40% chance of cyclone in the next 48 hours near Cape Verde Islands, US NHC says
"Environmental conditions appear marginally favorable for additional development over the next day or so while the system moves westward at around 15 mph and a short-lived tropical depression could form," the NHC said in its latest advisory.
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The Independent
3 hours ago
- The Independent
Hurricane Erin mapped: Tracking areas most likely to see the impacts of storm surge and 20-foot waves
Hurricane Erin is spinning its way across the Atlantic toward the U.S. East Coast, but it still appears it's going to swing north and miss a landfall in the lower 48. Even if the storm doesn't have a direct hit on the East Coast, people living in those areas will still feel the storm's presence in the form of dangerous surf and potential rainstorms. The National Hurricane Center issued an advisory on Wednesday that places Erin approximately 455 miles south-southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. Its current maximum sustained wind speed is near 100 miles per hour with gusts higher than that, which makes Erin a Category 2 hurricane. Forecasters at the NHC believe that the hurricane — the first major hurricane of the 2025 hurricane season — will strengthen before its power tapers off late in the week. Hurricane Erin will likely still have enough force to be considered a hurricane through the weekend. The hurricane is expected to continue west toward the U.S. East Coast, traveling between Bermuda and North Carolina's Outer Banks between Wednesday and early Friday. After that, the storm will continue north, passing south of Canada's Atlantic coast on Friday and Saturday. The NHC said in its advisory that Erin is still growing, and that its hurricane-force winds will extend up to 90 miles from its center. Tropical storm-force winds will extend up to 265 miles from its center. Erin will produce swells that will affect Bermuda, the U.S. East Coast, Atlantic Canada, and the Bahamas during its journey up the edge of North America. Rough ocean conditions and dangerous rip currents will be likely along virtually all of the North American East Coast from Florida northward. The National Weather Service has issued tropical storm warnings for eastern North Carolina from Beaufort Inlet to Chincoteague, Virginia. The warnings include Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds in North Carolina. Storm surges are expected from the Outer Banks to Duck, where the NWS predicts storm surges could reach between 2 to 4 feet. The warnings predict that tropical storm conditions and potential surge flooding could occur in the affected regions during the next 48 hours. Local officials in the Outer Banks warned that Highway 12 — the only road connecting the Outer Banks to mainland North Carolina — could be flooded, cutting off the island until the swells recede. That has sent some residents and vacationers evacuating from the Outer Banks ahead of the storm's approach, according to USA TODAY. Dare County officials — who represent part of the Outer Banks — ordered evacuations on Monday. As the hurricane passes by Cape Hatteras, North Carolina, the NWS predicts it could generate waves between 8 and 20 feet. Those waves could contribute to coastal flooding and erosion in the region. Residents in parts of Florida — like Ponce Inlet — were subjected to large waves generated by Hurricane Erin early on Wednesday morning. On Monday, thousands in Puerto Rico were left without power due to the storm. Bermuda is also under a tropical storm watch for the next 48 hours as the storm passes between the island and the continental U.S. Thankfully, the NWS said that Erin's strongest winds shouldn't come anywhere near the continental U.S. Erin began as a cluster of storms off the northwest coast of Africa before they spun into a tropical storm and then a hurricane. The storm is notable for reaching major hurricane status — given to any storms that reach Category 3 or higher — this early in hurricane season. According to the NHC, major hurricanes tend to form in the middle of hurricane season, usually in September through mid-October.
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The Independent
3 hours ago
- The Independent
Beaches on shut down as Hurricane approaches US East Coast
Hurricane Erin, a rapidly intensifying Category 2 storm, is threatening the East Coast of the United States, bringing life-threatening surf, rip currents, and significant storm surges. Beaches from the Carolinas to Cape Cod have been closed, including specific locations in New York, New Jersey, and Delaware, due to the hazardous conditions. The National Hurricane Center has advised against swimming at most East Coast beaches until at least Friday, with forecasters predicting waves up to 15 feet and storm surges of one to three feet in many areas. While the storm's primary impact is on the Outer Banks, dangerous rip currents are expected to persist along the entire East Coast until at least Saturday, even after the hurricane moves away. Coastal flood watches have been issued for areas such as Brooklyn and Queens, with a risk of beach flooding and erosion due to high tides continuing through Friday morning.
