
Europe stocks fall on fears of Iranian retaliation after US strikes
FRANKFURT: European stocks stumbled on Monday, as investors nervously eyed the threat of Iranian retaliation following joint US-Israeli strikes on Iran's nuclear sites over the weekend.
The pan-European STOXX 600 index closed 0.3% lower, after touching its lowest level in over a month earlier in the session.
Other major bourses also closed in the red, with Germany down 0.3%, France down 0.7%, Britain's FTSE down 0.2%, while Spain's was flat.
A Reuters report said that Iran could soon strike back at American forces in the Middle East, even as US officials scramble for a diplomatic solution to avert conflict.
Tensions soared after US warplanes joined Israel in bombing Iran's nuclear facilities over the weekend, prompting Iran to brand
President Donald Trump a 'gambler' for escalating the standoff.
With aerial assaults between Israel and Iran showing no sign of slowing, jittery markets braced for the possibility that Iran might retaliate by shutting the Strait of Hormuz—the world's most crucial oil passageway.
Investors rushed into safe-haven assets, driving up gold prices and eurozone bonds. Meanwhile, the utilities sector , often seen as a bond proxy, outperformed the STOXX 600 sectors.
Meanwhile, sources said that Germany will raise defence spending to 3.5% of economic output by 2029 funded through a nearly 400 billion euro borrowing programme.
Still, Europe's aerospace and defence stocks lost 0.7%.
The US attacks on Iranian nuclear facilities could very well succeed in eliminating a nuclear capable Iran,' said David Bahnsen, chief investment officer, The Bahnsen.
'There is still plenty of risk for short-term volatility driven by the uncertainty of the possibility of Iranian retaliation or a protracted conflict in the region.'
Meanwhile, the July 8 US tariff-pause deadline approaches with little progress on trade deals with Washington, with only a US-UK formal deal reached.
On the data front, fresh data showed euro zone's economy flat lined for a second month in June, barely expanding, as the bloc's dominant services industry showed only a small sign of improvement and manufacturing displayed none at all.
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A senior White House official said Trump had brokered the deal in a call with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Israel had agreed so long as Iran did not launch further attacks. Trump appeared to suggest that Israel and Iran would have some time to complete any missions that are underway, at which point the ceasefire would begin in a staged process. Iran denies ever having a nuclear weapons program but Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has said that if it wanted to, world leaders 'wouldn't be able to stop us'. Trump says Iran gave US notice before attack on Qatar military base Israel, which is not a party to the international Non-Proliferation Treaty, is the only country in the Middle East believed to have nuclear weapons. Israel does not deny or confirm that. Qatar's Prime Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani secured Tehran's agreement during a call with Iranian officials, an official briefed on the negotiations told Reuters on Tuesday. U.S. Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio and U.S. special envoy Steve Witkoff were in direct and indirect contact with the Iranians, a White House official said. Neither Iran's U.N. mission nor the Israeli embassy in Washington responded to separate requests for comment from Reuters. Hours earlier, three Israeli officials had signaled Israel was looking to wrap up its campaign in Iran soon and had passed the message on to the United States. Netanyahu had told government ministers whose discussions ended early on Tuesday not to speak publicly, Israel's Channel 12 television reported. Markets reacted favorably to the news. S&P 500 futures rose 0.4% late on Monday, suggesting traders expect the U.S. stock market to open with gains on Tuesday. U.S. crude futures fell in early Asian trading hours on Tuesday to their lowest level in more than a week after Trump said a ceasefire had been agreed, relieving worries of supply disruption in the region. Endto the fighting? 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Tehran appears to have achieved that goal. Iran's attack came after U.S. bombers dropped 30,000-pound bunker-buster bombs on Iranian underground nuclear facilities at the weekend, joining Israel's air war. Much of Tehran's population of 10 million has fled after days of bombing. The Trump administration maintains that its aim was solely to destroy Iran's nuclear program, not to open a wider war. 'Iran was very close to having a nuclear weapon,' Vice President JD Vance said in an interview on Fox News' 'Special Report with Bret Baier.' 'Now Iran is incapable of building a nuclear weapon with the equipment they have because we destroyed it,' Vance said. Trump has cited intelligence reports that Iran was close to building a nuclear weaopon, without elaborating. However, U.S. intelligence agencies said earlier this year they assessed that Iran was not building a nuclear weapon and a source with access to U.S. intelligence reports told Reuters last week that that assessment hadn't changed. 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