2025 ATX Open: Pegula [4th] vs. Parrizas Diaz [107th] Prediction, Odds and Match Preview

USA Today

26-02-2025

Jessica Pegula (No. 4 ranking) will face Nuria Parrizas Diaz (No. 107) in the Round of 16 of the ATX Open on Wednesday, February 26.
Pegula is favored over Parrizas Diaz for this match, with -1408 odds compared to the underdog's +700.
Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Tuesday at 10:35 PM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub. Jessica Pegula vs. Nuria Parrizas Diaz matchup info Tournament: ATX Open
ATX Open Round: Round of 16
Round of 16 Date: Wednesday, February 26
Wednesday, February 26 Court Surface: Hard Watch the Tennis Channel and more sports on Fubo! Pegula vs. Parrizas Diaz Prediction
Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, Pegula has a 93.4% to win. Pegula vs. Parrizas Diaz Betting Odds Pegula's odds to win match: -1408
-1408 Parrizas Diaz's odds to win match: +700
+700 Pegula's odds to win tournament: +170
+170 Parrizas Diaz's odds to win tournament: +2800
Pegula vs. Parrizas Diaz matchup performance & stats On hard courts over the past 12 months, Pegula has gone 31-11 and has won one title.
In terms of serve/return winning percentages on hard courts over the past year, Pegula has won 72.6% of her games on serve and 39.1% on return.
Including hard courts only, Pegula has converted 45.8% of her break-point opportunities (167 of 365) over the past 12 months.
In her most recent tournament (the WTA Dubai, UAE), Pegula lost to Linda Noskova 3-6, 6-7 on February 19, in the Round of 16.
The 33-year-old Parrizas Diaz, who is looking for her first tournament title on a hard court in 2025, is 7-6 over the past 12 months on that surface.
Parrizas Diaz has finished 88-for-144 in service games while playing on hard courts (61.1% winning percentage), and 46-for-148 in return games (31.1%).
Parrizas Diaz's 42 break points won on 113 total break points on hard courts (37.2% winning percentage) ranks 149th.
In the Qualification of her last tournament (the Upper Austria Ladies Linz) on January 26, Parrizas Diaz was eliminated by No. 211-ranked Sinja Kraus 1-6, 2-6.
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