UK–India FTA sets stage for cross-border leasing growth
The UK–India free trade agreement, signed on 6 May after three years of negotiation, lowers trade barriers across a wide range of goods and services. With India projected to become the world's third-largest economy by 2028, UK leasing providers are positioning themselves to finance bilateral trade flows and support small businesses navigating new export and import opportunities.
To great fanfare, on May 6, the world's fourth and sixth-largest economies finally signed a free trade agreement (FTA) that was three years in the making. The FTA strengthens a strategic partnership with India, with particular significance in a post-Brexit, conflict-riven world of increased trade protectionism railroaded by the US Trump administration.
India is an enticing market that is growing rapidly by around 6-7% per annum in real terms, putting it on course to become the third-largest economy in the world by 2028, according to the UK's Department for Business and Trade. By 2030, India's middle class will number an estimated 60 million, and rising, potentially reaching a quarter of a billion by 2050.
Official statistics indicate that the UK exported £17.1 billion of goods and services to India in 2024, including goods worth £7 billion, and services amounting to £10.1 billion. The UK in turn imported £25.5 billion from India (£10.8 billion of goods and £14.7 billion of services). India accounted for 2% of all UK exports in 2024, and it was the UK's 12th largest export market. Meanwhile, India was the 11th largest source of UK imports, accounting for 2.8% of the total.
India's overall demand for imports is projected to grow by 144% in real terms between 2021 and 2035, to reach £1.4 trillion, according to the government. The FTA thus represents an ambitious and comprehensive deal that, over the long run (by 2040), is expected to increase the UK's GDP by £4.8 billion, and the UK's wages by £2.2 billion each year, with bilateral trade rising by £25.5 billion each year.
The deal represents a significant opportunity for Swoop Funding, a UK-based fintech platform serving SMEs, which has been growing since its launch in 2018 by Andrea Reynolds and Ciaran Burke and has significant global reach. The FTA is 'a promising move,' says Dave Cummings, the firm's head of vendor & asset finance, who notes the fact that India is a massive and fast-growing economy, so 'anything that makes it easier for UK businesses to trade, invest, or expand there is a win.'
The Swoop team is preparing to assist UK firms in financing Indian equipment purchases through leasing and asset finance products, while supporting exporters with trade and working capital. 'We are well placed to support Indian businesses accessing UK suppliers and partners,' says Cummings, 'and we are exploring partnerships in the region to build on this momentum.'
It will not have gone unnoticed that a recent International Business Report from Grant Thornton indicated that 42% of UK businesses surveyed without an existing presence in India plan to build one in the next two years. Moreover, of those with an existing presence in the Indian market, 96% plan to expand further. Some 72% of UK businesses surveyed say that an FTA would encourage them to explore the opportunities the country offers.
Cummings believes that will bolster the asset financing sector, sparking fresh demand from UK firms looking to lease equipment for new export opportunities, or from those tapping into more affordable machinery coming from India. He expects to see demand increasing across several areas, with working capital, trade finance and, crucially, asset finance bolstered, as firms gear up to take advantage of the new opportunities the FTA offers. 'It is one of those deals that, if backed up by practical support, could really shift the dial for small- and medium-sized enterprises,' he says.
The FTA plans to lower import tariffs on key products, with reductions on 90% of tariff lines for UK exports, to eventually make 85% fully tariff free within a decade. The deal includes aerospace, electrical machinery, electrical circuits and conductors, and food items, among the various sectors and products covered, with automotive tariffs of more than 100% lowered to 10% under a new quota arrangement. The UK will eliminate tariffs on 99% of Indian goods; among these are a range of manufactured products.
Invariably, the British Chambers of Commerce welcomes the move, with the tariff reductions 'giving UK companies exporting to India a clear edge on increasing sales,' says William Bain, head of trade policy, who adds that 'the proposals for a follow-up Investment Treaty will also provide a solid platform to grow manufacturing and other sectors in our two economies.'
There are new digital commitments to support electronic contracts and transactions, including support for SMEs to make it easier to enter the market. India has also agreed to release UK goods quickly at its customs points, provide a streamlined portal for trade, and publish all customs procedures and laws online in English. For the first time, UK businesses will be able to access the Indian procurement market worth more than £38 billion per annum.
The automotive, construction, logistics and renewables sectors are likely to benefit, says Cummings, especially where firms need to upgrade or replace equipment, with a wave of competitively priced Indian machinery entering the UK market. That represents an opportunity, of course, to finance providers, 'helping customers acquire this new equipment through leasing, hire purchase, or other flexible arrangements,' while underlining the fact that 'It is also a chance to finance deals at both ends of the trade corridor.'
