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Lebanon cabinet to meet again on Hezbollah disarmament

Lebanon cabinet to meet again on Hezbollah disarmament

Arab News3 days ago
BEIRUT: Lebanon's cabinet is set to meet again on Thursday to discuss the thorny task of disarming Hezbollah, a day after the Iran-backed group rejected the government's decision to take away its weapons.With Washington pressing Lebanon to take action on the matter, US envoy Tom Barrack has made several visits to Beirut in recent weeks, presenting officials with a proposal that includes a timetable for Hezbollah's disarmament.Amid the US pressure and fears Israel could expand its strikes in Lebanon, Prime Minister Nawaf Salam said Tuesday that the government had tasked the army with developing a plan to restrict weapons to government forces by the end of 2025.The decision is unprecedented since the end of Lebanon's civil war more than three decades ago, when the country's armed factions — with the exception of Hezbollah — agreed to surrender their weapons.The government said the new disarmament push was part of implementing a November ceasefire that sought to end more than a year of hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah.That conflict culminated last year in two months of full-blown war that left the group badly weakened, both politically and militarily.Hezbollah said on Wednesday that it would treat the government's decision to disarm it 'as if it did not exist,' accusing the cabinet of committing a 'grave sin.'It added that the move 'undermines Lebanon's sovereignty and gives Israel a free hand to tamper with its security, geography, politics and future existence.'The Amal movement, Hezbollah's main ally headed by parliament speaker Nabih Berri, also criticized the move and called Thursday's cabinet meeting 'an opportunity for correction.'Iran, Hezbollah's military and financial backer, said on Wednesday that any decision on disarmament 'will ultimately rest with Hezbollah itself.''We support it from afar, but we do not intervene in its decisions,' Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi added, saying the group had 'rebuilt itself' after the war with Israel.Two ministers affiliated with Hezbollah and the Amal movement walked out of Tuesday's meeting on disarmament in protest.Hezbollah described the walkout as a rejection of the government's 'decision to subject Lebanon to American tutelage and Israeli occupation.'Citing 'political sources' with knowledge of the matter, pro-Hezbollah newspaper Al Akhbar said the group and its Amal allies could choose to withdraw their four ministers from the government or trigger a no-confidence vote in parliament by the Shiite bloc, which comprises 27 of Lebanon's 128 lawmakers.Israel — which routinely carries out air strikes in Lebanon despite the ceasefire, saying it is targeting Hezbollah fighters and infrastructure — has already signalled it would not hesitate to launch destructive military operations if Beirut failed to disarm the group.Israeli strikes in south Lebanon killed two people on Wednesday, according to the Lebanese health ministry.
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US guarantees key to disarming Hezbollah
US guarantees key to disarming Hezbollah

Arab News

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US guarantees key to disarming Hezbollah

The Lebanese government on Thursday made a landmark decision, committing to the disarmament of Hezbollah by the end of the year. It approved the 'goals' of US envoy Tom Barrack's paper on 'strengthening' the ceasefire agreement between Lebanon and Israel. The government stated that the army will present an action plan by the end of August. Hezbollah was appalled by the decision. Mohammed Raad, a Hezbollah member of parliament, said that the group would rather die than surrender its arms. He added that the group's arms are its honor. Hezbollah sent protesters to the streets in an attempt to put pressure on the government. However, they were quickly dispersed by the army. Lebanon is required to abide by international law and by UN Security Council Resolution 1701. The US is pressuring Lebanon to do so. And it should abide by international law, there is no question about it. 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However, it reduces the credibility of the US as an honest broker. Maybe the Americans do not care because the world needs them and they can impose their will on whoever they want. However, this attitude creates problems. What if the Lebanese army uses coercion and disarms Hezbollah, which will probably result in internal unrest, and Israel does not withdraw? This would reinforce the group's narrative and give it a new boost. This would revive the idea of resistance. If this idea is revived, then the movement will be revived. However, Israel has the luxury of only looking at its own side of the story because it has the US to back it up whenever needed. The US could make the task of the Lebanese state and army much easier by giving guarantees that Israel would withdraw and cease hostilities. The hostilities are mainly targeting Hezbollah operatives and officials. As long as the US does not give such guarantees, Hezbollah will not feel secure enough to willingly disarm. 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Saudi, UK foreign ministers discuss Gaza crisis

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The great corridor conundrum
The great corridor conundrum

