Germany vs Portugal predictions: Nations League semi-final tips and odds

Telegraph

04-06-2025

Our expert has three tips for Wednesday's Nations League semi-final between hosts Germany and Portugal at the Allianz Arena in Munich, Germany (kick-off, 8pm BST). We think goals are on the cards in Bavaria.
Germany vs Portugal tips
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals @ evens with Paddy Power
Cristiano Ronaldo to score @ 9/5 with Paddy Power
2+ cards for each team @ 4/5 with Paddy Power
Odds courtesy of Paddy Power. Correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
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Goals should flow in Bavaria
Both Germany and Portugal were involved in some high-scoring affairs en route to the semi-finals of the Nations League and both teams to score and over 2.5 goals could be a worthwhile pick here.
Germany are missing key personnel in attack but have goals throughout the team and are the leading scorers in this competition with 23 goals, while Portugal hammered Denmark 5-2 in their last game in March.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals has been a winning selection in five of Portugal's last eight matches and also clicked in both legs of Germany's quarter-final tie with Italy.
Ronaldo can maintain strike-rate
Cristiano Ronaldo's club future remains up in the air but he remains a crucial starter for Roberto Martinez's Portugal and he is overpriced to score in Munich.
Ronaldo showed he still has the golden touch with 25 goals for Al-Nassr in the recent Saudi Pro League season but more noteworthy is that he has bagged six goals in seven matches in this edition of the Nations League.
With Jamal Musiala, Tim Kleindienst and Jonathan Burkardt absent for Germany, a Portugal player makes more appeal in the goalscorer markets and Ronaldo fits the bill. Only Viktor Gyokeres and Erling Haaland (31) have had more shots in the competition than the 40-year-old's tally of 30.
Cards on cards with Vincic in charge
This is a first Nations League semi-final appearance for Germany, while Portugal are looking to become the first country to win the competition twice, so there is plenty riding on this match and the card count could rise. Backing both teams to pick up at least two cards appeals at 4/5.
Portugal average 2.25 cards per game in the competition, Germany's average stands at two and match referee Slavko Vincic has dished out 15 yellow cards in three Nations League ties this term.
Germany vs Portugal odds
All odds courtesy of Paddy Power. Correct at the time of publication and subject to change.