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Japanese Life Insurers Cut Bullish Yen Hedges to 14-Year Low

Japanese Life Insurers Cut Bullish Yen Hedges to 14-Year Low

Bloomberg5 days ago

Japanese life insurers cut protection for their foreign assets against a stronger yen to a fresh 14-year low, signaling subdued expectations of a sustained rally in the nation's currency.
Nine of Japan's biggest life insurers collectively lowered bullish yen wagers tied to their foreign investment holdings to 44.4% at the end of the fiscal half in March from 45.2% six months earlier, according to a Bloomberg News analysis of their earnings reports.

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DeepSeek may have used Google's Gemini to train its latest model
DeepSeek may have used Google's Gemini to train its latest model

TechCrunch

time44 minutes ago

  • TechCrunch

DeepSeek may have used Google's Gemini to train its latest model

Last week, Chinese lab DeepSeek released an updated version of its R1 reasoning AI model that performs well on a number of math and coding benchmarks. The company didn't reveal the source of the data it used to train the model, but some AI researchers speculate that at least a portion came from Google's Gemini family of AI. Sam Paeach, a Melbourne-based developer who creates 'emotional intelligence' evaluations for AI, published what he claims is evidence that DeepSeek's latest model was trained on outputs from Gemini. DeepSeek's model, called R1-0528, prefers words and expressions similar to those Google's Gemini 2.5 Pro favors, said Paeach in an X post. If you're wondering why new deepseek r1 sounds a bit different, I think they probably switched from training on synthetic openai to synthetic gemini outputs. — Sam Paech (@sam_paech) May 29, 2025 That's not a smoking gun. But another developer, the pseudonymous creator of a 'free speech eval' for AI called SpeechMap, noted the DeepSeek model's traces — the 'thoughts' the model generates as it works toward a conclusion — 'read like Gemini traces.' DeepSeek has been accused of training on data from rival AI models before. In December, developers observed that DeepSeek's V3 model often identified itself as ChatGPT, OpenAI's AI-powered chatbot platform, suggesting that it may've been trained on ChatGPT chat logs. Earlier this year, OpenAI told the Financial Times it found evidence linking DeepSeek to the use of distillation, a technique to train AI models by extracting data from bigger, more capable ones. According to Bloomberg, Microsoft, a close OpenAI collaborator and investor, detected that large amounts of data were being exfiltrated through OpenAI developer accounts in late 2024 — accounts OpenAI believes are affiliated with DeepSeek. Distillation isn't an uncommon practice, but OpenAI's terms of service prohibit customers from using the company's model outputs to build competing AI. To be clear, many models misidentify themselves and converge on the same words and turns of phrases. That's because the open web, which is where AI companies source the bulk of their training data, is becoming littered with AI slop. Content farms are using AI to create clickbait, and bots are flooding Reddit and X. Techcrunch event Save now through June 4 for TechCrunch Sessions: AI Save $300 on your ticket to TC Sessions: AI—and get 50% off a second. Hear from leaders at OpenAI, Anthropic, Khosla Ventures, and more during a full day of expert insights, hands-on workshops, and high-impact networking. These low-rate deals disappear when the doors open on June 5. Exhibit at TechCrunch Sessions: AI Secure your spot at TC Sessions: AI and show 1,200+ decision-makers what you've built — without the big spend. Available through May 9 or while tables last. Berkeley, CA | REGISTER NOW This 'contamination,' if you will, has made it quite difficult to thoroughly filter AI outputs from training datasets. Still, AI experts like Nathan Lambert, a researcher at the nonprofit AI research institute AI2, don't think it's out of the question that DeepSeek trained on data from Google's Gemini. 'If I was DeepSeek, I would definitely create a ton of synthetic data from the best API model out there,' Lambert wrote in a post on X. '[DeepSeek is] short on GPUs and flush with cash. It's literally effectively more compute for them.' If I was DeepSeek I would definitely create a ton of synthetic data from the best API model out there. Theyre short on GPUs and flush with cash. It's literally effectively more compute for them. yes on the Gemini distill question. — Nathan Lambert (@natolambert) June 3, 2025 Partly in an effort to prevent distillation, AI companies have been ramping up security measures. In April, OpenAI began requiring organizations to complete an ID verification process in order to access certain advanced models. The process requires a government-issued ID from one of the countries supported by OpenAI's API; China isn't on the list. Elsewhere, Google recently began 'summarizing' the traces generated by models available through its AI Studio developer platform, a step that makes it more challenging to train performant rival models on Gemini traces. Anthropic in May said it would start to summarize its own model's traces, citing a need to protect its 'competitive advantages.' We've reached out to Google for comment and will update this piece if we hear back.

