2025 Tour Championship odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

USA Today

9 hours ago

The PGA Tour season wraps up this week with the 2025 Tour Championship at East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta. The FedExCup champion will be crowned, taking home a $10 million payout. With only 30 players in the field, the stakes are high this week. Below, we look at Tour Championship odds from BetMGM Sportsbook's odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.
The FedExCup Playoffs field was trimmed from 50 to 30 players at the BMW Championship, which Scottie Scheffler won. Unlike in years past, the Tour Championship will not have starting strokes for players based on their position in the FedExCup standings. Therefore, the winner of this week's tournament will also be the FedExCup champion.
Scheffler is the heavy favorite at +165, followed by Rory McIlroy (+800), Tommy Fleetwood (+1200) and Ludvig Aberg (+1400). It's a loaded field with only 30 players, heightening the level of competition in Atlanta.
East Lake (par 71, 7,490 yards) underwent a major restoration project after the 2023 Tour Championship, completely changing the layout and look of the course. Holes were changed significantly, grass types were swapped out in the fairways and greens, making it feel like a vastly different track.
Tour Championship – Expert picks
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 9:33 a.m. ET.
McIlroy won here in 2022 and has finished no worse than 16th in his career at this event. East Lake is a long course and McIlroy is one of the longest hitters on tour, giving him an edge over most players in the field. And with there being no starting strokes anymore, he won't be chasing down Scheffler.
Hovland is a former winner here, taking home the title in 2023. He also finished fifth in 2021, 12th last year and 15th in 2022, showing good form at East Lake. His game seems to be rounding into form after finishing seventh last week at the BMW, making him a real contender at the Tour Championship this week.
Burns tied for fourth at the BMW Championship last week, 5 shots off the pace set by Scheffler. That performance got him back on track after some subpar performances, but he's another player who tends to succeed at East Lake. He finished 12th last year, eighth in 2023 and 18th in 2021, with his worst finish being 24th in 2022.
Tour Championship picks – Contenders
Hall is making some noise leading into the Ryder Cup selection deadline and though he hasn't garnered much interest from the European team, that could change with a win this week. He's finished 28th or better in 11 straight starts this season, including a solo sixth last week.
Bradley isn't turning his full attention to the Ryder Cup just yet, putting his focus on this week's Tour Championship where he finished ninth last year after the course's redesign. He's a great driver of the ball and keeps it in the fairway, making him a perfect fit for East Lake where hitting fairways is critical.
WATCH: PGA Tour is live on ESPN+! Get ESPN+
Tour Championship picks – Long shots
Im is a perennial contender at East Lake, finishing between second and 24th in each of the last 5 years. He may not be in the best form but he's played well enough lately to earn his spot in the Tour Championship.
Play our free daily Pick'em Challenge and win! Play now!
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Golfweek:
Follow @camdasilva on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.
Gambling involves risk. Please only gamble with funds that you can comfortably afford to lose. While we do our utmost to offer good advice and information we cannot be held responsible for any loss that may be incurred as a result of gambling. We do our best to make sure all the information that we provide on this site is correct. However, from time to time mistakes will be made and we will not be held liable. Please check any stats or information if you are unsure how accurate they are. No guarantees are made with regards to results or financial gain. All forms of betting carry financial risk and it is up to the individual to make bets with or without the assistance of information provided on this site and we cannot be held responsible for any loss that may be incurred as a result of following the betting tips provided on this site. Past performances do not guarantee success in the future and betting odds fluctuate from one minute to the next. The material contained on this site is intended to inform, entertain and educate the reader and in no way represents an inducement to gamble legally or illegally or any sort of professional advice.
Gannett may earn revenue from sports betting operators for audience referrals to betting services. Sports betting operators have no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. Terms apply, see operator site for Terms and Conditions. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, help is available. Call the National Council on Problem Gambling 24/7 at 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ, OH), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN). Must be 21 or older to gamble. Sports betting and gambling are not legal in all locations. Be sure to comply with laws applicable where you reside. It is your sole responsibility to act in accordance with your local laws.