Dollar Stays Weaker on Fed Independence Concerns
0640 GMT – The dollar remains under pressure after hitting a three-year low Monday following renewed calls from President Trump for interest rate cuts. In a post on his Truth Social platform, Trump said there is 'virtually no inflation' and warned the U.S. economy would slow if the Fed doesn't immediately cut rates. His comments triggered a broad selloff in U.S. assets on rising concerns over Fed independence, Deutsche Bank analysts say in a note. 'While potential risks to Fed independence had already generated headlines in recent weeks, yesterday's market moves were the clearest sign yet of investor anxiety over the topic.' The DXY dollar index falls 0.1% to 98.159 after reaching a low of 97.921 on Monday.(renae.dyer@wsj.com)
0429 GMT — The Japanese yen should continue to perform well in a global risk-off scenario, says Daniel Tan at Grasshopper Asset Management. Japan's domestic data have shown steady progress toward the Bank of Japan's stable inflation target, heightening the possibility of a BOJ rate hike at its May 1 meeting, says the portfolio manager. Meanwhile, trade tariffs could raise U.S. inflation and might also have the countervailing effect of weakening long-term U.S. growth, which could push the Fed closer to a rate cut this year. The combined effect of global risk-off sentiment and lower U.S. rates would mean that the yen has more room to appreciate from the current level of around 141 versus the USD, Tan says in a note.(monica.gupta@wsj.com)

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CNBC
an hour ago
- CNBC
CCTV Script 09/06/25
As the Trump administration intensifies its crackdown on undocumented immigration, one industry is feeling the pressure more acutely than others: the U.S. restaurant sector. Already struggling with labor shortages, the industry now faces a new wave of surprise inspections, raising concerns that hiring challenges will only worsen. According to estimates from the National Restaurant Association, more than one-fifth of U.S. restaurant workers were born outside the country. While most of them hold legal work permits, data from the Center for Immigration Studies shows that the industry still employs roughly one million undocumented immigrants. And overall employment in the restaurant sector has yet to return to pre-pandemic levels. Castaneda, director of the Immigration Lab at American University, points out that due to the industry's heavy reliance on immigrant labor, restaurants often become prime targets for enforcement actions. Immigration officers are allowed to enter the public areas of restaurants without a warrant, making these establishments particularly vulnerable to raids. Both and have reported that in May, U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) conducted surprise visits to over 100 restaurants in Washington, D.C. As a result, numerous chefs and waitstaff quit, called in sick, or simply stopped showing up to work. Castaneda warns that heightened enforcement makes hiring even more difficult for restaurant owners, as even legally authorized workers may prefer to avoid industries under heavy scrutiny. Last month, the U.S. Supreme Court also ruled in favor of allowing the Trump administration to end Temporary Protected Status (TPS) for Venezuelan immigrants. TPS was granted to one group of Venezuelan nationals in 2023, with another 250,000 having received the status in 2021. That earlier group is set to lose protection in September of this year. Research by economist Michael Clemens of George Mason University shows that nearly 20% of Venezuelans who received TPS since 2021 are employed in the hospitality and leisure industries. A Venezuelan restaurant owner in Baltimore told that she fears the U.S. government may soon close off all legal pathways for entry. Without Venezuelan staff, she says, her business simply cannot operate. If immigration hiring is no longer viable, her only option will be to shut down. Analysts further note that as labor shortages deepen, wages are likely to rise. For restaurants unable to afford higher pay, this creates a serious cost burden. Fewer staff can also mean slower service and smaller menus—ultimately hurting the customer experience. In May, Fitch Ratings downgraded the U.S. restaurant industry outlook from "neutral" to "deteriorating." The agency cited the dual inflationary pressures of rising tariffs and labor shortages, adding that restaurants are struggling to pass added costs onto a consumer base already highly sensitive to price increases.
