
MARK RILEY: Coalition must adopt cautious approach as it bids for relevance in new-look Parliament
Tucked away behind the wood shop and the paint shop, off the subterranean corridor known as 'Bourke Street', the plate makers are beavering away at an unprecedented mountain of work.
The unexpected enormity of the Albanese Government's election win has created a plate-making boom.
When the 47th Parliament has its ceremonial opening on Tuesday, 49 new members of the House of Representatives and 17 new senators will assume their seats for the first time.
There have also been 17 ministerial and assistant ministerial changes to the Government team since the election.
All those new MPs and senators and ministers, and assistant ministers require name plates to hang outside their offices and display on their desks.
The plate-making team has been flat-strap keeping up with demand.
The change in the complexion of the Parliament will become unavoidably obvious on Wednesday when the houses sit for the first time to consider business. Tuesday is purely a ceremonial day.
There aren't enough seats on the Government benches to accommodate all 94 Labor MPs. Many will have to relocate across the aisle to claim spots normally reserved for Opposition members.
And there will be so few Coalition MPs that those who haven't snared a shadow ministry position will all huddle in a bunch behind the leader to fill her camera shot and create the illusion of numbers that don't exist.
In between that huddle and the expanded crossbench will be a vast emptiness, an electoral crater blasted into the landscape by the conservative forces' catastrophic defeat.
That void will serve as a constant reminder to Sussan Ley and her team that they are effectively powerless to stop any Government legislation passing through the House.
Their only opportunities will come during question time. But they should use them wisely.
The temptation will be to go hell for leather after everyone and everything that moves on the Government benches in a desperate quest for relevance.
But it is a temptation they should resist.
Those who have been around for a while will know what happens when impatient oppositions overplay their hands. Think Malcolm Turnbull and the ute-gate disaster.
Real opportunities will present themselves. Big governments can overplay their hands, too, just as John Howard did with WorkChoices when he controlled both houses between 2004 and 2007.
The main game, as always, will be the economy. The Opposition should concentrate on that.
The Budget presents them with rich pickings, like the heroic assumption that government spending will halve from a vertiginous 6 per cent last financial year to 3 per cent.
Independent observers know there is little chance of Treasurer Jim Chalmers achieving that without increasing tax revenues.
Some of those observers suspect the coming productivity roundtable has been designed to create cover for him to do that.
That should be easy to exploit for an Opposition that is already framing the second Albanese Government as a 'typical tax-and-spend' Labor outfit.
And although a massive majority is a good problem for a government to have, it can still be a problem nonetheless.
Labor's gains in the Senate mean it no longer has to negotiate with a fractious crossbench to pass its bills.
It only needs the Greens.
But that is as perilous as it sounds.
The Greens will routinely attempt to drag Labor's legislation to the left as the price for its balance of power votes.
Over time, that will build the impression of a Labor Party shifting inexorably leftwards from its preferred position closer to the centre.
And that will present the Coalition with a critical choice. It can either allow Labor to make that drift and attempt to claim the vacant centre itself, or it can offer its own balance of power numbers on legislation and drag the Government in the other direction — towards the values of the conservative right.
The best approach? Make that choice on a case-by-case basis.
So, while the most visible theatre of the 48th Parliament might still be in House of Representatives question time, the big show will be in the Senate.
And how the Opposition performs there will largely determine how many of the name plates after the next election are made for Coalition MPs.

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West Australian
36 minutes ago
- West Australian
'No-brainer': put women at centre of productivity push
Workforce participation by women must be at the forefront of the federal government's productivity agenda, as experts call for policies that continue to improve gender equality in Australia. Gender equality advocate Helen Conway has recently been appointed president of Chief Executive Women (CEW) and says the organisation will work with government, business and community leaders to advance women. The organisation was established in 1985 to address the under-representation of women in leadership. Four decades later, CEW has 1200 members across Australian workplaces who lead a combined 1.3 million employees and oversee $749 billion in revenue. As the 48th parliament prepares to meet for the first time, the Albanese government has declared its focus on boosting national productivity. This will include hosting a productivity summit in August at Parliament House attended by business, union and other leaders to focus on lifting economic output. But the priority of any productivity measures must be to boost women's workforce participation, Ms Conway said. That includes improving the foundations that allow women to work, such as affordable, accessible and quality childcare. 'Increasing female workforce participation is a no-brainer economically - it enhances GDP, brings in more workers and boosts the economy,' Ms Conway told AAP. 'One of the most critical issues is for the government to continue its program of ensuring childcare is available and that it is safe.' While reforms to make childcare more affordable and include superannuation on government paid parental leave had made a difference to working women, progress should not be taken for granted, Ms Conway said. The dismantling of diversity, equity and inclusion programs in the United States should be cause for concern and gender equality efforts needed to include men. 'We have done a disservice to men and haven't brought them on the journey with us,' Ms Conway said. 'It's unfortunate that some men have drawn the conclusion that if women get ahead, they will be disadvantaged.' As the winner of one of the first scholarships offered by CEW at the beginning of her career, Ms Conway said it was a full circle moment to take on the role as president. During her career she has served at chief executive of the Workplace Gender Equality Agency, ran as an independent for NSW parliament and undertaken roles in multiple boardrooms and legal practices. She credits CEW as pivotal to her being able to move through the executive ranks of multiple workplaces. But her priority as president is to make the organisation more ambitious, inclusive and active. 'We will champion women from all backgrounds and ensure no woman is left behind,' she said. 'We will make a concerted effort to champion First Nations and culturally diverse leaders, not-for-profit leaders, regional leaders and others who we believe are not being included at the level they should be.'


