Chile Poll Shows Evelyn Matthei and Jose Antonio Kast Tied in Race for Presidency
Chile ultra conservative candidate Jose Antonio Kast tied center-right contender Evelyn Matthei atop a new presidential poll, marking the latest twist in the race to lead one of Latin America's richest economies.
Kast was backed by 17% of respondents, up from 14% the week prior and 13% at the start of May, according to a Cadem survey published late on Sunday. Matthei also garnered 17%, though her backing was down from 20% in the poll published on May 11 and 22% at the beginning of the month.
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Yahoo
9 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Jail time for recalled offenders to be limited to free up prison places
Shabana Mahmood will limit for how long hundreds of repeat offenders can be recalled to prison amid Whitehall predictions that jails will be full again in November. The justice secretary also announced a £4.7bn plan to build three new prisons starting this year, part of a 'record expansion' as the government attempts to get to grips with the criminal justice system. Senior Tories accused Mahmood of failing to punish criminals, sarcastically saying repeat offenders would be 'quaking in their boots'. In an alarming message delivered at a Downing Street press conference, Mahmood said prisons were 99% full, adding: 'If we don't do anything now, we risk a total breakdown in law and order.' There would be a shake-up of the 'prison recall' system to allow some prisoners to be returned to prison for only a fixed 28-day period if they breach their licence conditions, she said. 'It is shameful that this country in 2025 finds itself in this cycle of crisis. It is shameful that for so long, the last Conservative government failed to reckon with the reality of a rising prison population,' Mahmood said. She said the new recall measures were expected to free up about 1,400 places. They will apply to offenders who were sentenced to between one and four years and were let out on licence but committed another offence. Asked how many people would be released as a result of the fixed-term measures, Mahmood said: 'We believe that that number will allow us to get from November into spring of next year … we are on track to hit zero capacity within our prison estate by November, and this measure will tide us over until any changes from the sentencing review start to hit the system.' The proposals have been condemned by two government-appointed tsars who represent victims, who claim that sexual and domestic abusers will be freed to terrorise victims again. Dame Nicole Jacobs, the domestic abuse commissioner for England and Wales, said: 'I cannot stress enough the lack of consideration for victims' safety and how many lives are being put in danger because of this proposed change. 'You are not sent to prison for four years if you do not pose significant risk to your victim or the wider public. Perpetrators of domestic abuse know everything about their victim … Re-releasing them back into the community after 28 days is simply unacceptable. 'What makes this worse is that ministers cannot safely exempt all perpetrators of domestic abuse from this proposal, because they do not know how many domestic abusers are serving time in prison or currently being monitored by probation.' The victims' commissioner for England and Wales, Baroness Newlove, said she would be writing to Mahmood to express her concern that the 'short-term, stopgap' measures are corroding confidence in justice. 'I find it difficult to understand why this specific group of offenders has been targeted for early release and I am concerned about the implications for victim safety,' she said. 'I will be seeking urgent clarity from the lord chancellor on how this policy will operate in practice – and what safeguards will be put in place.' A standard recall currently results in offenders being taken back to prison for the remainder of their sentence, but it can be for shorter fixed terms in some circumstances. The latest measures are aimed at dealing with the scale of the continuing crisis in jails, with the latest weekly prison population in England and Wales standing at 88,087. This is 434 below the last peak in the prison population of 88,521 inmates on 6 September, recorded just before the government began freeing thousands of prisoners early as part of efforts to curb overcrowding. The three prisons will be built near existing prisons, Mahmood said, with construction workers breaking ground on a site near HMP Gartree in Leicestershire later this year. Officials said the others would be near HMP Garth near Leyland, Lancashire, and HMP Grendon in the village of Grendon Underwood, Buckinghamshire. Mahmood said that despite 'record prison expansion', England and Wales would still be more than 9,000 prison places short by 2028. The recall population in prisons had more than doubled in seven years, she said. Some offenders will be excluded from the scheme, 'including any offender who has been recalled for committing a serious further offence', Mahmood said. Amy Rees, the Ministry of Justice interim permanent secretary, said the government would run out of prison places in five months' time if further measures were not taken. 'On our current trajectory, the prison population rises by 3,000, and now we expect to hit zero capacity – to entirely run out of prison places for adult men – in November of this year,' she said. Next week an independent sentencing review will recommend a package of measures on prison overcrowding. Led by the former Tory justice secretary David Gauke, it will say prisoners will be able to earn their freedom after serving a third of their sentences under new minimum and maximum sentence plans. Offenders in England and Wales will be able to earn early release if they complete work, training or education assignments and demonstrate good behaviour. Gauke is expected to support the further deployment of specialist courts to break addictions of prolific offenders. Intensive supervision courts have been set up for female offenders in three pilots across England and Wales. Mahmood said changes from a sentencing bill would be expected to start having an effect in April next year. 'We will legislate at pace. And as I described earlier, currently we're on track to come down to zero capacity in November of this year,' she said. 'That's why I've announced the measures on fixed-term recall today. We would anticipate that any changes from a sentencing bill could start having an impact on April of next year, so that's the timeline that we are working to. We're moving very, very quickly, but it's because we want to make sure we never have to do emergency releases again.' Posting on X, the shadow justice secretary, Robert Jenrick, said: 'Labour are so obsessed with working from home, they want to roll it out to prisoners too. Criminals will be quaking in their boots.'