Arab News

time33 minutes ago

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The great corridor conundrum

It is a truth universally acknowledged — or at least universally marketed — that the Middle East is once again poised to be the beating heart of global commerce. Enter the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor, known as IMEC, a vision unveiled in September 2023 with the flourish of a G20 communique and the optimism of a startup pitch deck. India, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, the EU, France, Italy, Germany and the US all signed on, proclaiming IMEC not just as a trade route but as proof that geography in the 21st century can still be redrawn. The idea is seductive: a twin corridor network, one stretching from India to the Arabian Gulf, the other from the Gulf to Europe, sewn together by ports, railways and digital cables. In theory, the scheme could shave eight to 10 days off shipping times compared to the Suez route, reduce freight costs and serve as a 'values-based' counterweight to China's Belt and Road Initiative. In practice, however, bold lines on a map are the easy part; turning them into steel, concrete and functional customs regimes is where so many grand visions are lost. Early cost estimates place IMEC's price tag between $20 billion and $30 billion, a figure almost certain to rise once engineering, land acquisition and security needs are taken into account. The project began as an Indian initiative, later embraced by the EU and Saudi Arabia. Yet, unlike the Belt and Road Initiative or the International North-South Transport Corridor, India has not set up a dedicated implementing body, nor has it committed actual funding. That omission is more than a bureaucratic footnote: without clear governance and committed capital, the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor risks becoming a PowerPoint concept rather than a functioning trade artery. Financing will almost certainly rely on India-EU partnerships, with Saudi Arabia and the US playing indispensable roles. Washington's stance is broadly positive, though it views IMEC through the lens of a larger strategic agenda tied to the Abraham Accords. For India, the calculus is more complex. A faster, more reliable route to Europe could boost exports, yet New Delhi's domestic infrastructure ambitions — from high-speed rail to renewable power grids — already stretch fiscal resources. Adding to the equation, President Donald Trump's recently announced 50 percent tariffs on certain Indian exports has introduced a strategic wrinkle: can a corridor partly championed by Washington truly offset the economic sting of US protectionism? The new corridor's backers frame it as a cleaner, more transparent alternative, but politics and geography are not easily tamed Dr. John Sfakianakis The IMEC plan enters a crowded field. The Belt and Road Initiative, since its launch in 2013, has channeled an estimated $1 trillion into more than 150 countries, financing everything from deep-water ports in Pakistan to railways in East Africa. The International North-South Transport Corridor is already moving goods across Eurasia and the Suez Canal — IMEC's implicit rival — still handles more than 12 percent of global trade and is investing heavily in capacity upgrades. The new corridor's backers frame it as a cleaner, more transparent alternative, but politics and geography are not easily tamed. European shippers may think twice if tensions with Iran escalate. India's commitment could waver if EU carbon tariffs trigger a deeper trade rift. For Greece, IMEC presents a more parochial contest: who gets to be the European gateway? The port of Piraeus is the obvious candidate, but it is majority-owned by a Chinese company, an awkward fact for a project marketed as a hedge against Beijing's influence. 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It has brought India and the Gulf states closer, signaled Europe's willingness to invest in non-Chinese infrastructure and given Washington a convening role in a grouping that is neither a formal trade bloc nor a military alliance. But diplomacy alone cannot move freight. Clear governance structures, dependable funding and disciplined execution are what will make or break this project. The real challenge will be execution. Coordinating engineering standards, securing rights of way, harmonizing customs rules and aligning digital protocols will require a level of bureaucratic choreography that even Brussels might find daunting. The oft-cited 'phased implementation' risks becoming a euphemism for indefinite delay and, unless each segment of the corridor can operate viably on its own, the entire chain could stall. The Belt and Road Initiative's history offers no shortage of cautionary tales: gleaming ports that sit empty, railway lines mired in debt and high-profile launches followed by quiet decay. IMEC's planners would do well to study these examples — and place less emphasis on ribbon-cutting ceremonies and more on the unglamorous business of making infrastructure work in practice. So, can IMEC deliver? Possibly — but only if it exchanges vision statements for procurement schedules, diplomatic handshakes for binding contracts and high-level endorsements for on-the-ground problem solving. The world has no shortage of trade corridors. What it lacks are corridors that deliver on their promises. IMEC has the map, the mandate and the moment. Whether it has the machinery — and the mettle — remains the billion-dollar question. • Dr. John Sfakianakis is chief economist at the Gulf Research Center.

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