The Advertiser
39 minutes ago
- The Advertiser
Home truths on housing target in leaked Treasury advice
The accidental release of government department advice which warned Labor was not going to meet its housing target and urged them to raise taxes, has not rattled the treasurer. Independent advice from the Treasury department, which was unintentionally sent to the ABC, reportedly contained subheadings which said the federal government's promise to build 1.2 million homes by 2029 "will not be met" and called for "additional revenue and spending reductions" to achieve a sustainable budget. Though he acknowledged Treasury's advice had been sent "in error", Treasurer Jim Chalmers said such incidents could happen from time to time. "I'm pretty relaxed about it to be honest," he told reporters in Canberra on Monday. "Treasury advises governments of both political persuasions - that advice can't be always adequately captured in the subheadings." A 2025 report from the National Housing Supply and Affordability Council - another independent government advice body - in May warned Labor would fall short of its goal by about 300,000 dwellings. It followed a report in March commissioned by the Property Council of Australia showing the government needed to build another 462,000 homes to meet its 2029 target. Asked if the government regretted putting out a housing target, Dr Chalmers said his government needed to be ambitious. The government has also attempted to address its bottom line by reining in spending on the National Disability Insurance Scheme and proposing an increased tax on super balances above $3 million. Dr Chalmers has pledged to strengthen Australia's economy ahead of a trip to South Africa, where he will meet with his counterparts from other G20 countries as they deal with "extreme global economic uncertainty". Economic ties with countries like Indonesia, Japan, the UK and Germany could be strengthened as leaders discuss capital flows, supply chains, critical minerals and issues within their own communities. But domestically, one of the key focuses of Labor's second-term economic agenda will be to boost productivity. The agenda of an economic reform roundtable, to be held in August, has been finalised with Reserve Bank governor Michele Bullock set to kick off day one, Productivity Commission chair Danielle Wood to lead day two and Treasury secretary Jenny Wilkinson to head day three. Opposition Leader Sussan Ley claimed the government was "ignoring some of the very levers that matter most" in the productivity puzzle. While Dr Chalmers acknowledged he could not invite every industry, he said there would be many opportunities for people to contribute. The accidental release of government department advice which warned Labor was not going to meet its housing target and urged them to raise taxes, has not rattled the treasurer. Independent advice from the Treasury department, which was unintentionally sent to the ABC, reportedly contained subheadings which said the federal government's promise to build 1.2 million homes by 2029 "will not be met" and called for "additional revenue and spending reductions" to achieve a sustainable budget. Though he acknowledged Treasury's advice had been sent "in error", Treasurer Jim Chalmers said such incidents could happen from time to time. "I'm pretty relaxed about it to be honest," he told reporters in Canberra on Monday. "Treasury advises governments of both political persuasions - that advice can't be always adequately captured in the subheadings." A 2025 report from the National Housing Supply and Affordability Council - another independent government advice body - in May warned Labor would fall short of its goal by about 300,000 dwellings. It followed a report in March commissioned by the Property Council of Australia showing the government needed to build another 462,000 homes to meet its 2029 target. Asked if the government regretted putting out a housing target, Dr Chalmers said his government needed to be ambitious. The government has also attempted to address its bottom line by reining in spending on the National Disability Insurance Scheme and proposing an increased tax on super balances above $3 million. Dr Chalmers has pledged to strengthen Australia's economy ahead of a trip to South Africa, where he will meet with his counterparts from other G20 countries as they deal with "extreme global economic uncertainty". Economic ties with countries like Indonesia, Japan, the UK and Germany could be strengthened as leaders discuss capital flows, supply chains, critical minerals and issues within their own communities. But domestically, one of the key focuses of Labor's second-term economic agenda will be to boost productivity. The agenda of an economic reform roundtable, to be held in August, has been finalised with Reserve Bank governor Michele Bullock set to kick off day one, Productivity Commission chair Danielle Wood to lead day two and Treasury secretary Jenny Wilkinson to head day three. Opposition Leader Sussan Ley claimed the government was "ignoring some of the very levers that matter most" in the productivity puzzle. While Dr Chalmers acknowledged he could not invite every industry, he said there