Yahoo
an hour ago
- Yahoo
OPINION - The City wanted Labour to succeed, but the goodwill has been rapidly squandered
In April 2024 the boardrooms in the City of London and some from industry and commerce were buzzing with excitement at the prospect of Labour taking over from a rudderless Conservative administration. In the previous four years, the Tory government never recovered from the damage inflicted by Covid, coupled with indolent leadership from three Prime Ministers in double quick time. This was Labour's time. The mood was upbeat. 'Fear initially knocked at the door, faith answered; no one was there.' The smoked salmon bagel breakfasts hosted for combinations from Messrs Starmer, Reeves, Reynolds and Siddiq were very encouraging. The PM in waiting and his colleagues had charmingly reassured their board table hosts that Labour was the party for business and growth. Business had nothing to worry about. Labour was very much 'on-side' and knew unequivocally that to achieve growth, incentives to invest must be encouraged. All Labour's ducks seemed to be set up cleverly in a row. It took only six months for the reassured to start having considerable doubts, such was the damage inflicted on business by an increase on employers' share of National Insurance Contributions. There were also very little in the way of incentives to encourage inward investment, despite the formation of the National Wealth Fund and the British Business Bank to support Labour's ambitious plans for massive infrastructure projects. Confidence in the new government started to fall like a stone. Global investors seemed very reluctant to support some of our aspiring SMES, especially the fin-tech operations. Many market activists have blamed Brexit, which had only been delivered in name only. What was so frustrating was the ineptness of the Conservatives, which failed to deliver a gold-plated certainty – the increased prosperity of the 'City' – the quintessential cash cow. The financial sector in the UK was already delivering £75 billion of revenue per annum to the HM Treasury's coffers and there could have been so much more to come. The previous Government failed to capitalise on the value of the City. Brexit should have been a 'slam-dunk' for the City. Sadly, no exciting tax incentives for companies to set up in the UK were put into place. Regulation was far too onerous and cumbersome. Also, if the UK aspired to be the world's leading financial centre, charging stamp duty on trading shares was unrealistic financial nonsense. Also spiteful legislation towards 'non-doms' just exacerbates the negative perception of the UK's ability to create growth. The '80's were the halcyon years for the City, triggered by the abolition of exchange controls in 1979, followed up in 1986 by 'Big Bang', which saw international investment banks such as Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, Deutsche Bank and UBS rub shoulders and then usurp many of the grand old merchant banks of the day such as SG Warburg, Morgan Grenfell, Schroders, Samuel Montagu and Barclays Capital. The introduction of the LIFFE futures market in 1984 and the explosion of derivative trading triggered the expansion of capital markets and a tsunami of IPOS and privatisations. London still remains a major financial hub. However, there is some alarming unappetising data to reckon with. In 2007, the UK had 252 Initial Public Offerings (IPOs) on the London Stock Exchange. This represented a decrease from the 367 IPOs the previous year, with overseas IPOs attracted 86 companies from 22 countries. Last year was a poor year for IPOS, mainly due to a dip in confidence and geopolitical issues – just 17 in total here in London and 18 so far this year. There have been 58 IPOS in New York since January 2025. What is very worrying is that in the last year 88 companies have delisted in London. The delisting started with ARM, which left London supposedly valued at $32 billion, is now valued at $138 billion! Flutter and DarkTrace - fallen to US private equity- plus many others have followed. It is generally acknowledged that US fund managers have access to many more investors and consequently greater liquidity has contributed to a 25% valuation premium there. A lack of confidence and enthusiasm in the UK economy have encouraged moves to New York. Recently, Revolut served notice to establish a new Western Europe HQ in Paris and earlier last week 'Wise' said it will be delisting in London and heading for New York. It is alarming to note that only 4% of the LSE'S annual income is derived from stock exchange business. The rest comes from technology (Refinitiv). The LSE needs to raise its game, as does AIM. Aquis Exchange have hosted 4 IPOS so far this year and the outlook, under fresh ownership of 'Six' looks encouraging. Monzo, Starling Bank, Virgin Atlantic, ASDA and Boots are in the mix of companies that may seek public quotations this year, but much depends on market conditions. Hong Kong's Shein's IPO remains in doubt. If the Government believes in growth, then its emissaries, Business Secretary Jonathan Reynolds, Economc Secretary Emma Reynolds and investment minister Baroness Poppy Gustafsson need to wake up and smell the coffee? Business's risk appetite is at a low ebb. Confidence and sentiment are stagnant. Investors are vital. They must be encouraged with incentives! 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The Hill
2 hours ago
- The Hill
The Trump-Musk feud can only hurt the GOP, which is weaker than it seems
