
India must act to preserve Tibetan autonomy and culture, or risk letting China snuff it out
'The reincarnation will most likely happen in India,' said Claude Arpi, author of several books on Tibet. 'Buddhism emerged in India before reaching Tibet. There are about a million Buddhists in India. There is also the issue of protecting the child who will be the chosen successor. I don't think any other country will be a suitable place for the succession.' Tibetans learnt a bitter lesson when a 6-yr-old boy anointed by the dalai lama as the 11th panchen lama - second only to the former in spiritual authority - suddenly vanished in 1995 from Lhari county in Tibet shortly after the announcement. Chinese authorities immediately replaced him with their nominee - an important reason why the dalai lama has said that his reincarnation would be born in the 'free world'.Speaking on Wednesday, the dalai lama has made it clear that he will not be the last leader of the movement to preserve and promote Tibetan autonomy and culture amid aggressive suppression. He also made it clear that his successor will be chosen by monks in a trust created by him, while rejecting China's claim that Beijing is the sole appointing authority.Though India has refused to overtly play the 'Tibet card', it is a fact that the presence of the dalai lama and so many other Tibetans has helped raise India's profile among supporters of human rights across the world and as a soft power. The question is whether it would actively support the Tibetan leader's quest to preserve the tradition of succession, or be a silent spectator.
It would have been best if Narendra Modi visited Dharamshala to greet the dalai lama on Sunday. But since he will be attending the BRICS meet in Rio on June 6-7, he may consider sending the home minister. Kiren Rijiju, a Buddhist from Arunachal Pradesh, is expected to attend. But a few more representatives of GoI would help send out a powerful signal. If the 'Tibet card' is to be played after decades of reluctance, it must be done in the most visible fashion.For decades, India has disallowed any form of anti-China demonstration by Tibetan exiles. In 2008, Chinese premier Wen Jiabao expressed appreciation to Manmohan Singh after Delhi Police detained Tibetan demonstrators during his visit.China has not just provided sophisticated military hardware to Pakistan, but also condoned cross-border terrorism. Beijing opened a new front by attacking the Galwan Valley in Ladakh in June 2020. It's now encouraging anti-India plans in Bangladesh.Rijiju has taken the first step by stating on Thursday that China has no business appointing the next dalai lama. 'This is not about politics - it's about religious belief,' he said ahead of his Dharamshala visit. 'No one has the right to interfere or decide who the successor of his holiness the dalai lama will be. Only he or the institution has the authority to make that decision.'Tibetan Buddhists across the world expect greater support from New Delhi. 'Reincarnation of the dalai lama, the panchen lama and other great Buddhist figures must be chosen by drawing lots from a golden urn, and approved by the central government,' Chinese foreign ministry spokesperson Mao Ning had said earlier this week. China is determined to place a lackey as a successor. India has an opportunity to reaffirm the values that prompted Jawaharlal Nehru to provide space for settling Tibetan refugees fleeing from China-annexed Tibet in 1950-51.Many Americans hope the reincarnation would take place in the US, which is best suited to handle Beijing's pressures. This is one of the reasons why the Biden administration got US Congress to pass the Resolve Tibet Act in 2024. The Act asserts that Chinese officials are 'historically inaccurate in claiming that Tibet has been part of China since ancient times'. It also says the US would encourage a negotiated settlement between China and the dalai lama's representatives.But few people expect Trump, who is in the process of finalising a trade deal with China, to implement the Act, or cause political discomfiture to Chinese leaders at this stage.Speaking at London's Royal Albert Hall in 2008, the dalai lama said that Buddhism was introduced in Tibet by 'a great philosopher and logician, Shantarakshita, from India' in the 8th c. It is for India to preserve Tibetan Buddhism from possible decay if the Chinese have their way. In fact, not acting can send a signal to Beijing that India is still 'careful' about irritating China's leaders. (Disclaimer: The opinions expressed in this column are that of the writer. The facts and opinions expressed here do not reflect the views of www.economictimes.com.) Elevate your knowledge and leadership skills at a cost cheaper than your daily tea. Can this cola maker get back bubble valuation pricked by Ambani?
