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Oil Extends Gains on Reports of Airstrikes in Iran

Oil Extends Gains on Reports of Airstrikes in Iran

Bloomberg21 hours ago

Oil futures surged after reports of successive explosions in Tehran.
West Texas Intermediate oil prices, the US benchmark, rose as much as 6.2% on Friday. The sound of successive explosion has have been heard in Iran's capital, Tehran, Iran's state-run Nour News reported. Axios separately reported that Israel had launched airstrikes, a major escalation in the standoff over Tehran's atomic program.

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The Abqaiq oil processing plant in Saudi Arabia, after it was damaged in an attack from Iran in 2019. In September 2019, a barrage of drones and cruise missiles slammed into two Saudi oil facilities near the Persian Gulf, including one of the largest in the world, igniting small fires that briefly interrupted production. The projectiles were later traced to Iran, and despite its stringent denials, the desire to avoid a repeat of the incident prompted a new and sustained effort by Saudi Arabia and the other Arab Gulf States to use détente and diplomacy toward the Islamic Republic to de-escalate regional tensions. That effort is being put to the test as never before on Friday amid waves of Israeli attacks on Iran aimed at destroying key facilities and decapitating the military and civilian leadership running its nuclear programs. 'I think the tension is palpable and everybody is concerned about possible blowback,' said Firas Maksad, the managing director for the Middle East and North Africa at the Eurasia Group, a New York-based risk analysis organization. 'This is a moment of great uncertainty throughout the region. It is the big war the region has been both fearing and anticipating for years.' The Gulf Arab states, and indeed much of the Arab world, were quick to issue robust condemnations of the Israeli attacks like this one from Riyadh: 'The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia expresses its strong condemnation and denunciation of the blatant Israeli aggression against the brotherly Islamic Republic of Iran, which undermine its sovereignty and security and constitute a clear violation of international laws and norms.' The Saudi foreign minister, Prince Faisal bin Farhan, and several others from the region called their Iranian counterpart to repeat the condemnation. With the Arab world already inflamed by the Gaza conflict, a related war in Lebanon, a long-running civil war in Yemen and Syria barely staggering to its feet after 14 years of violence and civil war, there was also frustration that attempts at de-escalation had failed. It was tensions over Yemen that had prompted the 2019 attack against Saudi Arabia. 'We are frustrated and fatigued,' said Bader al-Saif, a professor of history at Kuwait University. 'The region has been doing its best for the past few years to come to terms with everyone, including Israel,' he added. 'But Israel is trying to reset the region to their own tune and they are trying to do this violently.' The United States was considered part of the problem. 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For the moment Iran's beleaguered proxy forces, including Hezbollah, did not react beyond verbal condemnations. Worst-case scenarios include the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a choke point for Persian Gulf oil exports. Since Iran depends on that flow as well, even as it is limited at the moment due to sanctions, that is seen as a possible last desperate step. 'If this continues, we are going into unchartered terrain,' Dr. al-Saif said. Ismaeel Naar contributed reporting.

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