would be many opportunities for people to contribute. The accidental release of government department advice which warned Labor was not going to meet its housing target and urged them to raise taxes, has not rattled the treasurer. Independent advice from the Treasury department, which was unintentionally sent to the ABC, reportedly contained subheadings which said the federal government's promise to build 1.2 million homes by 2029 "will not be met" and called for "additional revenue and spending reductions" to achieve a sustainable budget. Though he acknowledged Treasury's advice had been sent "in error", Treasurer Jim Chalmers said such incidents could happen from time to time. "I'm pretty relaxed about it to be honest," he told reporters in Canberra on Monday. "Treasury advises governments of both political persuasions - that advice can't be always adequately captured in the subheadings." A 2025 report from the National Housing Supply and Affordability Council - another independent government advice body - in May warned Labor would fall short of its goal by about 300,000 dwellings. It followed a report in March commissioned by the Property Council of Australia showing the government needed to build another 462,000 homes to meet its 2029 target. Asked if the government regretted putting out a housing target, Dr Chalmers said his government needed to be ambitious. The government has also attempted to address its bottom line by reining in spending on the National Disability Insurance Scheme and proposing an increased tax on super balances above $3 million. Dr Chalmers has pledged to strengthen Australia's economy ahead of a trip to South Africa, where he will meet with his counterparts from other G20 countries as they deal with "extreme global economic uncertainty". Economic ties with countries like Indonesia, Japan, the UK and Germany could be strengthened as leaders discuss capital flows, supply chains, critical minerals and issues within their own communities. But domestically, one of the key focuses of Labor's second-term economic agenda will be to boost productivity. The agenda of an economic reform roundtable, to be held in August, has been finalised with Reserve Bank governor Michele Bullock set to kick off day one, Productivity Commission chair Danielle Wood to lead day two and Treasury secretary Jenny Wilkinson to head day three. Opposition Leader Sussan Ley claimed the government was "ignoring some of the very levers that matter most" in the productivity puzzle. While Dr Chalmers acknowledged he could not invite every industry, he said there would be many opportunities for people to contribute. The accidental release of government department advice which warned Labor was not going to meet its housing target and urged them to raise taxes, has not rattled the treasurer. Independent advice from the Treasury department, which was unintentionally sent to the ABC, reportedly contained subheadings which said the federal government's promise to build 1.2 million homes by 2029 "will not be met" and called for "additional revenue and spending reductions" to achieve a sustainable budget. Though he acknowledged Treasury's advice had been sent "in error", Treasurer Jim Chalmers said such incidents could happen from time to time. "I'm pretty relaxed about it to be honest," he told reporters in Canberra on Monday. "Treasury advises governments of both political persuasions - that advice can't be always adequately captured in the subheadings." A 2025 report from the National Housing Supply and Affordability Council - another independent government advice body - in May warned Labor would fall short of its goal by about 300,000 dwellings. It followed a report in March commissioned by the Property Council of Australia showing the government needed to build another 462,000 homes to meet its 2029 target. Asked if the government regretted putting out a housing target, Dr Chalmers said his government needed to be ambitious. The government has also attempted to address its bottom line by reining in spending on the National Disability Insurance Scheme and proposing an increased tax on super balances above $3 million. Dr Chalmers has pledged to strengthen Australia's economy ahead of a trip to South Africa, where he will meet with his counterparts from other G20 countries as they deal with "extreme global economic uncertainty". Economic ties with countries like Indonesia, Japan, the UK and Germany could be strengthened as leaders discuss capital flows, supply chains, critical minerals and issues within their own communities. But domestically, one of the key focuses of Labor's second-term economic agenda will be to boost productivity. The agenda of an economic reform roundtable, to be held in August, has been finalised with Reserve Bank governor Michele Bullock set to kick off day one, Productivity Commission chair Danielle Wood to lead day two and Treasury secretary Jenny Wilkinson to head day three. Opposition Leader Sussan Ley claimed the government was "ignoring some of the very levers that matter most" in the productivity puzzle. While Dr Chalmers acknowledged he could not invite every industry, he said there would be many opportunities for people to contribute.

