Father's Day weekend storm threat could douse grilling plans for millions in mid-Atlantic
Army's 250Th Birthday Parade Could Face Stormy Weather Saturday
The potential isolated flooding is not expected to bring the dramatic and deadly scenes that have unfolded this week in states such as Arkansas, Texas and Louisiana. However, the system will deliver heavy, intermittent rain and high humidity.
5 Dead After Flash Flooding Swamps San Antonio As Heavy Rain In Texas Leads To Water Rescues
The FOX Forecast Center is pinpointing the mid-Atlantic as a key area of concern, with an isolated flood threat highlighted for Virginia.
"That's really the only spot where we need to up urgency," said FOX Weather Meteorologist Britta Merwin. She added that for many, the weekend will be inconvenient rather than a complete washout in any one location. However, heavy rain is possible in any thunderstorms that do develop.
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A stationary front settling across the Northeast on Friday will be the culprit for the daily rounds of rain and potential storms. Weaker disturbances will track eastward along this boundary, with storms most likely along and south of the front, according to the FOX Forecast Center. Increased southerly flow, driven by Atlantic high pressure, will draw more moisture northward, further fueling these systems.
Rain totals are expected to reach a widespread 1-2 inches from Pennsylvania down through Georgia, with locally higher amounts possible in stronger downpours.
Dew points will be high, reaching into the 60s and 70s south of this boundary on both Saturday and Sunday. With daytime heating and highs reaching into the 80s and 90s, storm energy will build across the eastern U.S., supporting scattered afternoon thunderstorms. A few storms may become severe, posing threats of hail and damaging wind.
Flash flooding will be an isolated concern in areas where storms repeatedly track over the same areas. Because of this, Flood Watches have been issued in the mid-Atlantic for repeated storms possible on Friday, including the nation's capital. There are also areas highlighted for the potential of flash flooding from Pennsylvania to Virginia on both Saturday and Sunday.
Know Your Flood Terminology: What Flood Watches, Warnings And Emergencies Really Mean
Syracuse, New York, is on track to record its 30th consecutive rainy weekend. In Burlington, Vermont, this weekend will mark 26 weekends in a row with rain. The last dry weekend there was December 14-15, 2024, according to the FOX Forecast Center.
The FOX Forecast Center said the precipitation outlook keeps most of the East above average for precipitation through late June.Original article source: Father's Day weekend storm threat could douse grilling plans for millions in mid-Atlantic
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CNN
10 minutes ago
- CNN
How to survive rip currents and other drowning hazards, as Hurricane Erin approaches
Hurricane Erin is barreling along the Atlantic seaboard and bringing with it dangerously high water levels, waves and rip currents. The safest move is to avoid the water altogether, but knowing what to do if you are caught in a rip is just as vital. Too often swimmers don't see the danger coming. On Good Friday 2017, Wyatt Werneth got a call from his wife, who had gone grocery shopping with their daughter: The car's broken down. Please rescue us. Werneth hopped in his vehicle to assist, driving by Patrick Space Force Base near Cape Canaveral, Florida. From the A1A highway, Werneth said you can see the ocean. What he saw next was a twist of fate that led to a much more urgent kind of rescue. 'I could see someone waving in traffic as I was going by. … I pulled in to see what was going on; I had the immediate instinct that something was happening in the water,' Werneth recalled to CNN Travel. 'When I came over the berm, I did not realize what I was getting into. There were multiple people in the water.' And they were in trouble. Very serious trouble. Rip current kind of trouble. The scene would send chills of dread down anyone's spine — but at least Werneth was prepared. He is an experienced lifeguard instructor and had water rescue equipment with him. But with at least five people struggling in a vicious Atlantic rip current, how would he possibly save them all? Tropical storm systems hundreds of miles out, churning up the sea, can still cause rip currents along the coastline. And when temperatures are high, the desire to take a dip in the water is strong. Be cautious, check local conditions and see below for more details about what to do if you're caught in one. An estimated 4,000 fatal unintentional drownings happen every year in the United States — an average of 11 drowning deaths per day — according to the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Your odds of drowning are much, much higher than being attacked by a shark or an alligator. World drowning statistics are even more shocking. There are an estimated 300,000 annual drowning deaths worldwide, according to the UN's World Health Organization. That comes out to an average of 822 people per day. And then there are the even more numerous nonfatal drownings. The CDC says people who survive a drowning incident have a range of outcomes: 'From no injuries to very serious injuries or permanent disability.' The tragedy is many of these deaths and injuries are preventable, experts say. What can you do to enjoy the water — be it ocean, river, lake or swimming pool — safely and not join the ranks of drowning