Dear Republican Party: If you don't believe you can blow the upcoming Florida governor's race, the 2026 midterm elections and the presidential election in 2028, you are delusional. Why? Four main reasons: complacency, stupidity, broken promises and President Trump exiting the political stage. The thermonuclear feud between Trump and Elon Musk makes such devastating losses much more likely. How could such a brutal reversal of Republican fortunes come about? First, because I believe that the mainstream Democratic Party will eventually finally find the will and the intestinal fortitude to tell the far-left activists — who are controlling the narrative of their party and destroying their brand with working-class Americans — that the adults are back in the room and will be reasserting their authority. As Politico reported last week in a piece titled 'The Great Un-Awokening,' more and more influential Democrats are seeking to move the party back towards the center. The start of the piece says it all: 'Ambitious Democrats with an eye on a presidential run are in the middle of a slow-motion Sister Souljah moment. Searching for a path out of the political wilderness, potential 2028 candidates, especially those hailing from blue states, are attempting to ratchet back a leftward lurch on social issues some in the party say cost them the November election.' As I have said in this space before, far-left politicians such as Reps. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) and Jasmine Crockett (D-Texas) — who have managed to make themselves the face of the Democratic Party to many Americans with their transparently attention-seeking rants — continually push two main messages: hatred of Trump and the idea that everything must be viewed and addressed through the prism of identity politics. But more and more mainstream Democrats seem to have had enough. As Politico reported, Rahm Emanuel — the former chief of staff to President Bill Clinton, two-term mayor of Chicago and potential 2028 Democratic candidate — said, 'Stop talking about bathrooms and locker rooms and start talking about the classroom.' That message will resonate with working-class Americans. Next, we have the example of the July 2024 election in the U.K. between the Conservative Party and Labour. The left-wing media in the U.K. and the U.S. would have their audiences believe that Keir Starmer and the Labour Party 'crushed' the Conservative Party. While that makes for an effective talking point to the uninformed, it is simply not true. Starmer and Labour won because the Conservative vote fell off a cliff. The number votes for Labour was essentially the same as five years earlier. What changed dramatically was the number of people who came out to vote for the Conservatives — because so many of them felt betrayed, played and outright deceived by the Conservative 'leadership,' they simply stayed home. The same can easily happen to the Republicans in 2026 and 2028. Accountability is a thing to voters. Keeping your word is a thing. Not being part of the D.C. swamp is a thing. Gov. Ron DeSantis (R-Fla.) made this very point recently when he blasted Republicans in Congress. Speaking of Musk, many do believe he literally put his life on the line when he first bought Twitter, enthusiastically supported the election of Trump in 2024 and became the face of the Department of Government Efficiency or DOGE. Musk has openly talked of the many death threats directed at him because of these moves. To that very point, DeSantis said, 'Musk went into this DOGE effort, he was getting lampooned. I mean, like they're firebombing his Tesla dealerships, media smearing him relentlessly, his business has suffered. All this stuff because he basically said, 'Look, we can't keep doing this, and we need to moderate and reduce the amount of money that the federal government is spending.' And yet, we have a Republican Congress, and to this day … not one cent in DOGE cuts have been implemented by the Congress.' Note to Republican 'leadership': Conservatives pay attention to this. Voters of faith pay attention to this. Independents pay attention to this. If you become what you promise to fight, a substantial percentage of these voters will stay home. Speaking of 'voters staying home,' we come at last to Trump. As I have said in this space in the past, I believe he is the greatest and most effective president in our lifetimes. No doubt many on the left will vehemently disagree with me, as is their right. That said — and what is not in dispute, as it is an irrefutable fact — tens of millions of Americans agree with me. They don't believe in the Republican Party. They don't believe in fictitious Republican 'promises' and they don't believe in any of the Republican 'leadership.' They believe only in Trump. More than that, they are keeping track of who is supporting him and who is seemingly betraying him. And once Trump exits the political stage, that Republican 'leadership' will be staring down the most important question of their political lives: How many of those tens of millions of Trump voters will simply stay home? Trump and Musk are on the outs at the moment, and Democrats are overjoyed. I would caution them that such celebrations are not only premature, but counterproductive. Ironically, given this 'feud,' I and many others happen to believe that Trump and Musk are both 'once in a century' figures, men who have moved the political and entrepreneurial needles like none before, and been viciously attacked by the far left and the Democratic Party. Two men who do — or soon will — realize that not only will the country and the Republican Party benefit from their alliance, but so will they and their brands. No matter the bitter disagreements, they are stronger united than apart. Douglas MacKinnon is a former White House and Pentagon official.