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Business Standard
an hour ago
- Business Standard
China to EU: Russian defeat in Ukraine may push US to target Beijing next
Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi told the European Union's foreign policy chief this week that Beijing does not want to see Russia lose the war in Ukraine, according to a report by the South China Morning Post, citing several people familiar with the matter. In what was described as a 'tense' four-hour meeting with EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas, Wang suggested that a Russian defeat would prompt the United States to reorient its full strategic weight toward China—a scenario Beijing is determined to avoid. The comments were reportedly delivered in a tone considered blunt and at times 'lecturing', with Wang offering what one official called a 'dose of realpolitik' and 'lengthy history lessons'. China's messaging signals tactical neutrality on Ukraine The Chinese foreign minister's comments are among the clearest signals yet that Beijing views the war in Ukraine through a geopolitical lens. While China officially maintains that it is 'not a party' to the conflict and supports a peaceful resolution, Wang's remarks suggest a more tactical approach—one in which a protracted war may be preferable to a Russian collapse. China denies aiding Russia, rejects dual-use export claims Denying direct Chinese military or financial support for Russia, Wang claimed that if China had been actively aiding Moscow, 'the war would have ended long ago'. He also rejected EU accusations of dual-use exports and positioned China as a neutral actor—a claim met with scepticism in Brussels. The report added that EU sources said the bloc presented a united front, pushing back on China's portrayal of neutrality and reiterating the importance of upholding international law. EU-China summit clouded by tensions over sanctions, trade The Brussels meeting comes just weeks before a planned high-level EU-China summit, scheduled for 24–25 July in Beijing and Anhui province. However, insiders now say expectations for the summit have diminished, with Wang reportedly hinting that the agenda could be shortened in protest of recent EU trade actions. China warns of retaliation over EU's sanctions plan The EU has proposed blacklisting two small Chinese banks accused of facilitating sanctions evasion for Russian entities. Wang warned of retaliation if the move proceeds, as part of the EU's 18th sanctions package against Moscow. Meanwhile, the EU pressed China to clarify its rare earth export policy, amid growing supply chain disruptions that have forced some European manufacturers to halt production. Wang offered no long-term commitments, saying only that export licence processing times had been reduced. China calls ties 'stable', but gap between words and reality grows Following the meeting, China's foreign ministry released a statement describing EU-China ties as 'stable and constructive', calling for mutual respect and shared prosperity. The statement made no mention of Ukraine, sanctions, or rare earths. However, one diplomat told the South China Morning Post, 'There's a widening gap between what's said publicly and what's actually being discussed behind closed doors.' Wang's visit to Brussels included meetings with European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and European Council President Antonio Costa. He will continue his European tour this week with visits to Berlin and Paris.


Mint
an hour ago
- Mint
The Yellow Sea is the new flashpoint for China's regional power play
Next Story Dasl Yoon , Joyu Wang , The Wall Street Journal Chinese provocations in the Yellow Sea are part of broader campaign by Beijing to assert its influence over the region. A Chinese navy ship with bow number 525 in the disputed South China Sea. China claims all of the South China Sea. Gift this article SEOUL :One day in February, a South Korean research vessel approached a set of unusual structures planted by China in the middle of the Yellow Sea, the narrow body of water that separates the two countries. One day in February, a South Korean research vessel approached a set of unusual structures planted by China in the middle of the Yellow Sea, the narrow body of water that separates the two countries. Two large Chinese Coast Guard ships and three Chinese boats quickly blocked the South Korean ship's path. The passengers on the small Chinese boats wielded knives to force the Koreans back. After two hours, the South Korean ship turned back, unable to learn more about the mysterious installation that sat about 230 miles from the country's coast: a yellow aquaculture cage placed next to a refurbished multistory oil rig, complete with lifeboats and a helipad. It was the latest of a series of Chinese provocations in the Yellow Sea, including incursions into South Korean territorial waters and airspace, and the placing of 13 buoys that some experts say could be used to gather intelligence. The Yellow Sea is emerging as the newest flashpoint in a broader campaign by Beijing as it asserts its intention to prevent its neighbors, as well as the U.S., from challenging its influence over the region. The provocations also come as China claims all of the South China Sea, a vital waterway for global trade. Chinese jet fighters have increased sorties near Taiwan and last month they tailed Japanese air patrols during exercises. Beijing also launched live-fire drills off the coast of Australia earlier this year. But friction in the Yellow Sea is especially alarming because of its strategic importance in any future U.S.