The Independent
4 hours ago
- The Independent
Hurricane Erin gusts shut down East Coast beaches and swimmers from Carolinas to NYC to Cape Cod
Beaches from the Carolinas all the way to Cape Cod closed as the rapidly strengthening Hurricane Erin threatens to unleash treacherous 15-foot-tall waves, rip currents and storm surges on the East Coast. On Wednesday, the National Hurricane Center warned beachgoers against swimming at most East Coast beaches due to 'life-threatening surf and rip currents' brought on by the powerful Category 2 storm and set to last until at least Friday. Hurricane Erin, which formed on August 11 and quickly intensified, is expected to largely impact the Outer Banks region of North Carolina and portions of coastal Virginia — though forecasters warn the storm's impacts will also be felt in the northeast. While the worst of the beach conditions, including three to six foot storm surge, will hit the Outer Banks, beaches along the East Coast could see up to three feet of surge, AccuWeather's Lead Hurricane Expert Alex DaSilva told The Independent. Storm surge is the rise of sea level that can lead to flooding brought on by events such as hurricanes. 'Up the Virginia, Maryland, Delaware, New Jersey coastline, all the way up towards near New York City, there could be a one to three foot storm surge from this storm, even though the storm is going to be hundreds of miles offshore,' DaSilva said. Many beaches along the East Coast shut down Wednesday — with plans to stay closed the rest of the week — to protect swimmers from the storm's impact. New York City closed its beaches to swimming for both Wednesday and Thursday, and New York Governor Kathy Hochul ordered three state beaches on Long Island to prohibit swimming through Thursday. Several beaches along the New Jersey and Delaware coasts were also temporarily shut down, with some set to be closed until Friday or the weekend. The impacted beaches include Asbury Park, Avon-by-the-Sea, Bay Head, Belmar, Bradley Beach, Margate and Wildwood for New Jersey. Beaches affected in Delaware include Dewey Beach and Rehoboth Beach, among others. DaSilva warned that even if the beaches open back up — and the weather looks promising — the risk of dangerous rip currents will last at least through Saturday. 'The storm's moving away on Friday, but there's so much energy from the storm that I think the rip current risk along the entirety of the East Coast continues through Saturday,' DaSilva said. 'I don't want people to get a false sense of security on Friday or Saturday when the storm is moving away and they think, 'Oh, the sun's out, we can go back to the beach.' It's still going to be very, very dangerous,' DaSilva added. Along with rip currents comes the risk of high waves. Beaches in New York, including on Long Island and in Brooklyn and Queens, could see waves as high as 11 to 15 feet on Thursday, the National Weather Service said. The National Weather Service also issued a coastal flood watch for Brooklyn and Queens, meaning areas along the water may be susceptible to flooding. The threat of beach flooding and beach erosion along the East Coast will increase with high tides forecasted through at least Friday morning. The service warned of "one to two feet of inundation above ground level possible in vulnerable areas near the waterfront and shoreline." While the hurricane isn't expected to bring a lot of rain to the Northeast, DaSilva said the weather may feel breezier thanks to the storm. 'It'll be the windiest inland in North Carolina, but tomorrow can still be breezy in Baltimore, Philadelphia, New York City, and even Hartford, Connecticut, areas that are well away from the ocean,' DaSilva said. 'It's not going to be really strong, winds will be 20 to maybe 30 mph, but it still can be breezy in some of these cities along the I-95 corridor.' The forecast indicates improving conditions by Saturday, after Hurricane Erin's departure, as a cold front is expected to enter from the west on Sunday, potentially bringing in even more storms.