Yahoo
an hour ago
- Yahoo
Asian markets rally ahead of latest China-US trade talks
Stocks rallied Monday on hopes that a fresh round of China-US trade talks later in the day will ease tensions between the economic superpowers, while investors were also cheered by forecast-topping US jobs data. The gains extended a run-up across global markets in recent weeks as fears about Donald Trump's tariff blitz subside and countries make deals with Washington. All eyes are on London, where top officials from China and the United States are due to meet for more negotiations aimed at preserving a fragile truce agreed last month that slashed eye-watering tit-for-tat levies. The talks come days after Trump and Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping held their first publicly announced telephone talks since the US president returned to the White House. They were helped by news that Beijing had on Saturday approved some applications for rare-earth exports, while plane giant Boeing will start sending commercial jets to China for the first time since April. Optimism that the two sides will make a breakthrough boosted Asian markets, with Hong Kong up more than one percent, while Tokyo, Shanghai, Seoul, Singapore, Taipei and Manila also advanced. The gains followed a strong lead from Wall Street, where all three main indexes closed more than one percent higher after figures showing the world's largest economy created a forecast-beating 139,000 jobs last month. While the figures for the previous two months were revised down, the data indicated that the economy remained robust, and tempered worries sparked by Wednesday's report by payroll firm ADP showing a big miss on private hiring. Eyes will now turn to the Federal Reserve as it decides whether to lower interest rates, with many economists warning that Trump's tariffs could reignite inflation, hit supply chains and drag on consumer sentiment. "The May minutes and recent comments by several (policy board) members... suggest the Fed is highly attentive to the risk that tariffs will lead to a persistent inflation shock," wrote analysts at Bank of America. "Those risks could come into focus for markets by the fall." Michael Hewson at MCH Market Insights remained positive for the outlook for the US economy. "For now, the US economy continues to look reasonably resilient although the recent ADP jobs report showed some evidence of a slowdown in May," he said in a commentary. "However on the whole there is little sign that the economy is on the cusp of an economic shock at the moment, despite the unpredictable nature of the current US administration." - Key figures at around 0230 GMT - Tokyo - Nikkei 225: UP 1.1 percent at 38,137.09 (break) Hong Kong - Hang Seng Index: UP 1.6 percent at 24,160.62 Shanghai - Composite: UP 0.4 percent at 3,399.65 Euro/dollar: UP at $1.1415 from $1.1397 on Friday Pound/dollar: UP at $1.3553 from $1.3529 Dollar/yen: DOWN at 144.52 yen from 144.81 yen Euro/pound: DOWN at 84.22 pence from 84.23 pence West Texas Intermediate: DOWN 0.1 percent at $64.52 per barrel Brent North Sea Crude: DOWN 0.1 percent at $66.41 per barrel New York - Dow: UP 1.1 percent at 42,762.87 (close) London - FTSE 100: UP 0.3 percent at 8,837.91 (close) dan/hmn Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data


The Hill
an hour ago
- The Hill
Rand Paul slams Graham's push for Russian sanctions as ‘self-defeating economic warfare'
Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) slammed Sen. Lindsey Graham's (R-S.C.) push for Russian sanctions, calling his bill 'self-defeating economic warfare.' Graham's sanctions bill on Russia would impose a 500 percent tariff on imports from any country that buys Russian oil, gas, uranium and other products. The legislation has more than 80 co-sponsors in the Senate, potentially making it veto-proof. But GOP senators are waiting on President Trump to move ahead with the legislation, and Trump said this week he hasn't even looked at it. Trump has also said he doesn't want to undermine the chances of a peace deal between Russia and Ukraine. Paul, in a series of posts on X on Saturday, said the bill would be ineffective and backfire against efforts to achieve peace, as the war between Russia and Ukraine continues in its fourth year. 'The Graham bill would derail President Trump's efforts to negotiate an end to the war in Ukraine. Self-defeating economic warfare is no way to achieve peace,' Paul said on X. 'This bill won't force China or India to change behavior, but it will impose an effective embargo on ourselves that will hurt American families,' he said. Paul also argued that the bill could hurt U.S. allies and raise gas prices. 'The Graham bill could raise tariffs on allies like Israel and Taiwan to 500 percent and potentially even higher. Why are we punishing our friends while pretending it'll hold Russia accountable? This isn't strategy—it's economic self-sabotage,' he wrote. 'Cutting off Russian oil takes a major source of supply off the market, resulting in higher gas prices. Analysts warned that a U.S. ban on Russian oil could cause prices to hit $160–$200 a barrel. That's $5+ gas at the pump,' he said. Graham, this past week, sought to address some of those concerns by proposing a carveout for his bill to exempt countries that aid in Ukraine's defense. The carveout could help insulate countries in Europe that still import Russian gas and have provided military support for Ukraine, as well as other U.S. partners that have straddled the line between maintaining ties with Moscow and providing assistance to Kyiv. 'A lot of countries still buy Russian oil and gas but less. Some European countries still have relationships with Russia, but they've been very helpful to Ukraine. So I want to carve them out,' Graham told reporters Wednesday. 'I tell China, if you don't want to have a 500 percent tariff, help Ukraine.'