ODU analysis: A Category 3 hurricane could cause $15.6B in damage to Hampton Roads
NORFOLK, Va. (WAVY) — If Hurricane Florence had made a direct hit on Hampton Roads, it could have caused up to $15.6 billion in damage to the Hampton Roads area. That's according to a new analysis from ODU that modeled just that scenario.
The paper attempted to predict how a Category 3 storm with storm surges of 3.6 feet and 6.6 feet, respectively, would impact the region. At the lower level, they estimate $11.2 billion in flooding related damage. At 6.6 feet, that number jumps to $33.2 billion.
'A 6.6 [foot] tidal offset would result in total damages equivalent to 32.3% of 2022 regional GDP (gross domestic product),' according to the paper.
The wind damage from such a storm, which they explain is independent from flooding, is estimated to cause $4.4 billion in destruction.
Most of the damage to buildings would occur to residential homes and apartments.
'We see over $2.3, $2.4 billion of total damages to the commercial sector, approximately $1.8 billion of uninsured damages — but that is dwarfed by total damages to the residential sector,' said ODU economist Dr. Bob McNab during a presentation of the paper. 'Even after assuming insurance coverage, you still have approximately $8 billion of uninsured damages in the residential sector.'
To mitigate the damage, the paper stresses the importance of expanding flood insurance coverage.
To read the report, see below:
Estimating-the-Economic-Impact-of-A-Natural-Disaster-on-the-Workforce-ResiliencyDownload
Copyright 2025 Nexstar Media, Inc. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.

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