deaths? Turns out, a lot. Knowing who is likely to drown is critical. At-risk groups need the most attention. In the United States, those include the following: • The youngest people: Children 1 to 4 have the highest drowning rates, the CDC says, mostly in swimming pools. • Males: They account for nearly 80% of fatal drownings in the United States. More risk-taking behaviors and alcohol use are cited as reasons. Across the world, WHO reports males have more than twice the fatal drowning rate of females. • Minority groups: Fatal drowning rates for American Indian or Alaska Native people 29 and younger are two times higher than for White people. For Black people, the rate is 1.5 times higher than for White people. • People with seizure disorders: People with conditions such as epilepsy are at a higher risk for drowning, and that can happen in a bathtub. The CDC emphasizes the importance of learning basic water safety skills, saying formal lessons can reduce the risk of drowning. However, 'children who have had swimming lessons still need close and constant supervision when in or around water,' the agency notes. Don't get distracted by TV, books or the phone when watching children in the water. If you're drinking alcoholic beverages, stay out of the water and don't go boating. Impaired judgment and slow reactions can lead to tragedy. People in boats and weaker swimmers should wear life jackets, especially in open water. And keep an eye on the weather. Exit if there's a thunderstorm or heavy rains. Understand the waters you're about to enter. Different bodies of water carry different types of dangers: OCEAN RIP CURRENTS Rip currents flow away from shore. They often form at breaks in sandbars and close to piers and rock groins. Look for signs of a rip current before entering, says the United States Lifesaving Association. That can be 'a narrow gap of darker, seemingly calmer water between areas of breaking waves and whitewater,' a difference in water color or 'a line of foam, seaweed or debris moving seaward.' Here's what to do you're caught in one: • Stay calm. Rip currents don't pull you underwater but do sweep you farther from shore. • Don't swim against the current. Try to escape by 'swimming out of the current in a direction following the shoreline,' the USLA says. You may be able to escape by floating or treading water and ride the current out. • If you're in trouble, yell and wave for help. If you're not trained, don't try to rescue people yourself. Seek a lifeguard, call 911 or throw a flotation device their way. Direct the person to swim parallel to the shoreline to escape. OTHER OCEAN TIPS The National Weather Service warns swimmers to watch out for 'shorebreak' waves. They crash directly onto the sand and can batter and disorient swimmers. 'When in doubt, don't go out,' said Wyatt Werneth, who is also the public service spokesperson for the American Lifeguard Association. Swim Guide advises people to swim in the hour before or the hour after low tide or high tide when waters are generally calmer. (But conditions can vary beach to beach). RIVERS Tubing and other activities are popular in rivers. But swift currents and obstacles below the surface or debris can be hazardous. Werneth said research the river before you enter. LAKES AND PONDS The placid waters of lakes and ponds can lull waders and swimmers into a false sense of security. Sharp, sudden dropoffs and debris under the water can startle or entangle people, Werneth said, leading to panic and drowning. He said go in with a swim buddy. Dive only in designated areas. The USLA says enter unknown waters feet first to avoid striking your head. Swimmers shouldn't stray into areas where personal watercraft and boats are speeding by. SWIMMING POOLS The National Drowning Prevention Alliance has this advice for pool owners: 'four-sided fencing with self-closing self-latching gates, door and window alarms, and safety covers can help make sure kids don't get to the water unsupervised.' And even if your children know how to swim, adults should still maintain a careful watch. Keep flotation devices on hand. BOATING The National Park Service's 'Operation Dry Water' reminds people that all vessels must carry personal flotation devices. Back in 2017 at that Florida beach, Werneth's task was daunting. But he had a cool head, decades of experience — and, fortunately, a second experienced helper on hand that he later learned was from the Air Force. 'He was single-handedly pulling people out before I even got there. … That Air Force guy was kind of coming back with one. I saw that he had one that was kind of going unconscious, and I immediately jumped in the water, swam out, grabbed the unconscious person and got him out.' Werneth guesses that they were about 50 yards out, and he recalls they ended up pulling five male teens out of the water. They weren't even in swimming attire, Werneth said, leading him to think it was a spur-of-the-moment decision to enter the ocean. Would the group have died without the rescue, which left him exhausted? 'I assure you they all would have. … These people were going in to help each other, and it caused a chain reaction. Do not go into the water to assist anyone without a flotation device,' he said. 'It was perfect timing that I showed up and happened to be there to help those guys.' All because the family car had broken down. But not everyone can rely on luck. In the end, you need 'water confidence,' gained by experience and respect for the water. 'The fear is what generates the panic which generates the drowning.'