South Korea election results expected to bring Lee Jae-myung of the Democratic Party into the presidency
South Korea election results expected to bring Lee Jae-myung of the Democratic Party into the presidency

CBS News

timean hour ago

  • CBS News

South Korea election results expected to bring Lee Jae-myung of the Democratic Party into the presidency

Seoul, South Korea — An impressive 77.8% of South Korea's eligible voters turned up at polling stations Tuesday to cast their ballots in a snap presidential election sparked by the impeachment of the country's former leader. It was the highest turnout ever seen in a Korean election, and the country's media said exit polls made a victory by Democratic Party candidate Lee Jae-myung all but certain after the voting ended. An exit poll conducted jointly by three of South Korea's biggest broadcasters, which has generally been a reliable predictor of election results, showed Lee securing about 50% of the votes, giving him about a 10% lead over his conservative rival Kim Moon-soo. Kim had recently served as the employment and labor minister in the Cabinet of former President Yoon Suk Yeol, who was impeached over his brief but shocking imposition of martial law late last year. Lee's Democratic Party has been the primary opposition party for several years, but if he wins the South Korean presidency as predicted, the Democrats will find themselves back in control of both the executive branch and the parliament, where they already have a majority of seats, for the first time since 2022. There has not been an elected president in office since Yoon was impeached late last year, so there will be no formal transition period. The inauguration ceremony for the 21st president of South Korea is set to be held Wednesday, just hours after the final votes were cast. South Koreans filled the streets around central government buildings in Seoul in December after Yoon suddenly declared martial law. He said the draconian measure was necessary given the level of political division in South Korea, and claiming communist forces were threatening the public peace and safety. But Yoon's definition of an enemy within changed, as he first said the communists infiltrating South Korean politics were North Koreans, but then said it was Chinese influence that warranted his martial law declaration. Many younger South Koreans bristled, and they came out in force in front of the parliament, urging lawmakers to impeach Yoon, who did maintain significant support, particularly among older and right-wing voters. His huge political gamble with the martial law declaration, and his subsequent refusal to leave office following his impeachment, is widely seen as having shifted many voters to Lee and the Democratic Party. Yoon beat Lee in the last presidential election in 2022, but by a razor-thin margin of only 247,077 votes. Who is Lee Jae-myung, South Korea's likely new leader? Lee is a veteran politician with 20 years of experience as an elected official. He will rely on that experience to help him navigate the power struggle between South Korea's longtime closest ally, the United States, and its neighbor China, as Presidents Trump and Xi Jinping engage in a trade war that has affected global markets. Lee vowed before the election that, if he won, he would work to further develop the U.S.-South Korea relationship "into a future-oriented, comprehensive strategic alliance." Journalists gather inside the situation room for Democratic Party presidential candidate Lee Jae-myung, pictured on the poster, at the National Assembly, as voting in South Korea's presidential election comes to an end, in Seoul, June 3, 2025. Daniel Ceng/Anadolu via Getty Images Lee also promised "stable management of Korea-China relations, promotion of Korea-Russia diplomacy," and to prioritize South Korea's national interests. He has vowed to invest up to 100 trillion won (about $73 billion) to fund artificial intelligence work in the country, aiming to make South Korea one of the top three global AI powerhouses. But Lee has offered little in the way of firm, specific commitments, and many South Koreans remained unclear about what kind of diplomatic policies he might adopt if and when he takes the country's highest office. Before South Korea descended into internal political chaos in late 2024, the former conservative government had taken a hard line on North Korea and Kim Jong Un's isolated regime, fueling higher tension across the two countries' heavily militarized border. If the election result does match the exit polls, Lee will take office facing multiple ongoing criminal cases, including a $1 billion property development scandal, alleged illegal remittances sent to North Korea, and the alleged misuse of government credit cards. South Korean presidents do have a significant degree of immunity from criminal prosecution, though not from charges of treason or insurrection.

Aircraft delivery delays are stunting growth, but there's a silver lining
Aircraft delivery delays are stunting growth, but there's a silver lining

Travel Weekly

timean hour ago

  • Travel Weekly

Aircraft delivery delays are stunting growth, but there's a silver lining

NEW DELHI, India -- The backlog for commercial airline orders is currently more than 17,000 planes, according to IATA, as aircraft makers continue to fall short of production targets. It's a backlog of 14 years at current production rates. The backlog is constraining industry growth and increasing the age of fleets, officials said during IATA's Annual General Meeting here. The industry's average aircraft age has increased from 13 years in 2015 to 15 years currently. This year, Boeing and Airbus had forecast 1,430 deliveries, according to airline industry data company Cirium, but through the first four months of the year they had delivered just 359 planes. "It's very unpredictable. You order an aircraft today, your guess is as good as mine when you're going to receive it," said Nick Careen, IATA's senior vice president of operations, safety and security. The industry's annual fleet replacement rate is just half of the 5% to 6% that it was in 2020, IATA director general Willie Walsh said. Walsh criticized manufacturers for not making faster progress on supply chain problems that he said could last until the end of the decade. A variety of issues have contributed to supply challenges, including a shortage of skilled labor and titanium sourcing problems, Careen added. A shortage of spare parts and aircraft grounded for inspections of Pratt & Whitney GTF engines have exacerbated the shortfall. IndiGo CEO Peter Elbers, whose airline currently has a narrowbody order book of nearly 1,000 Airbus planes plus 60 widebody orders, said delivery delays and shortfalls are hurting the airline industry. "I would say it's a missed opportunity in terms of addressing the market demand," he said. But not everybody agrees. Steve Saxon, a partner and aviation industry analyst for the consulting firm McKinsey, said delivery delays have been a blessing for airlines, driving up yields and profitability by preventing them from growing too fast. Last year, the airline industry recorded a net profit of $32.4 billion, according to IATA. Walsh, too, acknowledged that the slow delivery pipeline has a silver lining. Last year, airlines filled 84% of their seats, a record. "I didn't think I'd ever see load factors at that level," he said.

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