"Getting worse": Majority of Americans think economy is in decline under Trump
There's no doubt that President Donald Trump's chaotic tariff regime rocked Wall Street. But a new poll shows that the bad vibes extend well outside the stock exchange, as Trumpian uncertainty hangs over Main Street.
A CBS/YouGov poll shared earlier this week found that a majority of Americans believe the economy is backsliding in the early days of Trump 2.0. 53% of respondents told pollsters that they believe the economy is getting worse under Donald Trump and a majority of Americans expected the economy to slow or enter a recession in the next year.
56% of respondents said they disapproved of Trump's handling of the economy, up from 49% in March. Nearly 60% of those polled said they opposed new tariffs on U.S. imports. 65% of Americans said they expect the tariffs to make things worse in the short term and 42% expected the duties to have a negative impact in the long term. Compare that to just 8% of respondents who said tariffs would improve the economy immediately and 34% who thought they would have a positive effect given time.
CNN data analyst Harry Enten called the results "the worst set of polling data that Donald Trump has had in his entire second term as president."
"The majority of Americans think that the economy is getting worse," Enten said. "It's an 11-point jump from November to now, and of course Donald Trump won the 2024 election because he promised to fix the economy."
The polling data also showed that the consensus around who to blame for a lackluster economy had shifted, with most respondents blaming the current president for the first time this term.
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For the week, oil has surged by about 12%, the most since October 2022 when OPEC sharply cut oil production. 'We're still at the tip of this situation, but Iran calling the strikes a declaration of war doesn't bode well for the flow of oil,' said Patrick De Haan, vice president of petroleum analysis at GasBuddy, a fuel tracking platform. De Haan told CNN that gasoline prices are likely to drift higher over the next few weeks, increasing by about 10 to 25 cents per gallon. The national average for regular gas stood at just $3.13 a gallon on Friday, according to AAA. That's down from $3.16 a month ago and well below the year-ago level of $3.46. But pump prices are likely to move significantly higher in the coming days because of the increase in crude prices. 'I expect gas prices will jump, but not back to record highs,' De Haan said. 'But the risk is that we see Middle East incidents move beyond borders. Will the violence spread? Will the flow of oil be impacted?' 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The big fear is that Iran retaliates by targeting the Strait of Hormuz, a narrow body of water separating the Persian Gulf from global oceans, and the most critical oil chokepoint on the planet. Iran has in the past threatened to do just that. 'In the unlikely scenario of Iran disrupting flows through the Strait of Hormuz, we could see a significant supply shock with oil prices rising sharply,' Jorge León, head of geopolitical analysis at Rystad Energy, wrote in a report on Friday. That's because about 21 million barrels of oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz per day, accounting for about one-fifth of the world's daily consumption, according to the US Energy Information Administration. But Rystad Energy said that if Iran opts for a more 'limited' response that only focuses on Israeli military sites, the oil market reaction could remain 'contained and temporary.' And that in turn would limit how much gasoline prices increase. 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The Atlantic Daily, a newsletter that guides you through the biggest stories of the day, helps you discover new ideas, and recommends the best in culture. Sign up for it here. Last year, a lot of indie-music fans—including myself—got someone else's packing list stuck in their head. I'd walk around muttering 'Milk thistle, calcium, high-rise, boot cut / Advil, black jeans, blue jeans'—lyrics hissed out by the art-punk legend Kim Gordon on a song called 'Bye Bye.' The track led off her album The Collective, one of the most acclaimed releases of 2024. Over hard hip-hop beats and snarling guitar distortion, Gordon stammered about daily banalities, reframing modern life as a psychological war zone. Now the 72-year-old co-founder of Sonic Youth has released a new version of the song, called 'Bye Bye 25.' 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For all the chaos and consternation caused by the president this year, the entertainment world's response has been relatively muted. Bruce Springsteen, that liberal stalwart, kicked off his tour with an anti-Trump sermon; stars such as Doechii and Lady Gaga have made awards-show speeches in support of immigrants, trans people, and protesters. But outright protest music responding to recent events has been rare. 'I think people are kind of mostly just still stunned and don't know what to do,' Gordon told me in a video chat earlier this week. The memory of what happened the last time around might be contributing to the hesitation. Trump's rise to power in 2016 spurred a quick response from popular culture, resulting in diss tracks (Nipsey Hussle and YG's 'FDT') and provocations from luminaries (remember Madonna wanting to explode the White House?). The indie-rock world united for a compilation called Our First 100 Days: one track released for each of Trump's first 100 days in office. 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