USA Today
2 hours ago
- USA Today
Where is Hurricane Erin headed? See projected path as it moves away from NC coast
Hurricane Erin has begun to move away from the North Carolina coast, although beachgoers are still cautioned against swimming at most beaches along the U.S. East Coast due to rough conditions caused by the storm. According to a 5 a.m. ET advisory from the National Hurricane Center on Aug. 21, Erin is located about 205 miles east-southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina, with maximum sustained winds near 105 mph with higher gusts, making it a Category 2 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. The hurricane center said Erin is moving toward the north-northeast near 17 mph, with a turn toward the northeast with an increase in forward speed expected later Wednesday, followed by an acceleration toward the east-northeast on Friday and into the weekend. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next few days, with Erin expected to become post-tropical by Saturday. The center of Erin is forecast to move over the western Atlantic between the U.S. East Coast and Bermuda through early Friday and then pass south of Atlantic Canada on Friday and Saturday, according to the NHC. A storm surge watch is in effect from Cape Lookout to Duck, North Carolina, which means there is a possibility of life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours. The NWS said storm surge in this area could reach 2 to 4 feet. Additionally, a tropical storm warning is in effect for Beaufort Inlet, North Carolina to Chincoteague, Virginia, including Pamlico and Albermarle Sounds. The hurricane center said tropical storm conditions are occurring over portions of the Outer Banks and will spread northward along the Virginia coastline during the next few hours. Tropical storm-force wind gusts are likely along the mid-Atlantic and southern New England coast through early Friday. Swells generated by Erin will continue to affect the Bahamas, Bermuda, the U.S. East Coast and Atlantic Canda during the next several days, causing life-threatening surf and rip currents. Live updates: Hurricane Erin reaches closest approach to NC; dangers remain to East Coast Hurricane Erin path tracker This forecast track shows the most likely path of the center of the storm. It does not illustrate the full width of the storm or its impacts, and the center of the storm is likely to travel outside the cone up to 33% of the time. Hurricane Erin spaghetti models Illustrations include an array of forecast tools and models, and not all are created equal. The hurricane center uses only the top four or five highest-performing models to help make its forecasts. Two other systems brewing in the Atlantic, NHC says In addition to Erin, the hurricane center said it is tracking two other systems in the Atlantic. In an early morning advisory on Aug. 21, hurricane center forecasters said shower and thunderstorm activity has become "a bit more concentrated" in associated with a tropical wave located a few hundred miles east of the Leeward Isalnds. Environmental conditions appear conducive for further development of this system, the NHC said, and a tropical depression is likely to from this weekend as the system moves near or to the north of the norrthern Leeward Islands. A second tropical wave, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands, is producing showers and thunderstorms that are starting to show some signs of organization. "However, recent satellite-derived wind data depict that the system does not have a well-defined center," forecasters said in the advisory. Environmental conditions appear marginally favorable for additional development over the next day or so, and a short-lived tropical depression could form. However, by the end of the week environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further development. Forecasters give this system a 40% chance of development through the next seven days. How do hurricanes form? Hurricanes are born in the tropics, above warm water. Clusters of thunderstorms can develop over the ocean when water temperatures exceed 80 degrees. If conditions are right, the clusters swirl into a storm known as a tropical wave or tropical depression. A tropical depression becomes a named tropical storm once its sustained wind speeds reach 39 mph. When its winds reach 74 mph, the storm officially becomes a hurricane. Prepare now for hurricanes Delaying potentially lifesaving preparations could mean waiting until it's too late. "Get your disaster supplies while the shelves are still stocked, and get that insurance checkup early, as flood insurance requires a 30-day waiting period," the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration recommends. Gabe Hauari is a national trending news reporter at USA TODAY. You can follow him on X @GabeHauari or email him at Gdhauari@
