a notable risk. Macroeconomic concerns and currency fluctuations also pose potential challenges to profitability. Final Thoughts Digital and brick-and-mortar operators have been converging for some time now, with Walmart a growing online vendor. The leading retailer is steadily becoming a heavy advertising player thanks to its beaming digital business. Market participants will be looking to Walmart for clues regarding how consumers and retailers are responding to President Trump's tariffs. After a slump in consumer spending this spring, retail sales ticked up 0.9% in June and 0.5% in July. It will be interesting to see if the stock can regain its momentum after the company delivers its quarterly results. #1 Semiconductor Stock to Buy (Not NVDA) The incredible demand for data is fueling the market's next digital gold rush. As data centers continue to be built and constantly upgraded, the companies that provide the hardware for these behemoths will become the NVIDIAs of tomorrow. One under-the-radar chipmaker is uniquely positioned to take advantage of the next growth stage of this market. It specializes in semiconductor products that titans like NVIDIA don't build. It's just beginning to enter the spotlight, which is exactly where you want to be. See This Stock Now for Free >> Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Walmart Inc. (WMT): Free Stock Analysis Report


Globe and Mail
9 hours ago
- Globe and Mail
5 Must-Buy Investment Bank Behemoths on a Positive Industry Scenario
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You can see t he complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank stocks here. The chart below shows the price performance of our five picks in the past three months. The Goldman Sachs Group Inc. The Goldman Sachs Group has been benefiting from solid growth in the Global Banking & Markets division. Its refocus on the core strengths of investment banking (IB) and trading businesses through restructuring, along with acquisitions and expansion in private equity credit, is expected to boost global presence and diversify revenues. After clearing the 2025 Fed stress test, it raised dividends. GS maintained its leading position in announced and completed mergers and acquisitions (M&A) in the second quarter of 2025, reinforcing its strength in Global Banking & Markets. After a slowdown in 2022-2023 due to weak M&A activity, investment banking revenues rebounded in 2024. Although 2025 began with optimism, market sentiment briefly dipped following Trump's tariff plans announced on 'Liberation Day.' Still, M&A activity has regained momentum, and GS' IB revenues continued to grow in the first half of 2025. A strong deal pipeline and GS' leadership position signal further upside as macro conditions improve. Solid Estimate Revisions For 2025, the Zacks Consensus Estimate currently shows revenues of $56.87 billion, suggesting an improvement of 6.3% year over year and earnings per share of $45.63, indicating an increase of 12.6% year over year. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for current-year earnings has improved 0.2% over the last 30 days. For 2026, the Zacks Consensus Estimate currently shows revenues of $60.58 billion, suggesting an improvement of 6.5% year over year and earnings per share of $52.40, indicating an increase of 14.9% year over year. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for current-year earnings has improved 0.6% over the last 30 days. JPMorgan Chase & Co. JPMorgan Chase's business expansion initiatives, loan demand and relatively high interest rates should drive net interest income (NII) growth. We project NII to witness a CAGR of 2.9% by 2027. While normal deal-making activity is tied to the health of the economy, JPM's solid pipeline and leadership have generated continued growth in the investment banking business thus far. A solid pipeline and market leadership continue to support investment banking (IB) business, though capital markets volatility and high mortgage rates will likely weigh on fee income. JPM emphasized the importance of AI in boosting efficiency and noted that its technology budget is $18 billion this year, up roughly 6% from last year. Positive Estimate Revisions For 2025, the Zacks Consensus Estimate currently shows revenues of $117.19 billion, suggesting a decrease of 0.2% year over year and earnings per share of $19.50, indicating a decline of 1.3% year over year. 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Attractive Estimate Revisions For 2025, the Zacks Consensus Estimate currently shows revenues of $3.48 billion, suggesting an improvement of 15.9% year over year and earnings per share of $12.41, indicating an increase of 31.7% year over year. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for current-year earnings has improved 6% over the last 30 days. For 2026, the Zacks Consensus Estimate currently shows revenues of $4.42 billion, suggesting an improvement of 27.1% year over year and earnings per share of $18.71, indicating an increase of 50.8% year over year. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for current-year earnings has improved 1.4% over the last 30 days. Interactive Brokers Group Inc. Interactive Brokers Group's efforts to develop proprietary software, lower compensation expenses relative to net revenues, enhance its emerging market customers and global footprint, along with relatively high rates, are expected to continue aiding revenues. We project total net revenues (GAAP) to see a CAGR of 6.5% by 2027. IBKR's initiatives to expand its product suite and the reach of its services will support financials. IBKR has been undertaking several measures to enhance its global presence. In August 2025, it launched zero-commission U.S. stock trading in Singapore. In July, it launched NISA accounts to help Japanese investors build wealth tax-free. In May, IBKR extended the trading hours for Forecast Contracts to nearly 24 hours a day. In April, IBKR launched the prediction markets hub in Canada to capitalize on the rising demand for event contracts. Impressive Estimate Revisions For 2025, the Zacks Consensus Estimate currently shows revenues of $5.68 billion, suggesting an improvement of 8.8% year over year and earnings per share of $1.96, indicating an increase of 11.4% year over year. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for current-year earnings has improved 1.6% over the last 30 days. For 2026, the Zacks Consensus Estimate currently shows revenues of $6.03 billion, suggesting an improvement of 6.2% year over year and earnings per share of $2.08, indicating an increase of 6.1% year over year. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for current-year earnings has improved 1% over the last 30 days. #1 Semiconductor Stock to Buy (Not NVDA) The incredible demand for data is fueling the market's next digital gold rush. As data centers continue to be built and constantly upgraded, the companies that provide the hardware for these behemoths will become the NVIDIAs of tomorrow. One under-the-radar chipmaker is uniquely positioned to take advantage of the next growth stage of this market. It specializes in semiconductor products that titans like NVIDIA don't build. It's just beginning to enter the spotlight, which is exactly where you want to be. See This Stock Now for Free >> Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS): Free Stock Analysis Report JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM): Free Stock Analysis Report Citigroup Inc. (C): Free Stock Analysis Report Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR): Free Stock Analysis Report Evercore Inc (EVR): Free Stock Analysis Report