-China conflict over Taiwan. Beijing would likely need free access to the waterway to deploy its naval and missile firepower during any attempt to seize control of the island. The largest overseas U.S. military base, home to 28,500 service personnel, sits 10 miles inland from the Yellow Sea in South Korea. Tens of thousands of U.S. troops are also stationed around 500 miles away in Japan. The Trump administration has signaled that U.S. troops from both countries could be deployed in a clash with China over Taiwan. A stepped-up Chinese presence in the Yellow Sea could limit the ability of the U.S. to maneuver in such a conflict. A large portion of Beijing's naval capabilities, as well as key missile launch sites, sit on China's side of the Yellow Sea, making them vulnerable to attack from U.S. forces in the Indo-Pacific region. Over the last couple of years, China has steadily escalated pressure on Asian countries with close ties to the U.S. Incursions into South Korean waters by Chinese warships have tripled since 2017, South Korea's military says, while aircraft intrusions have surged. In March, Beijing issued a directive calling for more assertive behavior in South Korea's territorial waters, according to a senior Taiwan security official, citing local intelligence. Beijing is also seeking to build more maritime structures there, the official said. 'China is putting pressure on yet another U.S. ally, hoping to weigh down the allied ability to push back," said Brian Hart, deputy director of the China Power Project at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, a Washington, D.C.-based think tank. The Yellow Sea is so narrow that China and South Korea's exclusive economic zones overlap. More than 20 years ago, Beijing and Seoul created the so-called Provisional Measures Zone, which created rules for policing illegal fishing and conducting marine-conservation activities. Fast forward two decades and the PMZ is the site for near-daily provocations by China, according to the South Korean military. It says Chinese warships intruded in South Korea's territorial waters some 330 times in 2024, tripling from 2017, according to the military. Recent South Korean data shows 130 Chinese aircraft entered its airspace in 2023, more than double the number from the previous year. Many of the Chinese flights were over the Yellow Sea, prompting South Korea to scramble its jets in response. In May, Beijing jolted Seoul by declaring a no-sail zone in the PMZ. It then carried out unprecedented drills in the Yellow Sea with the Fujian, the country's most advanced aircraft carrier. In response, South Korea deployed its navy to observe and gather intelligence on the exercises. The cluster of Chinese structures dotting the sea has rattled officials in Seoul. The fishing cage and the oil rig at the center of February's incident are located on the western side of the shared PMZ, close to Chinese land. Beijing has repeatedly said they are for maritime research. The Chinese multistory oil rig in the Yellow Sea, complete with lifeboats and a helipad. Analysis by the Center for Strategic and International Studies found the rig could have military as well as scientific uses. 'Concerns that the platforms may be dual-use for purposes of advancing China's creeping jurisdictional presence aren't unfounded," it said. As for the buoys, which China asserts are for meteorological observation, South Korean lawmaker Yu Yong-weon has suggested that they are clustered close together in order for China to control the area rather than collect scientific data. China has a history of building maritime structures that are used to assert its territorial claims. It has turned reefs in the South China Sea into artificial islands, equipping them with radar systems and air strips. 'China always has a dual purpose for everything," said Derek Grossman, a former Pentagon official who worked on Indo-Pacific security issues. Chinese and South Korean officials met Tuesday for bilateral talks. South Korea's Foreign Ministry, in a brief reference, said the two sides had discussed the situation in the Yellow Sea. China made no mention of the sea and said it exchanged views with South Korea on issues of common concern. Write to Dasl Yoon at and Joyu Wang at Topics You May Be Interested In Catch all the Business News, Market News, Breaking News Events and Latest News Updates on Live Mint. Download The Mint News App to get Daily Market Updates.