Cummings sees the planned reduction in Indian import tariffs on UK vehicles and machinery as a big plus. 'It opens the door for leasing firms here to serve the growing Indian demand for high-quality kit.' Still, from a leasing standpoint, he says there is still a gap. More clarity on trade finance support, customs processes, and how smaller firms can access affordable cross-border finance would have been ideal. 'It's often these practical details that make or break a deal's impact for SMEs,' he says.
'We'd also like to see more accessible government-backed finance options, better awareness campaigns, and hands-on support to help businesses navigate red tape.' Without that, he says, the benefits of the deal risk being confined to bigger players.
"UK–India FTA sets stage for cross-border leasing growth" was originally created and published by Leasing Life, a GlobalData owned brand.
The information on this site has been included in good faith for general informational purposes only. It is not intended to amount to advice on which you should rely, and we give no representation, warranty or guarantee, whether express or implied as to its accuracy or completeness. You must obtain professional or specialist advice before taking, or refraining from, any action on the basis of the content on our site.
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles
Yahoo
9 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Fight over lumber tariffs could reshape future of US home building
Lumber is in the spotlight as the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) and the U.S. Lumber Coalition disagree over what's behind the U.S. housing market slump. FOX Business correspondent Kelly Saberi reported Monday that the NAHB has pointed to tariff uncertainty and lumber prices as being partly responsible. The U.S.'s current anti-dumping and anti-subsidy duty on imported Canadian softwood lumber stands at 14.5%. It could potentially climb later in the year to nearly 35%. Canada's softwood lumber makes up roughly 85% of America's imports and almost a quarter of the U.S. supply, according to the NAHB. "I share President Trump's desire to create fair and balanced trade across our borders, certainly would bring back as much production as we can," NAHB CEO Jim Tobin said. "But until we do that, and it will take years and millions of dollars of investment, we need to make sure that we have a reliable, affordable source of lumber." Saberi reported that the U.S. Lumber Coalition "says that the price of lumber says something different about this story." Read On The Fox Business App Between May 2021 and April of this year, the random lengths framing composite price decreased 67%, she reported. It stood at $442 per 1,000 board feet as of May 23, per the NAHB. Meanwhile, the price of new homes has gone up 21%, Saberi reported. "Everything from regulatory costs to the cost of land and, quite frankly, also the cost of home builder profitability rates that have gone up, those are actually the driving forces of home affordability," U.S. Lumber Coalition executive director Zoltan van Heyningen told FOX Business. "Lumber just isn't one of them." Click Here To Read More On Fox Business The U.S. Lumber Coalition has also been critical of Canada, saying that "ongoing unfair trade practices" by its lumber industry have been "extremely harmful to U.S. lumber producers, workers, and their forest-dependent communities." John Kalabich, the owner of Acme Lumber in Chicago, told Saberi he was able to keep prices relatively flat over the past 12 months because of the duty on Canadian lumber. He has also heard from contractors that the demand for small repair work and big-ticket construction has gone down. Trump Issues Executive Orders Addressing Lumber Production, National Security Concerns Last month, the U.S. Census Bureau said single-family housing starts suffered a 2.1% decline from March to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 927,000 in April. Sales of new single-family homes in April came in at a seasonally adjusted rate of 743,000, while sales of existing ones were 3.63 article source: Fight over lumber tariffs could reshape future of US home building
Yahoo
12 minutes ago
- Yahoo
HCK Capital Group Berhad's (KLSE:HCK) Weak Earnings May Only Reveal A Part Of The Whole Picture
The subdued market reaction suggests that HCK Capital Group Berhad's (KLSE:HCK) recent earnings didn't contain any surprises. Our analysis suggests that along with soft profit numbers, investors should be aware of some other underlying weaknesses in the numbers. Trump has pledged to "unleash" American oil and gas and these 15 US stocks have developments that are poised to benefit. In order to understand the potential for per share returns, it is essential to consider how much a company is diluting shareholders. In fact, HCK Capital Group Berhad increased the number of shares on issue by 15% over the last twelve months by issuing new shares. As a result, its net income is now split between a greater number of shares. Per share metrics like EPS help us understand how much actual shareholders are benefitting from the company's profits, while the net income level gives us a better view of the company's absolute size. You can see a chart of HCK Capital Group Berhad's EPS by clicking here. HCK Capital Group Berhad has improved its profit over the last three years, with an annualized gain of 605% in that time. In comparison, earnings per share only gained 450% over the same period. Net income was down 51% over the last twelve months. But the EPS result was even worse, with the company recording a decline of 56%. And so, you can see quite clearly that dilution is influencing shareholder earnings. If HCK Capital Group Berhad's EPS can grow over time then that drastically improves the chances of the share price moving in the same direction. But on the other hand, we'd be far less excited to learn profit (but not EPS) was improving. