
Asia markets stabilise, dollar droops following Middle East truce
TOKYO, June 25 (Reuters) - Asian stocks stabilised on Wednesday as crude oil hovered near multi-week lows as a ceasefire between Israel and Iran buoyed sentiment, even as hostilities threatened to flare up again.
The dollar wallowed close to an almost four-year trough versus the euro with two-year U.S. Treasury yields sagging to 1 1/2-month lows as lower oil prices reduced the risk to bonds from an inflation shock.
The shaky truce has so far held, although Israel says it will respond forcefully to Iranian missile strikes that came after U.S. President Donald Trump had announced an end to the hostilities.
In addition, U.S. airstrikes did not destroy Iran's nuclear capability and only set it back by a few months, according to a preliminary U.S. intelligence assessment, contradicting Trump's earlier comments that Iran's nuclear programme had been "obliterated".
Japan's Nikkei (.N225), opens new tab and Australia's stock benchmark (.AXJO), opens new tab were flat, while Taiwan's index (.TWII), opens new tab gained 1%.
Hong Kong's Hang Seng (.HSI), opens new tab rose 0.6% and mainland Chinese blue chips (.CSI300), opens new tab eased 0.1%.
U.S. stock futures were little changed.
An MSCI index of global stocks (.MIWD00000PUS), opens new tab held steady after climbing to a record high overnight.
Brent crude ticked up 81 cents to $67.95 per barrel, bouncing a bit following a plunge of as much as $14.58 over the previous two sessions. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude added 70 cents to $65.07 per barrel.
"Despite the cease fire between Israel and Iran appearing somewhat tenuous, the markets are shrugging it off," said Kyle Rodda, senior financial markets analyst at Capital.com.
"Realistically, the markets don't care if a limited conflict comprised of mostly air strikes continues between the two countries," he said. "It's the prospect of a broader war, with deeper US intervention and an Iranian blockade of the Strait of Hormuz that really matters. And for now, the risks of that seem low."
The two-year U.S. Treasury yield dipped to the lowest since May 8 at 3.787%.
The U.S. dollar index , which measures the currency against six major counterparts, slipped 0.1% to 97.854.
The dollar slipped 0.1% to 144.70 yen .
The euro added 0.1% to $1.1625, edging back towards the overnight high of $1.1641, a level not seen since October 2021.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said on Tuesday that higher tariffs could begin raising inflation this summer, a period that will be key to the U.S. central bank considering possible interest rate cuts. Powell spoke at a hearing before the House Financial Services Committee.
Data showed that U.S. consumer confidence unexpectedly deteriorated in June, signalling softening labour market conditions.
Markets continue to price in a roughly 18% chance that the Fed will cut rates in July, according to the CME FedWatch tool.

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles


Reuters
10 minutes ago
- Reuters
Exclusive: BYD slows production, delays capacity expansion at China factories, sources say
SHANGHAI, June 25 (Reuters) - Chinese electric vehicle champion BYD has slowed its production and expansion pace in recent months by reducing shifts at some factories in China and delaying plans to add new production lines, said two people with knowledge of the matter. The decisions are a sign that BYD's robust sales growth over the past couple of years that drove it to overtake Tesla (TSLA.O), opens new tab as the world's largest EV maker could slow, as it grapples with rising inventory even after offering deep price cuts in China's cutthroat auto market. BYD has cancelled night shifts and reduced output by at least a third of the capacity at some of its factories, said the sources who declined to be named because the matter is private. These previously unreported measures were imposed on at least four factories and BYD had also suspended some plans to set up new production lines, one of the people said. BYD, which sold 4.27 million cars last year, mostly in China, has at least seven car factories in the country and it has targeted a near-30% rise in sales to 5.5 million this year. Reuters was not able to identify the exact scale of the production reduction and expansion suspension, nor to ascertain how long these measures may last. One of the sources said the moves were aimed at saving costs, while the other said they were imposed after sales failed to meet targets. BYD did not immediately respond to a request for comment. Data from the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers showed growth of BYD's output had slowed to 13% and 0.2% year-on-year in April and May, respectively, both of which were the slowest pace since February 2024 when factory activities were disrupted by a week-long lunar New Year holiday. BYD started ramping up monthly output from the second quarter of the year in 2023 and 2024, the data showed. But the trend has changed this year, with average output in April and May 29% lower than in the fourth quarter of 2024. BYD has risen to become the world's largest EV maker within the span of a few years by aggressively increasing production and speeding up the rollout of new and more affordable models. Its recent price incentives, which reduced the starting price of its cheapest model to 55,800 yuan ($7,800), triggered a broader selloff in Chinese auto stocks and fresh price cuts from rivals. A survey conducted by the China Automotive Dealer Association in May found that BYD dealers held an average inventory of 3.21 months, the highest among all brands in China, whereas the inventory level industry-wide was at 1.38 months. A large BYD dealer in the eastern province of Shandong has gone out of business with at least 20 of its stores found to be deserted or shut, government-owned media reported last month. As inventory levels increase, the China Auto Dealers Chamber of Commerce in early June called on automakers to stop offloading too many cars on dealerships and to set "reasonable" production targets based on sales performance. The group said intense price wars were pressuring cash flow and driving down profitability. Chinese auto dealers on Monday urged automakers to pay cashback incentives within 30 days to help to alleviate financial pressures. Deepening price competition has prompted Chinese regulators to increase their scrutiny of the auto sector in recent months as the years-long practice has squeezed suppliers, automakers and dealers across the industry. Chinese automakers are now increasingly looking for overseas markets to prop up sales and offset weakening momentum in their home market. In the first five months of this year, BYD sold 1.76 million vehicles, of which around 20% were exported. ($1 = 7.1684 Chinese yuan renminbi)


Reuters
32 minutes ago
- Reuters
India's central bank extends call money market timing by 2 hours
MUMBAI, June 25 (Reuters) - The Reserve Bank of India on Wednesday extended the trading hours for the interbank call money market by 2 hours to 7:00 p.m. IST, with effect from July 1. Banks borrow and lend money in the call market. The revised timings for the call market will be 9:00 a.m. IST to 7:00 p.m. IST. The central bank also extended the hours for market repo and tri-party repo to 4:00 p.m. IST, with effect from August 1. In May, a working group set up by the central bank had recommended longer operating hours for the interbank money markets. The trading hours for government bonds, foreign exchange and interest rate derivative markets have been left unchanged.


Reuters
37 minutes ago
- Reuters
India markets regulator tightens oversight on trading members' compliance post-inspection
June 25 (Reuters) - India's market regulator has directed stock exchanges to monitor whether trading members have implemented "corrective actions", after regulatory inspections found violations, according to a circular issued by BSE ( opens new tab on Wednesday. Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) conducted joint inspections with the stock exchanges, the circular said, without specifying when the inspections were made or what violations were identified. However, the circular noted that SEBI will forward these violations to an "Assigned Stock Exchange", which will oversee the timeliness and completeness of corrective measures taken by the trading members. Trading members, including trading houses and brokerages, have to submit a compliance status report within timelines set by the SEBI, with failure to do so attracting escalating penalties, the circular added. Continued non-compliance beyond 45 days may result in a complete ban on new client onboarding and the disabling of trading terminals across all segments. The Assigned Stock Exchange will also verify compliance during subsequent inspections and may take stringent action if discrepancies are found between the compliance reports and findings from internal auditors or exchange inspections, the notice said. The provisions of the circular will come into effect from July 1, 2025.