Time of India
an hour ago
- Time of India
Trump wants the world to squeeze out China. He's starting with Vietnam
In his first term, President Donald Trump forced companies to kick their dependence on China. Now he is pressing countries to squeeze China out of their supply chains. A preliminary trade pact between Vietnam and the United States announced Wednesday is the most significant step so far toward that goal. Although the details are sparse, Vietnamese exports to the United States will face a 20% tariff, less than a much higher rate that Trump had threatened. But notably, the deal would put a 40% tariff on any export from Vietnam classified as a transshipment, or goods that originated in another country and were merely passed through Vietnam. The penalty aims at China, which has used Vietnam and neighbouring countries to circumvent U.S. tariffs on its goods. And it could become a feature of U.S. trade deals with other Southeast Asian governments as they try to avert sky-high tariffs that take effect Wednesday. Trump's trade negotiators are pushing Vietnam's export oriented neighbors like Indonesia to reduce how much Chinese content is in their supply chains. They are asking the government of Thailand to screen incoming foreign investment, hoping to stop Chinese businesses from moving into the country. They are even pressuring some countries to consider export controls of technology like semiconductors. Live Events "The Trump administration is saying, 'We need to see strategic decoupling if you are going to be a trade partner with the U.S.,'" said Steve Okun, CEO of APAC Advisors, a geopolitical consulting firm. "The question is, will countries agree to that?" The U.S. efforts to sequester China heighten the vulnerabilities faced by countries in Southeast Asia, a strategically important region for Beijing and already on the front line of China's domination of global trade and manufacturing. On Thursday, China's Commerce Ministry said it was "conducting an assessment" of the U.S.-Vietnam agreement, adding that it firmly opposed any deal that came "at the expense of China's interest" and would "take countermeasures to safeguard its legitimate rights and interests." The trade terms that the United States and Vietnam have so far agreed to will also hinge on how they are defined -- for example, how much Chinese inputs will be allowed in Vietnamese exports, and how they will be enforced. Vietnam had everything to lose going into trade talks with the United States. Trump threatened the country with an import tax of 46% on its goods, sending shock waves through industries such as footwear, garment and electronics that have come to depend on the country as an alternative to China. The uncertainty caused by Trump's threat of tariffs was weighing on Vietnamese businesses. A 20% tariff was not anyone's best-case scenario, said Tran Quang, an executive at a home fragrance company that exports nearly all of its products to the United States. "But it is not so bad," he said. He added that he supports the steeper duty on transshipment because it could help local Vietnamese businesses facing unfair competition from Chinese companies that have invested in Vietnam to escape tariffs. "There are a lot of small Chinese guys who come to Vietnam just to relabel their products before exporting to the U.S.," he said. Trade and investment from Chinese companies has helped bolster economic growth in Vietnam and the region, but Southeast Asia is struggling to beat back the torrent of goods from China that are putting domestic companies out of business. In recent years, with China's economy threatened by a real estate crisis, the government has heavily subsidised factories leading to a surge in Chinese exports around the world. But limitations on China's trade in the region risk setting off chain reactions that could damage Southeast Asian countries. The lack of information so far released about the Vietnam deal make it impossible to fully gauge its impact, experts said. Transshipment could refer to products that originate in China. It could also include things that are made in Vietnam but have a certain percentage of Chinese parts. But if the limits on Chinese components end up being strict, American companies could move their production out of Vietnam, said Matt Priest, CEO of the Footwear Distributors and Retailers of America, a trade group. "If it's too onerous or difficult to comply, companies won't use the opportunity to grow sourcing in Vietnam," he said. "They may even head back to China if it's price competitive." The pact with Vietnam also leaves uncertainty for businesses as they wait to see what kind of tariffs and restrictions on China other Southeast Asian countries agree to in potential deals with the Trump administration. The restrictions on the amount of Chinese content in exported products also places a burden on local customs officials who have never been asked to scrutinise exports so closely, raising questions about how effective they will be. Some countries have even discussed setting up entirely different supply chains for the United States. Washington also risks pushing some countries that are deeply integrated with China's economy into Beijing's arms. Many Asian governments are concerned about how China could respond to deals that seek to isolate Chinese firms. Beijing has shown that it is willing to take increasingly aggressive retaliatory measures such as boycotting products and restricting critical minerals that its neighbors depend on. It has also turned to ratcheting up tensions in the South China Sea, where it has made military claims to much of the waterway. "Politically we have to tread carefully between the two superpowers," said Pavida Pananond, professor of International Business at Thammasat University in Thailand. "China is a very important economic power, not just as an importer of goods but a source of investment and destination for exports." Southeast Asian countries have taken their own steps to tighten monitoring and enforcement of transshipment in recent weeks, providing some insight into what they might agree to in their own trade pacts with Washington. In Thailand, where Trump has threatened 36% tariffs, the government has estimated that its actions to closely scrutinise exports for transshipment could reduce its exports to the United States by $15 billion, equivalent to one-third of Thailand's trade surplus with Washington in 2024. It has also promised to look more closely at foreign investments in areas like electric vehicles where Chinese companies have invested a lot of money to bring their own suppliers into Thailand. Authorities in Malaysia and Indonesia have tightened export rules to ensure that shipments to the United States are accurately documented. Both countries also centralized the authority to issue certificates for exports. Even before any trade deals are hammered out, the Trump administration is already reshaping how the region views China. "The idea is to squeeze China out," said Deborah Elms, head of trade policy at the Hinrich Foundation, an organisation that focuses on trade. But for countries like Vietnam, going along with what the United States wants is geopolitically risky. "It's a gamble all around to see how the U.S., China and companies in your country will respond," Elms said.