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow. Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of HCK Capital Group Berhad. Over the last year HCK Capital Group Berhad issued new shares and so, there's a noteworthy divergence between EPS and net income growth. Therefore, it seems possible to us that HCK Capital Group Berhad's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. But the good news is that its EPS growth over the last three years has been very impressive. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of HCK Capital Group Berhad. This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of HCK Capital Group Berhad's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful. Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Yahoo
14 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Shares dither, dollar falls as trade angst persists
By Rae Wee SINGAPORE (Reuters) - Asia shares edged cautiously higher on Tuesday while the dollar fell to a six-week low as erratic U.S. trade policies clouded over markets and investors turned defensive ahead of key developments later in the week. U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping will likely speak this week, White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt said on Monday, days after Trump accused China of violating an agreement to roll back tariffs and trade restrictions. The call between the two leaders will be closely watched by markets to see if the tariff-induced blow to global stocks and the dollar this year could get some reprieve or ratchet up, as trade tensions between the world's two largest economies simmer. Data on Monday showed U.S. manufacturing contracted for a third straight month in May and suppliers took the longest time in nearly three years to deliver inputs amid tariffs. "The May ISM showed tariff pressure is beginning to bite for manufacturers who are seeing slowing activity, longer lead times and declining inventories," said economists at Wells Fargo. China's factory activity in May also shrank for the first time in eight months, a private-sector survey showed on Tuesday, indicating U.S. tariffs are starting to hurt manufacturers. The gloomy global trade situation left U.S. futures falling early in the Asian session, failing to sustain the slight gains made during the cash session on Wall Street overnight. Nasdaq futures and S&P 500 futures were both down 0.2% each. In Europe, EUROSTOXX 50 futures advanced 0.28% and FTSE futures added 0.15%. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan reversed early losses to last trade 0.6% higher, while Japan's Nikkei rose 0.66%. "Trump really does have sentiment in the palm of his hands once again," said Matt Simpson, senior market analyst at City Index. "I suspect we'll hear about 'a really great call' or words to the effect," he said, referring to the expected call between Trump and Xi. "But we'll need to wait for confirmation from China, who tends to take their time on these matters. Until we get concrete confirmation, price action could be shaky and vulnerable to false also have the June 4 deadline for 'best trade deals' from U.S. trading partners to factor in." In China, mainland markets returned from an extended break on a muted note, with the CSI300 blue-chip index up 0.23% while the Shanghai Composite Index gained 0.3%. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index jumped more than 1%, rebounding from Monday's one-month low. PAYROLLS ON DECK The dollar fell to a six-week low against a basket of currencies to 98.58 on Tuesday, ahead of Friday's U.S. nonfarm payrolls data, which will offer a timely reading on the pulse of activity in the world's largest economy. A rise in unemployment is one of the few developments that could get the Federal Reserve to start thinking of easing policy again, with investors having largely given up on a cut this month or next. The euro scaled a six-week top earlier in the session before paring some of its gains to last trade at $1.1426, while sterling dipped 0.09% to $1.3532. A softer U.S. jobs report would be a relief for the Treasury market, where 30-year yields continue to flirt with the 5% barrier as investors demand a higher premium to offset the ever-expanding supply of debt. [US/] The Senate this week will start considering a tax-and-spending bill that will add an estimated $3.8 trillion to the federal government's $36.2 trillion in debt. "The evidence suggests term premium being re-priced considerably higher to account for U.S. fiscal, trade, credit, and geoeconomic risks alongside some hedge against (U.S. dollar) debasement," said Vishnu Varathan, head of macro research for Asia ex-Japan at Mizuho. The dollar was up 0.35% against the yen at 143.20, reversing some of its 0.9% decline from the previous session. Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda said on Tuesday it is important to make policy judgements without any preset ideas as uncertainty over global tariff policies remains extremely high. In commodities, oil prices rose on concerns about supply, with Brent crude futures climbing 0.88% to $65.20 a barrel, while U.S. crude surged 1% to $63.13 per barrel. [O/R] Spot gold rose to a roughly one-month high of $3,392.03 an ounce. [GOL/] Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data