ABC News
5 hours ago
- ABC News
Anthony Albanese and Sussan Ley face fresh challenges in new parliament
Anthony Albanese hasn't been in any rush to convene the new parliament, which Governor-General Sam Mostyn will open on Tuesday. It's only mildly cynical to observe that governments of both persuasions often seem to regard having pesky members and senators around too much as a hindrance to business. Accountability is all very good in theory — facing it in practice is another matter. In this first fortnight of the new parliament, however, much of the attention will be less on the government than on the opposition. Liberal leader Sussan Ley has handled her early weeks without tripping. But her critics hover like crows on the fence in lambing season. Angus Taylor, who narrowly lost the leadership ballot, retains his ambition. The right-wing media wait for Ley's mistakes. Ley will need to maintain a strong grip on her team's messaging, especially on foreign and defence policy, or the Coalition will open itself to criticism. Taylor, now the defence spokesman, attracted attention this week when he went out on a limb on Taiwan, telling the ABC, "we should have a joint commitment with them [the US] to the security of Taiwan". Ley, who says she wants to avoid unrelenting negativity, must choose the Coalition's targets carefully. It has been presented with some useful fodder, with the (inadvertently) leaked Treasury brief to the re-elected government that urged the need for tax rises and spending cuts. This is manna from political heaven because it is on the Coalition's favoured economic ground, and raises issues for which the government doesn't have immediate or clear-cut answers. As important as Ley's performance will be, so will be that of Shadow Treasurer Ted O'Brien. Taylor's handling of the job last term was a serious weakness for the Coalition. Facing a well-prepared and confident counterpart in Jim Chalmers, O'Brien must find his feet quickly. Sensibly, he has hired on his staff an experienced, credible economist, Steven Hamilton, who has been an assistant professor of economics at George Washington University in Washington DC. Hamilton has also been a regular contributor to The Australian Financial Review, so he has a feel for, and contacts in, the financial media. The government has a mix of legislation to introduce in this initial fortnight. Albanese promised during the campaign that Labor's first cab off the rank would be its commitment to cut student debt by 20 per cent. It also foreshadowed early action to lock in penalty rates. It didn't anticipate having to rush in a bill to strip funding from childcare centres that do not meet safety standards. This follows the recent revelations of abuse. The first parliamentary fortnight comes in the run-up to the government's August 19–21 productivity roundtable (named by Chalmers the "economic reform roundtable"). With expectations inevitably exploding, observers will be watching closely the dynamics between the treasurer and the prime minister in parliament. The two agree that delivering election promises should be the floor, rather than the ceiling, of ambition for the second term. But their degrees of ambition differ. Chalmers fears Albanese's is limited; the prime minister fears his treasurer's will overreach. Will Albanese show a restraining hand on the roundtable in the weeks before it? As the government wants to emphasise delivery to voters in the early days of the parliament, Chalmers hasn't rushed to seek the deal he needs with the Greens on his controversial changes to superannuation tax arrangements. The plan is to increase the tax on balances of more than $3 million, and tax the unrealised capital gains. The Greens want the $3 million reduced to $2 million and that amount indexed. It's a fair assumption that a compromise will be reached when negotiations occur. That will be a relatively easy test for the Greens under their new leader, Larissa Waters, who has also said she wants to be constructive while holding the government to account. Later on, though, will come harder issues, including whether the Greens will sign up to a new environmental protection authority, stymied by political obstacles last term. In general, the Senate will be less complicated for the government in the coming months than last term, given the Greens hold the sole balance of power on legislation contested by the opposition. That means things are more frustrating for other Senate crossbenchers. In his stand on staffing, Albanese is not improving their mood. Pauline Hanson's One Nation doubled its representation to four senators but has no extra staff. Staff allocation is up to the prime minister, who has once again been arbitrary about how many staff individual Senate crossbenchers receive. This is an unfair and indefensible system — there should be independent, consistent rules. ACT senator David Pocock hasn't lost any staff, but he has lost clout, compared with last term when his vote could be crucial and he was able to trade it for concessions from the government. The new numbers deal him and other non-Green crossbenchers out of the game. In the House of Representatives, the Teals retain strong representation but, as in the last parliament, they can only exert (limited) influence, not power. For a while early this year, when it looked as if there would be a hung parliament, they were preparing wish lists. One new Teal will be sworn in next week, Nicolette Boele, who won the seat of Bradfield from the Liberals. She can't know, however, whether she will see out her term. The Liberals have challenged the result after she won by just 26 votes. The matter will be decided by the Court of Disputed Returns. There are three possible outcomes: the court confirms the result; the result is overturned and the seat awarded to Liberal candidate Gisele Kapterian (who was allowed to vote in the Liberal leadership and supported Ley); or a fresh election is ordered. The Liberals are taking some risk with the challenge. If there were a new election, and they lost it, that would be another setback for them and could destabilise Ley's leadership. Michelle Grattan is a professorial fellow at the University of Canberra and chief political correspondent at The Conversation, where this article first appeared.