USA Today
3 hours ago
- USA Today
Hurricane Erin unleashes dangerous waves on East Coast, threatening homes: Updates
Hurricane Erin was unleashing powerful waves and rip currents along the East Coast, threatening beachfront homes and flooding roads as authorities urged people to stay out of the water. The National Hurricane Center has warned that roads in the low-lying barrier islands will become impassable, with powerful waves of 15 to 20 feet crashing ashore. By the evening of Aug. 20, the North Carolina Department of Transportation closed a portion of Highway 12, a crucial artery in the Outer Banks, due to flooding. Major flooding was forecast at more than a half-dozen tidally influenced locations along the mid-Atlantic coast, including at Duck, North Carolina; around the entrance to the Chesapeake Bay; and at Lewes, Delaware, as the storm surge from Erin flowed into communities. The National Weather Service said flooding at some of these locations would pose a "significant threat" to property and life, necessitating evacuations. Tropical storm and storm-surge warnings were in place along the North Carolina coastline. Coastal flooding was expected to peak during high tide on Aug. 21. In New Jersey, swimming and other water activities were prohibited on beaches, with high surf and rip current warnings in effect through Aug. 22, the weather service said. Developments: ∎ Erin was a Category 2 hurricane as of the early morning of Aug. 21, with maximum sustained winds of 105 mph and higher gusts. It was located about 205 miles east-southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina and was moving north-northeast at 17 mph. ∎ The National Hurricane Center said it is monitoring two other areas for tropical development in the Atlantic. "One has a 70% and the other 40% chance in the next 7 days," according to the hurricane center. ∎ Earlier in the week, the coastal counties of Dare and Hyde – located in North Carolina's Outer Banks region – ordered residents and tourists to evacuate the vulnerable Ocracoke and Hatteras islands, which see swelling populations during the summer months. ∎ Erin has made its closest approach to the North Carolina coast and will move further off shore, hurricane forecasters said the morning of Aug. 21. Erin's timeline for passing by the U.S. East Coast has accelerated some, and it is expected to slowly weaken until it reaches post-tropical cyclone status. State-by-state Erin forecast details The weather service and state officials have provided the following information: New York: Widespread dune erosion and beach flooding are likely with successive high tides through the morning of Aug. 22, with waves of up to 15 feet or more and higher-than-normal tides. Gusts up to 40 mph are possible, with the highest winds expected along eastern Long Island. State officials advised residents to prepare for the possibility of dangerous conditions along beaches and coastal communities. New York Mayor Eric Adams directed the closing of all beaches for swimming on Aug. 20 and Aug. 21. New Jersey/Delaware: Tropical storm-force gusts are possible along the coast on Aug. 21, with breaking waves of 7 to 11 feet. Maryland: Higher tides could lead to coastal flooding. Coastal flood advisories were issued, including a flood warning for Annapolis, where flooding is expected in the low-lying historic community. Virginia: Minor or isolated coastal flooding is expected through the weekend. Hurricane Erin tracker This forecast track shows the most likely path of the center of the storm. It does not illustrate the full width of the storm or its impacts, and the center of the storm is likely to travel outside the cone up to 33% of the time. Contributing: Reuters
