How will Hurricane Erin impact Scotland as category 3 storm threatens UK weather?

Daily Record

7 hours ago

Scotland could bare the brunt of Hurricane Erin amid warnings of "damaging winds" as we head into next week
Scotland has experienced every type of weather this summer. From mini heatwaves to Storm Floris bringing strong winds, rain, and weather warnings for millions across the country, the season hasn't been plain sailing.
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Now, another major weather event is threatening to impact UK weather. According to a new update from the Met Office, Storm Erin may affect British weather at the end of the month, with intense winds and heavy rain on the way.
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The tropical storm has been wreaking havoc in Cape Verde, off the west coast of Africa, where nine people have died due to the impact of flash flooding. So, how will Hurricane Erin impact Scotland specifically?
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Well, while the Met Office's outlook doesn't suggest Hurricane Erin will give Scotland too much of a battering as of yet, reps have confirmed that while the storm "is not forecast to make direct landfall in the UK," it "may be picked up by the jet stream and move towards northwest Scotland by next Tuesday or Wednesday (August 26 and 27)."
This could bring "damaging winds" north of the border, however the office caveated this with the fact that "there is a low-probability risk of Erin, as a deep extra tropical depression, moving close to or across the UK" at all.
There is undoubtedly potential for things to turn more unsettled towards the latter part of the weekend.
"We are closely watching Erin's track, with the possibility of the UK feeling the effects of what would then be ex-hurricane Erin at some point next week, bringing an area of low pressure to the UK and more unsettled conditions," Deputy Chief Meteorologist Stephen Kocher explained.
"This is still a week away however, so there is lots of uncertainty in the forecast, but it is possible we could see some wet and windy weather for the last week of August."
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In a similar vein, analysing the long-range forecast between Tuesday, August 19, and Thursday, August 28, a Met Office spokesperson admitted the details during this period "carry low confidence".
"High pressure will probably be increasingly displaced to the north through the first part of this period, allowing areas of low pressure to potentially make inroads from the Atlantic," they explained.
'This brings an increasing possibility of stronger winds and rain, some of which could be heavy and thundery, especially for southern and western areas, but this perhaps becoming more widespread with time."
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On the upside, temperatures look to remain above average with the possibility of more hot spells.
And the weather agency went on to release a statement on how the week is likely to progress in Scotland.
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"A cold front will move southwards, allowing high pressure to build more widely from the north," a spokesperson said.
"This will lead to a gradual clearance of cloud and the arrival of sunnier skies, particularly across northern and eastern parts of the UK on Wednesday, August 20.
"Despite the improved brightness, temperatures will remain modest due to the cooler airflow and lower humidity levels. Highs across most of the UK will reach the high teens to low 20s, with mid 20s expected in the south."
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Thursday, August 21 will begin on a cool note, especially in the northeast of Scotland, where light showers may persist but dry and bright conditions will be large and in charge.
Temperatures will range from the mid-teens in the north to low 20s in southern regions. It will be a noticeably cooler night on Thursday, and could actually be quite chilly for a few places on Friday morning.
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Friday, August 22 will be a dry and pleasant day, with sunny spells lifting temperatures to around 23 or 24C in the sunniest locations.
As we head into the weekend, northern Scotland will see the lowest temperatures on Saturday, between 17 to 19C. Elsewhere they will hover in the high teens to low twenties.
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By Sunday, maximum daytime temperatures in northern Scotland will rise to the low twenties, but elsewhere it will be a similar story to Saturday.
However, weak areas of low pressure in the Atlantic may begin to encroach on western parts of the UK later in the weekend, potentially bringing showers.
So, in short, while there is the likelihood of some wet weather for Scotland, there is a lot of uncertainty around Erin's role in it, due to it being a week away.